La escuela de los momiosmomios.info
Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)
+ Nuevo modeloTodos los modelos

Västerås SK v Malmo FF

Inicio: 2026-09-19 13:00 UTC

Final: Västerås SK 2–0 Malmo FF

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

56 corredores (17 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Västerås SK (Local)

Predicción 30.11%3.32momio equitativo
EV +2.36%
Ventaja +0.694%
Kelly +0.983%
Crecimiento +0.023%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.40

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.58%30.08%30.07%30.97%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.883.103.103.4034.72%32.30%32.26%29.41%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Malmo FF (Visitante)

Predicción 44.01%2.27momio equitativo
EV -3.17%
Ventaja -1.44%
Kelly -2.64%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.20

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
42.23%44.00%44.01%45.84%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
1.962.092.102.2051.02%47.89%47.62%45.45%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Predicción 25.88%3.86momio equitativo
EV -1.65%
Ventaja -0.435%
Kelly -0.590%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.80

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
24.78%25.92%25.93%27.51%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.303.543.553.8030.30%28.23%28.13%26.32%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Con la última cotización anterior al inicio, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estimó estas probabilidades para Resultado del partido: Västerås SK (Local): 30.11%; Malmo FF (Visitante): 44.01%; Empate: 25.88%. Para Västerås SK (Local), esa estimación equivalía a momios decimales justos de 3.32. 3 corredores ofrecieron momios de cierre superiores a ese nivel; los mejores fueron 3.40, correspondientes a un valor esperado positivo de +2.36%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (56 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Unibet (SE)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 28.58%EV +2.36%E +0.694%K +0.983%G +0.023%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.84%EV -6.69%E -3.16%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.57%EV -1.65%E -0.435%K -0.590%G +0.000%2.9%2026-09-16 22:10
ATG (SE)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 28.58%EV +2.36%E +0.694%K +0.983%G +0.023%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.84%EV -6.69%E -3.16%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.57%EV -1.65%E -0.435%K -0.590%G +0.000%2.9%2026-09-16 22:11
Svenska Spel🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 28.58%EV +2.36%E +0.694%K +0.983%G +0.023%2.12I 47.17%NM 45.84%EV -6.69%E -3.16%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 25.57%EV -1.65%E -0.435%K -0.590%G +0.000%2.9%2026-09-16 22:11
Unibet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -2.16%E -0.664%K -0.959%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.33%EV -9.33%E -4.53%K -8.80%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -6.83%E -1.90%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-16 22:10
Grosvenor🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -2.16%E -0.664%K -0.959%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.33%EV -9.33%E -4.53%K -8.80%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -6.83%E -1.90%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-16 22:11
Casumo🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -2.16%E -0.664%K -0.959%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.33%EV -9.33%E -4.53%K -8.80%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -6.83%E -1.90%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-16 22:11
Unibet (NL)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -2.16%E -0.664%K -0.959%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.33%EV -9.33%E -4.53%K -8.80%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -6.83%E -1.90%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-16 22:10
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -2.16%E -0.664%K -0.959%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.33%EV -9.33%E -4.53%K -8.80%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -6.83%E -1.90%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-16 22:11
betPARX🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.73%EV -2.16%E -0.664%K -0.959%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 45.33%EV -9.33%E -4.53%K -8.80%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.94%EV -6.83%E -1.90%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-16 22:10
Betsson🎯3.23I 30.96%NM 29.41%EV -2.76%E -0.854%K -1.24%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.98%EV -4.93%E -2.28%K -4.25%G +0.000%3.57I 28.01%NM 26.61%EV -7.61%E -2.13%K -2.96%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-17 10:00
Coolbet🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 30.13%EV -3.66%E -1.14%K -1.66%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.82%EV -3.17%E -1.44%K -2.64%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.05%EV -4.24%E -1.15%K -1.57%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-18 14:50
LowVig.ag🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.66%EV -3.66%E -1.14%K -1.66%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.34%EV -5.81%E -2.72%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.00%EV -5.54%E -1.52%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-18 13:05
BetOnline.ag🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.66%EV -3.66%E -1.14%K -1.66%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.34%EV -5.81%E -2.72%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.00%EV -5.54%E -1.52%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-18 13:05
BetAnything🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.66%EV -3.66%E -1.14%K -1.66%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.34%EV -5.81%E -2.72%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.00%EV -5.54%E -1.52%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-18 13:05
BetUS🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.66%EV -3.66%E -1.14%K -1.66%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.34%EV -5.81%E -2.72%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.00%EV -5.54%E -1.52%K -2.09%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-18 13:05
Tipico (DE)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.77%EV -3.66%E -1.14%K -1.66%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.92%EV -9.77%E -4.77%K -9.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.31%EV -9.42%E -2.69%K -3.77%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-16 20:30
DraftKings🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 30.15%EV -5.17%E -1.64%K -2.40%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.18%EV -5.37%E -2.50%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.67%EV -4.24%E -1.15%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-18 13:05
NordicBet🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 29.53%EV -5.17%E -1.64%K -2.40%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.88%EV -6.69%E -3.16%K -5.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -9.42%E -2.69%K -3.77%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-15 12:20
Virgin Bet🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 28.91%EV -5.17%E -1.64%K -2.40%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 45.08%EV -11.09%E -5.49%K -10.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.02%EV -9.42%E -2.69%K -3.77%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-16 22:10
Pinnacle🎯3.14I 31.85%NM 30.36%EV -5.47%E -1.74%K -2.56%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 44.35%EV -5.37%E -2.50%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.77I 26.53%NM 25.29%EV -2.43%E -0.644%K -0.877%G +0.000%4.9%2026-09-18 13:40
GTbets🎯3.14I 31.85%NM 30.03%EV -5.47%E -1.74%K -2.56%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 44.06%EV -5.81%E -2.72%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.64I 27.47%NM 25.91%EV -5.79%E -1.59%K -2.19%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-13 00:10
LeoVegas🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.38%EV -6.67%E -2.15%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.81%EV -5.37%E -2.50%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.81%EV -5.54%E -1.52%K -2.09%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-18 04:25
Bovada🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.37%EV -6.67%E -2.15%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.19%EV -6.25%E -2.93%K -5.53%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.44%EV -4.24%E -1.15%K -1.57%G +0.000%6.2%2026-09-15 20:10
Unibet (UK)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.28%EV -6.67%E -2.15%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.65%EV -5.37%E -2.50%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.07%EV -6.83%E -1.90%K -2.63%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-15 23:05
1xBet🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 30.13%EV -6.67%E -2.15%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.64%EV -5.81%E -2.72%K -5.10%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.23%EV -7.86%E -2.21%K -3.07%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-15 20:10
FanDuel🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.96%EV -6.67%E -2.15%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.23%EV -7.57%E -3.61%K -6.88%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -6.83%E -1.90%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-17 13:00
BetMGM🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.96%EV -6.67%E -2.15%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.23%EV -7.57%E -3.61%K -6.88%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -6.83%E -1.90%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-18 00:44
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.96%EV -6.67%E -2.15%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.23%EV -7.57%E -3.61%K -6.88%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.80%EV -6.83%E -1.90%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.7%2026-09-16 13:00
BetRivers🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.00%EV -6.67%E -2.15%K -3.18%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.95%EV -11.97%E -5.99%K -11.97%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.06%EV -10.71%E -3.10%K -4.37%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-16 22:11
TABtouch🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.80%EV -6.67%E -2.15%K -3.18%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 45.32%EV -13.29%E -6.75%K -13.70%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.88%EV -10.71%E -3.10%K -4.37%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-16 22:10
LiveScore Bet🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 29.03%EV -8.18%E -2.68%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.97I 50.76%NM 44.94%EV -13.29%E -6.75%K -13.70%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.04%EV -12.01%E -3.53%K -5.00%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-16 22:10
PMU (FR)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 28.96%EV -8.18%E -2.68%K -3.99%G +0.000%1.96I 51.02%NM 45.06%EV -13.73%E -7.01%K -14.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.98%EV -12.01%E -3.53%K -5.00%G +0.000%13.2%2026-09-16 22:10
Betway🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -9.68%E -3.23%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.25%EV -7.57%E -3.61%K -6.88%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.78%EV -2.95%E -0.786%K -1.07%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-16 09:35
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.97%EV -9.68%E -3.23%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.22%EV -5.37%E -2.50%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.81%EV -6.83%E -1.90%K -2.63%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-15 23:05
betfred_uk🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.66%EV -9.68%E -3.23%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.80%EV -7.57%E -3.61%K -6.88%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -6.83%E -1.90%K -2.63%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-17 13:05
Bet Right🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.55%EV -9.68%E -3.23%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.64%EV -7.57%E -3.61%K -6.88%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.81%EV -8.12%E -2.29%K -3.19%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-17 13:05
betano_uk🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -9.68%E -3.23%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -7.57%E -3.61%K -6.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -9.42%E -2.69%K -3.77%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-15 20:09
Bet Victor🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.43%EV -9.68%E -3.23%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.48%EV -7.57%E -3.61%K -6.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.09%EV -9.42%E -2.69%K -3.77%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-15 20:10
SportsBet🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.31%EV -9.68%E -3.23%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 43.71%EV -8.45%E -4.06%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.98%EV -9.42%E -2.69%K -3.77%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-15 23:05
888sport🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -9.68%E -3.23%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -5.37%E -2.50%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -14.59%E -4.42%K -6.34%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-15 23:01
888sport (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -9.68%E -3.23%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -5.37%E -2.50%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -14.59%E -4.42%K -6.34%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-15 23:00
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -9.68%E -3.23%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -5.37%E -2.50%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -14.59%E -4.42%K -6.34%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-15 23:00
William Hill🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.26%EV -9.68%E -3.23%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.23%EV -5.37%E -2.50%K -4.67%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.51%EV -14.59%E -4.42%K -6.34%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-15 23:00
Paddy Power🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.12%EV -9.68%E -3.23%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.07%EV -9.77%E -4.77%K -9.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.81%EV -9.42%E -2.69%K -3.77%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-15 23:09
PlayUp🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 30.08%EV -9.68%E -3.23%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 43.38%EV -8.45%E -4.06%K -7.83%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.54%EV -12.01%E -3.53%K -5.00%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-18 07:15
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -9.68%E -3.23%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -9.77%E -4.77%K -9.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -12.01%E -3.53%K -5.00%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-18 00:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -9.68%E -3.23%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -9.77%E -4.77%K -9.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -12.01%E -3.53%K -5.00%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-18 00:40
Neds🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -9.68%E -3.23%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -9.77%E -4.77%K -9.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -12.01%E -3.53%K -5.00%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-18 00:40
Coral🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.89%EV -9.68%E -3.23%K -4.84%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.74%EV -9.77%E -4.77%K -9.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.37%EV -12.01%E -3.53%K -5.00%G +0.000%11.5%2026-09-18 00:40
Betclic (FR)🎯2.98I 33.56%NM 29.95%EV -10.29%E -3.45%K -5.19%G +0.000%2.03I 49.26%NM 43.96%EV -10.65%E -5.25%K -10.34%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 26.09%EV -11.49%E -3.36%K -4.75%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-17 13:16
Betr (AU)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.79%EV -11.19%E -3.79%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.26%EV -7.57%E -3.61%K -6.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.95%EV -9.42%E -2.69%K -3.77%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-18 13:10
Winamax (DE)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 30.58%EV -11.19%E -3.79%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.01%EV -9.77%E -4.77%K -9.31%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.41%EV -8.12%E -2.29%K -3.19%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-17 07:01
Unibet (FR)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 29.80%EV -11.19%E -3.79%K -5.74%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 43.96%EV -11.97%E -5.99%K -11.97%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.24%EV -13.30%E -3.97%K -5.66%G +0.000%13.7%2026-09-18 13:10
Sky Bet🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.60%EV -12.69%E -4.38%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.29%EV -9.77%E -4.77%K -9.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.10%EV -12.01%E -3.53%K -5.00%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-16 13:01
Winamax (FR)🎯2.90I 34.48%NM 30.39%EV -12.69%E -4.38%K -6.68%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.07%EV -11.97%E -5.99%K -11.97%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.55%EV -10.71%E -3.10%K -4.37%G +0.000%13.5%2026-09-17 07:06
BoyleSports🎯2.88I 34.72%NM 30.65%EV -13.30%E -4.62%K -7.07%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.13%EV -11.97%E -5.99%K -11.97%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.22%EV -9.42%E -2.69%K -3.77%G +0.000%13.3%2026-09-14 02:19
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Matchbook◎3.30I 30.30%NM 29.59%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.38%3.75I 26.67%NM 26.04%2.4%2026-09-18 14:40
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.30I 30.30%NM 29.47%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.60%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.93%2.8%2026-09-18 14:50
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.30I 30.30%NM 29.47%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.60%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.93%2.8%2026-09-18 14:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.30I 30.30%NM 29.47%2.18I 45.87%NM 44.60%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.93%2.8%2026-09-18 14:55
Smarkets◎3.25I 30.77%NM 29.66%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.63%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.71%3.7%2026-09-18 13:45