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Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)
+ Novo modeloTodos os modelos

Västerås SK v Malmo FF

Início: 2026-09-19 13:00 UTC

Final: Västerås SK 2–0 Malmo FF

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

56 casas de apostas (17 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Västerås SK (Local)

Previsão 30.11%3.32odd justa
EV +2.36%
Vantagem +0.694%
Kelly +0.983%
Crescimento +0.023%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.40

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
28.58%30.08%30.07%30.97%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
2.883.103.103.4034.72%32.30%32.26%29.41%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Malmo FF (Visitante)

Previsão 44.01%2.27odd justa
EV -3.17%
Vantagem -1.44%
Kelly -2.64%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 2.20

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
42.23%44.00%44.01%45.84%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.962.092.102.2051.02%47.89%47.62%45.45%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 25.88%3.86odd justa
EV -1.65%
Vantagem -0.435%
Kelly -0.590%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.80

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
24.78%25.92%25.93%27.51%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.303.543.553.8030.30%28.23%28.13%26.32%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Västerås SK (Local): 30.11%; Malmo FF (Visitante): 44.01%; Empate: 25.88%. Para Västerås SK (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.32. 3 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 3.40, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +2.36%.

Odds das casas de apostas (56 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Unibet (SE)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 28.58%EV +2.36%E +0.694%K +0.983%G +0.023%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.84%EV -6.69%E -3.16%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.57%EV -1.65%E -0.435%K -0.590%G +0.000%2.9%2026-09-16 22:10
ATG (SE)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 28.58%EV +2.36%E +0.694%K +0.983%G +0.023%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.84%EV -6.69%E -3.16%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.57%EV -1.65%E -0.435%K -0.590%G +0.000%2.9%2026-09-16 22:11
Svenska Spel🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 28.58%EV +2.36%E +0.694%K +0.983%G +0.023%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.84%EV -6.69%E -3.16%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.57%EV -1.65%E -0.435%K -0.590%G +0.000%2.9%2026-09-16 22:11
Unibet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -2.16%E -0.664%K -0.959%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.33%EV -9.33%E -4.53%K -8.80%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -6.83%E -1.90%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-16 22:10
Grosvenor🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -2.16%E -0.664%K -0.959%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.33%EV -9.33%E -4.53%K -8.80%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -6.83%E -1.90%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-16 22:11
Casumo🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -2.16%E -0.664%K -0.959%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.33%EV -9.33%E -4.53%K -8.80%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -6.83%E -1.90%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-16 22:11
Unibet (NL)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -2.16%E -0.664%K -0.959%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.33%EV -9.33%E -4.53%K -8.80%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -6.83%E -1.90%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-16 22:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -2.16%E -0.664%K -0.959%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.33%EV -9.33%E -4.53%K -8.80%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -6.83%E -1.90%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-16 22:11
betPARX🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -2.16%E -0.664%K -0.959%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.33%EV -9.33%E -4.53%K -8.80%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -6.83%E -1.90%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-16 22:10
Betsson🎯3.23I 30.96%NM 29.41%EV -2.76%E -0.854%K -1.24%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.98%EV -4.93%E -2.28%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.57I 28.01%NM 26.61%EV -7.61%E -2.13%K -2.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-17 10:00
Coolbet🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 30.13%EV -3.66%E -1.14%K -1.66%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.82%EV -3.17%E -1.44%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.05%EV -4.24%E -1.15%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-18 14:50
LowVig.ag🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.66%EV -3.66%E -1.14%K -1.66%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.34%EV -5.81%E -2.72%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.00%EV -5.54%E -1.52%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-18 13:05
BetOnline.ag🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.66%EV -3.66%E -1.14%K -1.66%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.34%EV -5.81%E -2.72%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.00%EV -5.54%E -1.52%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-18 13:05
BetAnything🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.66%EV -3.66%E -1.14%K -1.66%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.34%EV -5.81%E -2.72%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.00%EV -5.54%E -1.52%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-18 13:05
BetUS🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.66%EV -3.66%E -1.14%K -1.66%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.34%EV -5.81%E -2.72%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.00%EV -5.54%E -1.52%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-18 13:05
Tipico (DE)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -3.66%E -1.14%K -1.66%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -9.77%E -4.77%K -9.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -9.42%E -2.69%K -3.77%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-16 20:30
DraftKings🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.15%EV -5.17%E -1.64%K -2.40%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.18%EV -5.37%E -2.50%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.67%EV -4.24%E -1.15%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-18 13:05
NordicBet🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -5.17%E -1.64%K -2.40%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.88%EV -6.69%E -3.16%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -9.42%E -2.69%K -3.77%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-15 12:20
Virgin Bet🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 28.91%EV -5.17%E -1.64%K -2.40%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.08%EV -11.09%E -5.49%K -10.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -9.42%E -2.69%K -3.77%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-16 22:10
Pinnacle🎯3.14I 31.85%NM 30.36%EV -5.47%E -1.74%K -2.56%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.35%EV -5.37%E -2.50%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.77I 26.53%NM 25.29%EV -2.43%E -0.644%K -0.877%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-18 13:40
GTbets🎯3.14I 31.85%NM 30.03%EV -5.47%E -1.74%K -2.56%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.06%EV -5.81%E -2.72%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 25.91%EV -5.79%E -1.59%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-13 00:10
LeoVegas🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -6.67%E -2.15%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.81%EV -5.37%E -2.50%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -5.54%E -1.52%K -2.09%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-18 04:25
Bovada🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.37%EV -6.67%E -2.15%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.19%EV -6.25%E -2.93%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.44%EV -4.24%E -1.15%K -1.57%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-15 20:10
Unibet (UK)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -6.67%E -2.15%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.65%EV -5.37%E -2.50%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -6.83%E -1.90%K -2.63%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-15 23:05
1xBet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.13%EV -6.67%E -2.15%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.64%EV -5.81%E -2.72%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.23%EV -7.86%E -2.21%K -3.07%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-15 20:10
FanDuel🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.96%EV -6.67%E -2.15%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.23%EV -7.57%E -3.61%K -6.88%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -6.83%E -1.90%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-17 13:00
BetMGM🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.96%EV -6.67%E -2.15%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.23%EV -7.57%E -3.61%K -6.88%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -6.83%E -1.90%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-18 00:44
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.96%EV -6.67%E -2.15%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.23%EV -7.57%E -3.61%K -6.88%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -6.83%E -1.90%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-16 13:00
BetRivers🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.00%EV -6.67%E -2.15%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.95%EV -11.97%E -5.99%K -11.97%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.06%EV -10.71%E -3.10%K -4.37%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-16 22:11
TABtouch🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.80%EV -6.67%E -2.15%K -3.18%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 45.32%EV -13.29%E -6.75%K -13.70%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.88%EV -10.71%E -3.10%K -4.37%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-16 22:10
LiveScore Bet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 29.03%EV -8.18%E -2.68%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 44.94%EV -13.29%E -6.75%K -13.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.04%EV -12.01%E -3.53%K -5.00%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-16 22:10
PMU (FR)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 28.96%EV -8.18%E -2.68%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 45.06%EV -13.73%E -7.01%K -14.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.98%EV -12.01%E -3.53%K -5.00%G +0.000%13.2%2026-09-16 22:10
Betway🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -9.68%E -3.23%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.25%EV -7.57%E -3.61%K -6.88%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -2.95%E -0.786%K -1.07%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-16 09:35
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -9.68%E -3.23%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.22%EV -5.37%E -2.50%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -6.83%E -1.90%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-15 23:05
betfred_uk🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.66%EV -9.68%E -3.23%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -7.57%E -3.61%K -6.88%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -6.83%E -1.90%K -2.63%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-17 13:05
Bet Right🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.55%EV -9.68%E -3.23%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.64%EV -7.57%E -3.61%K -6.88%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.81%EV -8.12%E -2.29%K -3.19%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-17 13:05
betano_uk🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -9.68%E -3.23%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -7.57%E -3.61%K -6.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -9.42%E -2.69%K -3.77%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-15 20:09
Bet Victor🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -9.68%E -3.23%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -7.57%E -3.61%K -6.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -9.42%E -2.69%K -3.77%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-15 20:10
SportsBet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.31%EV -9.68%E -3.23%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 43.71%EV -8.45%E -4.06%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.98%EV -9.42%E -2.69%K -3.77%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-15 23:05
888sport🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -9.68%E -3.23%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -5.37%E -2.50%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -14.59%E -4.42%K -6.34%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-15 23:01
888sport (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -9.68%E -3.23%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -5.37%E -2.50%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -14.59%E -4.42%K -6.34%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-15 23:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -9.68%E -3.23%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -5.37%E -2.50%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -14.59%E -4.42%K -6.34%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-15 23:00
William Hill🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -9.68%E -3.23%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -5.37%E -2.50%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -14.59%E -4.42%K -6.34%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-15 23:00
Paddy Power🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.12%EV -9.68%E -3.23%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.07%EV -9.77%E -4.77%K -9.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -9.42%E -2.69%K -3.77%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-15 23:09
PlayUp🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.08%EV -9.68%E -3.23%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 43.38%EV -8.45%E -4.06%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.54%EV -12.01%E -3.53%K -5.00%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-18 07:15
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -9.68%E -3.23%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -9.77%E -4.77%K -9.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -12.01%E -3.53%K -5.00%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-18 00:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -9.68%E -3.23%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -9.77%E -4.77%K -9.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -12.01%E -3.53%K -5.00%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-18 00:40
Neds🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -9.68%E -3.23%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -9.77%E -4.77%K -9.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -12.01%E -3.53%K -5.00%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-18 00:40
Coral🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -9.68%E -3.23%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -9.77%E -4.77%K -9.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -12.01%E -3.53%K -5.00%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-18 00:40
Betclic (FR)🎯2.98I 33.56%NM 29.95%EV -10.29%E -3.45%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 43.96%EV -10.65%E -5.25%K -10.34%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 26.09%EV -11.49%E -3.36%K -4.75%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-17 13:16
Betr (AU)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.79%EV -11.19%E -3.79%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.26%EV -7.57%E -3.61%K -6.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.95%EV -9.42%E -2.69%K -3.77%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-18 13:10
Winamax (DE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.58%EV -11.19%E -3.79%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.01%EV -9.77%E -4.77%K -9.31%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.41%EV -8.12%E -2.29%K -3.19%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-17 07:01
Unibet (FR)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 29.80%EV -11.19%E -3.79%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 43.96%EV -11.97%E -5.99%K -11.97%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.24%EV -13.30%E -3.97%K -5.66%G +0.000%13.7%2026-09-18 13:10
Sky Bet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.60%EV -12.69%E -4.38%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.29%EV -9.77%E -4.77%K -9.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.10%EV -12.01%E -3.53%K -5.00%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-16 13:01
Winamax (FR)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.39%EV -12.69%E -4.38%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.07%EV -11.97%E -5.99%K -11.97%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.55%EV -10.71%E -3.10%K -4.37%G +0.000%13.5%2026-09-17 07:06
BoyleSports🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 30.65%EV -13.30%E -4.62%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.13%EV -11.97%E -5.99%K -11.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.22%EV -9.42%E -2.69%K -3.77%G +0.000%13.3%2026-09-14 02:19
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Matchbook◎3.30I 30.30%NM 29.59%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.38%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.04%2.4%2026-09-18 14:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.30I 30.30%NM 29.47%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.60%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.93%2.8%2026-09-18 14:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.30I 30.30%NM 29.47%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.60%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.93%2.8%2026-09-18 14:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.30I 30.30%NM 29.47%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.60%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.93%2.8%2026-09-18 14:55
Smarkets◎3.25I 30.77%NM 29.66%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.63%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.71%3.7%2026-09-18 13:45