La escuela de los momios

GIF Sundsvall v IFK Norrkoping

Inicio: 2026-05-09 15:00 UTC

Final: GIF Sundsvall 1–3 IFK Norrkoping

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

47 corredores (15 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

GIF Sundsvall (Local)

Predicción 23.78%4.21momio equitativo
EV +3.44%
Ventaja +0.790%
Kelly +1.03%
Crecimiento +0.035%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.35

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
21.44%23.53%23.85%24.84%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.603.973.954.3527.78%25.17%25.32%22.99%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

IFK Norrkoping (Visitante)

Predicción 50.34%1.99momio equitativo
EV -3.86%
Ventaja -2.02%
Kelly -4.24%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.91

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
48.48%50.60%50.28%54.23%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.661.801.831.9160.24%55.66%54.64%52.36%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 25.89%3.86momio equitativo
EV -0.342%
Ventaja -0.089%
Kelly -0.120%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.85

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.22%25.87%25.87%27.60%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.103.583.553.8532.26%27.94%28.17%25.97%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (47 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Unibet (SE)4.35I 22.99%NM 21.60%EV +3.44%E +0.790%K +1.03%G +0.035%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.00%EV -12.41%E -7.13%K -16.78%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.40%EV -0.342%E -0.089%K -0.120%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-06 21:35
LeoVegas (SE)4.35I 22.99%NM 21.60%EV +3.44%E +0.790%K +1.03%G +0.035%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.00%EV -12.41%E -7.13%K -16.78%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.40%EV -0.342%E -0.089%K -0.120%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-06 21:40
Svenska Spel4.35I 22.99%NM 21.60%EV +3.44%E +0.790%K +1.03%G +0.035%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.00%EV -12.41%E -7.13%K -16.78%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.40%EV -0.342%E -0.089%K -0.120%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-06 21:40
ATG (SE)4.35I 22.99%NM 21.60%EV +3.44%E +0.790%K +1.03%G +0.035%1.74I 57.47%NM 54.00%EV -12.41%E -7.13%K -16.78%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.40%EV -0.342%E -0.089%K -0.120%G +0.000%6.4%2026-05-06 21:35
Unibet4.25I 23.53%NM 21.65%EV +1.06%E +0.249%K +0.325%G +0.003%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.13%EV -14.43%E -8.49%K -20.61%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -1.64%E -0.431%K -0.585%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-09 14:35
Virgin Bet4.25I 23.53%NM 21.65%EV +1.06%E +0.249%K +0.325%G +0.003%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.13%EV -14.43%E -8.49%K -20.61%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -1.64%E -0.431%K -0.585%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-09 14:34
Unibet (NL)4.25I 23.53%NM 21.65%EV +1.06%E +0.249%K +0.325%G +0.003%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.13%EV -14.43%E -8.49%K -20.61%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -1.64%E -0.431%K -0.585%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-09 14:34
Grosvenor4.25I 23.53%NM 21.65%EV +1.06%E +0.249%K +0.325%G +0.003%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.13%EV -14.43%E -8.49%K -20.61%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -1.64%E -0.431%K -0.585%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-09 14:34
Casumo4.25I 23.53%NM 21.65%EV +1.06%E +0.249%K +0.325%G +0.003%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.13%EV -14.43%E -8.49%K -20.61%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -1.64%E -0.431%K -0.585%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-09 14:34
TABtouch4.25I 23.53%NM 21.65%EV +1.06%E +0.249%K +0.325%G +0.003%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.13%EV -14.43%E -8.49%K -20.61%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -1.64%E -0.431%K -0.585%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-09 14:35
LeoVegas4.25I 23.53%NM 21.65%EV +1.06%E +0.249%K +0.325%G +0.003%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.13%EV -14.43%E -8.49%K -20.61%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -1.64%E -0.431%K -0.585%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-09 14:34
betPARX4.25I 23.53%NM 21.65%EV +1.06%E +0.249%K +0.325%G +0.003%1.70I 58.82%NM 54.13%EV -14.43%E -8.49%K -20.61%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.22%EV -1.64%E -0.431%K -0.585%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-09 14:35
BetRivers4.25I 23.53%NM 21.58%EV +1.06%E +0.249%K +0.325%G +0.003%1.70I 58.82%NM 53.96%EV -14.43%E -8.49%K -20.61%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.46%EV -2.93%E -0.782%K -1.07%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-09 14:34
Tipico (DE)4.20I 23.81%NM 21.54%EV -0.131%E -0.031%K -0.041%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 52.61%EV -13.42%E -7.80%K -18.64%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.85%EV -9.40%E -2.69%K -3.76%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-09 14:54
LiveScore Bet4.20I 23.81%NM 21.44%EV -0.131%E -0.031%K -0.041%G +0.000%1.66I 60.24%NM 54.23%EV -16.44%E -9.90%K -24.91%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.33%EV -4.23%E -1.14%K -1.56%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-09 14:34
Pinnacle4.13I 24.21%NM 23.02%EV -1.80%E -0.435%K -0.574%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 50.57%EV -5.37%E -2.85%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.41%EV -6.81%E -1.89%K -2.62%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-09 14:55
DraftKings4.00I 25.00%NM 23.61%EV -4.89%E -1.22%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 50.51%EV -5.87%E -3.14%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.88%EV -5.52%E -1.51%K -2.08%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-09 14:50
FanDuel4.00I 25.00%NM 23.44%EV -4.89%E -1.22%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.23%EV -7.88%E -4.31%K -9.50%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.34%EV -4.23%E -1.14%K -1.56%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-09 07:57
BetOnline.ag4.00I 25.00%NM 23.38%EV -4.89%E -1.22%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 50.28%EV -6.37%E -3.43%K -7.41%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.34%EV -8.11%E -2.28%K -3.18%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-09 14:50
LowVig.ag4.00I 25.00%NM 23.38%EV -4.89%E -1.22%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 50.28%EV -6.37%E -3.43%K -7.41%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.34%EV -8.11%E -2.28%K -3.18%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-09 14:49
BetUS4.00I 25.00%NM 23.38%EV -4.89%E -1.22%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 50.28%EV -6.37%E -3.43%K -7.41%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.34%EV -8.11%E -2.28%K -3.18%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-09 14:50
BetAnything4.00I 25.00%NM 23.38%EV -4.89%E -1.22%K -1.63%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 50.28%EV -6.37%E -3.43%K -7.41%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.34%EV -8.11%E -2.28%K -3.18%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-09 14:50
1xBet3.97I 25.19%NM 23.53%EV -5.60%E -1.41%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.91%EV -3.86%E -2.02%K -4.24%G +0.000%3.39I 29.50%NM 27.56%EV -12.25%E -3.61%K -5.13%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-09 14:50
Coolbet3.95I 25.32%NM 24.10%EV -6.08%E -1.54%K -2.06%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 51.18%EV -6.37%E -3.43%K -7.41%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.72%EV -0.342%E -0.089%K -0.120%G +0.000%5.1%2026-05-09 07:59
Unibet (UK)3.90I 25.64%NM 24.05%EV -7.26%E -1.86%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.89%EV -5.37%E -2.85%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.06%EV -6.81%E -1.89%K -2.62%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-09 14:39
Bet Victor3.90I 25.64%NM 23.86%EV -7.26%E -1.86%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 50.30%EV -6.88%E -3.72%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.85%EV -6.81%E -1.89%K -2.62%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-09 14:54
Marathon Bet3.90I 25.64%NM 23.76%EV -7.26%E -1.86%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 50.36%EV -7.38%E -4.01%K -8.79%G +0.000%3.58I 27.93%NM 25.88%EV -7.33%E -2.05%K -2.84%G +0.000%7.9%2026-05-09 14:49
Everygame3.90I 25.64%NM 23.37%EV -7.26%E -1.86%K -2.51%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 49.81%EV -7.88%E -4.31%K -9.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.81%EV -11.99%E -3.53%K -5.00%G +0.000%9.7%2026-05-09 14:54
NordicBet3.85I 25.97%NM 24.20%EV -8.45%E -2.20%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.56%EV -5.37%E -2.85%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.24%EV -8.11%E -2.28%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-09 14:44
Betsson3.85I 25.97%NM 24.20%EV -8.45%E -2.20%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.56%EV -5.37%E -2.85%K -6.10%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.24%EV -8.11%E -2.28%K -3.18%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-09 14:39
Bovada3.85I 25.97%NM 23.79%EV -8.45%E -2.20%K -2.97%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.05%EV -7.88%E -4.31%K -9.50%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.17%EV -9.40%E -2.69%K -3.76%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-09 14:54
PointsBet (AU)3.80I 26.32%NM 24.20%EV -9.64%E -2.54%K -3.44%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.25%EV -7.88%E -4.31%K -9.50%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -6.81%E -1.89%K -2.62%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-09 08:00
BetMGM3.80I 26.32%NM 24.03%EV -9.64%E -2.54%K -3.44%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 49.89%EV -7.88%E -4.31%K -9.50%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.08%EV -9.40%E -2.69%K -3.76%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-09 07:50
Paddy Power3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -9.64%E -2.54%K -3.44%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.67%EV -9.39%E -5.22%K -11.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.33%EV -6.81%E -1.89%K -2.62%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-09 07:59
betfred_uk3.75I 26.67%NM 24.07%EV -10.83%E -2.89%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.14%EV -9.39%E -5.22%K -11.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.79%EV -9.40%E -2.69%K -3.76%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-09 07:59
Sky Bet3.75I 26.67%NM 24.07%EV -10.83%E -2.89%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.14%EV -9.39%E -5.22%K -11.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.79%EV -9.40%E -2.69%K -3.76%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-09 07:59
Betr (AU)3.75I 26.67%NM 24.07%EV -10.83%E -2.89%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.14%EV -9.39%E -5.22%K -11.74%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.79%EV -9.40%E -2.69%K -3.76%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-09 07:59
888sport3.75I 26.67%NM 23.92%EV -10.83%E -2.89%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.48%EV -6.88%E -3.72%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.60%EV -15.87%E -4.88%K -7.05%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-09 14:54
William Hill3.75I 26.67%NM 23.92%EV -10.83%E -2.89%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.48%EV -6.88%E -3.72%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.60%EV -15.87%E -4.88%K -7.05%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-09 14:54
888sport (SE)3.75I 26.67%NM 23.92%EV -10.83%E -2.89%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.48%EV -6.88%E -3.72%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.60%EV -15.87%E -4.88%K -7.05%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-09 14:54
Mr Green (SE)3.75I 26.67%NM 23.92%EV -10.83%E -2.89%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 48.48%EV -6.88%E -3.72%K -8.09%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.60%EV -15.87%E -4.88%K -7.05%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-09 14:54
Coral3.70I 27.03%NM 24.33%EV -12.02%E -3.25%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 49.19%EV -7.88%E -4.31%K -9.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -11.99%E -3.53%K -5.00%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-09 07:24
Ladbrokes (UK)3.70I 27.03%NM 24.33%EV -12.02%E -3.25%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 49.19%EV -7.88%E -4.31%K -9.50%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -11.99%E -3.53%K -5.00%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-09 07:24
PlayUp3.65I 27.40%NM 24.84%EV -13.21%E -3.62%K -4.98%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 48.49%EV -5.87%E -3.14%K -6.75%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.67%EV -11.99%E -3.53%K -5.00%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-09 14:49
SportsBet3.60I 27.78%NM 24.30%EV -14.40%E -4.00%K -5.54%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 49.98%EV -11.91%E -6.81%K -15.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.72%EV -11.99%E -3.53%K -5.00%G +0.000%14.3%2026-05-09 12:04
BoyleSports3.60I 27.78%NM 24.30%EV -14.40%E -4.00%K -5.54%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 49.98%EV -11.91%E -6.81%K -15.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.72%EV -11.99%E -3.53%K -5.00%G +0.000%14.3%2026-05-09 14:44
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.60I 27.78%NM 23.57%EV -14.40%E -4.00%K -5.54%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 49.05%EV -12.92%E -7.47%K -17.70%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.37%EV -19.76%E -6.37%K -9.41%G +0.000%17.8%2026-05-09 07:59
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (4)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.40I 22.73%NM 22.57%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.94%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.49%0.7%2026-05-09 14:54
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.40I 22.73%NM 22.57%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.94%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.49%0.7%2026-05-09 14:55
Matchbook4.40I 22.73%NM 22.57%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.94%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.49%0.7%2026-05-09 14:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.40I 22.73%NM 22.49%1.95I 51.28%NM 50.76%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.75%1.0%2026-05-09 14:55