Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

GIF Sundsvall v IFK Norrkoping

Kickoff: 2026-05-09 15:00 UTC

Final: GIF Sundsvall 1–3 IFK Norrkoping

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

47 sportsbooks (15 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

GIF Sundsvall (Local)

Prediction 23.78%4.21fair odd
EV +3.44%
Edge +0.790%
Kelly +1.03%
Growth +0.035%

assuming max odds 4.35

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
21.44%23.53%23.85%24.84%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.603.973.954.3527.78%25.17%25.32%22.99%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

IFK Norrkoping (Visit)

Prediction 50.34%1.99fair odd
EV -3.86%
Edge -2.02%
Kelly -4.24%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.91

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
48.48%50.60%50.28%54.23%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.661.801.831.9160.24%55.66%54.64%52.36%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 25.89%3.86fair odd
EV -0.342%
Edge -0.089%
Kelly -0.120%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.85

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.22%25.87%25.87%27.60%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.583.553.8532.26%27.94%28.17%25.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: GIF Sundsvall (Local): 23.78%; IFK Norrkoping (Visit): 50.34%; Draw: 25.89%. For GIF Sundsvall (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.21. 13 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.35, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.44%.

Sportsbook Odds (47 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Unibet (SE)🎯4.35I 22.99%NM 21.60%EV +3.44%E +0.790%K +1.03%G +0.035%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.00%EV -12.41%E -7.13%K -16.78%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.40%EV -0.342%E -0.089%K -0.120%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-06 21:35
LeoVegas (SE)🎯4.35I 22.99%NM 21.60%EV +3.44%E +0.790%K +1.03%G +0.035%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.00%EV -12.41%E -7.13%K -16.78%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.40%EV -0.342%E -0.089%K -0.120%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-06 21:40
Svenska Spel🎯4.35I 22.99%NM 21.60%EV +3.44%E +0.790%K +1.03%G +0.035%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.00%EV -12.41%E -7.13%K -16.78%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.40%EV -0.342%E -0.089%K -0.120%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-06 21:40
ATG (SE)🎯4.35I 22.99%NM 21.60%EV +3.44%E +0.790%K +1.03%G +0.035%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.00%EV -12.41%E -7.13%K -16.78%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.40%EV -0.342%E -0.089%K -0.120%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-06 21:35
Unibet🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 21.65%EV +1.06%E +0.249%K +0.325%G +0.003%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.13%EV -14.43%E -8.49%K -20.61%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -1.64%E -0.431%K -0.585%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-09 14:35
Virgin Bet🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 21.65%EV +1.06%E +0.249%K +0.325%G +0.003%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.13%EV -14.43%E -8.49%K -20.61%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -1.64%E -0.431%K -0.585%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-09 14:34
Unibet (NL)🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 21.65%EV +1.06%E +0.249%K +0.325%G +0.003%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.13%EV -14.43%E -8.49%K -20.61%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -1.64%E -0.431%K -0.585%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-09 14:34
Grosvenor🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 21.65%EV +1.06%E +0.249%K +0.325%G +0.003%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.13%EV -14.43%E -8.49%K -20.61%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -1.64%E -0.431%K -0.585%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-09 14:34
Casumo🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 21.65%EV +1.06%E +0.249%K +0.325%G +0.003%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.13%EV -14.43%E -8.49%K -20.61%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -1.64%E -0.431%K -0.585%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-09 14:34
TABtouch🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 21.65%EV +1.06%E +0.249%K +0.325%G +0.003%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.13%EV -14.43%E -8.49%K -20.61%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -1.64%E -0.431%K -0.585%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-09 14:35
LeoVegas🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 21.65%EV +1.06%E +0.249%K +0.325%G +0.003%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.13%EV -14.43%E -8.49%K -20.61%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -1.64%E -0.431%K -0.585%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-09 14:34
betPARX🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 21.65%EV +1.06%E +0.249%K +0.325%G +0.003%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.13%EV -14.43%E -8.49%K -20.61%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -1.64%E -0.431%K -0.585%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-09 14:35
BetRivers🎯4.25I 23.53%NM 21.58%EV +1.06%E +0.249%K +0.325%G +0.003%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.96%EV -14.43%E -8.49%K -20.61%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.46%EV -2.93%E -0.782%K -1.07%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-09 14:34
Tipico (DE)🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.54%EV -0.131%E -0.031%K -0.041%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 52.61%EV -13.42%E -7.80%K -18.64%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.85%EV -9.40%E -2.69%K -3.76%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-09 14:54
LiveScore Bet🎯4.20I 23.81%NM 21.44%EV -0.131%E -0.031%K -0.041%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 54.23%EV -16.44%E -9.90%K -24.91%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.33%EV -4.23%E -1.14%K -1.56%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-09 14:34
Pinnacle🎯4.13I 24.21%NM 23.02%EV -1.80%E -0.435%K -0.574%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.57%EV -5.37%E -2.85%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.41%EV -6.81%E -1.89%K -2.62%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-09 14:55
DraftKings🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.61%EV -4.89%E -1.22%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.51%EV -5.87%E -3.14%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.88%EV -5.52%E -1.51%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-09 14:50
FanDuel🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%EV -4.89%E -1.22%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.23%EV -7.88%E -4.31%K -9.50%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.34%EV -4.23%E -1.14%K -1.56%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-09 07:57
BetOnline.ag🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.38%EV -4.89%E -1.22%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 50.28%EV -6.37%E -3.43%K -7.41%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.34%EV -8.11%E -2.28%K -3.18%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-09 14:50
LowVig.ag🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.38%EV -4.89%E -1.22%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 50.28%EV -6.37%E -3.43%K -7.41%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.34%EV -8.11%E -2.28%K -3.18%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-09 14:49
BetUS🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.38%EV -4.89%E -1.22%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 50.28%EV -6.37%E -3.43%K -7.41%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.34%EV -8.11%E -2.28%K -3.18%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-09 14:50
BetAnything🎯4.00I 25.00%NM 23.38%EV -4.89%E -1.22%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 50.28%EV -6.37%E -3.43%K -7.41%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.34%EV -8.11%E -2.28%K -3.18%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-09 14:50
1xBet🎯3.97I 25.19%NM 23.53%EV -5.60%E -1.41%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.91%EV -3.86%E -2.02%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.39I 29.50%NM 27.56%EV -12.25%E -3.61%K -5.13%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-09 14:50
Coolbet🎯3.95I 25.32%NM 24.10%EV -6.08%E -1.54%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.18%EV -6.37%E -3.43%K -7.41%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.72%EV -0.342%E -0.089%K -0.120%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-09 07:59
Unibet (UK)🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -7.26%E -1.86%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.89%EV -5.37%E -2.85%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.06%EV -6.81%E -1.89%K -2.62%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-09 14:39
Bet Victor🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.86%EV -7.26%E -1.86%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.30%EV -6.88%E -3.72%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.85%EV -6.81%E -1.89%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-09 14:54
Marathon Bet🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.76%EV -7.26%E -1.86%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 50.36%EV -7.38%E -4.01%K -8.79%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 25.88%EV -7.33%E -2.05%K -2.84%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-09 14:49
Everygame🎯3.90I 25.64%NM 23.37%EV -7.26%E -1.86%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 49.81%EV -7.88%E -4.31%K -9.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -11.99%E -3.53%K -5.00%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-09 14:54
NordicBet🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.20%EV -8.45%E -2.20%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.56%EV -5.37%E -2.85%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.24%EV -8.11%E -2.28%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-09 14:44
Betsson🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.20%EV -8.45%E -2.20%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.56%EV -5.37%E -2.85%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.24%EV -8.11%E -2.28%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-09 14:39
Bovada🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 23.79%EV -8.45%E -2.20%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.05%EV -7.88%E -4.31%K -9.50%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.17%EV -9.40%E -2.69%K -3.76%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-09 14:54
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.20%EV -9.64%E -2.54%K -3.44%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.25%EV -7.88%E -4.31%K -9.50%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -6.81%E -1.89%K -2.62%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-09 08:00
BetMGM🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.03%EV -9.64%E -2.54%K -3.44%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 49.89%EV -7.88%E -4.31%K -9.50%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -9.40%E -2.69%K -3.76%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-09 07:50
Paddy Power🎯3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -9.64%E -2.54%K -3.44%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.67%EV -9.39%E -5.22%K -11.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.33%EV -6.81%E -1.89%K -2.62%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-09 07:59
betfred_uk🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.07%EV -10.83%E -2.89%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.14%EV -9.39%E -5.22%K -11.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.79%EV -9.40%E -2.69%K -3.76%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-09 07:59
Sky Bet🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.07%EV -10.83%E -2.89%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.14%EV -9.39%E -5.22%K -11.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.79%EV -9.40%E -2.69%K -3.76%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-09 07:59
Betr (AU)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 24.07%EV -10.83%E -2.89%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.14%EV -9.39%E -5.22%K -11.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.79%EV -9.40%E -2.69%K -3.76%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-09 07:59
888sport🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 23.92%EV -10.83%E -2.89%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.48%EV -6.88%E -3.72%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.60%EV -15.87%E -4.88%K -7.05%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-09 14:54
William Hill🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 23.92%EV -10.83%E -2.89%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.48%EV -6.88%E -3.72%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.60%EV -15.87%E -4.88%K -7.05%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-09 14:54
888sport (SE)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 23.92%EV -10.83%E -2.89%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.48%EV -6.88%E -3.72%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.60%EV -15.87%E -4.88%K -7.05%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-09 14:54
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.75I 26.67%NM 23.92%EV -10.83%E -2.89%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.48%EV -6.88%E -3.72%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.60%EV -15.87%E -4.88%K -7.05%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-09 14:54
Coral🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.33%EV -12.02%E -3.25%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 49.19%EV -7.88%E -4.31%K -9.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -11.99%E -3.53%K -5.00%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-09 07:24
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.33%EV -12.02%E -3.25%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 49.19%EV -7.88%E -4.31%K -9.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -11.99%E -3.53%K -5.00%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-09 07:24
PlayUp🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 24.84%EV -13.21%E -3.62%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 48.49%EV -5.87%E -3.14%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.67%EV -11.99%E -3.53%K -5.00%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-09 14:49
SportsBet🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 24.30%EV -14.40%E -4.00%K -5.54%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 49.98%EV -11.91%E -6.81%K -15.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.72%EV -11.99%E -3.53%K -5.00%G +0.000%14.3%2026-05-09 12:04
BoyleSports🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 24.30%EV -14.40%E -4.00%K -5.54%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 49.98%EV -11.91%E -6.81%K -15.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.72%EV -11.99%E -3.53%K -5.00%G +0.000%14.3%2026-05-09 14:44
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 23.57%EV -14.40%E -4.00%K -5.54%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 49.05%EV -12.92%E -7.47%K -17.70%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.37%EV -19.76%E -6.37%K -9.41%G +0.000%17.8%2026-05-09 07:59
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.40I 22.73%NM 22.57%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.94%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.49%0.7%2026-05-09 14:54
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.40I 22.73%NM 22.57%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.94%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.49%0.7%2026-05-09 14:55
Matchbook4.40I 22.73%NM 22.57%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.94%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.49%0.7%2026-05-09 14:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.40I 22.73%NM 22.49%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.76%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.75%1.0%2026-05-09 14:55