Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

IK Brage v GIF Sundsvall

2026-09-05 15:00 UTC — Superettan - Sweden

Head to Head

17 sportsbooks (2 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

IK Brage (Local)

Prediction 55.05%1.82fair odd
EV -5.31%
Edge -3.09%
Kelly -7.37%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.72

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
53.65%55.05%55.05%56.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.571.641.621.7263.69%60.84%61.73%58.14%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

GIF Sundsvall (Visit)

Prediction 20.41%4.90fair odd
EV -3.06%
Edge -0.644%
Kelly -0.816%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.75

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
19.81%20.41%20.41%21.98%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.104.504.504.7524.39%22.22%22.22%21.05%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 24.54%4.08fair odd
EV -3.07%
Edge -0.778%
Kelly -1.04%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.95

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.83%24.54%24.54%24.89%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.653.773.753.9527.40%26.50%26.67%25.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

For Head to Head, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimates these probabilities: IK Brage (Local): 55.05%; GIF Sundsvall (Visit): 20.41%; Draw: 24.54%. For GIF Sundsvall (Visit), that estimate is equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.90. No eligible bookmaker offers odds above that level: the best available odds are 4.75, with an expected value of -3.06%; they do not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (17 sportsbooks)

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BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯1.72I 58.14%NM 53.80%EV -5.31%E -3.09%K -7.37%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.52%EV -12.24%E -2.85%K -3.71%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.68%EV -7.98%E -2.13%K -2.90%G +0.000%8.1%2026-08-29 15:35
NordicBet🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.18%EV -6.41%E -3.77%K -9.16%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.93%EV -10.20%E -2.32%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.89%EV -9.21%E -2.49%K -3.41%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-29 15:20
Betsson🎯1.70I 58.82%NM 54.18%EV -6.41%E -3.77%K -9.16%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.93%EV -10.20%E -2.32%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.89%EV -9.21%E -2.49%K -3.41%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-29 15:20
LeoVegas🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 53.65%EV -7.51%E -4.47%K -11.05%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.98%EV -16.32%E -3.98%K -5.27%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.36%EV -9.21%E -2.49%K -3.41%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-29 15:20
ATG (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.36%EV -8.06%E -4.83%K -12.03%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.81%EV -3.06%E -0.644%K -0.816%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.83%EV -3.07%E -0.778%K -1.04%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-29 15:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.36%EV -8.06%E -4.83%K -12.03%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.81%EV -3.06%E -0.644%K -0.816%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.83%EV -3.07%E -0.778%K -1.04%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-29 15:20
Unibet (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.36%EV -8.06%E -4.83%K -12.03%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.81%EV -3.06%E -0.644%K -0.816%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.83%EV -3.07%E -0.778%K -1.04%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-29 15:20
Svenska Spel🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.36%EV -8.06%E -4.83%K -12.03%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.81%EV -3.06%E -0.644%K -0.816%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.83%EV -3.07%E -0.778%K -1.04%G +0.000%6.2%2026-08-29 15:20
Casumo🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.80%EV -10.81%E -6.68%K -17.44%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.09%EV -8.16%E -1.81%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.11%EV -7.98%E -2.13%K -2.90%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-29 15:20
Grosvenor🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.80%EV -10.81%E -6.68%K -17.44%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.09%EV -8.16%E -1.81%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.11%EV -7.98%E -2.13%K -2.90%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-29 15:20
Unibet (NL)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.80%EV -10.81%E -6.68%K -17.44%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.09%EV -8.16%E -1.81%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.11%EV -7.98%E -2.13%K -2.90%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-29 15:20
betPARX🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.80%EV -10.81%E -6.68%K -17.44%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.09%EV -8.16%E -1.81%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.11%EV -7.98%E -2.13%K -2.90%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-29 15:20
Unibet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.80%EV -10.81%E -6.68%K -17.44%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.09%EV -8.16%E -1.81%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.11%EV -7.98%E -2.13%K -2.90%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-29 15:35
TABtouch🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.80%EV -10.81%E -6.68%K -17.44%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.09%EV -8.16%E -1.81%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.11%EV -7.98%E -2.13%K -2.90%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-29 15:35
BetRivers🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 55.93%EV -11.92%E -7.45%K -19.86%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.89%EV -8.16%E -1.81%K -2.33%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.19%EV -9.21%E -2.49%K -3.41%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-29 15:20
LiveScore Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 55.96%EV -13.57%E -8.64%K -23.80%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 19.97%EV -10.20%E -2.32%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.07%EV -10.43%E -2.86%K -3.94%G +0.000%13.8%2026-08-29 15:20
Virgin Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 55.96%EV -13.57%E -8.64%K -23.80%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 19.97%EV -10.20%E -2.32%K -3.00%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.07%EV -10.43%E -2.86%K -3.94%G +0.000%13.8%2026-08-29 15:20
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.