Language:English
IK Brage v Varbergs BoIS
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
IK Brage (Local)
Prediction 40.25%2.48fair odd
EV -3.41%
Edge -1.42%
Kelly -2.44%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
38.88%40.20%40.31%42.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.152.302.302.4046.51%43.48%43.48%41.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Varbergs BoIS (Visit)
Prediction 32.38%3.09fair odd
EV -1.25%
Edge -0.411%
Kelly -0.612%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.05
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.22%32.45%32.33%34.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.652.812.803.0537.74%35.65%35.71%32.79%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 27.38%3.65fair odd
EV -1.44%
Edge -0.399%
Kelly -0.552%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.60
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.45%27.35%27.36%28.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.333.353.6033.33%30.07%29.85%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: IK Brage (Local): 40.25%; Varbergs BoIS (Visit): 32.38%; Draw: 27.38%. For Varbergs BoIS (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.09. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.05, with an expected value of -1.25%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (45 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.17%EV -3.41%E -1.42%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.58%EV -9.35%E -3.34%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.25%EV -5.54%E -1.61%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-21 04:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.17%EV -3.41%E -1.42%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.58%EV -9.35%E -3.34%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.25%EV -5.54%E -1.61%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-21 04:55 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.17%EV -3.41%E -1.42%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.58%EV -9.35%E -3.34%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.25%EV -5.54%E -1.61%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-21 04:59 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.17%EV -3.41%E -1.42%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.58%EV -9.35%E -3.34%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.25%EV -5.54%E -1.61%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-21 05:00 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.58%EV -4.22%E -1.77%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -6.76%E -2.35%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.71%EV -6.91%E -2.03%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-23 13:04 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -5.42%E -2.31%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.41%EV -6.76%E -2.35%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.87%EV -8.28%E -2.47%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-20 19:05 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -5.42%E -2.31%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.41%EV -6.76%E -2.35%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.87%EV -8.28%E -2.47%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-20 19:05 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.12%EV -5.42%E -2.31%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.43%EV -10.97%E -3.99%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -8.28%E -2.47%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-21 04:55 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.12%EV -5.42%E -2.31%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.43%EV -10.97%E -3.99%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -8.28%E -2.47%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-21 04:55 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.12%EV -5.42%E -2.31%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.43%EV -10.97%E -3.99%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -8.28%E -2.47%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-21 04:55 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.12%EV -5.42%E -2.31%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.43%EV -10.97%E -3.99%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -8.28%E -2.47%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-21 04:55 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.12%EV -5.42%E -2.31%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.43%EV -10.97%E -3.99%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -8.28%E -2.47%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-21 04:55 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.12%EV -5.42%E -2.31%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.43%EV -10.97%E -3.99%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -8.28%E -2.47%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-21 04:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.12%EV -5.42%E -2.31%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.43%EV -10.97%E -3.99%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -8.28%E -2.47%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-21 04:54 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.12%EV -5.42%E -2.31%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.43%EV -10.97%E -3.99%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -8.28%E -2.47%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-21 05:00 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.88%EV -5.42%E -2.31%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.84%EV -12.59%E -4.66%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.28%EV -8.28%E -2.47%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-21 04:55 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.66%EV -6.63%E -2.86%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 2.97I 33.67%NM 31.76%EV -3.84%E -1.29%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.58%EV -6.36%E -1.86%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-23 13:09 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.17%EV -6.63%E -2.86%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.92%EV -5.46%E -1.87%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 27.91%EV -8.55%E -2.56%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-24 02:00 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.95%EV -6.63%E -2.86%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 31.53%EV -4.82%E -1.64%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.52%EV -11.02%E -3.39%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-21 01:05 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.95%EV -6.63%E -2.86%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 31.53%EV -4.82%E -1.64%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.52%EV -11.02%E -3.39%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-21 01:05 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.95%EV -6.63%E -2.86%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 31.53%EV -4.82%E -1.64%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.52%EV -11.02%E -3.39%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-23 14:39 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.03%EV -6.63%E -2.86%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.53%EV -12.59%E -4.66%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -9.65%E -2.92%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-21 04:55 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.58%EV -7.44%E -3.23%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -7.73%E -2.71%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -4.17%E -1.19%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-21 06:30 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -7.44%E -3.23%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -6.11%E -2.11%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -6.91%E -2.03%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-23 15:05 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.35%EV -7.44%E -3.23%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.14%EV -9.35%E -3.34%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -4.17%E -1.19%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-23 16:15 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.29%EV -7.44%E -3.23%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.96%EV -6.11%E -2.11%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 27.75%EV -8.55%E -2.56%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-24 02:34 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.80%EV -7.44%E -3.23%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -10.97%E -3.99%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -6.91%E -2.03%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-21 18:10 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.30%EV -7.44%E -3.23%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.11%EV -14.20%E -5.36%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -6.91%E -2.03%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-23 15:19 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.32%EV -9.45%E -4.20%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.22%EV -1.25%E -0.411%K -0.612%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.45%EV -1.44%E -0.399%K -0.552%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-21 09:55 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.93%EV -9.45%E -4.20%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.98%EV -6.76%E -2.35%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.09%EV -6.91%E -2.03%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-23 11:14 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -9.45%E -4.20%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.08%EV -7.73%E -2.71%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.29%EV -8.28%E -2.47%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-23 13:01 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -9.45%E -4.20%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -9.35%E -3.34%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -6.91%E -2.03%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-21 13:04 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.24%EV -9.45%E -4.20%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.33%EV -9.35%E -3.34%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.43%EV -9.65%E -2.92%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-04-23 13:03 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.00%EV -9.45%E -4.20%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.73%EV -10.97%E -3.99%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.27%EV -9.65%E -2.92%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-21 06:28 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.83%EV -9.45%E -4.20%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.59%EV -10.97%E -3.99%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.58%EV -11.02%E -3.39%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-04-23 13:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.83%EV -9.45%E -4.20%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.59%EV -10.97%E -3.99%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.58%EV -11.02%E -3.39%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-04-23 13:00 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.54%EV -9.45%E -4.20%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -9.35%E -3.34%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -15.13%E -4.88%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-04-20 18:55 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.54%EV -9.45%E -4.20%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -9.35%E -3.34%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -15.13%E -4.88%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-04-20 18:55 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.54%EV -9.45%E -4.20%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -9.35%E -3.34%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -15.13%E -4.88%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-04-20 18:55 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.54%EV -9.45%E -4.20%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -9.35%E -3.34%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -15.13%E -4.88%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-04-20 19:00 |
| Everygame🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.43%EV -11.46%E -5.21%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -9.35%E -3.34%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.80%EV -12.39%E -3.87%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-04-23 12:44 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.30%EV -11.46%E -5.21%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.84%EV -12.59%E -4.66%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.87%EV -9.65%E -2.92%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-04-21 06:29 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.30%EV -11.46%E -5.21%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.84%EV -12.59%E -4.66%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.87%EV -9.65%E -2.92%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-04-23 13:04 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.24%EV -11.46%E -5.21%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 31.98%EV -12.59%E -4.66%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.78%EV -17.86%E -5.95%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 15.8% | 2026-04-23 13:04 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.15I 46.51%NM 40.52%EV -13.47%E -6.27%K -11.72%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.26%EV -12.59%E -4.66%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.22%EV -12.39%E -3.87%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-04-22 07:00 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (3)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.94% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 32.31% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.75% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 16:14 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.94% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 32.31% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.75% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 16:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.94% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 32.31% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.75% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 16:10 |