Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

IK Brage v Nordic United FC

Kickoff: 2026-08-23 13:00 UTC

Final: IK Brage 1–2 Nordic United FC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

45 sportsbooks (14 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

IK Brage (Local)

Prediction 38.53%2.60fair odd
EV -4.44%
Edge -1.79%
Kelly -3.00%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.48

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.41%38.64%38.51%40.96%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.202.372.382.4845.45%42.25%42.02%40.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Nordic United FC (Visit)

Prediction 35.40%2.82fair odd
EV -3.00%
Edge -1.09%
Kelly -1.72%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.74

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.01%35.35%35.37%36.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.402.592.602.7441.67%38.66%38.46%36.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 26.06%3.84fair odd
EV -3.56%
Edge -0.963%
Kelly -1.32%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.03%26.01%26.12%26.98%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.303.533.553.7030.30%28.31%28.17%27.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: IK Brage (Local): 38.53%; Nordic United FC (Visit): 35.40%; Draw: 26.06%. For Nordic United FC (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.82. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.74, with an expected value of -3.00%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (45 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
BetOnline.ag🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.91%EV -4.44%E -1.79%K -3.00%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 35.61%EV -6.54%E -2.48%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.48%EV -7.47%E -2.10%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-23 04:19
LowVig.ag🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.91%EV -4.44%E -1.79%K -3.00%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 35.61%EV -6.54%E -2.48%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.48%EV -7.47%E -2.10%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-23 04:20
BetAnything🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.91%EV -4.44%E -1.79%K -3.00%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 35.61%EV -6.54%E -2.48%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.48%EV -7.47%E -2.10%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-23 04:19
BetUS🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.91%EV -4.44%E -1.79%K -3.00%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 35.61%EV -6.54%E -2.48%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.48%EV -7.47%E -2.10%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-23 04:20
Pinnacle🎯2.47I 40.49%NM 38.67%EV -4.82%E -1.95%K -3.28%G +0.000%2.71I 36.90%NM 35.24%EV -4.06%E -1.50%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 26.09%EV -4.61%E -1.26%K -1.73%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-23 06:15
DraftKings🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.64%EV -5.59%E -2.28%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.06%EV -4.41%E -1.63%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.30%EV -6.17%E -1.71%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-22 13:05
FanDuel🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.40%EV -5.59%E -2.28%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.18%EV -7.95%E -3.06%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.42%EV -3.56%E -0.963%K -1.32%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-21 13:03
Unibet (UK)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -5.59%E -2.28%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -7.95%E -3.06%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.95%EV -6.17%E -1.71%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-20 13:04
Coolbet🎯2.44I 40.98%NM 39.08%EV -5.98%E -2.45%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 34.80%EV -3.00%E -1.09%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.12%EV -4.87%E -1.33%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-17 10:14
NordicBet🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 38.24%EV -6.75%E -2.79%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.32%EV -7.24%E -2.77%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.44%EV -8.78%E -2.51%K -3.51%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-17 15:19
Betsson🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 38.24%EV -6.75%E -2.79%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.32%EV -7.24%E -2.77%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.44%EV -8.78%E -2.51%K -3.51%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-17 15:20
Bet Victor🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.72%EV -7.52%E -3.13%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -7.24%E -2.77%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -6.17%E -1.71%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-22 00:13
betano_uk🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.72%EV -7.52%E -3.13%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -7.24%E -2.77%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -6.17%E -1.71%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-22 00:14
1xBet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.60%EV -7.52%E -3.13%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.23%EV -6.89%E -2.62%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.17%EV -7.73%E -2.18%K -3.04%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-23 06:15
Marathon Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.60%EV -7.52%E -3.13%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.23%EV -6.89%E -2.62%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.17%EV -7.73%E -2.18%K -3.04%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-23 06:15
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.35%EV -7.52%E -3.13%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.09%EV -9.72%E -3.81%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.56%EV -6.17%E -1.71%K -2.37%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-18 15:39
Betway🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.33%EV -7.52%E -3.13%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.38%EV -7.95%E -3.06%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -8.78%E -2.51%K -3.51%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-23 12:50
Bovada🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.19%EV -7.52%E -3.13%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.25%EV -7.95%E -3.06%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.56%EV -10.08%E -2.92%K -4.11%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-19 05:42
Unibet (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.61%EV -8.29%E -3.48%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.91%EV -4.41%E -1.63%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.48%EV -3.56%E -0.963%K -1.32%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-19 02:19
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.61%EV -8.29%E -3.48%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.91%EV -4.41%E -1.63%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.48%EV -3.56%E -0.963%K -1.32%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-19 02:19
ATG (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.61%EV -8.29%E -3.48%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.91%EV -4.41%E -1.63%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.48%EV -3.56%E -0.963%K -1.32%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-19 02:19
Svenska Spel🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.61%EV -8.29%E -3.48%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.91%EV -4.41%E -1.63%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.48%EV -3.56%E -0.963%K -1.32%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-19 02:19
Paddy Power🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.27%EV -8.29%E -3.48%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.43%EV -11.49%E -4.60%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.30%EV -6.17%E -1.71%K -2.37%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-23 10:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.27%EV -8.29%E -3.48%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.43%EV -11.49%E -4.60%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.30%EV -6.17%E -1.71%K -2.37%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-23 12:50
betfred_uk🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.99%EV -8.29%E -3.48%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.17%EV -11.49%E -4.60%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.84%EV -8.78%E -2.51%K -3.51%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-18 15:40
Sky Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.72%EV -8.29%E -3.48%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.64%EV -13.26%E -5.41%K -9.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.65%EV -8.78%E -2.51%K -3.51%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-20 13:04
888sport🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.41%EV -8.29%E -3.48%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.61%EV -11.49%E -4.60%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.98%EV -13.99%E -4.24%K -6.08%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-22 13:05
William Hill🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.41%EV -8.29%E -3.48%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.61%EV -11.49%E -4.60%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.98%EV -13.99%E -4.24%K -6.08%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-22 13:04
888sport (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.41%EV -8.29%E -3.48%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.61%EV -11.49%E -4.60%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.98%EV -13.99%E -4.24%K -6.08%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-22 13:04
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.41%EV -8.29%E -3.48%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.61%EV -11.49%E -4.60%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.98%EV -13.99%E -4.24%K -6.08%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-22 13:04
Betr (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.57%EV -9.45%E -4.02%K -7.00%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.54%EV -9.72%E -3.81%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -8.78%E -2.51%K -3.51%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-23 10:15
PlayUp🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.54%EV -9.45%E -4.02%K -7.00%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.83%EV -7.95%E -3.06%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -11.38%E -3.35%K -4.74%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-23 11:05
LeoVegas🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.29%EV -9.45%E -4.02%K -7.00%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.00%EV -11.49%E -4.60%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.71%EV -8.78%E -2.51%K -3.51%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-21 15:04
SportsBet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 37.95%EV -11.37%E -4.95%K -8.75%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.37%EV -15.03%E -6.26%K -10.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.67%EV -11.38%E -3.35%K -4.74%G +0.000%14.6%2026-08-23 10:10
Unibet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 39.70%EV -12.14%E -5.33%K -9.49%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.81%EV -7.95%E -3.06%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.49%EV -7.47%E -2.10%K -2.93%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-23 12:30
Grosvenor🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 39.70%EV -12.14%E -5.33%K -9.49%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.81%EV -7.95%E -3.06%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.49%EV -7.47%E -2.10%K -2.93%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-23 12:30
TABtouch🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 39.70%EV -12.14%E -5.33%K -9.49%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.81%EV -7.95%E -3.06%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.49%EV -7.47%E -2.10%K -2.93%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-23 12:30
Unibet (NL)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 39.70%EV -12.14%E -5.33%K -9.49%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.81%EV -7.95%E -3.06%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.49%EV -7.47%E -2.10%K -2.93%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-23 12:30
Casumo🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 39.70%EV -12.14%E -5.33%K -9.49%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.81%EV -7.95%E -3.06%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.49%EV -7.47%E -2.10%K -2.93%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-23 12:30
betPARX🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 39.70%EV -12.14%E -5.33%K -9.49%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.81%EV -7.95%E -3.06%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.49%EV -7.47%E -2.10%K -2.93%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-23 12:30
BetRivers🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.60%EV -13.30%E -5.91%K -10.64%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.94%EV -9.72%E -3.81%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.46%EV -8.78%E -2.51%K -3.51%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-23 12:30
BoyleSports🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 38.47%EV -13.30%E -5.91%K -10.64%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.07%EV -15.03%E -6.26%K -10.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.46%EV -11.38%E -3.35%K -4.74%G +0.000%15.5%2026-08-20 09:00
Tipico (DE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.96%EV -15.23%E -6.92%K -12.69%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.01%EV -6.18%E -2.33%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.03%EV -6.17%E -1.71%K -2.37%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-21 08:04
Virgin Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 39.72%EV -15.23%E -6.92%K -12.69%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.95%EV -11.49%E -4.60%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.33%EV -10.08%E -2.92%K -4.11%G +0.000%14.4%2026-08-23 12:30
LiveScore Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 39.72%EV -15.23%E -6.92%K -12.69%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.95%EV -11.49%E -4.60%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.33%EV -10.08%E -2.92%K -4.11%G +0.000%14.4%2026-08-23 12:30
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.60I 38.46%NM 38.08%2.76I 36.23%NM 35.87%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.05%1.0%2026-08-23 12:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.60I 38.46%NM 38.08%2.76I 36.23%NM 35.87%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.05%1.0%2026-08-23 12:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.60I 38.46%NM 38.08%2.76I 36.23%NM 35.87%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.05%1.0%2026-08-23 12:30
Matchbook2.60I 38.46%NM 38.08%2.76I 36.23%NM 35.87%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.05%1.0%2026-08-23 12:50