Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Falkenbergs FF v Östers IF

Coup d’envoi : 2026-09-10 17:00 UTC

Score final : Falkenbergs FF 2–1 Östers IF

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

49 opérateurs (15 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Falkenbergs FF (Local)

Prévision 48.40%2.07cote équitable
EV -4.65%
Avantage -2.36%
Kelly -4.79%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.97

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
46.20%48.57%48.26%50.83%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.741.881.901.9757.47%53.22%52.63%50.76%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Östers IF (Visiteur)

Prévision 26.68%3.75cote équitable
EV +4.04%
Avantage +1.04%
Kelly +1.39%
Croissance +0.056%

avec la cote maximale 3.90

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.47%26.54%26.82%27.94%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.103.473.503.9032.26%28.85%28.57%25.64%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 24.92%4.01cote équitable
EV -2.81%
Avantage -0.721%
Kelly -0.969%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.90

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.55%24.89%24.92%26.50%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.403.673.653.9029.41%27.23%27.40%25.64%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Falkenbergs FF (Local) : 48.40% ; Östers IF (Visiteur) : 26.68% ; Match nul : 24.92%. Pour Östers IF (Visiteur), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.75. 5 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 3.90, soit une espérance positive de +4.04%.

Cotes des opérateurs (49 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
Coolbet🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 50.75%EV -9.00%E -4.79%K -10.23%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.47%EV +4.04%E +1.04%K +1.39%G +0.056%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.78%EV -4.06%E -1.05%K -1.42%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-07 11:29
Unibet (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.83%EV -10.46%E -5.65%K -12.30%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV +1.37%E +0.362%K +0.491%G +0.007%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.42%EV -4.06%E -1.05%K -1.42%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-09 13:05
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.83%EV -10.46%E -5.65%K -12.30%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV +1.37%E +0.362%K +0.491%G +0.007%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.42%EV -4.06%E -1.05%K -1.42%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-09 13:05
Svenska Spel🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.83%EV -10.46%E -5.65%K -12.30%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV +1.37%E +0.362%K +0.491%G +0.007%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.42%EV -4.06%E -1.05%K -1.42%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-09 13:05
ATG (SE)🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 50.83%EV -10.46%E -5.65%K -12.30%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.75%EV +1.37%E +0.362%K +0.491%G +0.007%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.42%EV -4.06%E -1.05%K -1.42%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-09 13:05
Unibet🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.17%EV -12.88%E -7.15%K -16.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.09%EV -3.96%E -1.10%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.74%EV -9.04%E -2.48%K -3.41%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-09 13:05
Grosvenor🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.17%EV -12.88%E -7.15%K -16.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.09%EV -3.96%E -1.10%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.74%EV -9.04%E -2.48%K -3.41%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-09 13:05
Casumo🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.17%EV -12.88%E -7.15%K -16.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.09%EV -3.96%E -1.10%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.74%EV -9.04%E -2.48%K -3.41%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-09 13:05
Unibet (NL)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.17%EV -12.88%E -7.15%K -16.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.09%EV -3.96%E -1.10%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.74%EV -9.04%E -2.48%K -3.41%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-09 13:05
TABtouch🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.17%EV -12.88%E -7.15%K -16.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.09%EV -3.96%E -1.10%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.74%EV -9.04%E -2.48%K -3.41%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-09 13:05
betPARX🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.17%EV -12.88%E -7.15%K -16.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.09%EV -3.96%E -1.10%K -1.52%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.74%EV -9.04%E -2.48%K -3.41%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-09 13:05
LowVig.ag🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.03%EV -5.13%E -2.62%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.52%EV -5.30%E -1.49%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.45%EV -7.79%E -2.11%K -2.89%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-09 17:05
BetOnline.ag🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.03%EV -5.13%E -2.62%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.52%EV -5.30%E -1.49%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.45%EV -7.79%E -2.11%K -2.89%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-09 17:10
BetAnything🎯1.96I 51.02%NM 48.03%EV -5.13%E -2.62%K -5.35%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.52%EV -5.30%E -1.49%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.45%EV -7.79%E -2.11%K -2.89%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-09 17:06
BetRivers🎯1.77I 56.50%NM 50.24%EV -14.33%E -8.09%K -18.61%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.05%EV -5.30%E -1.49%K -2.08%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.70%EV -10.29%E -2.86%K -3.96%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-09 13:05
Pinnacle🎯1.97I 50.76%NM 48.10%EV -4.65%E -2.36%K -4.79%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.77%EV -5.56%E -1.57%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.77I 26.53%NM 25.13%EV -6.05%E -1.60%K -2.18%G +0.000%5.5%2026-09-09 17:11
1xBet🎯1.93I 51.81%NM 48.25%EV -6.58%E -3.41%K -7.08%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.31%EV -5.56%E -1.57%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 25.44%EV -8.79%E -2.40%K -3.31%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-09 16:46
Marathon Bet🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 48.51%EV -7.55%E -3.95%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.17%EV -5.56%E -1.57%K -2.19%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 25.32%EV -8.79%E -2.40%K -3.31%G +0.000%7.9%2026-09-09 16:45
DraftKings🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 48.30%EV -5.62%E -2.88%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.91%EV -6.63%E -1.89%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.79%EV -5.30%E -1.40%K -1.89%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-09 17:01
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 49.26%EV -8.04%E -4.23%K -8.93%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.74%EV -6.63%E -1.89%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.00%EV -2.81%E -0.721%K -0.969%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-09 17:01
Unibet (UK)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.98%EV -5.62%E -2.88%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.73%EV -6.63%E -1.89%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.29%EV -7.79%E -2.11%K -2.89%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-09 16:21
FanDuel🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 50.20%EV -11.42%E -6.24%K -13.76%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -6.63%E -1.89%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.55%EV -2.81%E -0.721%K -0.969%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-09 16:36
Tipico (DE)🎯1.80I 55.56%NM 50.30%EV -12.88%E -7.15%K -16.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.87%EV -6.63%E -1.89%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.83%EV -5.30%E -1.40%K -1.89%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-09 16:21
LiveScore Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 50.32%EV -15.78%E -9.07%K -21.32%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.02%EV -6.63%E -1.89%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.66%EV -11.53%E -3.25%K -4.52%G +0.000%14.2%2026-09-09 13:05
Virgin Bet🎯1.74I 57.47%NM 50.32%EV -15.78%E -9.07%K -21.32%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.02%EV -6.63%E -1.89%K -2.65%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.66%EV -11.53%E -3.25%K -4.52%G +0.000%14.2%2026-09-09 13:05
NordicBet🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 47.85%EV -7.07%E -3.68%K -7.68%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -7.96%E -2.31%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -10.29%E -2.86%K -3.96%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-09 16:21
Betsson🎯1.92I 52.08%NM 47.85%EV -7.07%E -3.68%K -7.68%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.63%EV -7.96%E -2.31%K -3.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.52%EV -10.29%E -2.86%K -3.96%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-09 16:21
betano_uk🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.77%EV -5.62%E -2.88%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -9.30%E -2.73%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.84%EV -6.55%E -1.75%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-09 16:30
Bet Victor🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 47.77%EV -5.62%E -2.88%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -9.30%E -2.73%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.84%EV -6.55%E -1.75%K -2.38%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-09 16:30
Bovada🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.96%EV -7.55%E -3.95%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.94%EV -9.30%E -2.73%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.10%EV -9.04%E -2.48%K -3.41%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-09 16:34
BetUS🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.96%EV -7.55%E -3.95%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.94%EV -9.30%E -2.73%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.10%EV -9.04%E -2.48%K -3.41%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-09 16:36
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.87I 53.48%NM 48.97%EV -9.49%E -5.07%K -10.91%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.93%EV -9.30%E -2.73%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.10%EV -5.30%E -1.40%K -1.89%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-09 16:35
Paddy Power🎯1.85I 54.05%NM 49.24%EV -10.46%E -5.65%K -12.30%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -9.30%E -2.73%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -5.30%E -1.40%K -1.89%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-09 16:35
Betway🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.89%EV -7.55%E -3.95%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.72%EV -11.96%E -3.63%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.39%EV -6.55%E -1.75%K -2.38%G +0.000%9.3%2026-09-09 17:10
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.41%EV -7.55%E -3.95%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -11.96%E -3.63%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.15%EV -10.29%E -2.86%K -3.96%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-09 16:21
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.41%EV -7.55%E -3.95%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -11.96%E -3.63%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.15%EV -10.29%E -2.86%K -3.96%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-09 16:21
Neds🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.41%EV -7.55%E -3.95%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -11.96%E -3.63%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.15%EV -10.29%E -2.86%K -3.96%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-09 16:21
Coral🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.41%EV -7.55%E -3.95%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -11.96%E -3.63%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.15%EV -10.29%E -2.86%K -3.96%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-09 16:21
BetMGM🎯1.91I 52.36%NM 47.41%EV -7.55%E -3.95%K -8.30%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -11.96%E -3.63%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.15%EV -10.29%E -2.86%K -3.96%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-09 16:21
Betr (AU)🎯1.88I 53.19%NM 48.13%EV -9.00%E -4.79%K -10.23%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.42%EV -11.96%E -3.63%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.45%EV -7.79%E -2.11%K -2.89%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-09 17:05
LeoVegas🎯1.90I 52.63%NM 47.54%EV -8.04%E -4.23%K -8.93%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.37%EV -11.96%E -3.63%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.09%EV -10.29%E -2.86%K -3.96%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-09 16:25
888sport🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.20%EV -5.62%E -2.88%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.30%EV -11.96%E -3.63%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -15.27%E -4.49%K -6.36%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-09 16:51
888sport (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.20%EV -5.62%E -2.88%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.30%EV -11.96%E -3.63%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -15.27%E -4.49%K -6.36%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-09 16:50
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.20%EV -5.62%E -2.88%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.30%EV -11.96%E -3.63%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -15.27%E -4.49%K -6.36%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-09 16:51
William Hill🎯1.95I 51.28%NM 46.20%EV -5.62%E -2.88%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.30%EV -11.96%E -3.63%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.50%EV -15.27%E -4.49%K -6.36%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-09 16:50
betfred_uk🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 48.96%EV -11.42%E -6.24%K -13.76%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.15%EV -11.96%E -3.63%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.89%EV -6.55%E -1.75%K -2.38%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-09 16:36
SportsBet🎯1.81I 55.25%NM 49.08%EV -12.39%E -6.85%K -15.30%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.92%EV -11.96%E -3.63%K -5.20%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.01%EV -7.79%E -2.11%K -2.89%G +0.000%12.6%2026-09-09 16:35
Sky Bet🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 48.28%EV -11.42%E -6.24%K -13.76%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.18%EV -13.30%E -4.09%K -5.91%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.54%EV -10.29%E -2.86%K -3.96%G +0.000%13.2%2026-09-09 16:35
BoyleSports🎯1.83I 54.64%NM 47.32%EV -11.42%E -6.24%K -13.76%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.94%EV -17.30%E -5.58%K -8.24%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.74%EV -12.78%E -3.65%K -5.11%G +0.000%15.5%2026-09-09 16:20
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.00I 50.00%NM 48.46%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.30%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.23%3.2%2026-09-09 17:06
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.00I 50.00%NM 48.46%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.30%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.23%3.2%2026-09-09 17:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.00I 50.00%NM 48.46%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.30%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.23%3.2%2026-09-09 17:11
Matchbook◎1.99I 50.25%NM 48.10%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.35%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.55%4.5%2026-09-09 17:40