Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

GIF Sundsvall v Falkenbergs FF

Início: 2026-07-26 11:00 UTC

Final: GIF Sundsvall 1–2 Falkenbergs FF

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

49 casas de apostas (16 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

GIF Sundsvall (Local)

Previsão 26.76%3.74odd justa
EV +3.02%
Vantagem +0.784%
Kelly +1.06%
Crescimento +0.032%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.85

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
24.72%26.61%26.76%29.17%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.003.483.503.8533.33%28.75%28.57%25.97%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Falkenbergs FF (Visitante)

Previsão 46.62%2.15odd justa
EV -3.97%
Vantagem -1.93%
Kelly -3.75%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.06

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
45.02%46.87%46.55%49.56%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.831.951.952.0654.64%51.30%51.28%48.54%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 26.63%3.76odd justa
EV -1.48%
Vantagem -0.401%
Kelly -0.549%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.70

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
25.01%26.51%26.69%27.95%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.253.473.503.7030.77%28.86%28.57%27.03%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: GIF Sundsvall (Local): 26.76%; Falkenbergs FF (Visitante): 46.62%; Empate: 26.63%. Para GIF Sundsvall (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.74. 1 casa de apostas oferecia odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 3.85, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +3.02%.

Odds das casas de apostas (49 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Coolbet🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 24.72%EV +3.02%E +0.784%K +1.06%G +0.032%1.92I 52.08%NM 49.56%EV -10.50%E -5.47%K -11.41%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.72%EV -1.48%E -0.401%K -0.549%G +0.000%5.1%2026-07-26 09:31
1xBet🎯3.71I 26.95%NM 25.24%EV -0.729%E -0.197%K -0.269%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.81%EV -6.77%E -3.38%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.95%EV -10.80%E -3.22%K -4.60%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-26 10:55
Unibet (SE)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -0.997%E -0.269%K -0.369%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.29%EV -11.90%E -6.29%K -13.37%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.53%EV -2.81%E -0.771%K -1.06%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-26 10:56
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -0.997%E -0.269%K -0.369%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.29%EV -11.90%E -6.29%K -13.37%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.53%EV -2.81%E -0.771%K -1.06%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-26 10:55
ATG (SE)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -0.997%E -0.269%K -0.369%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.29%EV -11.90%E -6.29%K -13.37%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.53%EV -2.81%E -0.771%K -1.06%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-26 10:56
Svenska Spel🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 25.18%EV -0.997%E -0.269%K -0.369%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 49.29%EV -11.90%E -6.29%K -13.37%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.53%EV -2.81%E -0.771%K -1.06%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-26 10:55
Unibet🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.22%EV -2.33%E -0.640%K -0.881%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.22%EV -12.83%E -6.86%K -14.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.57%EV -4.15%E -1.15%K -1.59%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-25 17:35
Unibet (NL)🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.22%EV -2.33%E -0.640%K -0.881%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.22%EV -12.83%E -6.86%K -14.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.57%EV -4.15%E -1.15%K -1.59%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-25 17:36
TABtouch🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.22%EV -2.33%E -0.640%K -0.881%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.22%EV -12.83%E -6.86%K -14.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.57%EV -4.15%E -1.15%K -1.59%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-25 17:35
Grosvenor🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.22%EV -2.33%E -0.640%K -0.881%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.22%EV -12.83%E -6.86%K -14.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.57%EV -4.15%E -1.15%K -1.59%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-25 17:35
Casumo🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.22%EV -2.33%E -0.640%K -0.881%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.22%EV -12.83%E -6.86%K -14.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.57%EV -4.15%E -1.15%K -1.59%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-25 17:35
Virgin Bet🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.22%EV -2.33%E -0.640%K -0.881%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.22%EV -12.83%E -6.86%K -14.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.57%EV -4.15%E -1.15%K -1.59%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-25 17:35
betPARX🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.22%EV -2.33%E -0.640%K -0.881%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.22%EV -12.83%E -6.86%K -14.74%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.57%EV -4.15%E -1.15%K -1.59%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-25 17:35
BetRivers🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 24.99%EV -2.33%E -0.640%K -0.881%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.31%EV -13.76%E -7.44%K -16.19%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.70%EV -5.48%E -1.54%K -2.15%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-25 17:35
Pinnacle🎯3.63I 27.55%NM 26.26%EV -2.87%E -0.791%K -1.09%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 46.27%EV -3.97%E -1.93%K -3.75%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 27.47%EV -7.61%E -2.19%K -3.08%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-26 10:41
BetOnline.ag🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -3.67%E -1.02%K -1.41%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.15%EV -4.90%E -2.40%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -9.47%E -2.79%K -3.95%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-26 10:35
LowVig.ag🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -3.67%E -1.02%K -1.41%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.15%EV -4.90%E -2.40%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -9.47%E -2.79%K -3.95%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-26 10:35
BetAnything🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.15%EV -3.67%E -1.02%K -1.41%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 46.15%EV -4.90%E -2.40%K -4.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.69%EV -9.47%E -2.79%K -3.95%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-26 10:35
Betsson🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.90%EV -3.67%E -1.02%K -1.41%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.56%EV -10.50%E -5.47%K -11.41%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.54%EV -2.81%E -0.771%K -1.06%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-25 15:35
NordicBet🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.90%EV -3.67%E -1.02%K -1.41%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.56%EV -10.50%E -5.47%K -11.41%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.54%EV -2.81%E -0.771%K -1.06%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-25 15:35
Tipico (DE)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.10%EV -3.67%E -1.02%K -1.41%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 48.32%EV -12.83%E -6.86%K -14.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.58%EV -9.47%E -2.79%K -3.95%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-26 10:55
LiveScore Bet🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.03%EV -3.67%E -1.02%K -1.41%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 49.23%EV -14.69%E -8.03%K -17.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.74%EV -6.81%E -1.95%K -2.72%G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-25 17:35
DraftKings🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -6.35%E -1.81%K -2.54%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 46.05%EV -4.44%E -2.16%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -6.81%E -1.95%K -2.72%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-26 10:30
Marathon Bet🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.48%EV -6.35%E -1.81%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.99I 50.25%NM 46.58%EV -7.23%E -3.64%K -7.31%G +0.000%3.44I 29.07%NM 26.94%EV -8.41%E -2.44%K -3.44%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-26 10:41
Betway🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -6.35%E -1.81%K -2.54%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -9.10%E -4.67%K -9.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -9.47%E -2.79%K -3.95%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-26 10:30
Bovada🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -7.69%E -2.23%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.94%EV -6.77%E -3.38%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.43%EV -10.80%E -3.22%K -4.60%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-26 10:50
BetUS🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -7.69%E -2.23%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.94%EV -6.77%E -3.38%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.43%EV -10.80%E -3.22%K -4.60%G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-26 10:55
Everygame🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 26.52%EV -7.69%E -2.23%K -3.14%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.75%EV -6.77%E -3.38%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.73%EV -12.13%E -3.68%K -5.28%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-26 10:35
FanDuel🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.55%EV -9.02%E -2.65%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 45.69%EV -4.44%E -2.16%K -4.23%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.76%EV -6.81%E -1.95%K -2.72%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-26 10:35
Bet Victor🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -9.02%E -2.65%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -6.77%E -3.38%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -4.15%E -1.15%K -1.59%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-26 10:34
betano_uk🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -9.02%E -2.65%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.65%EV -6.77%E -3.38%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.91%EV -4.15%E -1.15%K -1.59%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-26 10:36
Unibet (UK)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -9.02%E -2.65%K -3.76%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 46.30%EV -6.77%E -3.38%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.46%EV -6.81%E -1.95%K -2.72%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-23 09:55
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -9.02%E -2.65%K -3.76%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.93%EV -9.10%E -4.67%K -9.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.15%EV -6.81%E -1.95%K -2.72%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-26 06:54
Betr (AU)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -11.70%E -3.55%K -5.09%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.55%EV -9.10%E -4.67%K -9.58%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.94%EV -6.81%E -1.95%K -2.72%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-26 06:54
BetMGM🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.49%EV -11.70%E -3.55%K -5.09%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 45.82%EV -7.70%E -3.89%K -7.86%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -9.47%E -2.79%K -3.95%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-26 08:05
PlayUp🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -11.70%E -3.55%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.21%EV -6.77%E -3.38%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -12.13%E -3.68%K -5.28%G +0.000%10.6%2026-07-26 10:40
888sport🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.28%EV -11.70%E -3.55%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.02%EV -6.77%E -3.38%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.70%EV -13.46%E -4.14%K -5.98%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-26 10:30
William Hill🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.28%EV -11.70%E -3.55%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.02%EV -6.77%E -3.38%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.70%EV -13.46%E -4.14%K -5.98%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-26 10:30
888sport (SE)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.28%EV -11.70%E -3.55%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.02%EV -6.77%E -3.38%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.70%EV -13.46%E -4.14%K -5.98%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-26 10:30
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.28%EV -11.70%E -3.55%K -5.09%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 45.02%EV -6.77%E -3.38%K -6.77%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.70%EV -13.46%E -4.14%K -5.98%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-26 10:30
betfred_uk🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.24%EV -11.70%E -3.55%K -5.09%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 47.07%EV -10.96%E -5.74%K -12.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.69%EV -6.81%E -1.95%K -2.72%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-26 06:54
Paddy Power🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -11.70%E -3.55%K -5.09%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.83%EV -9.10%E -4.67%K -9.58%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -12.13%E -3.68%K -5.28%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-26 10:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -11.70%E -3.55%K -5.09%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.83%EV -9.10%E -4.67%K -9.58%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -12.13%E -3.68%K -5.28%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-26 10:45
LeoVegas🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 27.60%EV -13.04%E -4.01%K -5.79%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.01%EV -9.10%E -4.67%K -9.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.39%EV -9.47%E -2.79%K -3.95%G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-26 10:35
Coral🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 27.60%EV -13.04%E -4.01%K -5.79%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.01%EV -9.10%E -4.67%K -9.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.39%EV -9.47%E -2.79%K -3.95%G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-26 08:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 27.60%EV -13.04%E -4.01%K -5.79%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 46.01%EV -9.10%E -4.67%K -9.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.39%EV -9.47%E -2.79%K -3.95%G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-26 08:05
Sky Bet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 27.27%EV -13.04%E -4.01%K -5.79%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 45.45%EV -9.10%E -4.67%K -9.58%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.27%EV -13.46%E -4.14%K -5.98%G +0.000%12.8%2026-07-26 10:35
SportsBet🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 27.45%EV -14.38%E -4.49%K -6.53%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 45.52%EV -10.03%E -5.20%K -10.79%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.03%EV -13.46%E -4.14%K -5.98%G +0.000%13.8%2026-07-26 10:36
BoyleSports🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.17%EV -19.73%E -6.58%K -9.86%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 45.82%EV -10.96%E -5.74%K -12.05%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.01%EV -6.81%E -1.95%K -2.72%G +0.000%14.3%2026-07-23 13:04
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (4)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.75I 26.67%NM 26.44%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.77%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.80%0.9%2026-07-26 10:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.75I 26.67%NM 26.44%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.77%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.80%0.9%2026-07-26 10:56
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.75I 26.67%NM 26.44%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.77%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.80%0.9%2026-07-26 10:56
Matchbook3.75I 26.67%NM 26.44%2.12I 47.17%NM 46.77%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.80%0.9%2026-07-26 10:56