La escuela de los momios

IFK Värnamo v Helsingborgs IF

Inicio: 2026-06-16 17:00 UTC

Final: IFK Värnamo 0–1 Helsingborgs IF

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

47 corredores (14 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

IFK Värnamo (Local)

Predicción 41.86%2.39momio equitativo
EV -3.73%
Ventaja -1.62%
Kelly -2.87%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.30

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
40.34%42.22%41.81%45.17%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.052.172.152.3048.78%46.14%46.51%43.48%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Helsingborgs IF (Visitante)

Predicción 31.72%3.15momio equitativo
EV +3.10%
Ventaja +0.955%
Kelly +1.38%
Crecimiento +0.043%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.25

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
29.19%31.41%31.72%33.13%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.622.942.923.2538.17%33.97%34.25%30.77%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 26.42%3.78momio equitativo
EV -2.25%
Ventaja -0.607%
Kelly -0.832%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.70

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
25.53%26.38%26.47%29.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.453.503.7034.72%28.95%28.57%27.03%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (47 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Coolbet2.10I 47.62%NM 45.17%EV -12.10%E -5.76%K -11.00%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 29.19%EV +3.10%E +0.955%K +1.38%G +0.043%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.64%EV -2.25%E -0.607%K -0.832%G +0.000%5.4%2026-06-12 09:29
LeoVegas (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.70%EV -10.01%E -4.66%K -8.70%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.83%EV -0.069%E -0.022%K -0.032%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.47%EV -6.21%E -1.75%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-16 16:20
Unibet (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.70%EV -10.01%E -4.66%K -8.70%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.83%EV -0.069%E -0.022%K -0.032%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.47%EV -6.21%E -1.75%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-16 16:20
ATG (SE)2.15I 46.51%NM 43.70%EV -10.01%E -4.66%K -8.70%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.83%EV -0.069%E -0.022%K -0.032%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.47%EV -6.21%E -1.75%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-16 16:20
Svenska Spel2.15I 46.51%NM 43.70%EV -10.01%E -4.66%K -8.70%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.83%EV -0.069%E -0.022%K -0.032%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.47%EV -6.21%E -1.75%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.4%2026-06-16 16:20
Unibet2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -12.10%E -5.76%K -11.00%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -1.66%E -0.534%K -0.788%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -7.53%E -2.15%K -3.01%G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-16 14:40
Casumo2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -12.10%E -5.76%K -11.00%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -1.66%E -0.534%K -0.788%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -7.53%E -2.15%K -3.01%G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-16 14:40
TABtouch2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -12.10%E -5.76%K -11.00%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -1.66%E -0.534%K -0.788%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -7.53%E -2.15%K -3.01%G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-16 14:40
Grosvenor2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -12.10%E -5.76%K -11.00%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -1.66%E -0.534%K -0.788%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -7.53%E -2.15%K -3.01%G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-16 14:40
LeoVegas2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -12.10%E -5.76%K -11.00%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -1.66%E -0.534%K -0.788%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -7.53%E -2.15%K -3.01%G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-16 14:40
Virgin Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -12.10%E -5.76%K -11.00%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -1.66%E -0.534%K -0.788%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -7.53%E -2.15%K -3.01%G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-16 14:40
Unibet (NL)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -12.10%E -5.76%K -11.00%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -1.66%E -0.534%K -0.788%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -7.53%E -2.15%K -3.01%G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-16 14:40
betPARX2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -12.10%E -5.76%K -11.00%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -1.66%E -0.534%K -0.788%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -7.53%E -2.15%K -3.01%G +0.000%8.4%2026-06-16 14:40
BetRivers2.08I 48.08%NM 43.98%EV -12.94%E -6.22%K -11.98%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.51%EV -1.66%E -0.534%K -0.788%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.51%EV -8.85%E -2.57%K -3.61%G +0.000%9.3%2026-06-16 16:20
LiveScore Bet2.05I 48.78%NM 43.95%EV -14.20%E -6.92%K -13.52%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.54%EV -3.24%E -1.06%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -10.17%E -2.99%K -4.24%G +0.000%11.0%2026-06-16 16:20
FanDuel2.25I 44.44%NM 41.79%EV -5.82%E -2.59%K -4.66%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.34%EV -4.83%E -1.61%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.87%EV -7.53%E -2.15%K -3.01%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-16 16:10
Tipico (DE)2.05I 48.78%NM 44.07%EV -14.20%E -6.92%K -13.52%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.12%EV -4.83%E -1.61%K -2.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -7.53%E -2.15%K -3.01%G +0.000%10.7%2026-06-16 15:30
Pinnacle2.30I 43.48%NM 41.46%EV -3.73%E -1.62%K -2.87%G +0.000%2.99I 33.44%NM 31.90%EV -5.14%E -1.72%K -2.59%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 26.64%EV -5.42%E -1.51%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.9%2026-06-16 16:50
NordicBet2.22I 45.05%NM 42.03%EV -7.08%E -3.19%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.31%EV -5.46%E -1.83%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.66%EV -7.53%E -2.15%K -3.01%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-16 16:30
Betsson2.22I 45.05%NM 42.03%EV -7.08%E -3.19%K -5.80%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.31%EV -5.46%E -1.83%K -2.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.66%EV -7.53%E -2.15%K -3.01%G +0.000%7.2%2026-06-16 16:40
Marathon Bet2.24I 44.64%NM 41.40%EV -6.24%E -2.79%K -5.03%G +0.000%2.93I 34.13%NM 31.65%EV -7.05%E -2.41%K -3.65%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 26.96%EV -9.11%E -2.65%K -3.74%G +0.000%7.8%2026-06-16 16:49
LowVig.ag2.28I 43.86%NM 41.27%EV -4.57%E -2.00%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.22%EV -7.37%E -2.52%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.51%EV -6.21%E -1.75%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-16 16:40
BetOnline.ag2.28I 43.86%NM 41.27%EV -4.57%E -2.00%K -3.57%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.22%EV -7.37%E -2.52%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.51%EV -6.21%E -1.75%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.3%2026-06-16 16:40
1xBet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.59%EV -5.82%E -2.59%K -4.66%G +0.000%2.92I 34.25%NM 32.05%EV -7.37%E -2.52%K -3.84%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.36%EV -6.21%E -1.75%K -2.43%G +0.000%6.9%2026-06-16 16:50
DraftKings2.30I 43.48%NM 41.12%EV -3.73%E -1.62%K -2.87%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.61%EV -8.00%E -2.76%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.27%EV -4.89%E -1.36%K -1.88%G +0.000%5.7%2026-06-16 16:30
Bet Victor2.20I 45.45%NM 42.20%EV -7.92%E -3.60%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.01%EV -8.00%E -2.76%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.79%EV -4.89%E -1.36%K -1.88%G +0.000%7.7%2026-06-16 16:00
Betway2.15I 46.51%NM 42.45%EV -10.01%E -4.66%K -8.70%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.47%EV -8.00%E -2.76%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -7.53%E -2.15%K -3.01%G +0.000%9.6%2026-06-16 16:40
PlayUp2.20I 45.45%NM 41.06%EV -7.92%E -3.60%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 31.15%EV -8.00%E -2.76%K -4.21%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.79%EV -14.13%E -4.35%K -6.28%G +0.000%10.7%2026-06-16 16:50
Paddy Power2.15I 46.51%NM 42.04%EV -10.01%E -4.66%K -8.70%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.38%EV -8.63%E -3.00%K -4.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -10.17%E -2.99%K -4.24%G +0.000%10.6%2026-06-16 16:50
PointsBet (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.96%EV -7.92%E -3.60%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.39%EV -9.59%E -3.36%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -4.89%E -1.36%K -1.88%G +0.000%8.3%2026-06-16 16:30
Bovada2.20I 45.45%NM 41.66%EV -7.92%E -3.60%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.16%EV -9.59%E -3.36%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -7.53%E -2.15%K -3.01%G +0.000%9.1%2026-06-16 16:50
BetUS2.20I 45.45%NM 41.66%EV -7.92%E -3.60%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.16%EV -9.59%E -3.36%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -7.53%E -2.15%K -3.01%G +0.000%9.1%2026-06-16 16:50
BetAnything2.20I 45.45%NM 41.66%EV -7.92%E -3.60%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.16%EV -9.59%E -3.36%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.19%EV -7.53%E -2.15%K -3.01%G +0.000%9.1%2026-06-16 16:50
BetMGM2.20I 45.45%NM 41.34%EV -7.92%E -3.60%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 31.91%EV -9.59%E -3.36%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.75%EV -10.17%E -2.99%K -4.24%G +0.000%10.0%2026-06-16 16:50
Everygame2.20I 45.45%NM 41.26%EV -7.92%E -3.60%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.42%EV -11.17%E -3.99%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.31%EV -8.85%E -2.57%K -3.61%G +0.000%10.2%2026-06-16 16:31
betfred_uk2.15I 46.51%NM 41.98%EV -10.01%E -4.66%K -8.70%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.23%EV -11.17%E -3.99%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.79%EV -7.53%E -2.15%K -3.01%G +0.000%10.8%2026-06-16 16:30
Betr (AU)2.15I 46.51%NM 41.98%EV -10.01%E -4.66%K -8.70%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.23%EV -11.17%E -3.99%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.79%EV -7.53%E -2.15%K -3.01%G +0.000%10.8%2026-06-16 16:30
888sport2.20I 45.45%NM 40.78%EV -7.92%E -3.60%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -11.17%E -3.99%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV -12.81%E -3.88%K -5.57%G +0.000%11.5%2026-06-16 16:50
William Hill2.20I 45.45%NM 40.78%EV -7.92%E -3.60%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -11.17%E -3.99%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV -12.81%E -3.88%K -5.57%G +0.000%11.5%2026-06-16 16:50
888sport (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.78%EV -7.92%E -3.60%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -11.17%E -3.99%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV -12.81%E -3.88%K -5.57%G +0.000%11.5%2026-06-16 16:50
Mr Green (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.78%EV -7.92%E -3.60%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -11.17%E -3.99%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV -12.81%E -3.88%K -5.57%G +0.000%11.5%2026-06-16 16:50
Coral2.20I 45.45%NM 40.78%EV -7.92%E -3.60%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -11.17%E -3.99%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV -12.81%E -3.88%K -5.57%G +0.000%11.5%2026-06-16 16:50
Ladbrokes (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.78%EV -7.92%E -3.60%K -6.60%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -11.17%E -3.99%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV -12.81%E -3.88%K -5.57%G +0.000%11.5%2026-06-16 16:50
Sky Bet2.15I 46.51%NM 41.33%EV -10.01%E -4.66%K -8.70%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.74%EV -11.17%E -3.99%K -6.21%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.93%EV -12.81%E -3.88%K -5.57%G +0.000%12.5%2026-06-16 16:50
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 40.34%EV -12.10%E -5.76%K -11.00%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 30.25%EV -11.17%E -3.99%K -6.21%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.41%EV -23.91%E -8.30%K -12.72%G +0.000%18.1%2026-06-16 16:50
SportsBet2.10I 47.62%NM 41.50%EV -12.10%E -5.76%K -11.00%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.69%EV -12.76%E -4.64%K -7.29%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.81%EV -14.13%E -4.35%K -6.28%G +0.000%14.8%2026-06-16 16:10
BoyleSports2.10I 47.62%NM 41.34%EV -12.10%E -5.76%K -11.00%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 33.13%EV -16.88%E -6.44%K -10.42%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.53%EV -10.17%E -2.99%K -4.24%G +0.000%15.2%2026-06-16 16:40
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (4)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.36I 42.37%NM 42.19%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.61%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.20%0.4%2026-06-16 16:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.36I 42.37%NM 42.19%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.61%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.20%0.4%2026-06-16 16:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.36I 42.37%NM 42.04%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.50%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.46%0.8%2026-06-16 16:41
Matchbook2.36I 42.37%NM 42.04%3.15I 31.75%NM 31.50%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.46%0.8%2026-06-16 16:40