Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

IK Brage v GIF Sundsvall

Início: 2026-09-05 15:00 UTC

Final: IK Brage 0–1 GIF Sundsvall

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

48 casas de apostas (16 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

IK Brage (Local)

Previsão 57.08%1.75odd justa
EV -4.11%
Vantagem -2.45%
Kelly -6.05%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.68

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
55.37%57.09%57.00%58.61%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.531.611.611.6865.36%61.96%62.11%59.52%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

GIF Sundsvall (Visitante)

Previsão 19.83%5.04odd justa
EV -0.873%
Vantagem -0.175%
Kelly -0.218%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 5.00

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
18.52%19.77%19.91%20.71%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
4.334.594.505.0023.09%21.81%22.22%20.00%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 23.10%4.33odd justa
EV -2.99%
Vantagem -0.712%
Kelly -0.934%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.20

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
21.94%23.14%23.08%24.35%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.653.883.904.2027.40%25.78%25.64%23.81%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: IK Brage (Local): 57.08%; GIF Sundsvall (Visitante): 19.83%; Empate: 23.10%. Para GIF Sundsvall (Visitante), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 5.04. Nenhuma casa de apostas elegível oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível: as melhores eram 5.00, com valor esperado de -0.873%; não produziam valor esperado positivo.

Odds das casas de apostas (48 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Coolbet🎯1.68I 59.52%NM 56.87%EV -4.11%E -2.45%K -6.05%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.11%EV -5.83%E -1.23%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.15I 24.10%NM 23.02%EV -4.14%E -0.999%K -1.32%G +0.000%4.7%2026-09-04 07:40
ATG (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.30%EV -4.68%E -2.80%K -6.99%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.59%EV -4.84%E -1.01%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV -9.92%E -2.54%K -3.42%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-03 06:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.30%EV -4.68%E -2.80%K -6.99%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.59%EV -4.84%E -1.01%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV -9.92%E -2.54%K -3.42%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-03 06:25
Unibet (SE)🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.30%EV -4.68%E -2.80%K -6.99%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.59%EV -4.84%E -1.01%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV -9.92%E -2.54%K -3.42%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-03 06:24
Svenska Spel🎯1.67I 59.88%NM 56.30%EV -4.68%E -2.80%K -6.99%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.59%EV -4.84%E -1.01%K -1.27%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.11%EV -9.92%E -2.54%K -3.42%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-03 06:25
Unibet (UK)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 56.82%EV -5.82%E -3.53%K -8.96%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.74%EV -5.83%E -1.23%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%EV -7.61%E -1.90%K -2.54%G +0.000%6.7%2026-09-03 13:05
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.65I 60.61%NM 55.87%EV -5.82%E -3.53%K -8.96%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.49%EV -10.79%E -2.40%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.64%EV -9.92%E -2.54%K -3.42%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-04 13:20
DraftKings🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.39%EV -7.54%E -4.65%K -12.15%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.37%EV -4.84%E -1.01%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.24%EV -7.61%E -1.90%K -2.54%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-03 07:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 57.27%EV -7.54%E -4.65%K -12.15%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.53%EV -5.83%E -1.23%K -1.55%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.20%EV -7.61%E -1.90%K -2.54%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-04 09:00
NordicBet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.99%EV -7.54%E -4.65%K -12.15%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.64%EV -6.82%E -1.45%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.37%EV -8.76%E -2.22%K -2.97%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-03 13:04
Betsson🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.99%EV -7.54%E -4.65%K -12.15%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.64%EV -6.82%E -1.45%K -1.84%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.37%EV -8.76%E -2.22%K -2.97%G +0.000%8.3%2026-09-03 13:05
Bovada🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.74%EV -7.54%E -4.65%K -12.15%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.98%EV -8.80%E -1.91%K -2.45%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.27%EV -8.76%E -2.22%K -2.97%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-04 08:17
Paddy Power🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.66%EV -7.54%E -4.65%K -12.15%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.40%EV -10.79%E -2.40%K -3.08%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.95%EV -7.61%E -1.90%K -2.54%G +0.000%9.0%2026-09-03 06:35
BetMGM🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 56.33%EV -7.54%E -4.65%K -12.15%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.28%EV -10.79%E -2.40%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.40%EV -9.92%E -2.54%K -3.42%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-03 07:10
Casumo🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.80%EV -7.54%E -4.65%K -12.15%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.09%EV -10.79%E -2.40%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.11%EV -13.38%E -3.57%K -4.87%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-29 15:20
Grosvenor🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.80%EV -7.54%E -4.65%K -12.15%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.09%EV -10.79%E -2.40%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.11%EV -13.38%E -3.57%K -4.87%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-29 15:20
Unibet (NL)🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.80%EV -7.54%E -4.65%K -12.15%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.09%EV -10.79%E -2.40%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.11%EV -13.38%E -3.57%K -4.87%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-29 15:20
betPARX🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.80%EV -7.54%E -4.65%K -12.15%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.09%EV -10.79%E -2.40%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.11%EV -13.38%E -3.57%K -4.87%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-29 15:20
Unibet🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.80%EV -7.54%E -4.65%K -12.15%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.09%EV -10.79%E -2.40%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.11%EV -13.38%E -3.57%K -4.87%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-29 15:35
TABtouch🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.80%EV -7.54%E -4.65%K -12.15%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.09%EV -10.79%E -2.40%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.11%EV -13.38%E -3.57%K -4.87%G +0.000%10.6%2026-08-29 15:35
LeoVegas🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.73%EV -7.54%E -4.65%K -12.15%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.52%EV -12.77%E -2.90%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.76%EV -12.23%E -3.22%K -4.37%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-04 03:25
William Hill🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.62%EV -7.54%E -4.65%K -12.15%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.02%EV -10.79%E -2.40%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.35%EV -14.54%E -3.93%K -5.38%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-03 07:00
betfred_uk🎯1.62I 61.73%NM 55.37%EV -7.54%E -4.65%K -12.15%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.71%EV -14.16%E -3.27%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.92%EV -13.38%E -3.57%K -4.87%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-04 14:25
FanDuel🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.87%EV -8.11%E -5.03%K -13.29%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.41%EV -4.84%E -1.01%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.72%EV -5.30%E -1.29%K -1.71%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-03 15:05
betano_uk🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.54%EV -8.11%E -5.03%K -13.29%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.30%EV -4.84%E -1.01%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.16%EV -7.61%E -1.90%K -2.54%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-04 13:40
Bet Victor🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.54%EV -8.11%E -5.03%K -13.29%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.30%EV -4.84%E -1.01%K -1.27%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.16%EV -7.61%E -1.90%K -2.54%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-04 13:39
LowVig.ag🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.06%EV -8.11%E -5.03%K -13.29%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.97%EV -8.80%E -1.91%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -7.61%E -1.90%K -2.54%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-03 10:00
BetOnline.ag🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.06%EV -8.11%E -5.03%K -13.29%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.97%EV -8.80%E -1.91%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -7.61%E -1.90%K -2.54%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-03 10:00
BetUS🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.06%EV -8.11%E -5.03%K -13.29%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.97%EV -8.80%E -1.91%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -7.61%E -1.90%K -2.54%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-03 09:55
BetAnything🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 57.06%EV -8.11%E -5.03%K -13.29%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.97%EV -8.80%E -1.91%K -2.45%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.97%EV -7.61%E -1.90%K -2.54%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-03 09:55
888sport🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 55.78%EV -8.11%E -5.03%K -13.29%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.96%EV -10.79%E -2.40%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.27%EV -14.54%E -3.93%K -5.38%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-03 07:00
888sport (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 55.78%EV -8.11%E -5.03%K -13.29%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.96%EV -10.79%E -2.40%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.27%EV -14.54%E -3.93%K -5.38%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-03 07:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.61I 62.11%NM 55.78%EV -8.11%E -5.03%K -13.29%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.96%EV -10.79%E -2.40%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.27%EV -14.54%E -3.93%K -5.38%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-03 07:00
Pinnacle🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.49%EV -8.68%E -5.42%K -14.46%G +0.000%4.92I 20.33%NM 19.02%EV -2.46%E -0.500%K -0.627%G +0.000%4.16I 24.04%NM 22.49%EV -3.91%E -0.941%K -1.24%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-03 21:20
1xBet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 58.20%EV -8.68%E -5.42%K -14.46%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.81%EV -1.86%E -0.377%K -0.472%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.99%EV -6.45%E -1.59%K -2.12%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-04 11:35
Betway🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 57.59%EV -8.68%E -5.42%K -14.46%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.48%EV -10.79%E -2.40%K -3.08%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.94%EV -2.99%E -0.712%K -0.934%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-04 06:10
BetRivers🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 55.93%EV -8.68%E -5.42%K -14.46%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.89%EV -10.79%E -2.40%K -3.08%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.19%EV -14.54%E -3.93%K -5.38%G +0.000%11.7%2026-08-29 15:20
Neds🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 55.86%EV -8.68%E -5.42%K -14.46%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.31%EV -12.77%E -2.90%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.83%EV -13.38%E -3.57%K -4.87%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-03 07:10
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 55.86%EV -8.68%E -5.42%K -14.46%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.31%EV -12.77%E -2.90%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.83%EV -13.38%E -3.57%K -4.87%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-03 07:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 55.86%EV -8.68%E -5.42%K -14.46%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.31%EV -12.77%E -2.90%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.83%EV -13.38%E -3.57%K -4.87%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-03 07:10
Coral🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 55.86%EV -8.68%E -5.42%K -14.46%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.31%EV -12.77%E -2.90%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.83%EV -13.38%E -3.57%K -4.87%G +0.000%11.9%2026-09-03 07:10
Sky Bet🎯1.60I 62.50%NM 55.67%EV -8.68%E -5.42%K -14.46%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.57%EV -14.16%E -3.27%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.75%EV -13.38%E -3.57%K -4.87%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-03 06:35
Marathon Bet🎯1.58I 63.29%NM 58.61%EV -9.82%E -6.21%K -16.93%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.52%EV -0.873%E -0.175%K -0.218%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 22.87%EV -6.45%E -1.59%K -2.12%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-04 11:35
Tipico (DE)🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 57.43%EV -10.39%E -6.62%K -18.23%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.04%EV -10.79%E -2.40%K -3.08%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.54%EV -7.61%E -1.90%K -2.54%G +0.000%10.9%2026-09-04 13:49
SportsBet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 56.50%EV -10.39%E -6.62%K -18.23%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.16%EV -12.77%E -2.90%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.34%EV -12.23%E -3.22%K -4.37%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-03 06:34
LiveScore Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 55.96%EV -10.39%E -6.62%K -18.23%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 19.97%EV -12.77%E -2.90%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.07%EV -15.69%E -4.30%K -5.92%G +0.000%13.8%2026-08-29 15:20
Virgin Bet🎯1.57I 63.69%NM 55.96%EV -10.39%E -6.62%K -18.23%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 19.97%EV -12.77%E -2.90%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.07%EV -15.69%E -4.30%K -5.92%G +0.000%13.8%2026-08-29 15:20
BoyleSports🎯1.53I 65.36%NM 56.95%EV -12.67%E -8.28%K -23.91%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.12%EV -14.16%E -3.27%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.93%EV -12.23%E -3.22%K -4.37%G +0.000%14.8%2026-09-03 06:20
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (3)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.64I 60.98%NM 58.94%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.59%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.48%3.5%2026-09-04 11:45
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.64I 60.98%NM 58.94%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.59%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.48%3.5%2026-09-04 11:45
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.64I 60.98%NM 58.94%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.59%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.48%3.5%2026-09-04 11:45