StandardmodellInterkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

IFK Värnamo v Östersunds FK

Matchstart: 2026-08-16 11:00 UTC

Slutresultat: IFK Värnamo 1–1 Östersunds FK

Slutodds — de beräknade sannolikheterna och väntevärdet från de sista odds som registrerades före matchstart, enligt den valda modellen. Matchen har börjat, så siffrorna är inte aktuella realtidsvärden. Bedöm tillförlitligheten hos varje modells sannolikhetsprognoser mot utfallen i samtliga avgjorda matcher →

Matchresultat

47 spelbolag (15 i analysen )

Beräknad sannolikhet för varje utfall enligt modellen: Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista)

IFK Värnamo (Hemma)

Prognos 38.78%2.58rättvist odds
EV -3.83%
Fördel -1.54%
Kelly -2.59%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.48

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
37.03%38.67%38.79%40.08%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.252.382.402.4844.44%42.05%41.67%40.32%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Östersunds FK (Borta)

Prognos 33.96%2.94rättvist odds
EV -3.20%
Fördel -1.12%
Kelly -1.73%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 2.85

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
33.28%34.12%33.90%36.29%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
2.502.662.652.8540.00%37.58%37.74%35.09%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Oavgjort

Prognos 27.26%3.67rättvist odds
EV -3.24%
Fördel -0.912%
Kelly -1.27%
Tillväxt +0.000%

med antagandet om högsta odds 3.55

Fördelning av spelbolagens sannolikhetsprognoser
26.19%27.21%27.31%28.09%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.
Oddsfördelning
3.153.343.303.5531.75%29.93%30.30%28.17%MIN.MEDELVÄRDEMEDIANMAX.

Vid de sista oddsen före start uppskattade Interkvartilmedelvärde (Kurerad lista) för Matchresultat: IFK Värnamo (Hemma): 38.78%; Östersunds FK (Borta): 33.96%; Oavgjort: 27.26%. För Östersunds FK (Borta) motsvarade uppskattningen ett rättvist decimalodds på 2.94. Inget kvalificerat spelbolag erbjöd slutodds över den nivån: bästa odds var 2.85, med väntevärdet -3.20%; det gav inget positivt väntevärde.

Spelbolagsodds (47 spelbolag)

Vi är inte knutna till något spelbolag och får ingen ersättning för transaktioner som genomförs hos dem.

SpelbolagHemma ▼BortaOavgjortMarginalUppdaterat
Unibet (SE)🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.67%EV -3.83%E -1.54%K -2.59%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.25%EV -10.00%E -3.77%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.08%EV -5.96%E -1.73%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-16 10:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.67%EV -3.83%E -1.54%K -2.59%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.25%EV -10.00%E -3.77%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.08%EV -5.96%E -1.73%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-16 10:14
Svenska Spel🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.67%EV -3.83%E -1.54%K -2.59%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.25%EV -10.00%E -3.77%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.08%EV -5.96%E -1.73%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-16 10:14
ATG (SE)🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.67%EV -3.83%E -1.54%K -2.59%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.25%EV -10.00%E -3.77%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.08%EV -5.96%E -1.73%K -2.43%G +0.000%7.0%2026-08-16 10:14
Coolbet🎯2.46I 40.65%NM 38.66%EV -4.60%E -1.87%K -3.15%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.37%EV -3.20%E -1.12%K -1.73%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.97%EV -7.33%E -2.15%K -3.05%G +0.000%5.1%2026-08-16 09:35
FanDuel🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.53%EV -4.99%E -2.04%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.71%EV -4.90%E -1.75%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.76%EV -7.33%E -2.15%K -3.05%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-16 10:48
1xBet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 38.18%EV -4.99%E -2.04%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.74I 36.50%NM 34.14%EV -6.94%E -2.53%K -3.99%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.68%EV -7.87%E -2.33%K -3.31%G +0.000%6.9%2026-08-16 10:54
NordicBet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.83%EV -4.99%E -2.04%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.08%EV -7.62%E -2.80%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.09%EV -10.05%E -3.05%K -4.37%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-16 10:40
Betsson🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.83%EV -4.99%E -2.04%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.72I 36.76%NM 34.08%EV -7.62%E -2.80%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.09%EV -10.05%E -3.05%K -4.37%G +0.000%7.9%2026-08-16 10:39
Tipico (DE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.03%EV -4.99%E -2.04%K -3.44%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -15.09%E -6.04%K -10.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -7.33%E -2.15%K -3.05%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-16 10:44
Pinnacle🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 39.28%EV -5.77%E -2.37%K -4.03%G +0.000%2.84I 35.21%NM 33.61%EV -3.54%E -1.25%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 27.11%EV -4.06%E -1.15%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.8%2026-08-16 10:44
LowVig.ag🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 38.88%EV -6.15%E -2.54%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.85%EV -5.58%E -2.01%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.27%EV -5.96%E -1.73%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-16 10:45
BetOnline.ag🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 38.88%EV -6.15%E -2.54%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.85%EV -5.58%E -2.01%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.27%EV -5.96%E -1.73%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-16 10:44
BetUS🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 38.88%EV -6.15%E -2.54%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.85%EV -5.58%E -2.01%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.27%EV -5.96%E -1.73%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-16 10:45
BetAnything🎯2.42I 41.32%NM 38.88%EV -6.15%E -2.54%K -4.33%G +0.000%2.78I 35.97%NM 33.85%EV -5.58%E -2.01%K -3.14%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.27%EV -5.96%E -1.73%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.3%2026-08-16 10:44
DraftKings🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 39.48%EV -6.93%E -2.89%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.84%EV -4.90%E -1.75%K -2.72%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.69%EV -3.24%E -0.912%K -1.27%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-16 10:44
betano_uk🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -6.93%E -2.89%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.84%EV -6.60%E -2.40%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.37%EV -7.33%E -2.15%K -3.05%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-16 10:59
Bet Victor🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.78%EV -6.93%E -2.89%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.84%EV -6.60%E -2.40%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.37%EV -7.33%E -2.15%K -3.05%G +0.000%7.4%2026-08-16 10:43
Bovada🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -6.93%E -2.89%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.54%EV -10.00%E -3.77%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.32%EV -8.69%E -2.59%K -3.70%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-16 10:55
Unibet🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.73%EV -6.93%E -2.89%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.83%EV -11.69%E -4.50%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -10.05%E -3.05%K -4.37%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-16 10:15
Unibet (NL)🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.73%EV -6.93%E -2.89%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.83%EV -11.69%E -4.50%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -10.05%E -3.05%K -4.37%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-16 10:14
Casumo🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.73%EV -6.93%E -2.89%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.83%EV -11.69%E -4.50%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -10.05%E -3.05%K -4.37%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-16 10:15
TABtouch🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.73%EV -6.93%E -2.89%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.83%EV -11.69%E -4.50%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -10.05%E -3.05%K -4.37%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-16 10:15
Grosvenor🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.73%EV -6.93%E -2.89%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.83%EV -11.69%E -4.50%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -10.05%E -3.05%K -4.37%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-16 10:14
betPARX🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.73%EV -6.93%E -2.89%K -4.95%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.83%EV -11.69%E -4.50%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -10.05%E -3.05%K -4.37%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-16 10:15
Marathon Bet🎯2.39I 41.84%NM 38.75%EV -7.32%E -3.06%K -5.26%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.68%EV -6.60%E -2.40%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 27.57%EV -8.42%E -2.50%K -3.57%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-16 10:45
BetMGM🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 38.49%EV -7.71%E -3.24%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.57%EV -10.00%E -3.77%K -6.06%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.94%EV -7.33%E -2.15%K -3.05%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-16 10:40
LeoVegas🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.93%EV -7.71%E -3.24%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.72%EV -11.69%E -4.50%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.35%EV -10.05%E -3.05%K -4.37%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-16 10:40
BetRivers🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.51%EV -7.71%E -3.24%K -5.58%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.01%EV -13.39%E -5.25%K -8.64%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.47%EV -11.41%E -3.51%K -5.07%G +0.000%12.0%2026-08-16 10:14
Coral🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 38.03%EV -8.09%E -3.41%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.66%EV -11.69%E -4.50%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.31%EV -10.05%E -3.05%K -4.37%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-16 10:40
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.37I 42.19%NM 38.03%EV -8.09%E -3.41%K -5.91%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.66%EV -11.69%E -4.50%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.31%EV -10.05%E -3.05%K -4.37%G +0.000%11.0%2026-08-16 10:40
PlayUp🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 38.56%EV -8.87%E -3.77%K -6.57%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.56%EV -8.30%E -3.07%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.88%EV -11.41%E -3.51%K -5.07%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-16 10:44
Virgin Bet🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 37.59%EV -9.64%E -4.14%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.04%EV -15.09%E -6.04%K -10.06%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.37%EV -12.78%E -3.99%K -5.81%G +0.000%14.2%2026-08-16 10:14
LiveScore Bet🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 37.59%EV -9.64%E -4.14%K -7.25%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 35.04%EV -15.09%E -6.04%K -10.06%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.37%EV -12.78%E -3.99%K -5.81%G +0.000%14.2%2026-08-16 10:15
Betway🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.86%EV -10.81%E -4.70%K -8.31%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -8.30%E -3.07%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -4.60%E -1.31%K -1.84%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-16 10:49
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.80%EV -10.81%E -4.70%K -8.31%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 33.28%EV -6.60%E -2.40%K -3.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -7.33%E -2.15%K -3.05%G +0.000%9.3%2026-08-16 10:59
betfred_uk🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.05%EV -10.81%E -4.70%K -8.31%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.54%EV -11.69%E -4.50%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.41%EV -7.33%E -2.15%K -3.05%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-16 10:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.73%EV -10.81%E -4.70%K -8.31%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.87%EV -10.68%E -4.06%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.41%EV -11.41%E -3.51%K -5.07%G +0.000%12.3%2026-08-16 10:45
Paddy Power🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.68%EV -10.81%E -4.70%K -8.31%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 33.95%EV -11.01%E -4.20%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.37%EV -11.41%E -3.51%K -5.07%G +0.000%12.4%2026-08-16 10:45
Sky Bet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.56%EV -10.81%E -4.70%K -8.31%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 33.72%EV -10.68%E -4.06%K -6.55%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.72%EV -12.78%E -3.99%K -5.81%G +0.000%12.8%2026-08-16 10:45
888sport🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.51%EV -10.81%E -4.70%K -8.31%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 33.81%EV -11.01%E -4.20%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.68%EV -12.78%E -3.99%K -5.81%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-16 10:44
William Hill🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.51%EV -10.81%E -4.70%K -8.31%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 33.81%EV -11.01%E -4.20%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.68%EV -12.78%E -3.99%K -5.81%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-16 10:44
888sport (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.51%EV -10.81%E -4.70%K -8.31%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 33.81%EV -11.01%E -4.20%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.68%EV -12.78%E -3.99%K -5.81%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-16 10:44
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 38.51%EV -10.81%E -4.70%K -8.31%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 33.81%EV -11.01%E -4.20%K -6.80%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.68%EV -12.78%E -3.99%K -5.81%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-16 10:45
Betr (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.08%EV -12.75%E -5.67%K -10.20%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 33.40%EV -8.30%E -3.07%K -4.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.52%EV -7.33%E -2.15%K -3.05%G +0.000%10.9%2026-08-16 10:59
BoyleSports🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 38.73%EV -12.75%E -5.67%K -10.20%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 34.86%EV -15.09%E -6.04%K -10.06%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.41%EV -10.05%E -3.05%K -4.37%G +0.000%14.7%2026-08-16 10:44
SportsBet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 38.51%EV -12.75%E -5.67%K -10.20%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 33.98%EV -13.39%E -5.25%K -8.64%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.51%EV -14.14%E -4.49%K -6.58%G +0.000%15.4%2026-08-16 10:44
Marginal = Marginal · I = Implicit sannolikhet · NM = Marginalrensad sannolikhet · EV = Väntevärde · E = Fördel · K = Kelly-kriteriet · G = Spelkapitalets tillväxt

Uppdaterat anger när respektive spelbolag senast ändrade sitt odds. En äldre tidpunkt betyder därför att oddset inte har rört sig, inte att det är inaktuellt. Spelbolag som inte har observerats under de senaste cirka 15 minuterna utesluts normalt; endast om dataflödet för en hel marknad tystnar visas i stället de senast registrerade oddsen.

Spelbörser (4)

SpelbolagHemmaBortaOavgjortMarginal ▲Uppdaterat
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.56I 39.06%NM 38.67%2.96I 33.78%NM 33.44%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.89%1.0%2026-08-16 10:55
Matchbook◎2.58I 38.76%NM 38.31%2.92I 34.25%NM 33.85%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.84%1.2%2026-08-16 10:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.58I 38.76%NM 38.22%2.90I 34.48%NM 34.00%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.78%1.4%2026-08-16 10:54
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.58I 38.76%NM 38.22%2.90I 34.48%NM 34.00%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.78%1.4%2026-08-16 10:55