Modelo predeterminadoMedia intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Västerås SK v Kalmar FF

2026-08-23 12:00 UTC — Allsvenskan - Sweden

Resultado del partido

37 corredores (10 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada)

Västerås SK (Local)

Predicción 34.85%2.87momio equitativo
EV -4.16%
Ventaja -1.51%
Kelly -2.38%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.75

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
33.95%34.98%34.92%37.61%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.382.562.602.7542.02%39.02%38.46%36.36%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Kalmar FF (Visitante)

Predicción 37.68%2.65momio equitativo
EV +5.49%
Ventaja +1.96%
Kelly +3.05%
Crecimiento +0.168%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.80

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
34.53%37.33%37.63%38.60%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
2.252.512.482.8044.44%39.91%40.32%35.71%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Predicción 27.47%3.64momio equitativo
EV -3.84%
Ventaja -1.10%
Kelly -1.54%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.50

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.52%27.68%27.45%29.73%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribución de los momios
3.103.313.303.5032.26%30.20%30.30%28.57%MÍN.MEDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Para Resultado del partido, Media intercuartílica (Lista Curada) estima estas probabilidades: Västerås SK (Local): 34.85%; Kalmar FF (Visitante): 37.68%; Empate: 27.47%. Para Kalmar FF (Visitante), esa estimación equivale a momios decimales justos de 2.65. 5 corredores ofrecen momios superiores a ese nivel; los mejores momios disponibles son 2.80, lo que produce un valor esperado positivo de +5.49%.

Momios de las casas de apuestas (37 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
Unibet (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 37.43%EV -9.39%E -3.61%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.76%EV +5.49%E +1.96%K +3.05%G +0.168%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.81%EV -3.84%E -1.10%K -1.54%G +0.000%2.7%2026-08-16 16:40
ATG (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 37.43%EV -9.39%E -3.61%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.76%EV +5.49%E +1.96%K +3.05%G +0.168%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.81%EV -3.84%E -1.10%K -1.54%G +0.000%2.7%2026-08-16 16:40
Svenska Spel🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 37.43%EV -9.39%E -3.61%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.76%EV +5.49%E +1.96%K +3.05%G +0.168%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.81%EV -3.84%E -1.10%K -1.54%G +0.000%2.7%2026-08-16 16:40
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.61%EV -13.57%E -5.47%K -9.17%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.55%EV +1.73%E +0.639%K +1.02%G +0.018%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -7.96%E -2.38%K -3.39%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-16 16:40
Grosvenor🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 37.61%EV -13.57%E -5.47%K -9.17%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.55%EV +1.73%E +0.639%K +1.02%G +0.018%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.84%EV -7.96%E -2.38%K -3.39%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-16 16:39
Unibet🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV -14.62%E -5.97%K -10.08%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.67%EV -0.158%E -0.059%K -0.096%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -9.34%E -2.83%K -4.06%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-16 16:40
Casumo🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV -14.62%E -5.97%K -10.08%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.67%EV -0.158%E -0.059%K -0.096%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -9.34%E -2.83%K -4.06%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-16 16:39
Unibet (NL)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV -14.62%E -5.97%K -10.08%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.67%EV -0.158%E -0.059%K -0.096%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -9.34%E -2.83%K -4.06%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-16 16:39
betPARX🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 37.50%EV -14.62%E -5.97%K -10.08%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.67%EV -0.158%E -0.059%K -0.096%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.84%EV -9.34%E -2.83%K -4.06%G +0.000%8.9%2026-08-16 16:39
TABtouch🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.41%EV -16.36%E -6.82%K -11.69%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.53%EV -2.04%E -0.785%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.06%EV -12.09%E -3.78%K -5.49%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-16 16:39
BetRivers🎯2.40I 41.67%NM 37.41%EV -16.36%E -6.82%K -11.69%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.53%EV -2.04%E -0.785%K -1.28%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.06%EV -12.09%E -3.78%K -5.49%G +0.000%11.4%2026-08-16 16:39
Tipico (DE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.13%EV -5.90%E -2.19%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.14%EV -3.93%E -1.54%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.73%EV -14.83%E -4.78%K -7.06%G +0.000%8.5%2026-08-16 20:04
Virgin Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.19%EV -17.06%E -7.17%K -12.36%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.71%EV -3.93%E -1.54%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.10%EV -13.46%E -4.27%K -6.26%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-16 16:40
PMU (FR)🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.19%EV -17.06%E -7.17%K -12.36%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.71%EV -3.93%E -1.54%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.10%EV -13.46%E -4.27%K -6.26%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-16 16:40
LiveScore Bet🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 37.19%EV -17.06%E -7.17%K -12.36%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 34.71%EV -3.93%E -1.54%K -2.53%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.10%EV -13.46%E -4.27%K -6.26%G +0.000%13.0%2026-08-16 16:40
Pinnacle🎯2.69I 37.17%NM 35.11%EV -6.25%E -2.32%K -3.70%G +0.000%2.54I 39.37%NM 37.19%EV -4.30%E -1.69%K -2.79%G +0.000%3.41I 29.33%NM 27.70%EV -6.32%E -1.85%K -2.62%G +0.000%5.9%2026-08-16 18:00
1xBet🎯2.66I 37.59%NM 35.08%EV -7.30%E -2.74%K -4.40%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.32%EV -5.81%E -2.32%K -3.87%G +0.000%3.38I 29.59%NM 27.60%EV -7.14%E -2.11%K -3.00%G +0.000%7.2%2026-08-16 17:49
NordicBet🎯2.68I 37.31%NM 34.71%EV -6.60%E -2.46%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.51%EV -6.56%E -2.65%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.77%EV -7.96%E -2.38%K -3.39%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-16 17:45
Betsson🎯2.68I 37.31%NM 34.71%EV -6.60%E -2.46%K -3.93%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.51%EV -6.56%E -2.65%K -4.43%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.77%EV -7.96%E -2.38%K -3.39%G +0.000%7.5%2026-08-16 17:44
LeoVegas🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.39%EV -4.16%E -1.51%K -2.38%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -7.69%E -3.14%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.02%EV -3.84%E -1.10%K -1.54%G +0.000%5.8%2026-08-16 15:15
FanDuel🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.23%EV -7.65%E -2.89%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.10%EV -7.69%E -3.14%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -3.84%E -1.10%K -1.54%G +0.000%7.1%2026-08-16 12:59
Unibet (UK)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.95%EV -7.65%E -2.89%K -4.63%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.81%EV -7.69%E -3.14%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -6.59%E -1.94%K -2.75%G +0.000%8.0%2026-08-16 15:14
Bet Right🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.39%EV -9.39%E -3.61%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.55%EV -7.69%E -3.14%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -6.59%E -1.94%K -2.75%G +0.000%8.7%2026-08-16 15:49
888sport🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -5.90%E -2.19%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.41%EV -7.69%E -3.14%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.64%EV -12.09%E -3.78%K -5.49%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-16 15:45
William Hill🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -5.90%E -2.19%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.41%EV -7.69%E -3.14%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.64%EV -12.09%E -3.78%K -5.49%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-16 15:45
888sport (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -5.90%E -2.19%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.41%EV -7.69%E -3.14%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.64%EV -12.09%E -3.78%K -5.49%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-16 15:45
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.95%EV -5.90%E -2.19%K -3.47%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.41%EV -7.69%E -3.14%K -5.31%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.64%EV -12.09%E -3.78%K -5.49%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-16 15:45
SportsBet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.25%EV -9.39%E -3.61%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.19%EV -9.58%E -3.99%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.56%EV -5.22%E -1.51%K -2.13%G +0.000%9.1%2026-08-16 13:00
Betway🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.94%EV -8.69%E -3.32%K -5.37%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -9.58%E -3.99%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -6.59%E -1.94%K -2.75%G +0.000%9.2%2026-08-16 18:25
betfred_uk🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.11%EV -9.39%E -3.61%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.04%EV -9.58%E -3.99%K -6.84%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -6.59%E -1.94%K -2.75%G +0.000%9.5%2026-08-16 12:55
Paddy Power🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.00%EV -9.39%E -3.61%K -5.87%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 38.24%EV -10.33%E -4.34%K -7.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -6.59%E -1.94%K -2.75%G +0.000%9.9%2026-08-16 13:05
Winamax (DE)🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.16%EV -12.87%E -5.15%K -8.58%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.21%EV -13.34%E -5.80%K -10.26%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.63%EV -9.34%E -2.83%K -4.06%G +0.000%13.8%2026-08-16 15:14
Unibet (FR)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 34.42%EV -11.13%E -4.37%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.16%EV -13.34%E -5.80%K -10.26%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.43%EV -12.09%E -3.78%K -5.49%G +0.000%13.9%2026-08-16 15:15
BoyleSports🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.01%EV -12.87%E -5.15%K -8.58%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.06%EV -13.34%E -5.80%K -10.26%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.93%EV -10.71%E -3.30%K -4.76%G +0.000%14.2%2026-08-16 14:00
Sky Bet🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 34.86%EV -12.87%E -5.15%K -8.58%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.90%EV -13.34%E -5.80%K -10.26%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.24%EV -12.09%E -3.78%K -5.49%G +0.000%14.7%2026-08-16 13:04
Betclic (FR)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 34.39%EV -11.13%E -4.37%K -7.18%G +0.000%2.28I 43.86%NM 38.46%EV -14.10%E -6.18%K -11.01%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 27.15%EV -11.26%E -3.49%K -5.05%G +0.000%14.0%2026-08-16 15:13
Winamax (FR)🎯2.45I 40.82%NM 35.18%EV -14.62%E -5.97%K -10.08%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 38.30%EV -15.23%E -6.77%K -12.18%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.52%EV -10.71%E -3.30%K -4.76%G +0.000%16.0%2026-08-16 15:14
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (4)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Smarkets2.54I 39.37%NM 34.73%2.34I 42.74%NM 37.70%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.57%13.4%2026-08-16 15:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.70I 37.04%NM 32.08%2.54I 39.37%NM 34.10%2.56I 39.06%NM 33.83%15.5%2026-08-16 17:59
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.70I 37.04%NM 32.08%2.54I 39.37%NM 34.10%2.56I 39.06%NM 33.83%15.5%2026-08-16 18:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.14I 46.73%NM 34.66%2.04I 49.02%NM 36.36%2.56I 39.06%NM 28.98%34.8%2026-08-16 17:55

Comente este partido en odds.forum

Aún no hay comentarios publicados.