La escuela de los momios

Helsingborgs IF v Östersunds FK

Inicio: 2026-04-19 13:00 UTC

Final: Helsingborgs IF 2–1 Östersunds FK

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

47 corredores (15 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Helsingborgs IF (Local)

Predicción 41.85%2.39momio equitativo
EV -3.34%
Ventaja -1.44%
Kelly -2.55%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.31

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
40.39%42.21%41.70%45.76%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.972.142.202.3150.76%46.75%45.45%43.29%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Östersunds FK (Visitante)

Predicción 29.89%3.35momio equitativo
EV +4.60%
Ventaja +1.31%
Kelly +1.84%
Crecimiento +0.085%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.50

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.80%29.51%29.90%31.30%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.163.103.5034.72%31.66%32.26%28.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 28.27%3.54momio equitativo
EV -2.47%
Ventaja -0.717%
Kelly -1.01%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.45

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.00%28.28%28.40%29.73%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.253.303.4534.72%30.73%30.30%28.99%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (47 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Coolbet2.11I 47.39%NM 45.16%EV -11.71%E -5.55%K -10.55%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.22%EV +4.60%E +1.31%K +1.84%G +0.085%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.62%EV -2.47%E -0.717%K -1.01%G +0.000%5.0%2026-04-19 08:10
Svenska Spel2.05I 48.78%NM 45.51%EV -14.22%E -6.93%K -13.54%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV +3.11%E +0.900%K +1.27%G +0.039%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -3.89%E -1.14%K -1.62%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-13 11:10
ATG (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.51%EV -14.22%E -6.93%K -13.54%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV +3.11%E +0.900%K +1.27%G +0.039%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -3.89%E -1.14%K -1.62%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-13 11:10
LeoVegas (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.51%EV -14.22%E -6.93%K -13.54%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV +3.11%E +0.900%K +1.27%G +0.039%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -3.89%E -1.14%K -1.62%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-13 11:15
Unibet (SE)2.05I 48.78%NM 45.51%EV -14.22%E -6.93%K -13.54%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.04%EV +3.11%E +0.900%K +1.27%G +0.039%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -3.89%E -1.14%K -1.62%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-13 11:15
Casumo2.00I 50.00%NM 45.76%EV -16.31%E -8.15%K -16.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV +1.61%E +0.474%K +0.672%G +0.011%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.32%EV -5.30%E -1.58%K -2.26%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-13 11:10
Grosvenor2.00I 50.00%NM 45.76%EV -16.31%E -8.15%K -16.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV +1.61%E +0.474%K +0.672%G +0.011%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.32%EV -5.30%E -1.58%K -2.26%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-13 11:10
Unibet2.00I 50.00%NM 45.76%EV -16.31%E -8.15%K -16.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV +1.61%E +0.474%K +0.672%G +0.011%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.32%EV -5.30%E -1.58%K -2.26%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-16 10:35
Unibet (NL)2.00I 50.00%NM 45.76%EV -16.31%E -8.15%K -16.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV +1.61%E +0.474%K +0.672%G +0.011%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.32%EV -5.30%E -1.58%K -2.26%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-16 10:35
TABtouch2.00I 50.00%NM 45.76%EV -16.31%E -8.15%K -16.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV +1.61%E +0.474%K +0.672%G +0.011%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.32%EV -5.30%E -1.58%K -2.26%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-13 11:15
LeoVegas2.00I 50.00%NM 45.76%EV -16.31%E -8.15%K -16.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV +1.61%E +0.474%K +0.672%G +0.011%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.32%EV -5.30%E -1.58%K -2.26%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-13 11:15
Virgin Bet2.00I 50.00%NM 45.76%EV -16.31%E -8.15%K -16.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV +1.61%E +0.474%K +0.672%G +0.011%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.32%EV -5.30%E -1.58%K -2.26%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-13 11:15
betPARX2.00I 50.00%NM 45.76%EV -16.31%E -8.15%K -16.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV +1.61%E +0.474%K +0.672%G +0.011%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.32%EV -5.30%E -1.58%K -2.26%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-13 11:15
BetRivers2.00I 50.00%NM 45.57%EV -16.31%E -8.15%K -16.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV +1.61%E +0.474%K +0.672%G +0.011%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.62%EV -6.71%E -2.03%K -2.92%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-13 11:10
LiveScore Bet1.97I 50.76%NM 45.57%EV -17.56%E -8.92%K -18.11%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.80%EV +0.118%E +0.035%K +0.050%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.63%EV -8.13%E -2.50%K -3.61%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-13 11:10
BetOnline.ag2.24I 44.64%NM 42.04%EV -6.27%E -2.80%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.43%EV -4.37%E -1.36%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.54%EV -6.71%E -2.03%K -2.92%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-19 12:45
LowVig.ag2.24I 44.64%NM 42.04%EV -6.27%E -2.80%K -5.05%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.43%EV -4.37%E -1.36%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.54%EV -6.71%E -2.03%K -2.92%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-19 12:45
FanDuel2.15I 46.51%NM 43.40%EV -10.03%E -4.67%K -8.72%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -4.37%E -1.36%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -3.89%E -1.14%K -1.62%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-19 12:39
Tipico (DE)2.10I 47.62%NM 43.24%EV -12.12%E -5.77%K -11.02%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.38%EV -4.37%E -1.36%K -1.98%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.38%EV -9.54%E -2.98%K -4.34%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-19 12:50
Pinnacle2.31I 43.29%NM 41.25%EV -3.34%E -1.44%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.19I 31.35%NM 29.87%EV -4.66%E -1.46%K -2.13%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.88%EV -6.71%E -2.03%K -2.92%G +0.000%4.9%2026-04-19 12:45
DraftKings2.30I 43.48%NM 41.20%EV -3.75%E -1.63%K -2.89%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 30.08%EV -5.86%E -1.86%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.72%EV -6.71%E -2.03%K -2.92%G +0.000%5.5%2026-04-19 12:55
Betsson2.25I 44.44%NM 41.55%EV -5.85%E -2.60%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.68%EV -5.86%E -1.86%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -8.13%E -2.50%K -3.61%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-19 12:40
NordicBet2.25I 44.44%NM 41.55%EV -5.85%E -2.60%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 29.68%EV -5.86%E -1.86%K -2.73%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.77%EV -8.13%E -2.50%K -3.61%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-19 12:40
Bet Victor2.25I 44.44%NM 41.53%EV -5.85%E -2.60%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 30.15%EV -7.35%E -2.37%K -3.50%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.32%EV -6.71%E -2.03%K -2.92%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-19 12:50
1xBet2.26I 44.25%NM 41.35%EV -5.43%E -2.40%K -4.31%G +0.000%3.09I 32.36%NM 30.24%EV -7.65%E -2.48%K -3.66%G +0.000%3.29I 30.40%NM 28.41%EV -7.00%E -2.13%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-19 12:55
Marathon Bet2.21I 45.25%NM 41.95%EV -7.52%E -3.40%K -6.22%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 30.30%EV -8.55%E -2.79%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.34I 29.94%NM 27.76%EV -5.58%E -1.67%K -2.39%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-19 12:55
BetUS2.20I 45.45%NM 41.88%EV -7.94%E -3.61%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -8.85%E -2.90%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.92%EV -6.71%E -2.03%K -2.92%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-19 12:50
BetAnything2.20I 45.45%NM 41.88%EV -7.94%E -3.61%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.21%EV -8.85%E -2.90%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.92%EV -6.71%E -2.03%K -2.92%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-19 12:50
Bovada2.20I 45.45%NM 41.70%EV -7.94%E -3.61%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 30.08%EV -8.85%E -2.90%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.23%EV -8.13%E -2.50%K -3.61%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-19 12:55
Everygame2.20I 45.45%NM 41.33%EV -7.94%E -3.61%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 29.81%EV -8.85%E -2.90%K -4.32%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.86%EV -10.95%E -3.48%K -5.10%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-19 12:44
PointsBet (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -7.94%E -3.61%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -10.34%E -3.45%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -6.71%E -2.03%K -2.92%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-19 12:55
Betway2.20I 45.45%NM 41.67%EV -7.94%E -3.61%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.56%EV -10.34%E -3.45%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -6.71%E -2.03%K -2.92%G +0.000%9.1%2026-04-19 12:44
PlayUp2.25I 44.44%NM 40.39%EV -5.85%E -2.60%K -4.68%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -10.34%E -3.45%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.32%EV -12.37%E -3.99%K -5.89%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-19 12:45
BetMGM2.20I 45.45%NM 41.31%EV -7.94%E -3.61%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 30.29%EV -10.34%E -3.45%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.40%EV -9.54%E -2.98%K -4.34%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-19 12:55
Paddy Power2.10I 47.62%NM 42.80%EV -12.12%E -5.77%K -11.02%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.96%EV -10.34%E -3.45%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -6.71%E -2.03%K -2.92%G +0.000%11.3%2026-04-19 12:40
Sky Bet2.10I 47.62%NM 42.62%EV -12.12%E -5.77%K -11.02%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.84%EV -10.34%E -3.45%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.54%EV -8.13%E -2.50%K -3.61%G +0.000%11.7%2026-04-19 12:40
888sport2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -7.94%E -3.61%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -10.34%E -3.45%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -15.20%E -5.07%K -7.60%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-19 12:35
William Hill2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -7.94%E -3.61%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -10.34%E -3.45%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -15.20%E -5.07%K -7.60%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-19 12:35
888sport (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -7.94%E -3.61%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -10.34%E -3.45%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -15.20%E -5.07%K -7.60%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-19 12:35
Mr Green (SE)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.54%EV -7.94%E -3.61%K -6.62%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -10.34%E -3.45%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 29.73%EV -15.20%E -5.07%K -7.60%G +0.000%12.1%2026-04-19 12:35
Betr (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.28%EV -7.94%E -3.61%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 30.78%EV -11.84%E -4.01%K -6.07%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.94%EV -8.13%E -2.50%K -3.61%G +0.000%10.1%2026-04-19 12:55
Coral2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -7.94%E -3.61%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -13.33%E -4.60%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.75%EV -12.37%E -3.99%K -5.89%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-19 12:50
Ladbrokes (UK)2.20I 45.45%NM 40.51%EV -7.94%E -3.61%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.73%EV -13.33%E -4.60%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.75%EV -12.37%E -3.99%K -5.89%G +0.000%12.2%2026-04-19 12:50
BoyleSports2.15I 46.51%NM 41.07%EV -10.03%E -4.67%K -8.72%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 30.45%EV -13.33%E -4.60%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.48%EV -12.37%E -3.99%K -5.89%G +0.000%13.3%2026-04-19 12:45
SportsBet2.00I 50.00%NM 43.20%EV -16.31%E -8.15%K -16.31%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 29.80%EV -13.33%E -4.60%K -7.02%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.00%EV -9.54%E -2.98%K -4.34%G +0.000%15.7%2026-04-19 12:40
betfred_uk2.20I 45.45%NM 40.97%EV -7.94%E -3.61%K -6.62%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.30%EV -13.93%E -4.84%K -7.41%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.73%EV -8.13%E -2.50%K -3.61%G +0.000%10.9%2026-04-19 12:54
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 40.68%EV -12.12%E -5.77%K -11.02%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.66%EV -13.93%E -4.84%K -7.41%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.66%EV -18.59%E -6.45%K -9.89%G +0.000%17.1%2026-04-19 12:55
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (4)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.38I 42.02%NM 41.49%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.04%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.47%1.3%2026-04-19 12:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.38I 42.02%NM 41.49%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.04%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.47%1.3%2026-04-19 12:55
Matchbook2.38I 42.02%NM 41.49%3.40I 29.41%NM 29.04%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.47%1.3%2026-04-19 12:55
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.36I 42.37%NM 41.69%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.94%3.35I 29.85%NM 29.37%1.6%2026-04-19 12:35