Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

IFK Värnamo v Helsingborgs IF

Kickoff: 2026-06-16 17:00 UTC

Final: IFK Värnamo 0–1 Helsingborgs IF

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

47 sportsbooks (14 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

IFK Värnamo (Local)

Prediction 41.86%2.39fair odd
EV -3.73%
Edge -1.62%
Kelly -2.87%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.30

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.34%42.22%41.81%45.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.052.172.152.3048.78%46.14%46.51%43.48%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Helsingborgs IF (Visit)

Prediction 31.72%3.15fair odd
EV +3.10%
Edge +0.955%
Kelly +1.38%
Growth +0.043%

assuming max odds 3.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
29.19%31.41%31.72%33.13%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.622.942.923.2538.17%33.97%34.25%30.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 26.42%3.78fair odd
EV -2.25%
Edge -0.607%
Kelly -0.832%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.53%26.38%26.47%29.41%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.883.453.503.7034.72%28.95%28.57%27.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: IFK Värnamo (Local): 41.86%; Helsingborgs IF (Visit): 31.72%; Draw: 26.42%. For Helsingborgs IF (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.15. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.25, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.10%.

Sportsbook Odds (47 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Coolbet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -12.10%E -5.76%K -11.00%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV +3.10%E +0.955%K +1.38%G +0.043%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.64%EV -2.25%E -0.607%K -0.832%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-12 09:29
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.70%EV -10.01%E -4.66%K -8.70%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.83%EV -0.069%E -0.022%K -0.032%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.47%EV -6.21%E -1.75%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-16 16:20
Unibet (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.70%EV -10.01%E -4.66%K -8.70%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.83%EV -0.069%E -0.022%K -0.032%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.47%EV -6.21%E -1.75%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-16 16:20
ATG (SE)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.70%EV -10.01%E -4.66%K -8.70%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.83%EV -0.069%E -0.022%K -0.032%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.47%EV -6.21%E -1.75%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-16 16:20
Svenska Spel🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.70%EV -10.01%E -4.66%K -8.70%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.83%EV -0.069%E -0.022%K -0.032%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.47%EV -6.21%E -1.75%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-16 16:20
Unibet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -12.10%E -5.76%K -11.00%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -1.66%E -0.534%K -0.788%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -7.53%E -2.15%K -3.01%G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-16 14:40
Casumo🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -12.10%E -5.76%K -11.00%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -1.66%E -0.534%K -0.788%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -7.53%E -2.15%K -3.01%G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-16 14:40
TABtouch🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -12.10%E -5.76%K -11.00%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -1.66%E -0.534%K -0.788%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -7.53%E -2.15%K -3.01%G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-16 14:40
Grosvenor🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -12.10%E -5.76%K -11.00%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -1.66%E -0.534%K -0.788%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -7.53%E -2.15%K -3.01%G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-16 14:40
LeoVegas🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -12.10%E -5.76%K -11.00%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -1.66%E -0.534%K -0.788%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -7.53%E -2.15%K -3.01%G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-16 14:40
Virgin Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -12.10%E -5.76%K -11.00%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -1.66%E -0.534%K -0.788%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -7.53%E -2.15%K -3.01%G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-16 14:40
Unibet (NL)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -12.10%E -5.76%K -11.00%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -1.66%E -0.534%K -0.788%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -7.53%E -2.15%K -3.01%G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-16 14:40
betPARX🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -12.10%E -5.76%K -11.00%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -1.66%E -0.534%K -0.788%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -7.53%E -2.15%K -3.01%G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-16 14:40
BetRivers🎯2.08I 48.08%NM 43.98%EV -12.94%E -6.22%K -11.98%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -1.66%E -0.534%K -0.788%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.51%EV -8.85%E -2.57%K -3.61%G +0.000%9.3%2026-06-16 16:20
LiveScore Bet🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 43.95%EV -14.20%E -6.92%K -13.52%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.54%EV -3.24%E -1.06%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -10.17%E -2.99%K -4.24%G +0.000%11.0%2026-06-16 16:20
FanDuel🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.79%EV -5.82%E -2.59%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -4.83%E -1.61%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -7.53%E -2.15%K -3.01%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-16 16:10
Tipico (DE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 44.07%EV -14.20%E -6.92%K -13.52%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.12%EV -4.83%E -1.61%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -7.53%E -2.15%K -3.01%G +0.000%10.7%2026-06-16 15:30
Pinnacle🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.46%EV -3.73%E -1.62%K -2.87%G +0.000%2.99I 33.44%NM 31.90%EV -5.14%E -1.72%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.64%EV -5.42%E -1.51%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-16 16:50
NordicBet🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 42.03%EV -7.08%E -3.19%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.31%EV -5.46%E -1.83%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.66%EV -7.53%E -2.15%K -3.01%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-16 16:30
Betsson🎯2.22I 45.05%NM 42.03%EV -7.08%E -3.19%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.31%EV -5.46%E -1.83%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.66%EV -7.53%E -2.15%K -3.01%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-16 16:40
Marathon Bet🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 41.40%EV -6.24%E -2.79%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 31.65%EV -7.05%E -2.41%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 26.96%EV -9.11%E -2.65%K -3.74%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-16 16:49
LowVig.ag🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.27%EV -4.57%E -2.00%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.22%EV -7.37%E -2.52%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.51%EV -6.21%E -1.75%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-16 16:40
BetOnline.ag🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 41.27%EV -4.57%E -2.00%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.22%EV -7.37%E -2.52%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.51%EV -6.21%E -1.75%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-16 16:40
1xBet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.59%EV -5.82%E -2.59%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.05%EV -7.37%E -2.52%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.36%EV -6.21%E -1.75%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-16 16:50
DraftKings🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.12%EV -3.73%E -1.62%K -2.87%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.61%EV -8.00%E -2.76%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.27%EV -4.89%E -1.36%K -1.88%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-16 16:30
Bet Victor🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 42.20%EV -7.92%E -3.60%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.01%EV -8.00%E -2.76%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -4.89%E -1.36%K -1.88%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-16 16:00
Betway🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.45%EV -10.01%E -4.66%K -8.70%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -8.00%E -2.76%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -7.53%E -2.15%K -3.01%G +0.000%9.6%2026-06-16 16:40
PlayUp🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.06%EV -7.92%E -3.60%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.15%EV -8.00%E -2.76%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.79%EV -14.13%E -4.35%K -6.28%G +0.000%10.7%2026-06-16 16:50
Paddy Power🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 42.04%EV -10.01%E -4.66%K -8.70%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.38%EV -8.63%E -3.00%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -10.17%E -2.99%K -4.24%G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-16 16:50
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.96%EV -7.92%E -3.60%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.39%EV -9.59%E -3.36%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -4.89%E -1.36%K -1.88%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-16 16:30
Bovada🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.66%EV -7.92%E -3.60%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.16%EV -9.59%E -3.36%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -7.53%E -2.15%K -3.01%G +0.000%9.1%2026-06-16 16:50
BetUS🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.66%EV -7.92%E -3.60%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.16%EV -9.59%E -3.36%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -7.53%E -2.15%K -3.01%G +0.000%9.1%2026-06-16 16:50
BetAnything🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.66%EV -7.92%E -3.60%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.16%EV -9.59%E -3.36%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -7.53%E -2.15%K -3.01%G +0.000%9.1%2026-06-16 16:50
BetMGM🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.34%EV -7.92%E -3.60%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.91%EV -9.59%E -3.36%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -10.17%E -2.99%K -4.24%G +0.000%10.0%2026-06-16 16:50
Everygame🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.26%EV -7.92%E -3.60%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.42%EV -11.17%E -3.99%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.31%EV -8.85%E -2.57%K -3.61%G +0.000%10.2%2026-06-16 16:31
betfred_uk🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.98%EV -10.01%E -4.66%K -8.70%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.23%EV -11.17%E -3.99%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.79%EV -7.53%E -2.15%K -3.01%G +0.000%10.8%2026-06-16 16:30
Betr (AU)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.98%EV -10.01%E -4.66%K -8.70%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.23%EV -11.17%E -3.99%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.79%EV -7.53%E -2.15%K -3.01%G +0.000%10.8%2026-06-16 16:30
888sport🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.78%EV -7.92%E -3.60%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -11.17%E -3.99%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV -12.81%E -3.88%K -5.57%G +0.000%11.5%2026-06-16 16:50
William Hill🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.78%EV -7.92%E -3.60%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -11.17%E -3.99%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV -12.81%E -3.88%K -5.57%G +0.000%11.5%2026-06-16 16:50
888sport (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.78%EV -7.92%E -3.60%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -11.17%E -3.99%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV -12.81%E -3.88%K -5.57%G +0.000%11.5%2026-06-16 16:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.78%EV -7.92%E -3.60%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -11.17%E -3.99%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV -12.81%E -3.88%K -5.57%G +0.000%11.5%2026-06-16 16:50
Coral🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.78%EV -7.92%E -3.60%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -11.17%E -3.99%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV -12.81%E -3.88%K -5.57%G +0.000%11.5%2026-06-16 16:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.78%EV -7.92%E -3.60%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -11.17%E -3.99%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV -12.81%E -3.88%K -5.57%G +0.000%11.5%2026-06-16 16:50
Sky Bet🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.33%EV -10.01%E -4.66%K -8.70%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -11.17%E -3.99%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.93%EV -12.81%E -3.88%K -5.57%G +0.000%12.5%2026-06-16 16:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 40.34%EV -12.10%E -5.76%K -11.00%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.25%EV -11.17%E -3.99%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.41%EV -23.91%E -8.30%K -12.72%G +0.000%18.1%2026-06-16 16:50
SportsBet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 41.50%EV -12.10%E -5.76%K -11.00%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.69%EV -12.76%E -4.64%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.81%EV -14.13%E -4.35%K -6.28%G +0.000%14.8%2026-06-16 16:10
BoyleSports🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 41.34%EV -12.10%E -5.76%K -11.00%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 33.13%EV -16.88%E -6.44%K -10.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.53%EV -10.17%E -2.99%K -4.24%G +0.000%15.2%2026-06-16 16:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.36I 42.37%NM 42.19%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.61%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.20%0.4%2026-06-16 16:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.36I 42.37%NM 42.19%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.61%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.20%0.4%2026-06-16 16:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.36I 42.37%NM 42.04%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.50%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.46%0.8%2026-06-16 16:41
Matchbook2.36I 42.37%NM 42.04%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.50%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.46%0.8%2026-06-16 16:40