Language:English
IFK Värnamo v Östersunds FK
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
IFK Värnamo (Local)
Prediction 38.78%2.58fair odd
EV -3.83%
Edge -1.54%
Kelly -2.59%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.48
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
37.03%38.67%38.79%40.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.252.382.402.4844.44%42.05%41.67%40.32%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Östersunds FK (Visit)
Prediction 33.96%2.94fair odd
EV -3.20%
Edge -1.12%
Kelly -1.73%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 2.85
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.28%34.12%33.90%36.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.502.662.652.8540.00%37.58%37.74%35.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 27.26%3.67fair odd
EV -3.24%
Edge -0.912%
Kelly -1.27%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 3.55
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.19%27.21%27.31%28.09%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.153.343.303.5531.75%29.93%30.30%28.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: IFK Värnamo (Local): 38.78%; Östersunds FK (Visit): 33.96%; Draw: 27.26%. For Östersunds FK (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.94. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 2.85, with an expected value of -3.20%; they did not produce positive expected value.
Sportsbook Odds (47 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.67%EV -3.83%E -1.54%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.25%EV -10.00%E -3.77%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.08%EV -5.96%E -1.73%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-16 10:15 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.67%EV -3.83%E -1.54%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.25%EV -10.00%E -3.77%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.08%EV -5.96%E -1.73%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-16 10:14 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.67%EV -3.83%E -1.54%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.25%EV -10.00%E -3.77%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.08%EV -5.96%E -1.73%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-16 10:14 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 2.48I 40.32%NM 37.67%EV -3.83%E -1.54%K -2.59%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 35.25%EV -10.00%E -3.77%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.08%EV -5.96%E -1.73%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-08-16 10:14 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 2.46I 40.65%NM 38.66%EV -4.60%E -1.87%K -3.15%G +0.000% | 2.85I 35.09%NM 33.37%EV -3.20%E -1.12%K -1.73%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -7.33%E -2.15%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-08-16 09:35 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.53%EV -4.99%E -2.04%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.71%EV -4.90%E -1.75%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.76%EV -7.33%E -2.15%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 5.9% | 2026-08-16 10:48 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 38.18%EV -4.99%E -2.04%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 2.74I 36.50%NM 34.14%EV -6.94%E -2.53%K -3.99%G +0.000% | 3.38I 29.59%NM 27.68%EV -7.87%E -2.33%K -3.31%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-08-16 10:54 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.83%EV -4.99%E -2.04%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 34.08%EV -7.62%E -2.80%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.09%EV -10.05%E -3.05%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-16 10:40 |
| Betsson🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.83%EV -4.99%E -2.04%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 2.72I 36.76%NM 34.08%EV -7.62%E -2.80%K -4.43%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.09%EV -10.05%E -3.05%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-08-16 10:39 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 2.45I 40.82%NM 37.03%EV -4.99%E -2.04%K -3.44%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -15.09%E -6.04%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -7.33%E -2.15%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-08-16 10:44 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 2.43I 41.15%NM 39.28%EV -5.77%E -2.37%K -4.03%G +0.000% | 2.84I 35.21%NM 33.61%EV -3.54%E -1.25%K -1.93%G +0.000% | 3.52I 28.41%NM 27.11%EV -4.06%E -1.15%K -1.61%G +0.000% | 4.8% | 2026-08-16 10:44 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.88%EV -6.15%E -2.54%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.85%EV -5.58%E -2.01%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.27%EV -5.96%E -1.73%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-16 10:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.88%EV -6.15%E -2.54%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.85%EV -5.58%E -2.01%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.27%EV -5.96%E -1.73%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-16 10:44 |
| BetUS🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.88%EV -6.15%E -2.54%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.85%EV -5.58%E -2.01%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.27%EV -5.96%E -1.73%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-16 10:45 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 2.42I 41.32%NM 38.88%EV -6.15%E -2.54%K -4.33%G +0.000% | 2.78I 35.97%NM 33.85%EV -5.58%E -2.01%K -3.14%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 27.27%EV -5.96%E -1.73%K -2.43%G +0.000% | 6.3% | 2026-08-16 10:44 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 39.48%EV -6.93%E -2.89%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 2.80I 35.71%NM 33.84%EV -4.90%E -1.75%K -2.72%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 26.69%EV -3.24%E -0.912%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 5.5% | 2026-08-16 10:44 |
| betano_uk🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -6.93%E -2.89%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.84%EV -6.60%E -2.40%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.37%EV -7.33%E -2.15%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-16 10:59 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -6.93%E -2.89%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.84%EV -6.60%E -2.40%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.37%EV -7.33%E -2.15%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 7.4% | 2026-08-16 10:43 |
| Bovada🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -6.93%E -2.89%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.54%EV -10.00%E -3.77%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.32%EV -8.69%E -2.59%K -3.70%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-16 10:55 |
| Unibet🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.73%EV -6.93%E -2.89%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.83%EV -11.69%E -4.50%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -10.05%E -3.05%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-16 10:15 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.73%EV -6.93%E -2.89%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.83%EV -11.69%E -4.50%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -10.05%E -3.05%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-16 10:14 |
| Casumo🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.73%EV -6.93%E -2.89%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.83%EV -11.69%E -4.50%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -10.05%E -3.05%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-16 10:15 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.73%EV -6.93%E -2.89%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.83%EV -11.69%E -4.50%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -10.05%E -3.05%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-16 10:15 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.73%EV -6.93%E -2.89%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.83%EV -11.69%E -4.50%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -10.05%E -3.05%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-16 10:14 |
| betPARX🎯 | 2.40I 41.67%NM 37.73%EV -6.93%E -2.89%K -4.95%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.83%EV -11.69%E -4.50%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -10.05%E -3.05%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-16 10:15 |
| Marathon Bet🎯 | 2.39I 41.84%NM 38.75%EV -7.32%E -3.06%K -5.26%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.68%EV -6.60%E -2.40%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 3.36I 29.76%NM 27.57%EV -8.42%E -2.50%K -3.57%G +0.000% | 8.0% | 2026-08-16 10:45 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 38.49%EV -7.71%E -3.24%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 2.65I 37.74%NM 34.57%EV -10.00%E -3.77%K -6.06%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.94%EV -7.33%E -2.15%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-08-16 10:40 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.93%EV -7.71%E -3.24%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.72%EV -11.69%E -4.50%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.35%EV -10.05%E -3.05%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 10.8% | 2026-08-16 10:40 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 2.38I 42.02%NM 37.51%EV -7.71%E -3.24%K -5.58%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 35.01%EV -13.39%E -5.25%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.47%EV -11.41%E -3.51%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-08-16 10:14 |
| Coral🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 38.03%EV -8.09%E -3.41%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.66%EV -11.69%E -4.50%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.31%EV -10.05%E -3.05%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-16 10:40 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 2.37I 42.19%NM 38.03%EV -8.09%E -3.41%K -5.91%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.66%EV -11.69%E -4.50%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 27.31%EV -10.05%E -3.05%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 11.0% | 2026-08-16 10:40 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 2.35I 42.55%NM 38.56%EV -8.87%E -3.77%K -6.57%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -8.30%E -3.07%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.88%EV -11.41%E -3.51%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-08-16 10:44 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 37.59%EV -9.64%E -4.14%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.04%EV -15.09%E -6.04%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.37%EV -12.78%E -3.99%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-08-16 10:14 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 2.33I 42.92%NM 37.59%EV -9.64%E -4.14%K -7.25%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 35.04%EV -15.09%E -6.04%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.37%EV -12.78%E -3.99%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 14.2% | 2026-08-16 10:15 |
| Betway🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -10.81%E -4.70%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -8.30%E -3.07%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -4.60%E -1.31%K -1.84%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-08-16 10:49 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.80%EV -10.81%E -4.70%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -6.60%E -2.40%K -3.77%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -7.33%E -2.15%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-08-16 10:59 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 39.05%EV -10.81%E -4.70%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 2.60I 38.46%NM 34.54%EV -11.69%E -4.50%K -7.31%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.41%EV -7.33%E -2.15%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-08-16 10:40 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.73%EV -10.81%E -4.70%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.87%EV -10.68%E -4.06%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.41%EV -11.41%E -3.51%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 12.3% | 2026-08-16 10:45 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.68%EV -10.81%E -4.70%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 33.95%EV -11.01%E -4.20%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.37%EV -11.41%E -3.51%K -5.07%G +0.000% | 12.4% | 2026-08-16 10:45 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.56%EV -10.81%E -4.70%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 2.63I 38.02%NM 33.72%EV -10.68%E -4.06%K -6.55%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.72%EV -12.78%E -3.99%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 12.8% | 2026-08-16 10:45 |
| 888sport🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.51%EV -10.81%E -4.70%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 33.81%EV -11.01%E -4.20%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.68%EV -12.78%E -3.99%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-16 10:44 |
| William Hill🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.51%EV -10.81%E -4.70%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 33.81%EV -11.01%E -4.20%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.68%EV -12.78%E -3.99%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-16 10:44 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.51%EV -10.81%E -4.70%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 33.81%EV -11.01%E -4.20%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.68%EV -12.78%E -3.99%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-16 10:44 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 2.30I 43.48%NM 38.51%EV -10.81%E -4.70%K -8.31%G +0.000% | 2.62I 38.17%NM 33.81%EV -11.01%E -4.20%K -6.80%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.68%EV -12.78%E -3.99%K -5.81%G +0.000% | 12.9% | 2026-08-16 10:45 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 40.08%EV -12.75%E -5.67%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 2.70I 37.04%NM 33.40%EV -8.30%E -3.07%K -4.88%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.52%EV -7.33%E -2.15%K -3.05%G +0.000% | 10.9% | 2026-08-16 10:59 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 38.73%EV -12.75%E -5.67%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 2.50I 40.00%NM 34.86%EV -15.09%E -6.04%K -10.06%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.41%EV -10.05%E -3.05%K -4.37%G +0.000% | 14.7% | 2026-08-16 10:44 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 2.25I 44.44%NM 38.51%EV -12.75%E -5.67%K -10.20%G +0.000% | 2.55I 39.22%NM 33.98%EV -13.39%E -5.25%K -8.64%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.51%EV -14.14%E -4.49%K -6.58%G +0.000% | 15.4% | 2026-08-16 10:44 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (4)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 2.56I 39.06%NM 38.67% | 2.96I 33.78%NM 33.44% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.89% | 1.0% | 2026-08-16 10:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.31% | 2.92I 34.25%NM 33.85% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.84% | 1.2% | 2026-08-16 10:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.22% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 34.00% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.78% | 1.4% | 2026-08-16 10:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 2.58I 38.76%NM 38.22% | 2.90I 34.48%NM 34.00% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 27.78% | 1.4% | 2026-08-16 10:55 |