Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

IK Brage v Nordic United FC

Início: 2026-08-23 13:00 UTC

Final: IK Brage 1–2 Nordic United FC

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

45 casas de apostas (14 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

IK Brage (Local)

Previsão 38.53%2.60odd justa
EV -4.44%
Vantagem -1.79%
Kelly -3.00%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.48

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
37.41%38.64%38.51%40.96%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.202.372.382.4845.45%42.25%42.02%40.32%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nordic United FC (Visitante)

Previsão 35.40%2.82odd justa
EV -3.00%
Vantagem -1.09%
Kelly -1.72%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.74

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
34.01%35.35%35.37%36.64%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.402.592.602.7441.67%38.66%38.46%36.50%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 26.06%3.84odd justa
EV -3.56%
Vantagem -0.963%
Kelly -1.32%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.70

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
25.03%26.01%26.12%26.98%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.303.533.553.7030.30%28.31%28.17%27.03%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: IK Brage (Local): 38.53%; Nordic United FC (Visitante): 35.40%; Empate: 26.06%. Para Nordic United FC (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 2.82. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 2.74, com valor esperado de -3.00%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (45 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
BetOnline.ag🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.91%EV -4.44%E -1.79%K -3.00%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 35.61%EV -6.54%E -2.48%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.48%EV -7.47%E -2.10%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-23 04:19
LowVig.ag🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.91%EV -4.44%E -1.79%K -3.00%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 35.61%EV -6.54%E -2.48%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.48%EV -7.47%E -2.10%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-23 04:20
BetAnything🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.91%EV -4.44%E -1.79%K -3.00%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 35.61%EV -6.54%E -2.48%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.48%EV -7.47%E -2.10%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-23 04:19
BetUS🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.91%EV -4.44%E -1.79%K -3.00%G +0.000%2.64I 37.88%NM 35.61%EV -6.54%E -2.48%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.48%EV -7.47%E -2.10%K -2.93%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-23 04:20
Pinnacle🎯2.47I 40.49%NM 38.67%EV -4.82%E -1.95%K -3.28%G +0.000%2.71I 36.90%NM 35.24%EV -4.06%E -1.50%K -2.37%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 26.09%EV -4.61%E -1.26%K -1.73%G +0.000%4.7%2026-08-23 06:15
DraftKings🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.64%EV -5.59%E -2.28%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.06%EV -4.41%E -1.63%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.30%EV -6.17%E -1.71%K -2.37%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-22 13:05
FanDuel🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.40%EV -5.59%E -2.28%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.18%EV -7.95%E -3.06%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.42%EV -3.56%E -0.963%K -1.32%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-21 13:03
Unibet (UK)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.13%EV -5.59%E -2.28%K -3.86%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.93%EV -7.95%E -3.06%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.95%EV -6.17%E -1.71%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-20 13:04
Coolbet🎯2.44I 40.98%NM 39.08%EV -5.98%E -2.45%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 34.80%EV -3.00%E -1.09%K -1.72%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.12%EV -4.87%E -1.33%K -1.84%G +0.000%4.9%2026-08-17 10:14
NordicBet🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 38.24%EV -6.75%E -2.79%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.32%EV -7.24%E -2.77%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.44%EV -8.78%E -2.51%K -3.51%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-17 15:19
Betsson🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 38.24%EV -6.75%E -2.79%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.32%EV -7.24%E -2.77%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.44%EV -8.78%E -2.51%K -3.51%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-17 15:20
Bet Victor🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.72%EV -7.52%E -3.13%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -7.24%E -2.77%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -6.17%E -1.71%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-22 00:13
betano_uk🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.72%EV -7.52%E -3.13%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.47%EV -7.24%E -2.77%K -4.47%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -6.17%E -1.71%K -2.37%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-22 00:14
1xBet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.60%EV -7.52%E -3.13%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.23%EV -6.89%E -2.62%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.17%EV -7.73%E -2.18%K -3.04%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-23 06:15
Marathon Bet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.60%EV -7.52%E -3.13%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 35.23%EV -6.89%E -2.62%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.17%EV -7.73%E -2.18%K -3.04%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-23 06:15
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.35%EV -7.52%E -3.13%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.09%EV -9.72%E -3.81%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.56%EV -6.17%E -1.71%K -2.37%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-18 15:39
Betway🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.33%EV -7.52%E -3.13%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.38%EV -7.95%E -3.06%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -8.78%E -2.51%K -3.51%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-23 12:50
Bovada🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.19%EV -7.52%E -3.13%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.25%EV -7.95%E -3.06%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.56%EV -10.08%E -2.92%K -4.11%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-19 05:42
Unibet (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.61%EV -8.29%E -3.48%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.91%EV -4.41%E -1.63%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.48%EV -3.56%E -0.963%K -1.32%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-19 02:19
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.61%EV -8.29%E -3.48%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.91%EV -4.41%E -1.63%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.48%EV -3.56%E -0.963%K -1.32%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-19 02:19
ATG (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.61%EV -8.29%E -3.48%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.91%EV -4.41%E -1.63%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.48%EV -3.56%E -0.963%K -1.32%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-19 02:19
Svenska Spel🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.61%EV -8.29%E -3.48%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.91%EV -4.41%E -1.63%K -2.60%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.48%EV -3.56%E -0.963%K -1.32%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-19 02:19
Paddy Power🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.27%EV -8.29%E -3.48%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.43%EV -11.49%E -4.60%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.30%EV -6.17%E -1.71%K -2.37%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-23 10:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.27%EV -8.29%E -3.48%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.43%EV -11.49%E -4.60%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.30%EV -6.17%E -1.71%K -2.37%G +0.000%9.8%2026-08-23 12:50
betfred_uk🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.99%EV -8.29%E -3.48%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.17%EV -11.49%E -4.60%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.84%EV -8.78%E -2.51%K -3.51%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-18 15:40
Sky Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.72%EV -8.29%E -3.48%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.64%EV -13.26%E -5.41%K -9.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.65%EV -8.78%E -2.51%K -3.51%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-20 13:04
888sport🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.41%EV -8.29%E -3.48%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.61%EV -11.49%E -4.60%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.98%EV -13.99%E -4.24%K -6.08%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-22 13:05
William Hill🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.41%EV -8.29%E -3.48%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.61%EV -11.49%E -4.60%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.98%EV -13.99%E -4.24%K -6.08%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-22 13:04
888sport (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.41%EV -8.29%E -3.48%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.61%EV -11.49%E -4.60%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.98%EV -13.99%E -4.24%K -6.08%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-22 13:04
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.41%EV -8.29%E -3.48%K -6.01%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.61%EV -11.49%E -4.60%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.98%EV -13.99%E -4.24%K -6.08%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-22 13:04
Betr (AU)🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.57%EV -9.45%E -4.02%K -7.00%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.54%EV -9.72%E -3.81%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.89%EV -8.78%E -2.51%K -3.51%G +0.000%10.3%2026-08-23 10:15
PlayUp🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.54%EV -9.45%E -4.02%K -7.00%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.83%EV -7.95%E -3.06%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -11.38%E -3.35%K -4.74%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-23 11:05
LeoVegas🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.29%EV -9.45%E -4.02%K -7.00%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.00%EV -11.49%E -4.60%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.71%EV -8.78%E -2.51%K -3.51%G +0.000%11.1%2026-08-21 15:04
SportsBet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 37.95%EV -11.37%E -4.95%K -8.75%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.37%EV -15.03%E -6.26%K -10.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.67%EV -11.38%E -3.35%K -4.74%G +0.000%14.6%2026-08-23 10:10
Unibet🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 39.70%EV -12.14%E -5.33%K -9.49%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.81%EV -7.95%E -3.06%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.49%EV -7.47%E -2.10%K -2.93%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-23 12:30
Grosvenor🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 39.70%EV -12.14%E -5.33%K -9.49%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.81%EV -7.95%E -3.06%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.49%EV -7.47%E -2.10%K -2.93%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-23 12:30
TABtouch🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 39.70%EV -12.14%E -5.33%K -9.49%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.81%EV -7.95%E -3.06%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.49%EV -7.47%E -2.10%K -2.93%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-23 12:30
Unibet (NL)🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 39.70%EV -12.14%E -5.33%K -9.49%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.81%EV -7.95%E -3.06%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.49%EV -7.47%E -2.10%K -2.93%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-23 12:30
Casumo🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 39.70%EV -12.14%E -5.33%K -9.49%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.81%EV -7.95%E -3.06%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.49%EV -7.47%E -2.10%K -2.93%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-23 12:30
betPARX🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 39.70%EV -12.14%E -5.33%K -9.49%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.81%EV -7.95%E -3.06%K -4.97%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.49%EV -7.47%E -2.10%K -2.93%G +0.000%10.5%2026-08-23 12:30
BetRivers🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.60%EV -13.30%E -5.91%K -10.64%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.94%EV -9.72%E -3.81%K -6.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.46%EV -8.78%E -2.51%K -3.51%G +0.000%12.2%2026-08-23 12:30
BoyleSports🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 38.47%EV -13.30%E -5.91%K -10.64%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.07%EV -15.03%E -6.26%K -10.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.46%EV -11.38%E -3.35%K -4.74%G +0.000%15.5%2026-08-20 09:00
Tipico (DE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.96%EV -15.23%E -6.92%K -12.69%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.01%EV -6.18%E -2.33%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.03%EV -6.17%E -1.71%K -2.37%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-21 08:04
Virgin Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 39.72%EV -15.23%E -6.92%K -12.69%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.95%EV -11.49%E -4.60%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.33%EV -10.08%E -2.92%K -4.11%G +0.000%14.4%2026-08-23 12:30
LiveScore Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 39.72%EV -15.23%E -6.92%K -12.69%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.95%EV -11.49%E -4.60%K -7.66%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.33%EV -10.08%E -2.92%K -4.11%G +0.000%14.4%2026-08-23 12:30
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (4)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.60I 38.46%NM 38.08%2.76I 36.23%NM 35.87%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.05%1.0%2026-08-23 12:30
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.60I 38.46%NM 38.08%2.76I 36.23%NM 35.87%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.05%1.0%2026-08-23 12:30
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.60I 38.46%NM 38.08%2.76I 36.23%NM 35.87%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.05%1.0%2026-08-23 12:30
Matchbook◎2.60I 38.46%NM 38.08%2.76I 36.23%NM 35.87%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.05%1.0%2026-08-23 12:50