Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Helsingborgs IF v Östersunds FK

Kickoff: 2026-04-19 13:00 UTC

Final: Helsingborgs IF 2–1 Östersunds FK

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

47 sportsbooks (15 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Helsingborgs IF (Local)

Prediction 41.85%2.39fair odd
EV -3.34%
Edge -1.44%
Kelly -2.55%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.31

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
40.39%42.21%41.70%45.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.972.142.202.3150.76%46.75%45.45%43.29%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Östersunds FK (Visit)

Prediction 29.89%3.35fair odd
EV +4.60%
Edge +1.31%
Kelly +1.84%
Growth +0.085%

assuming max odds 3.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.80%29.51%29.90%31.30%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.883.163.103.5034.72%31.66%32.26%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 28.27%3.54fair odd
EV -2.47%
Edge -0.717%
Kelly -1.01%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.45

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.00%28.28%28.40%29.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.883.253.303.4534.72%30.73%30.30%28.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Helsingborgs IF (Local): 41.85%; Östersunds FK (Visit): 29.89%; Draw: 28.27%. For Östersunds FK (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.35. 15 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.60%.

Sportsbook Odds (47 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Coolbet🎯2.11I 47.39%NM 45.16%EV -11.71%E -5.55%K -10.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.22%EV +4.60%E +1.31%K +1.84%G +0.085%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.62%EV -2.47%E -0.717%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-19 08:10
Svenska Spel🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.51%EV -14.22%E -6.93%K -13.54%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV +3.11%E +0.900%K +1.27%G +0.039%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -3.89%E -1.14%K -1.62%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-13 11:10
ATG (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.51%EV -14.22%E -6.93%K -13.54%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV +3.11%E +0.900%K +1.27%G +0.039%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -3.89%E -1.14%K -1.62%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-13 11:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.51%EV -14.22%E -6.93%K -13.54%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV +3.11%E +0.900%K +1.27%G +0.039%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -3.89%E -1.14%K -1.62%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-13 11:15
Unibet (SE)🎯2.05I 48.78%NM 45.51%EV -14.22%E -6.93%K -13.54%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV +3.11%E +0.900%K +1.27%G +0.039%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -3.89%E -1.14%K -1.62%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-13 11:15
Casumo🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.76%EV -16.31%E -8.15%K -16.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV +1.61%E +0.474%K +0.672%G +0.011%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.32%EV -5.30%E -1.58%K -2.26%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-13 11:10
Grosvenor🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.76%EV -16.31%E -8.15%K -16.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV +1.61%E +0.474%K +0.672%G +0.011%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.32%EV -5.30%E -1.58%K -2.26%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-13 11:10
Unibet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.76%EV -16.31%E -8.15%K -16.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV +1.61%E +0.474%K +0.672%G +0.011%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.32%EV -5.30%E -1.58%K -2.26%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-16 10:35
Unibet (NL)🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.76%EV -16.31%E -8.15%K -16.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV +1.61%E +0.474%K +0.672%G +0.011%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.32%EV -5.30%E -1.58%K -2.26%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-16 10:35
TABtouch🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.76%EV -16.31%E -8.15%K -16.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV +1.61%E +0.474%K +0.672%G +0.011%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.32%EV -5.30%E -1.58%K -2.26%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-13 11:15
LeoVegas🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.76%EV -16.31%E -8.15%K -16.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV +1.61%E +0.474%K +0.672%G +0.011%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.32%EV -5.30%E -1.58%K -2.26%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-13 11:15
Virgin Bet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.76%EV -16.31%E -8.15%K -16.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV +1.61%E +0.474%K +0.672%G +0.011%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.32%EV -5.30%E -1.58%K -2.26%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-13 11:15
betPARX🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.76%EV -16.31%E -8.15%K -16.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV +1.61%E +0.474%K +0.672%G +0.011%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.32%EV -5.30%E -1.58%K -2.26%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-13 11:15
BetRivers🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -16.31%E -8.15%K -16.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV +1.61%E +0.474%K +0.672%G +0.011%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -6.71%E -2.03%K -2.92%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-13 11:10
LiveScore Bet🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 45.57%EV -17.56%E -8.92%K -18.11%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.80%EV +0.118%E +0.035%K +0.050%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.63%EV -8.13%E -2.50%K -3.61%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-13 11:10
BetOnline.ag🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 42.04%EV -6.27%E -2.80%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.43%EV -4.37%E -1.36%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.54%EV -6.71%E -2.03%K -2.92%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-19 12:45
LowVig.ag🎯2.24I 44.64%NM 42.04%EV -6.27%E -2.80%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.43%EV -4.37%E -1.36%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.54%EV -6.71%E -2.03%K -2.92%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-19 12:45
FanDuel🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 43.40%EV -10.03%E -4.67%K -8.72%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -4.37%E -1.36%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -3.89%E -1.14%K -1.62%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-19 12:39
Tipico (DE)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 43.24%EV -12.12%E -5.77%K -11.02%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.38%EV -4.37%E -1.36%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.38%EV -9.54%E -2.98%K -4.34%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-19 12:50
Pinnacle🎯2.31I 43.29%NM 41.25%EV -3.34%E -1.44%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.19I 31.35%NM 29.87%EV -4.66%E -1.46%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -6.71%E -2.03%K -2.92%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-19 12:45
DraftKings🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.20%EV -3.75%E -1.63%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.08%EV -5.86%E -1.86%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.72%EV -6.71%E -2.03%K -2.92%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-19 12:55
Betsson🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.55%EV -5.85%E -2.60%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.68%EV -5.86%E -1.86%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -8.13%E -2.50%K -3.61%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-19 12:40
NordicBet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.55%EV -5.85%E -2.60%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.68%EV -5.86%E -1.86%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -8.13%E -2.50%K -3.61%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-19 12:40
Bet Victor🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -5.85%E -2.60%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -7.35%E -2.37%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -6.71%E -2.03%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-19 12:50
1xBet🎯2.26I 44.25%NM 41.35%EV -5.43%E -2.40%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.09I 32.36%NM 30.24%EV -7.65%E -2.48%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.29I 30.40%NM 28.41%EV -7.00%E -2.13%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-19 12:55
Marathon Bet🎯2.21I 45.25%NM 41.95%EV -7.52%E -3.40%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 30.30%EV -8.55%E -2.79%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 27.76%EV -5.58%E -1.67%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-19 12:55
BetUS🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.88%EV -7.94%E -3.61%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -8.85%E -2.90%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.92%EV -6.71%E -2.03%K -2.92%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-19 12:50
BetAnything🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.88%EV -7.94%E -3.61%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -8.85%E -2.90%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.92%EV -6.71%E -2.03%K -2.92%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-19 12:50
Bovada🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.70%EV -7.94%E -3.61%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.08%EV -8.85%E -2.90%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.23%EV -8.13%E -2.50%K -3.61%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-19 12:55
Everygame🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -7.94%E -3.61%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.81%EV -8.85%E -2.90%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.86%EV -10.95%E -3.48%K -5.10%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-19 12:44
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -7.94%E -3.61%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -10.34%E -3.45%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -6.71%E -2.03%K -2.92%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-19 12:55
Betway🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -7.94%E -3.61%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -10.34%E -3.45%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -6.71%E -2.03%K -2.92%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-19 12:44
PlayUp🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -5.85%E -2.60%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -10.34%E -3.45%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -12.37%E -3.99%K -5.89%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-19 12:45
BetMGM🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.31%EV -7.94%E -3.61%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -10.34%E -3.45%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -9.54%E -2.98%K -4.34%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-19 12:55
Paddy Power🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -12.12%E -5.77%K -11.02%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -10.34%E -3.45%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -6.71%E -2.03%K -2.92%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-19 12:40
Sky Bet🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 42.62%EV -12.12%E -5.77%K -11.02%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -10.34%E -3.45%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.54%EV -8.13%E -2.50%K -3.61%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-19 12:40
888sport🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -7.94%E -3.61%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -10.34%E -3.45%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -15.20%E -5.07%K -7.60%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-19 12:35
William Hill🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -7.94%E -3.61%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -10.34%E -3.45%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -15.20%E -5.07%K -7.60%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-19 12:35
888sport (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -7.94%E -3.61%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -10.34%E -3.45%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -15.20%E -5.07%K -7.60%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-19 12:35
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -7.94%E -3.61%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -10.34%E -3.45%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -15.20%E -5.07%K -7.60%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-19 12:35
Betr (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.28%EV -7.94%E -3.61%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.78%EV -11.84%E -4.01%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -8.13%E -2.50%K -3.61%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-19 12:55
Coral🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -7.94%E -3.61%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -13.33%E -4.60%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.75%EV -12.37%E -3.99%K -5.89%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-19 12:50
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -7.94%E -3.61%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -13.33%E -4.60%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.75%EV -12.37%E -3.99%K -5.89%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-19 12:50
BoyleSports🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 41.07%EV -10.03%E -4.67%K -8.72%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.45%EV -13.33%E -4.60%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.48%EV -12.37%E -3.99%K -5.89%G +0.000%13.3%2026-04-19 12:45
SportsBet🎯2.00I 50.00%NM 43.20%EV -16.31%E -8.15%K -16.31%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 29.80%EV -13.33%E -4.60%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.00%EV -9.54%E -2.98%K -4.34%G +0.000%15.7%2026-04-19 12:40
betfred_uk🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.97%EV -7.94%E -3.61%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.30%EV -13.93%E -4.84%K -7.41%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.73%EV -8.13%E -2.50%K -3.61%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-19 12:54
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 40.68%EV -12.12%E -5.77%K -11.02%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.66%EV -13.93%E -4.84%K -7.41%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.66%EV -18.59%E -6.45%K -9.89%G +0.000%17.1%2026-04-19 12:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.38I 42.02%NM 41.49%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.04%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.47%1.3%2026-04-19 12:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.38I 42.02%NM 41.49%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.04%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.47%1.3%2026-04-19 12:55
Matchbook2.38I 42.02%NM 41.49%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.04%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.47%1.3%2026-04-19 12:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.36I 42.37%NM 41.69%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.94%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.37%1.6%2026-04-19 12:35