Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

GIF Sundsvall v Falkenbergs FF

Kickoff: 2026-07-26 11:00 UTC

Final: GIF Sundsvall 1–2 Falkenbergs FF

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

49 sportsbooks (16 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

GIF Sundsvall (Local)

Prediction 26.76%3.74fair odd
EV +3.02%
Edge +0.784%
Kelly +1.06%
Growth +0.032%

assuming max odds 3.85

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.72%26.61%26.76%29.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.483.503.8533.33%28.75%28.57%25.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Falkenbergs FF (Visit)

Prediction 46.62%2.15fair odd
EV -3.97%
Edge -1.93%
Kelly -3.75%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.06

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
45.02%46.87%46.55%49.56%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.831.951.952.0654.64%51.30%51.28%48.54%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 26.63%3.76fair odd
EV -1.48%
Edge -0.401%
Kelly -0.549%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.70

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.01%26.51%26.69%27.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.253.473.503.7030.77%28.86%28.57%27.03%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: GIF Sundsvall (Local): 26.76%; Falkenbergs FF (Visit): 46.62%; Draw: 26.63%. For GIF Sundsvall (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.74. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.85, corresponding to a positive expected value of +3.02%.

Sportsbook Odds (49 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Coolbet🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.72%EV +3.02%E +0.784%K +1.06%G +0.032%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.56%EV -10.50%E -5.47%K -11.41%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.72%EV -1.48%E -0.401%K -0.549%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-26 09:31
1xBet🎯3.71I 26.95%NM 25.24%EV -0.729%E -0.197%K -0.269%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.81%EV -6.77%E -3.38%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.95%EV -10.80%E -3.22%K -4.60%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-26 10:55
Unibet (SE)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -0.997%E -0.269%K -0.369%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.29%EV -11.90%E -6.29%K -13.37%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.53%EV -2.81%E -0.771%K -1.06%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-26 10:56
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -0.997%E -0.269%K -0.369%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.29%EV -11.90%E -6.29%K -13.37%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.53%EV -2.81%E -0.771%K -1.06%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-26 10:55
ATG (SE)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -0.997%E -0.269%K -0.369%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.29%EV -11.90%E -6.29%K -13.37%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.53%EV -2.81%E -0.771%K -1.06%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-26 10:56
Svenska Spel🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -0.997%E -0.269%K -0.369%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.29%EV -11.90%E -6.29%K -13.37%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.53%EV -2.81%E -0.771%K -1.06%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-26 10:55
Unibet🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.22%EV -2.33%E -0.640%K -0.881%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.22%EV -12.83%E -6.86%K -14.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.57%EV -4.15%E -1.15%K -1.59%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-25 17:35
Unibet (NL)🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.22%EV -2.33%E -0.640%K -0.881%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.22%EV -12.83%E -6.86%K -14.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.57%EV -4.15%E -1.15%K -1.59%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-25 17:36
TABtouch🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.22%EV -2.33%E -0.640%K -0.881%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.22%EV -12.83%E -6.86%K -14.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.57%EV -4.15%E -1.15%K -1.59%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-25 17:35
Grosvenor🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.22%EV -2.33%E -0.640%K -0.881%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.22%EV -12.83%E -6.86%K -14.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.57%EV -4.15%E -1.15%K -1.59%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-25 17:35
Casumo🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.22%EV -2.33%E -0.640%K -0.881%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.22%EV -12.83%E -6.86%K -14.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.57%EV -4.15%E -1.15%K -1.59%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-25 17:35
Virgin Bet🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.22%EV -2.33%E -0.640%K -0.881%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.22%EV -12.83%E -6.86%K -14.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.57%EV -4.15%E -1.15%K -1.59%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-25 17:35
betPARX🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.22%EV -2.33%E -0.640%K -0.881%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.22%EV -12.83%E -6.86%K -14.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.57%EV -4.15%E -1.15%K -1.59%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-25 17:35
BetRivers🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 24.99%EV -2.33%E -0.640%K -0.881%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.31%EV -13.76%E -7.44%K -16.19%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.70%EV -5.48%E -1.54%K -2.15%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-25 17:35
Pinnacle🎯3.63I 27.55%NM 26.26%EV -2.87%E -0.791%K -1.09%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.27%EV -3.97%E -1.93%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 27.47%EV -7.61%E -2.19%K -3.08%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-26 10:41
BetOnline.ag🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -3.67%E -1.02%K -1.41%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.15%EV -4.90%E -2.40%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -9.47%E -2.79%K -3.95%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-26 10:35
LowVig.ag🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -3.67%E -1.02%K -1.41%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.15%EV -4.90%E -2.40%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -9.47%E -2.79%K -3.95%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-26 10:35
BetAnything🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -3.67%E -1.02%K -1.41%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.15%EV -4.90%E -2.40%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -9.47%E -2.79%K -3.95%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-26 10:35
Betsson🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.90%EV -3.67%E -1.02%K -1.41%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.56%EV -10.50%E -5.47%K -11.41%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.54%EV -2.81%E -0.771%K -1.06%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-25 15:35
NordicBet🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.90%EV -3.67%E -1.02%K -1.41%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.56%EV -10.50%E -5.47%K -11.41%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.54%EV -2.81%E -0.771%K -1.06%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-25 15:35
Tipico (DE)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.10%EV -3.67%E -1.02%K -1.41%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 48.32%EV -12.83%E -6.86%K -14.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -9.47%E -2.79%K -3.95%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-26 10:55
LiveScore Bet🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.03%EV -3.67%E -1.02%K -1.41%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 49.23%EV -14.69%E -8.03%K -17.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.74%EV -6.81%E -1.95%K -2.72%G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-25 17:35
DraftKings🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -6.35%E -1.81%K -2.54%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.44%E -2.16%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -6.81%E -1.95%K -2.72%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-26 10:30
Marathon Bet🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.48%EV -6.35%E -1.81%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 46.58%EV -7.23%E -3.64%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 26.94%EV -8.41%E -2.44%K -3.44%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-26 10:41
Betway🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -6.35%E -1.81%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -9.10%E -4.67%K -9.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -9.47%E -2.79%K -3.95%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-26 10:30
Bovada🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -7.69%E -2.23%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.94%EV -6.77%E -3.38%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.43%EV -10.80%E -3.22%K -4.60%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-26 10:50
BetUS🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -7.69%E -2.23%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.94%EV -6.77%E -3.38%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.43%EV -10.80%E -3.22%K -4.60%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-26 10:55
Everygame🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 26.52%EV -7.69%E -2.23%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.75%EV -6.77%E -3.38%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.73%EV -12.13%E -3.68%K -5.28%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-26 10:35
FanDuel🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -9.02%E -2.65%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -4.44%E -2.16%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -6.81%E -1.95%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-26 10:35
Bet Victor🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -9.02%E -2.65%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -6.77%E -3.38%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -4.15%E -1.15%K -1.59%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-26 10:34
betano_uk🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -9.02%E -2.65%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -6.77%E -3.38%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -4.15%E -1.15%K -1.59%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-26 10:36
Unibet (UK)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -9.02%E -2.65%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -6.77%E -3.38%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -6.81%E -1.95%K -2.72%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-23 09:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -9.02%E -2.65%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -9.10%E -4.67%K -9.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -6.81%E -1.95%K -2.72%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-26 06:54
Betr (AU)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -11.70%E -3.55%K -5.09%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -9.10%E -4.67%K -9.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -6.81%E -1.95%K -2.72%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-26 06:54
BetMGM🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -11.70%E -3.55%K -5.09%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 45.82%EV -7.70%E -3.89%K -7.86%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -9.47%E -2.79%K -3.95%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-26 08:05
PlayUp🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -11.70%E -3.55%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.21%EV -6.77%E -3.38%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -12.13%E -3.68%K -5.28%G +0.000%10.6%2026-07-26 10:40
888sport🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.28%EV -11.70%E -3.55%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.02%EV -6.77%E -3.38%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.70%EV -13.46%E -4.14%K -5.98%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-26 10:30
William Hill🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.28%EV -11.70%E -3.55%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.02%EV -6.77%E -3.38%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.70%EV -13.46%E -4.14%K -5.98%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-26 10:30
888sport (SE)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.28%EV -11.70%E -3.55%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.02%EV -6.77%E -3.38%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.70%EV -13.46%E -4.14%K -5.98%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-26 10:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.28%EV -11.70%E -3.55%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.02%EV -6.77%E -3.38%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.70%EV -13.46%E -4.14%K -5.98%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-26 10:30
betfred_uk🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -11.70%E -3.55%K -5.09%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.07%EV -10.96%E -5.74%K -12.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -6.81%E -1.95%K -2.72%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-26 06:54
Paddy Power🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -11.70%E -3.55%K -5.09%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.83%EV -9.10%E -4.67%K -9.58%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -12.13%E -3.68%K -5.28%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-26 10:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -11.70%E -3.55%K -5.09%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.83%EV -9.10%E -4.67%K -9.58%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -12.13%E -3.68%K -5.28%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-26 10:45
LeoVegas🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 27.60%EV -13.04%E -4.01%K -5.79%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.01%EV -9.10%E -4.67%K -9.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.39%EV -9.47%E -2.79%K -3.95%G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-26 10:35
Coral🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 27.60%EV -13.04%E -4.01%K -5.79%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.01%EV -9.10%E -4.67%K -9.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.39%EV -9.47%E -2.79%K -3.95%G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-26 08:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 27.60%EV -13.04%E -4.01%K -5.79%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.01%EV -9.10%E -4.67%K -9.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.39%EV -9.47%E -2.79%K -3.95%G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-26 08:05
Sky Bet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 27.27%EV -13.04%E -4.01%K -5.79%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.45%EV -9.10%E -4.67%K -9.58%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.27%EV -13.46%E -4.14%K -5.98%G +0.000%12.8%2026-07-26 10:35
SportsBet🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 27.45%EV -14.38%E -4.49%K -6.53%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 45.52%EV -10.03%E -5.20%K -10.79%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.03%EV -13.46%E -4.14%K -5.98%G +0.000%13.8%2026-07-26 10:36
BoyleSports🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.17%EV -19.73%E -6.58%K -9.86%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 45.82%EV -10.96%E -5.74%K -12.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.01%EV -6.81%E -1.95%K -2.72%G +0.000%14.3%2026-07-23 13:04
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.75I 26.67%NM 26.44%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.77%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.80%0.9%2026-07-26 10:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.75I 26.67%NM 26.44%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.77%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.80%0.9%2026-07-26 10:56
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.75I 26.67%NM 26.44%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.77%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.80%0.9%2026-07-26 10:56
Matchbook3.75I 26.67%NM 26.44%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.77%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.80%0.9%2026-07-26 10:56