L’École des cotesodds.school
Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)
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IK Oddevold v IFK Värnamo

Coup d’envoi : 2026-09-19 13:00 UTC

Score final : IK Oddevold 1–2 IFK Värnamo

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

49 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

IK Oddevold (Local)

Prévision 44.52%2.25cote équitable
EV -1.60%
Avantage -0.725%
Kelly -1.32%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.21

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
42.57%44.47%44.69%46.75%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.932.082.102.2151.81%48.01%47.62%45.25%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

IFK Värnamo (Visiteur)

Prévision 29.13%3.43cote équitable
EV -3.57%
Avantage -1.08%
Kelly -1.55%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.31

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.19%29.24%28.99%30.45%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.883.103.103.3134.72%32.23%32.26%30.21%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 26.34%3.80cote équitable
EV -4.37%
Avantage -1.20%
Kelly -1.66%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.63

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.06%26.29%26.32%27.52%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.253.453.453.6330.77%29.02%28.99%27.55%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : IK Oddevold (Local) : 44.52% ; IFK Värnamo (Visiteur) : 29.13% ; Match nul : 26.34%. Pour IK Oddevold (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 2.25. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 2.21, pour une espérance de -1.60% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (49 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Coolbet🎯2.21I 45.25%NM 43.19%EV -1.60%E -0.725%K -1.32%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.30%EV -8.23%E -2.61%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.51%EV -5.16%E -1.43%K -1.99%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-18 13:55
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -2.05%E -0.931%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -9.69%E -3.13%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -7.80%E -2.23%K -3.12%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-14 03:00
Unibet (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -2.05%E -0.931%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -9.69%E -3.13%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -7.80%E -2.23%K -3.12%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-14 03:00
ATG (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -2.05%E -0.931%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -9.69%E -3.13%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -7.80%E -2.23%K -3.12%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-14 03:00
Svenska Spel🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.77%EV -2.05%E -0.931%K -1.71%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.35%EV -9.69%E -3.13%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.88%EV -7.80%E -2.23%K -3.12%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-14 03:00
Betsson🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 43.56%EV -3.83%E -1.77%K -3.30%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.87%EV -8.23%E -2.61%K -3.83%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.58%EV -6.74%E -1.90%K -2.65%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-17 10:01
Unibet (UK)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -4.27%E -1.99%K -3.72%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -9.69%E -3.13%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -7.80%E -2.23%K -3.12%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-16 12:25
NordicBet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 43.51%EV -5.61%E -2.65%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -9.69%E -3.13%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.74%EV -9.11%E -2.64%K -3.72%G +0.000%8.4%2026-09-16 12:25
Unibet🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 42.74%EV -5.61%E -2.65%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.21%EV -12.60%E -4.20%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.05%EV -11.75%E -3.51%K -5.00%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-14 03:00
TABtouch🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 42.74%EV -5.61%E -2.65%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.21%EV -12.60%E -4.20%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.05%EV -11.75%E -3.51%K -5.00%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-14 03:00
Grosvenor🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 42.74%EV -5.61%E -2.65%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.21%EV -12.60%E -4.20%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.05%EV -11.75%E -3.51%K -5.00%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-14 03:00
Unibet (NL)🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 42.74%EV -5.61%E -2.65%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.21%EV -12.60%E -4.20%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.05%EV -11.75%E -3.51%K -5.00%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-14 03:00
Casumo🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 42.74%EV -5.61%E -2.65%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.21%EV -12.60%E -4.20%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.05%EV -11.75%E -3.51%K -5.00%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-14 03:00
betPARX🎯2.12I 47.17%NM 42.74%EV -5.61%E -2.65%K -5.01%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.21%EV -12.60%E -4.20%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.05%EV -11.75%E -3.51%K -5.00%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-14 03:00
Pinnacle🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.19%EV -6.50%E -3.10%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.31I 30.21%NM 28.67%EV -3.57%E -1.08%K -1.55%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 26.14%EV -4.37%E -1.20%K -1.66%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-18 15:30
FanDuel🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.05%EV -6.50%E -3.10%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.67%EV -3.86%E -1.17%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.28%EV -5.16%E -1.43%K -1.99%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-18 10:35
LowVig.ag🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.89%EV -6.50%E -3.10%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.56%EV -3.86%E -1.17%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.55%EV -6.48%E -1.83%K -2.54%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-18 15:25
BetOnline.ag🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.89%EV -6.50%E -3.10%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.56%EV -3.86%E -1.17%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.55%EV -6.48%E -1.83%K -2.54%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-18 15:25
BetUS🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.89%EV -6.50%E -3.10%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.56%EV -3.86%E -1.17%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.55%EV -6.48%E -1.83%K -2.54%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-18 15:25
BetAnything🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.89%EV -6.50%E -3.10%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.56%EV -3.86%E -1.17%K -1.68%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.55%EV -6.48%E -1.83%K -2.54%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-18 15:25
DraftKings🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.85%EV -6.50%E -3.10%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.98%EV -5.32%E -1.64%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.16%EV -5.16%E -1.43%K -1.99%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-18 13:00
Bet Victor🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -6.50%E -3.10%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.83%EV -9.11%E -2.92%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.85%EV -5.16%E -1.43%K -1.99%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-18 04:29
betano_uk🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.32%EV -6.50%E -3.10%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.12I 32.05%NM 29.83%EV -9.11%E -2.92%K -4.30%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.85%EV -5.16%E -1.43%K -1.99%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-18 04:29
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 44.23%EV -6.50%E -3.10%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.96%EV -9.69%E -3.13%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -5.16%E -1.43%K -1.99%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-16 13:01
BetRivers🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.59%EV -6.50%E -3.10%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.31%EV -14.06%E -4.77%K -7.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.10%EV -13.07%E -3.96%K -5.68%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-14 03:00
1xBet🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 44.56%EV -7.39%E -3.55%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.96%EV -6.78%E -2.12%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.48%EV -7.80%E -2.23%K -3.12%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-18 15:29
LeoVegas🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 43.21%EV -7.39%E -3.55%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -12.60%E -4.20%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.83%EV -11.75%E -3.51%K -5.00%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-18 13:04
Marathon Bet🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 44.72%EV -8.28%E -4.02%K -7.81%G +0.000%3.18I 31.45%NM 28.97%EV -7.36%E -2.31%K -3.38%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -7.80%E -2.23%K -3.12%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-18 15:25
LiveScore Bet🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 42.57%EV -8.28%E -4.02%K -7.81%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.45%EV -16.10%E -5.59%K -8.56%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.98%EV -14.38%E -4.43%K -6.39%G +0.000%14.0%2026-09-14 03:00
Virgin Bet🎯2.06I 48.54%NM 42.57%EV -8.28%E -4.02%K -7.81%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 30.45%EV -16.10%E -5.59%K -8.56%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.98%EV -14.38%E -4.43%K -6.39%G +0.000%14.0%2026-09-14 03:01
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -8.73%E -4.26%K -8.31%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -6.78%E -2.12%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -7.80%E -2.23%K -3.12%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-18 05:10
Bovada🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.34%EV -8.73%E -4.26%K -8.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -9.69%E -3.13%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.34%EV -9.11%E -2.64%K -3.72%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-18 13:45
Betr (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.17%EV -8.73%E -4.26%K -8.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -9.69%E -3.13%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -10.43%E -3.07%K -4.35%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-18 13:05
BetMGM🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.07%EV -8.73%E -4.26%K -8.31%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.12%EV -12.60%E -4.20%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -7.80%E -2.23%K -3.12%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-16 13:05
Coral🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -8.73%E -4.26%K -8.31%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -12.60%E -4.20%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -10.43%E -3.07%K -4.35%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-16 13:00
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -8.73%E -4.26%K -8.31%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -12.60%E -4.20%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -10.43%E -3.07%K -4.35%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-16 13:00
Neds🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -8.73%E -4.26%K -8.31%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -12.60%E -4.20%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -10.43%E -3.07%K -4.35%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-16 13:00
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -8.73%E -4.26%K -8.31%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -12.60%E -4.20%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -10.43%E -3.07%K -4.35%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-16 13:00
888sport🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.63%EV -8.73%E -4.26%K -8.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.85%EV -9.69%E -3.13%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.52%EV -14.38%E -4.43%K -6.39%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-15 17:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.63%EV -8.73%E -4.26%K -8.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.85%EV -9.69%E -3.13%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.52%EV -14.38%E -4.43%K -6.39%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-15 17:55
888sport (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.63%EV -8.73%E -4.26%K -8.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.85%EV -9.69%E -3.13%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.52%EV -14.38%E -4.43%K -6.39%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-15 17:56
William Hill🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.63%EV -8.73%E -4.26%K -8.31%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.85%EV -9.69%E -3.13%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.52%EV -14.38%E -4.43%K -6.39%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-15 17:56
Betway🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.86%EV -10.95%E -5.48%K -10.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.66%EV -6.78%E -2.12%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.48%EV -5.16%E -1.43%K -1.99%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-18 13:35
Paddy Power🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.53%EV -10.95%E -5.48%K -10.95%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.46%EV -6.78%E -2.12%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -7.80%E -2.23%K -3.12%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-18 10:35
betfred_uk🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -10.95%E -5.48%K -10.95%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -9.69%E -3.13%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -10.43%E -3.07%K -4.35%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-18 05:09
Sky Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 44.77%EV -10.95%E -5.48%K -10.95%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.89%EV -9.69%E -3.13%K -4.61%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.34%EV -10.43%E -3.07%K -4.35%G +0.000%11.7%2026-09-18 05:10
SportsBet🎯1.99I 50.25%NM 44.69%EV -11.40%E -5.73%K -11.51%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.16%EV -11.15%E -3.65%K -5.44%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.16%EV -10.43%E -3.07%K -4.35%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-18 05:10
BoyleSports🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 44.62%EV -13.18%E -6.76%K -13.87%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.01%EV -12.60%E -4.20%K -6.30%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.37%EV -13.07%E -3.96%K -5.68%G +0.000%14.9%2026-09-15 17:20
Tipico (DE)🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 46.75%EV -14.07%E -7.29%K -15.13%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.19%EV -6.78%E -2.12%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.06%EV -5.16%E -1.43%K -1.99%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-18 13:30
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.12I 47.17%NM 45.14%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.00%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.86%4.5%2026-09-18 15:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.12I 47.17%NM 45.14%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.00%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.86%4.5%2026-09-18 15:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.12I 47.17%NM 45.14%3.30I 30.30%NM 29.00%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.86%4.5%2026-09-18 15:25
Matchbook◎2.12I 47.17%NM 44.98%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.90%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.12%4.9%2026-09-18 15:25