Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Västerås SK v Kalmar FF

Kickoff: 2026-08-23 12:00 UTC

Final: Västerås SK 0–0 Kalmar FF

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

56 sportsbooks (17 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Västerås SK (Local)

Prediction 35.72%2.80fair odd
EV -2.83%
Edge -1.04%
Kelly -1.65%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.72

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.56%35.91%35.68%38.60%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.332.552.552.7242.92%39.23%39.22%36.76%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Kalmar FF (Visit)

Prediction 36.65%2.73fair odd
EV +2.61%
Edge +0.933%
Kelly +1.45%
Growth +0.038%

assuming max odds 2.80

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
34.33%36.43%36.62%38.12%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.352.552.552.8042.55%39.28%39.22%35.71%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 27.63%3.62fair odd
EV -0.536%
Edge -0.149%
Kelly -0.206%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.66%27.66%27.70%29.21%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.103.333.333.6032.26%30.00%30.08%27.78%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Västerås SK (Local): 35.72%; Kalmar FF (Visit): 36.65%; Draw: 27.63%. For Kalmar FF (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.73. 4 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.80, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.61%.

Sportsbook Odds (56 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
Unibet (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 38.18%EV -8.90%E -3.49%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.77%EV +2.61%E +0.933%K +1.45%G +0.038%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.05%EV -0.536%E -0.149%K -0.206%G +0.000%2.7%2026-08-23 11:30
ATG (SE)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 38.18%EV -8.90%E -3.49%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.77%EV +2.61%E +0.933%K +1.45%G +0.038%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.05%EV -0.536%E -0.149%K -0.206%G +0.000%2.7%2026-08-23 11:35
Svenska Spel🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 38.18%EV -8.90%E -3.49%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.77%EV +2.61%E +0.933%K +1.45%G +0.038%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.05%EV -0.536%E -0.149%K -0.206%G +0.000%2.7%2026-08-23 11:35
Coolbet🎯2.49I 40.16%NM 38.60%EV -11.05%E -4.44%K -7.41%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.33%EV +2.61%E +0.933%K +1.45%G +0.038%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.07%EV -1.92%E -0.540%K -0.752%G +0.000%4.0%2026-08-23 09:10
Unibet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.96%EV -12.48%E -5.09%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.09%EV -2.88%E -1.09%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -4.68%E -1.36%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-23 11:30
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.96%EV -12.48%E -5.09%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.09%EV -2.88%E -1.09%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -4.68%E -1.36%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-23 11:30
Casumo🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.96%EV -12.48%E -5.09%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.09%EV -2.88%E -1.09%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -4.68%E -1.36%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-23 11:30
Unibet (NL)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.96%EV -12.48%E -5.09%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.09%EV -2.88%E -1.09%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -4.68%E -1.36%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-23 11:30
Grosvenor🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.96%EV -12.48%E -5.09%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.09%EV -2.88%E -1.09%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -4.68%E -1.36%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-23 11:30
betPARX🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.96%EV -12.48%E -5.09%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.09%EV -2.88%E -1.09%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.95%EV -4.68%E -1.36%K -1.91%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-23 11:35
LowVig.ag🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -3.55%E -1.31%K -2.09%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.18%EV -3.98%E -1.52%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.72%EV -8.83%E -2.67%K -3.84%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-23 11:55
BetOnline.ag🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -3.55%E -1.31%K -2.09%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.18%EV -3.98%E -1.52%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.72%EV -8.83%E -2.67%K -3.84%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-23 11:55
BetAnything🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -3.55%E -1.31%K -2.09%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.18%EV -3.98%E -1.52%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.72%EV -8.83%E -2.67%K -3.84%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-23 11:55
BetUS🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.10%EV -3.55%E -1.31%K -2.09%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 36.18%EV -3.98%E -1.52%K -2.46%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.72%EV -8.83%E -2.67%K -3.84%G +0.000%5.5%2026-08-23 11:55
Pinnacle🎯2.72I 36.76%NM 35.27%EV -2.83%E -1.04%K -1.65%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 36.76%EV -4.35%E -1.67%K -2.70%G +0.000%3.43I 29.15%NM 27.97%EV -5.23%E -1.53%K -2.15%G +0.000%4.2%2026-08-23 11:45
FanDuel🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.73%EV -5.33%E -2.01%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 36.42%EV -4.72%E -1.81%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.85%EV -6.06%E -1.78%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.6%2026-08-23 11:55
Tipico (DE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -10.69%E -4.28%K -7.13%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -4.72%E -1.81%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -8.83%E -2.67%K -3.84%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-23 11:55
BetRivers🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.93%EV -14.98%E -6.29%K -10.85%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.72%EV -4.72%E -1.81%K -2.95%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.35%EV -8.83%E -2.67%K -3.84%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-23 11:30
1xBet🎯2.66I 37.59%NM 35.69%EV -4.98%E -1.87%K -3.00%G +0.000%2.58I 38.76%NM 36.80%EV -5.45%E -2.11%K -3.45%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.52%EV -4.68%E -1.36%K -1.91%G +0.000%5.3%2026-08-23 11:55
Bovada🎯2.69I 37.17%NM 34.89%EV -3.90%E -1.45%K -2.31%G +0.000%2.56I 39.06%NM 36.66%EV -6.18%E -2.41%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.44%EV -8.83%E -2.67%K -3.84%G +0.000%6.5%2026-08-23 11:54
LeoVegas🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.05%EV -3.55%E -1.31%K -2.09%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 37.11%EV -6.55%E -2.57%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.84%EV -6.06%E -1.78%K -2.53%G +0.000%5.7%2026-08-23 11:55
DraftKings🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.91%EV -3.55%E -1.31%K -2.09%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.96%EV -6.55%E -2.57%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 28.13%EV -7.44%E -2.22%K -3.17%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-23 11:55
Unibet (UK)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.48%EV -5.33%E -2.01%K -3.23%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.87%EV -6.55%E -2.57%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.65%EV -6.06%E -1.78%K -2.53%G +0.000%6.4%2026-08-18 12:19
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.36%EV -8.90%E -3.49%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.36%EV -6.55%E -2.57%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.27%EV -6.06%E -1.78%K -2.53%G +0.000%7.8%2026-08-21 07:15
BetMGM🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.62%EV -7.12%E -2.74%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.32%EV -6.55%E -2.57%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.06%EV -8.83%E -2.67%K -3.84%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-22 21:04
TABtouch🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 37.97%EV -16.05%E -6.83%K -11.89%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.99%EV -6.55%E -2.57%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.04%EV -8.83%E -2.67%K -3.84%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-23 11:30
Virgin Bet🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 38.01%EV -16.76%E -7.19%K -12.60%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.73%EV -6.55%E -2.57%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.25%EV -10.21%E -3.14%K -4.54%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-23 11:30
PMU (FR)🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 38.01%EV -16.76%E -7.19%K -12.60%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.73%EV -6.55%E -2.57%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.25%EV -10.21%E -3.14%K -4.54%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-23 11:30
LiveScore Bet🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 38.01%EV -16.76%E -7.19%K -12.60%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.73%EV -6.55%E -2.57%K -4.22%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.25%EV -10.21%E -3.14%K -4.54%G +0.000%12.9%2026-08-23 11:30
NordicBet🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.44%EV -6.40%E -2.44%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 36.85%EV -7.65%E -3.03%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.72%EV -7.44%E -2.22%K -3.17%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-23 11:45
Betsson🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.44%EV -6.40%E -2.44%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 36.85%EV -7.65%E -3.03%K -5.03%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.72%EV -7.44%E -2.22%K -3.17%G +0.000%7.7%2026-08-23 11:45
GTbets🎯2.71I 36.90%NM 34.79%EV -3.19%E -1.18%K -1.86%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 37.56%EV -8.01%E -3.19%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.41I 29.33%NM 27.65%EV -5.79%E -1.70%K -2.40%G +0.000%6.1%2026-08-17 00:15
Betway🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 35.48%EV -6.40%E -2.44%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.18%EV -8.38%E -3.35%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.34%EV -6.06%E -1.78%K -2.53%G +0.000%7.6%2026-08-23 11:55
Bet Right🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 36.10%EV -8.90%E -3.49%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.82%EV -8.38%E -3.35%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.08%EV -6.06%E -1.78%K -2.53%G +0.000%8.6%2026-08-20 10:09
SportsBet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.36%EV -7.12%E -2.74%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.78%EV -8.38%E -3.35%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.86%EV -8.83%E -2.67%K -3.84%G +0.000%8.8%2026-08-23 11:55
Paddy Power🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.21%EV -7.12%E -2.74%K -4.45%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.62%EV -8.38%E -3.35%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.17%EV -10.21%E -3.14%K -4.54%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-23 11:55
betfred_uk🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -10.69%E -4.28%K -7.13%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.56%EV -8.38%E -3.35%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.88%EV -6.06%E -1.78%K -2.53%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-18 13:19
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.66%EV -8.90%E -3.49%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.37%EV -8.38%E -3.35%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.98%EV -10.21%E -3.14%K -4.54%G +0.000%10.0%2026-08-23 11:55
888sport🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.56%EV -6.40%E -2.44%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -8.38%E -3.35%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -14.35%E -4.63%K -6.83%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-23 11:55
William Hill🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.56%EV -6.40%E -2.44%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -8.38%E -3.35%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -14.35%E -4.63%K -6.83%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-23 11:55
888sport (SE)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.56%EV -6.40%E -2.44%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -8.38%E -3.35%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -14.35%E -4.63%K -6.83%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-23 11:55
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.56%EV -6.40%E -2.44%K -3.95%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.22%EV -8.38%E -3.35%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -14.35%E -4.63%K -6.83%G +0.000%10.4%2026-08-23 11:55
Bet Victor🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.83%EV -8.90%E -3.49%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.29%EV -10.21%E -4.17%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -6.06%E -1.78%K -2.53%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-23 11:53
betano_uk🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.83%EV -8.90%E -3.49%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.29%EV -10.21%E -4.17%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -6.06%E -1.78%K -2.53%G +0.000%9.4%2026-08-23 11:53
Betr (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -10.69%E -4.28%K -7.13%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.03%EV -10.21%E -4.17%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -6.06%E -1.78%K -2.53%G +0.000%10.2%2026-08-22 12:15
PlayUp🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.39%EV -8.90%E -3.49%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.84%EV -10.21%E -4.17%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.77%EV -10.21%E -3.14%K -4.54%G +0.000%10.8%2026-08-23 11:55
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.69%EV -10.69%E -4.28%K -7.13%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.42%EV -10.21%E -4.17%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -11.59%E -3.62%K -5.27%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-22 21:05
Neds🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.69%EV -10.69%E -4.28%K -7.13%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.42%EV -10.21%E -4.17%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -11.59%E -3.62%K -5.27%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-22 21:05
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.69%EV -10.69%E -4.28%K -7.13%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.42%EV -10.21%E -4.17%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -11.59%E -3.62%K -5.27%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-22 21:05
Coral🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.69%EV -10.69%E -4.28%K -7.13%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.42%EV -10.21%E -4.17%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.89%EV -11.59%E -3.62%K -5.27%G +0.000%12.1%2026-08-22 21:05
Sky Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.37%EV -10.69%E -4.28%K -7.13%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 36.10%EV -10.21%E -4.17%K -7.04%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.53%EV -14.35%E -4.63%K -6.83%G +0.000%13.1%2026-08-23 11:55
Betclic (FR)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.27%EV -8.90%E -3.49%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.47%EV -12.05%E -5.02%K -8.60%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.25%EV -8.83%E -2.67%K -3.84%G +0.000%11.2%2026-08-23 11:35
Winamax (DE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.87%EV -10.69%E -4.28%K -7.13%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.36%EV -12.05%E -5.02%K -8.60%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.77%EV -7.44%E -2.22%K -3.17%G +0.000%11.5%2026-08-18 12:19
BoyleSports🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 36.25%EV -14.26%E -5.94%K -10.19%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 36.56%EV -12.78%E -5.37%K -9.26%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.19%EV -11.59%E -3.62%K -5.27%G +0.000%14.9%2026-08-21 05:39
Unibet (FR)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.13%EV -8.90%E -3.49%K -5.75%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.12%EV -13.88%E -5.91%K -10.28%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.74%EV -7.44%E -2.22%K -3.17%G +0.000%11.6%2026-08-23 11:35
Winamax (FR)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 35.91%EV -12.48%E -5.09%K -8.60%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 37.43%EV -13.88%E -5.91%K -10.28%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.66%EV -8.83%E -2.67%K -3.84%G +0.000%13.7%2026-08-18 12:20
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.82I 35.46%NM 35.23%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.79%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.98%0.7%2026-08-23 11:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.80I 35.71%NM 35.39%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.70%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.91%0.9%2026-08-23 11:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.80I 35.71%NM 35.39%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.70%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.91%0.9%2026-08-23 11:55
Matchbook2.82I 35.46%NM 35.09%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.65%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.27%1.1%2026-08-23 11:55
Smarkets2.78I 35.97%NM 35.41%2.70I 37.04%NM 36.46%3.50I 28.57%NM 28.13%1.6%2026-08-23 11:55