L’École des cotesodds.school
Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)
+ Nouveau modèleTous les modèles

Västerås SK v Malmo FF

Coup d’envoi : 2026-09-19 13:00 UTC

Score final : Västerås SK 2–0 Malmo FF

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

56 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Västerås SK (Local)

Prévision 30.11%3.32cote équitable
EV +2.36%
Avantage +0.694%
Kelly +0.983%
Croissance +0.023%

avec la cote maximale 3.40

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
28.58%30.08%30.07%30.97%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.883.103.103.4034.72%32.30%32.26%29.41%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Malmo FF (Visiteur)

Prévision 44.01%2.27cote équitable
EV -3.17%
Avantage -1.44%
Kelly -2.64%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.20

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
42.23%44.00%44.01%45.84%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.962.092.102.2051.02%47.89%47.62%45.45%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 25.88%3.86cote équitable
EV -1.65%
Avantage -0.435%
Kelly -0.590%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.80

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.78%25.92%25.93%27.51%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.303.543.553.8030.30%28.23%28.13%26.32%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Västerås SK (Local) : 30.11% ; Malmo FF (Visiteur) : 44.01% ; Match nul : 25.88%. Pour Västerås SK (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.32. 3 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 3.40, soit une espérance positive de +2.36%.

Cotes des opérateurs (56 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Unibet (SE)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 28.58%EV +2.36%E +0.694%K +0.983%G +0.023%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.84%EV -6.69%E -3.16%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.57%EV -1.65%E -0.435%K -0.590%G +0.000%2.9%2026-09-16 22:10
ATG (SE)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 28.58%EV +2.36%E +0.694%K +0.983%G +0.023%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.84%EV -6.69%E -3.16%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.57%EV -1.65%E -0.435%K -0.590%G +0.000%2.9%2026-09-16 22:11
Svenska Spel🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 28.58%EV +2.36%E +0.694%K +0.983%G +0.023%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.84%EV -6.69%E -3.16%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.57%EV -1.65%E -0.435%K -0.590%G +0.000%2.9%2026-09-16 22:11
Unibet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -2.16%E -0.664%K -0.959%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.33%EV -9.33%E -4.53%K -8.80%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -6.83%E -1.90%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-16 22:10
Grosvenor🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -2.16%E -0.664%K -0.959%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.33%EV -9.33%E -4.53%K -8.80%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -6.83%E -1.90%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-16 22:11
Casumo🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -2.16%E -0.664%K -0.959%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.33%EV -9.33%E -4.53%K -8.80%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -6.83%E -1.90%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-16 22:11
Unibet (NL)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -2.16%E -0.664%K -0.959%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.33%EV -9.33%E -4.53%K -8.80%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -6.83%E -1.90%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-16 22:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -2.16%E -0.664%K -0.959%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.33%EV -9.33%E -4.53%K -8.80%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -6.83%E -1.90%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-16 22:11
betPARX🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -2.16%E -0.664%K -0.959%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.33%EV -9.33%E -4.53%K -8.80%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -6.83%E -1.90%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-16 22:10
Betsson🎯3.23I 30.96%NM 29.41%EV -2.76%E -0.854%K -1.24%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.98%EV -4.93%E -2.28%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.57I 28.01%NM 26.61%EV -7.61%E -2.13%K -2.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-17 10:00
Coolbet🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 30.13%EV -3.66%E -1.14%K -1.66%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.82%EV -3.17%E -1.44%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.05%EV -4.24%E -1.15%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-18 14:50
LowVig.ag🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.66%EV -3.66%E -1.14%K -1.66%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.34%EV -5.81%E -2.72%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.00%EV -5.54%E -1.52%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-18 13:05
BetOnline.ag🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.66%EV -3.66%E -1.14%K -1.66%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.34%EV -5.81%E -2.72%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.00%EV -5.54%E -1.52%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-18 13:05
BetAnything🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.66%EV -3.66%E -1.14%K -1.66%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.34%EV -5.81%E -2.72%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.00%EV -5.54%E -1.52%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-18 13:05
BetUS🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.66%EV -3.66%E -1.14%K -1.66%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.34%EV -5.81%E -2.72%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.00%EV -5.54%E -1.52%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-18 13:05
Tipico (DE)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -3.66%E -1.14%K -1.66%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -9.77%E -4.77%K -9.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -9.42%E -2.69%K -3.77%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-16 20:30
DraftKings🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.15%EV -5.17%E -1.64%K -2.40%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.18%EV -5.37%E -2.50%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.67%EV -4.24%E -1.15%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-18 13:05
NordicBet🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -5.17%E -1.64%K -2.40%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.88%EV -6.69%E -3.16%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -9.42%E -2.69%K -3.77%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-15 12:20
Virgin Bet🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 28.91%EV -5.17%E -1.64%K -2.40%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.08%EV -11.09%E -5.49%K -10.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -9.42%E -2.69%K -3.77%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-16 22:10
Pinnacle🎯3.14I 31.85%NM 30.36%EV -5.47%E -1.74%K -2.56%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.35%EV -5.37%E -2.50%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.77I 26.53%NM 25.29%EV -2.43%E -0.644%K -0.877%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-18 13:40
GTbets🎯3.14I 31.85%NM 30.03%EV -5.47%E -1.74%K -2.56%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.06%EV -5.81%E -2.72%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 25.91%EV -5.79%E -1.59%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-13 00:10
LeoVegas🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -6.67%E -2.15%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.81%EV -5.37%E -2.50%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -5.54%E -1.52%K -2.09%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-18 04:25
Bovada🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.37%EV -6.67%E -2.15%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.19%EV -6.25%E -2.93%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.44%EV -4.24%E -1.15%K -1.57%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-15 20:10
Unibet (UK)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -6.67%E -2.15%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.65%EV -5.37%E -2.50%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -6.83%E -1.90%K -2.63%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-15 23:05
1xBet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.13%EV -6.67%E -2.15%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.64%EV -5.81%E -2.72%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.23%EV -7.86%E -2.21%K -3.07%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-15 20:10
FanDuel🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.96%EV -6.67%E -2.15%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.23%EV -7.57%E -3.61%K -6.88%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -6.83%E -1.90%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-17 13:00
BetMGM🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.96%EV -6.67%E -2.15%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.23%EV -7.57%E -3.61%K -6.88%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -6.83%E -1.90%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-18 00:44
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.96%EV -6.67%E -2.15%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.23%EV -7.57%E -3.61%K -6.88%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -6.83%E -1.90%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-16 13:00
BetRivers🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.00%EV -6.67%E -2.15%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.95%EV -11.97%E -5.99%K -11.97%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.06%EV -10.71%E -3.10%K -4.37%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-16 22:11
TABtouch🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.80%EV -6.67%E -2.15%K -3.18%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 45.32%EV -13.29%E -6.75%K -13.70%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.88%EV -10.71%E -3.10%K -4.37%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-16 22:10
LiveScore Bet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 29.03%EV -8.18%E -2.68%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 44.94%EV -13.29%E -6.75%K -13.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.04%EV -12.01%E -3.53%K -5.00%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-16 22:10
PMU (FR)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 28.96%EV -8.18%E -2.68%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 45.06%EV -13.73%E -7.01%K -14.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.98%EV -12.01%E -3.53%K -5.00%G +0.000%13.2%2026-09-16 22:10
Betway🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -9.68%E -3.23%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.25%EV -7.57%E -3.61%K -6.88%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -2.95%E -0.786%K -1.07%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-16 09:35
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -9.68%E -3.23%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.22%EV -5.37%E -2.50%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -6.83%E -1.90%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-15 23:05
betfred_uk🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.66%EV -9.68%E -3.23%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -7.57%E -3.61%K -6.88%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -6.83%E -1.90%K -2.63%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-17 13:05
Bet Right🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.55%EV -9.68%E -3.23%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.64%EV -7.57%E -3.61%K -6.88%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.81%EV -8.12%E -2.29%K -3.19%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-17 13:05
betano_uk🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -9.68%E -3.23%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -7.57%E -3.61%K -6.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -9.42%E -2.69%K -3.77%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-15 20:09
Bet Victor🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -9.68%E -3.23%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -7.57%E -3.61%K -6.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -9.42%E -2.69%K -3.77%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-15 20:10
SportsBet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.31%EV -9.68%E -3.23%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 43.71%EV -8.45%E -4.06%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.98%EV -9.42%E -2.69%K -3.77%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-15 23:05
888sport🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -9.68%E -3.23%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -5.37%E -2.50%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -14.59%E -4.42%K -6.34%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-15 23:01
888sport (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -9.68%E -3.23%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -5.37%E -2.50%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -14.59%E -4.42%K -6.34%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-15 23:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -9.68%E -3.23%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -5.37%E -2.50%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -14.59%E -4.42%K -6.34%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-15 23:00
William Hill🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -9.68%E -3.23%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -5.37%E -2.50%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -14.59%E -4.42%K -6.34%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-15 23:00
Paddy Power🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.12%EV -9.68%E -3.23%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.07%EV -9.77%E -4.77%K -9.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -9.42%E -2.69%K -3.77%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-15 23:09
PlayUp🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.08%EV -9.68%E -3.23%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 43.38%EV -8.45%E -4.06%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.54%EV -12.01%E -3.53%K -5.00%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-18 07:15
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -9.68%E -3.23%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -9.77%E -4.77%K -9.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -12.01%E -3.53%K -5.00%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-18 00:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -9.68%E -3.23%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -9.77%E -4.77%K -9.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -12.01%E -3.53%K -5.00%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-18 00:40
Neds🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -9.68%E -3.23%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -9.77%E -4.77%K -9.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -12.01%E -3.53%K -5.00%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-18 00:40
Coral🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -9.68%E -3.23%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -9.77%E -4.77%K -9.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -12.01%E -3.53%K -5.00%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-18 00:40
Betclic (FR)🎯2.98I 33.56%NM 29.95%EV -10.29%E -3.45%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 43.96%EV -10.65%E -5.25%K -10.34%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 26.09%EV -11.49%E -3.36%K -4.75%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-17 13:16
Betr (AU)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.79%EV -11.19%E -3.79%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.26%EV -7.57%E -3.61%K -6.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.95%EV -9.42%E -2.69%K -3.77%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-18 13:10
Winamax (DE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.58%EV -11.19%E -3.79%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.01%EV -9.77%E -4.77%K -9.31%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.41%EV -8.12%E -2.29%K -3.19%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-17 07:01
Unibet (FR)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 29.80%EV -11.19%E -3.79%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 43.96%EV -11.97%E -5.99%K -11.97%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.24%EV -13.30%E -3.97%K -5.66%G +0.000%13.7%2026-09-18 13:10
Sky Bet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.60%EV -12.69%E -4.38%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.29%EV -9.77%E -4.77%K -9.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.10%EV -12.01%E -3.53%K -5.00%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-16 13:01
Winamax (FR)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.39%EV -12.69%E -4.38%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.07%EV -11.97%E -5.99%K -11.97%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.55%EV -10.71%E -3.10%K -4.37%G +0.000%13.5%2026-09-17 07:06
BoyleSports🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 30.65%EV -13.30%E -4.62%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.13%EV -11.97%E -5.99%K -11.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.22%EV -9.42%E -2.69%K -3.77%G +0.000%13.3%2026-09-14 02:19
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Matchbook◎3.30I 30.30%NM 29.59%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.38%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.04%2.4%2026-09-18 14:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.30I 30.30%NM 29.47%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.60%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.93%2.8%2026-09-18 14:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.30I 30.30%NM 29.47%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.60%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.93%2.8%2026-09-18 14:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.30I 30.30%NM 29.47%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.60%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.93%2.8%2026-09-18 14:55
Smarkets◎3.25I 30.77%NM 29.66%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.63%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.71%3.7%2026-09-18 13:45