Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Falkenbergs FF v Östers IF

Kickoff: 2026-09-10 17:00 UTC

Final: Falkenbergs FF 2–1 Östers IF

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

49 sportsbooks (15 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Falkenbergs FF (Local)

Prediction 48.40%2.07fair odd
EV -4.65%
Edge -2.36%
Kelly -4.79%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.97

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
46.20%48.57%48.26%50.83%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.741.881.901.9757.47%53.22%52.63%50.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Östers IF (Visit)

Prediction 26.68%3.75fair odd
EV +4.04%
Edge +1.04%
Kelly +1.39%
Growth +0.056%

assuming max odds 3.90

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
24.47%26.54%26.82%27.94%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.473.503.9032.26%28.85%28.57%25.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 24.92%4.01fair odd
EV -2.81%
Edge -0.721%
Kelly -0.969%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.90

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
23.55%24.89%24.92%26.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.403.673.653.9029.41%27.23%27.40%25.64%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Falkenbergs FF (Local): 48.40%; Östers IF (Visit): 26.68%; Draw: 24.92%. For Östers IF (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.75. 5 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.90, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.04%.

Sportsbook Odds (49 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Coolbet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.75%EV -9.00%E -4.79%K -10.23%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.47%EV +4.04%E +1.04%K +1.39%G +0.056%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.78%EV -4.06%E -1.05%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-07 11:29
Unibet (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.83%EV -10.46%E -5.65%K -12.30%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV +1.37%E +0.362%K +0.491%G +0.007%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.42%EV -4.06%E -1.05%K -1.42%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-09 13:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.83%EV -10.46%E -5.65%K -12.30%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV +1.37%E +0.362%K +0.491%G +0.007%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.42%EV -4.06%E -1.05%K -1.42%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-09 13:05
Svenska Spel🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.83%EV -10.46%E -5.65%K -12.30%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV +1.37%E +0.362%K +0.491%G +0.007%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.42%EV -4.06%E -1.05%K -1.42%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-09 13:05
ATG (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.83%EV -10.46%E -5.65%K -12.30%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV +1.37%E +0.362%K +0.491%G +0.007%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.42%EV -4.06%E -1.05%K -1.42%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-09 13:05
Unibet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.17%EV -12.88%E -7.15%K -16.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.09%EV -3.96%E -1.10%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.74%EV -9.04%E -2.48%K -3.41%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-09 13:05
Grosvenor🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.17%EV -12.88%E -7.15%K -16.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.09%EV -3.96%E -1.10%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.74%EV -9.04%E -2.48%K -3.41%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-09 13:05
Casumo🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.17%EV -12.88%E -7.15%K -16.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.09%EV -3.96%E -1.10%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.74%EV -9.04%E -2.48%K -3.41%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-09 13:05
Unibet (NL)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.17%EV -12.88%E -7.15%K -16.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.09%EV -3.96%E -1.10%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.74%EV -9.04%E -2.48%K -3.41%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-09 13:05
TABtouch🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.17%EV -12.88%E -7.15%K -16.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.09%EV -3.96%E -1.10%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.74%EV -9.04%E -2.48%K -3.41%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-09 13:05
betPARX🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.17%EV -12.88%E -7.15%K -16.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.09%EV -3.96%E -1.10%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.74%EV -9.04%E -2.48%K -3.41%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-09 13:05
LowVig.ag🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.03%EV -5.13%E -2.62%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.52%EV -5.30%E -1.49%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.45%EV -7.79%E -2.11%K -2.89%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-09 17:05
BetOnline.ag🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.03%EV -5.13%E -2.62%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.52%EV -5.30%E -1.49%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.45%EV -7.79%E -2.11%K -2.89%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-09 17:10
BetAnything🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.03%EV -5.13%E -2.62%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.52%EV -5.30%E -1.49%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.45%EV -7.79%E -2.11%K -2.89%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-09 17:06
BetRivers🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 50.24%EV -14.33%E -8.09%K -18.61%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.05%EV -5.30%E -1.49%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.70%EV -10.29%E -2.86%K -3.96%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-09 13:05
Pinnacle🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.10%EV -4.65%E -2.36%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.77%EV -5.56%E -1.57%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.77I 26.53%NM 25.13%EV -6.05%E -1.60%K -2.18%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-09 17:11
1xBet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.25%EV -6.58%E -3.41%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.31%EV -5.56%E -1.57%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 25.44%EV -8.79%E -2.40%K -3.31%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-09 16:46
Marathon Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.51%EV -7.55%E -3.95%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.17%EV -5.56%E -1.57%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 25.32%EV -8.79%E -2.40%K -3.31%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-09 16:45
DraftKings🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.30%EV -5.62%E -2.88%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.91%EV -6.63%E -1.89%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -5.30%E -1.40%K -1.89%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-09 17:01
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.26%EV -8.04%E -4.23%K -8.93%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -6.63%E -1.89%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -2.81%E -0.721%K -0.969%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-09 17:01
Unibet (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.98%EV -5.62%E -2.88%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.73%EV -6.63%E -1.89%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -7.79%E -2.11%K -2.89%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-09 16:21
FanDuel🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.20%EV -11.42%E -6.24%K -13.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -6.63%E -1.89%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.55%EV -2.81%E -0.721%K -0.969%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-09 16:36
Tipico (DE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.30%EV -12.88%E -7.15%K -16.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.87%EV -6.63%E -1.89%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.83%EV -5.30%E -1.40%K -1.89%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-09 16:21
LiveScore Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 50.32%EV -15.78%E -9.07%K -21.32%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.02%EV -6.63%E -1.89%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.66%EV -11.53%E -3.25%K -4.52%G +0.000%14.2%2026-09-09 13:05
Virgin Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 50.32%EV -15.78%E -9.07%K -21.32%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.02%EV -6.63%E -1.89%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.66%EV -11.53%E -3.25%K -4.52%G +0.000%14.2%2026-09-09 13:05
NordicBet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 47.85%EV -7.07%E -3.68%K -7.68%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -7.96%E -2.31%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -10.29%E -2.86%K -3.96%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-09 16:21
Betsson🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 47.85%EV -7.07%E -3.68%K -7.68%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -7.96%E -2.31%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -10.29%E -2.86%K -3.96%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-09 16:21
betano_uk🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.77%EV -5.62%E -2.88%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -9.30%E -2.73%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.84%EV -6.55%E -1.75%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-09 16:30
Bet Victor🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.77%EV -5.62%E -2.88%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -9.30%E -2.73%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.84%EV -6.55%E -1.75%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-09 16:30
Bovada🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.96%EV -7.55%E -3.95%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.94%EV -9.30%E -2.73%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.10%EV -9.04%E -2.48%K -3.41%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-09 16:34
BetUS🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.96%EV -7.55%E -3.95%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.94%EV -9.30%E -2.73%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.10%EV -9.04%E -2.48%K -3.41%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-09 16:36
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 48.97%EV -9.49%E -5.07%K -10.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.93%EV -9.30%E -2.73%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.10%EV -5.30%E -1.40%K -1.89%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-09 16:35
Paddy Power🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.24%EV -10.46%E -5.65%K -12.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -9.30%E -2.73%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -5.30%E -1.40%K -1.89%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-09 16:35
Betway🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.89%EV -7.55%E -3.95%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.72%EV -11.96%E -3.63%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.39%EV -6.55%E -1.75%K -2.38%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-09 17:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.41%EV -7.55%E -3.95%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -11.96%E -3.63%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.15%EV -10.29%E -2.86%K -3.96%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-09 16:21
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.41%EV -7.55%E -3.95%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -11.96%E -3.63%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.15%EV -10.29%E -2.86%K -3.96%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-09 16:21
Neds🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.41%EV -7.55%E -3.95%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -11.96%E -3.63%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.15%EV -10.29%E -2.86%K -3.96%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-09 16:21
Coral🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.41%EV -7.55%E -3.95%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -11.96%E -3.63%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.15%EV -10.29%E -2.86%K -3.96%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-09 16:21
BetMGM🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.41%EV -7.55%E -3.95%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -11.96%E -3.63%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.15%EV -10.29%E -2.86%K -3.96%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-09 16:21
Betr (AU)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.13%EV -9.00%E -4.79%K -10.23%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.42%EV -11.96%E -3.63%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.45%EV -7.79%E -2.11%K -2.89%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-09 17:05
LeoVegas🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 47.54%EV -8.04%E -4.23%K -8.93%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.37%EV -11.96%E -3.63%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.09%EV -10.29%E -2.86%K -3.96%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-09 16:25
888sport🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.20%EV -5.62%E -2.88%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.30%EV -11.96%E -3.63%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -15.27%E -4.49%K -6.36%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-09 16:51
888sport (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.20%EV -5.62%E -2.88%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.30%EV -11.96%E -3.63%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -15.27%E -4.49%K -6.36%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-09 16:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.20%EV -5.62%E -2.88%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.30%EV -11.96%E -3.63%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -15.27%E -4.49%K -6.36%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-09 16:51
William Hill🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.20%EV -5.62%E -2.88%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.30%EV -11.96%E -3.63%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -15.27%E -4.49%K -6.36%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-09 16:50
betfred_uk🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 48.96%EV -11.42%E -6.24%K -13.76%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.15%EV -11.96%E -3.63%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.89%EV -6.55%E -1.75%K -2.38%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-09 16:36
SportsBet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 49.08%EV -12.39%E -6.85%K -15.30%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.92%EV -11.96%E -3.63%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.01%EV -7.79%E -2.11%K -2.89%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-09 16:35
Sky Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 48.28%EV -11.42%E -6.24%K -13.76%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.18%EV -13.30%E -4.09%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.54%EV -10.29%E -2.86%K -3.96%G +0.000%13.2%2026-09-09 16:35
BoyleSports🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 47.32%EV -11.42%E -6.24%K -13.76%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.94%EV -17.30%E -5.58%K -8.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.74%EV -12.78%E -3.65%K -5.11%G +0.000%15.5%2026-09-09 16:20
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.00I 50.00%NM 48.46%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.30%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.23%3.2%2026-09-09 17:06
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.00I 50.00%NM 48.46%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.30%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.23%3.2%2026-09-09 17:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.00I 50.00%NM 48.46%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.30%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.23%3.2%2026-09-09 17:11
Matchbook1.99I 50.25%NM 48.10%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.35%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.55%4.5%2026-09-09 17:40