La escuela de los momiosEspañol
IK Brage v Varbergs BoIS
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
IK Brage (Local)
Predicción 40.25%2.48momio equitativo
EV -3.41%
Ventaja -1.42%
Kelly -2.44%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.40
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
38.88%40.20%40.31%42.32%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.152.302.302.4046.51%43.48%43.48%41.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Varbergs BoIS (Visitante)
Predicción 32.38%3.09momio equitativo
EV -1.25%
Ventaja -0.411%
Kelly -0.612%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.05
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
31.22%32.45%32.33%34.11%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.652.812.803.0537.74%35.65%35.71%32.79%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 27.38%3.65momio equitativo
EV -1.44%
Ventaja -0.399%
Kelly -0.552%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.60
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.45%27.35%27.36%28.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.333.353.6033.33%30.07%29.85%27.78%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (45 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (SE) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.17%EV -3.41%E -1.42%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.58%EV -9.35%E -3.34%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.25%EV -5.54%E -1.61%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-21 04:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.17%EV -3.41%E -1.42%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.58%EV -9.35%E -3.34%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.25%EV -5.54%E -1.61%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-21 04:55 |
| ATG (SE) | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.17%EV -3.41%E -1.42%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.58%EV -9.35%E -3.34%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.25%EV -5.54%E -1.61%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-21 04:59 |
| Svenska Spel | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.17%EV -3.41%E -1.42%K -2.44%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.58%EV -9.35%E -3.34%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.25%EV -5.54%E -1.61%K -2.26%G +0.000% | 6.4% | 2026-04-21 05:00 |
| Unibet (UK) | 2.38I 42.02%NM 39.58%EV -4.22%E -1.77%K -3.06%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.71%EV -6.76%E -2.35%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.71%EV -6.91%E -2.03%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 6.2% | 2026-04-23 13:04 |
| NordicBet | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -5.42%E -2.31%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.41%EV -6.76%E -2.35%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.87%EV -8.28%E -2.47%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-20 19:05 |
| Betsson | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.72%EV -5.42%E -2.31%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 32.41%EV -6.76%E -2.35%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.87%EV -8.28%E -2.47%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-20 19:05 |
| TABtouch | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.12%EV -5.42%E -2.31%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.43%EV -10.97%E -3.99%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -8.28%E -2.47%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-21 04:55 |
| Casumo | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.12%EV -5.42%E -2.31%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.43%EV -10.97%E -3.99%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -8.28%E -2.47%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-21 04:55 |
| Virgin Bet | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.12%EV -5.42%E -2.31%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.43%EV -10.97%E -3.99%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -8.28%E -2.47%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-21 04:55 |
| LeoVegas | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.12%EV -5.42%E -2.31%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.43%EV -10.97%E -3.99%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -8.28%E -2.47%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-21 04:55 |
| Unibet (NL) | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.12%EV -5.42%E -2.31%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.43%EV -10.97%E -3.99%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -8.28%E -2.47%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-21 04:55 |
| Grosvenor | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.12%EV -5.42%E -2.31%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.43%EV -10.97%E -3.99%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -8.28%E -2.47%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-21 04:55 |
| Unibet | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.12%EV -5.42%E -2.31%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.43%EV -10.97%E -3.99%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -8.28%E -2.47%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-21 04:54 |
| betPARX | 2.35I 42.55%NM 39.12%EV -5.42%E -2.31%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.43%EV -10.97%E -3.99%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.44%EV -8.28%E -2.47%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 8.8% | 2026-04-21 05:00 |
| BetRivers | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.88%EV -5.42%E -2.31%K -4.02%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.84%EV -12.59%E -4.66%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.28%EV -8.28%E -2.47%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-21 04:55 |
| Pinnacle | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.66%EV -6.63%E -2.86%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 2.97I 33.67%NM 31.76%EV -3.84%E -1.29%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.58%EV -6.36%E -1.86%K -2.63%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-23 13:09 |
| 1xBet | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.17%EV -6.63%E -2.86%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 31.92%EV -5.46%E -1.87%K -2.85%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 27.91%EV -8.55%E -2.56%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-24 02:00 |
| BetOnline.ag | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.95%EV -6.63%E -2.86%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 31.53%EV -4.82%E -1.64%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.52%EV -11.02%E -3.39%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-21 01:05 |
| LowVig.ag | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.95%EV -6.63%E -2.86%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 31.53%EV -4.82%E -1.64%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.52%EV -11.02%E -3.39%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-21 01:05 |
| BetUS | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.95%EV -6.63%E -2.86%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 31.53%EV -4.82%E -1.64%K -2.48%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.52%EV -11.02%E -3.39%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-23 14:39 |
| LiveScore Bet | 2.32I 43.10%NM 39.03%EV -6.63%E -2.86%K -5.02%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.53%EV -12.59%E -4.66%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -9.65%E -2.92%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-21 04:55 |
| FanDuel | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.58%EV -7.44%E -3.23%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -7.73%E -2.71%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -4.17%E -1.19%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-21 06:30 |
| DraftKings | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.49%EV -7.44%E -3.23%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 32.11%EV -6.11%E -2.11%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.39%EV -6.91%E -2.03%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-04-23 15:05 |
| Bet Victor | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.35%EV -7.44%E -3.23%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.14%EV -9.35%E -3.34%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -4.17%E -1.19%K -1.67%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-23 16:15 |
| Marathon Bet | 2.30I 43.48%NM 40.29%EV -7.44%E -3.23%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 31.96%EV -6.11%E -2.11%K -3.22%G +0.000% | 3.34I 29.94%NM 27.75%EV -8.55%E -2.56%K -3.66%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-24 02:34 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.80%EV -7.44%E -3.23%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -10.97%E -3.99%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -6.91%E -2.03%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-21 18:10 |
| Tipico (DE) | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.30%EV -7.44%E -3.23%K -5.72%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.11%EV -14.20%E -5.36%K -8.61%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.59%EV -6.91%E -2.03%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-23 15:19 |
| Coolbet | 2.25I 44.44%NM 42.32%EV -9.45%E -4.20%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 31.22%EV -1.25%E -0.411%K -0.612%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 26.45%EV -1.44%E -0.399%K -0.552%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-21 09:55 |
| Betway | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.93%EV -9.45%E -4.20%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 31.98%EV -6.76%E -2.35%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.09%EV -6.91%E -2.03%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 8.6% | 2026-04-23 11:14 |
| Bovada | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.63%EV -9.45%E -4.20%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 32.08%EV -7.73%E -2.71%K -4.18%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.29%EV -8.28%E -2.47%K -3.52%G +0.000% | 9.4% | 2026-04-23 13:01 |
| Paddy Power | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -9.45%E -4.20%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -9.35%E -3.34%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -6.91%E -2.03%K -2.88%G +0.000% | 9.6% | 2026-04-21 13:04 |
| BetMGM | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.24%EV -9.45%E -4.20%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 32.33%EV -9.35%E -3.34%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.43%EV -9.65%E -2.92%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-04-23 13:03 |
| betfred_uk | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.00%EV -9.45%E -4.20%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.73%EV -10.97%E -3.99%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.27%EV -9.65%E -2.92%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-21 06:28 |
| Coral | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.83%EV -9.45%E -4.20%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.59%EV -10.97%E -3.99%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.58%EV -11.02%E -3.39%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-04-23 13:00 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.83%EV -9.45%E -4.20%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 32.59%EV -10.97%E -3.99%K -6.27%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.58%EV -11.02%E -3.39%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 11.6% | 2026-04-23 13:00 |
| 888sport | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.54%EV -9.45%E -4.20%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -9.35%E -3.34%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -15.13%E -4.88%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-04-20 18:55 |
| 888sport (SE) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.54%EV -9.45%E -4.20%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -9.35%E -3.34%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -15.13%E -4.88%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-04-20 18:55 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.54%EV -9.45%E -4.20%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -9.35%E -3.34%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -15.13%E -4.88%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-04-20 18:55 |
| William Hill | 2.25I 44.44%NM 39.54%EV -9.45%E -4.20%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -9.35%E -3.34%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.70%EV -15.13%E -4.88%K -7.20%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-04-20 19:00 |
| Everygame | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.43%EV -11.46%E -5.21%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 31.77%EV -9.35%E -3.34%K -5.19%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.80%EV -12.39%E -3.87%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-04-23 12:44 |
| SportsBet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.30%EV -11.46%E -5.21%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.84%EV -12.59%E -4.66%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.87%EV -9.65%E -2.92%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-04-21 06:29 |
| Sky Bet | 2.20I 45.45%NM 40.30%EV -11.46%E -5.21%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.84%EV -12.59%E -4.66%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.87%EV -9.65%E -2.92%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-04-23 13:04 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 2.20I 45.45%NM 39.24%EV -11.46%E -5.21%K -9.55%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 31.98%EV -12.59%E -4.66%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.78%EV -17.86%E -5.95%K -8.93%G +0.000% | 15.8% | 2026-04-23 13:04 |
| BoyleSports | 2.15I 46.51%NM 40.52%EV -13.47%E -6.27%K -11.72%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 32.26%EV -12.59%E -4.66%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.22%EV -12.39%E -3.87%K -5.63%G +0.000% | 14.8% | 2026-04-22 07:00 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (3)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.94% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 32.31% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.75% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 16:14 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.94% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 32.31% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.75% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 16:15 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 2.32I 43.10%NM 40.94% | 2.94I 34.01%NM 32.31% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.75% | 5.3% | 2026-04-23 16:10 |