Modelo predefinidoMédia interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Västerås SK v IK Sirius

Início: 2026-09-05 15:30 UTC

Final: Västerås SK 0–1 IK Sirius

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

55 casas de apostas (16 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: Média interquartílica (Lista Curada)

Västerås SK (Local)

Previsão 26.27%3.81odd justa
EV +1.15%
Vantagem +0.298%
Kelly +0.402%
Crescimento +0.005%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.85

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
24.82%26.23%26.28%27.20%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.253.523.503.8530.77%28.42%28.57%25.97%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

IK Sirius (Visitante)

Previsão 48.97%2.04odd justa
EV -4.50%
Vantagem -2.31%
Kelly -4.74%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.95

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
47.87%49.04%48.98%51.02%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
1.751.881.881.9557.14%53.27%53.19%51.28%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Empate

Previsão 24.75%4.04odd justa
EV -2.22%
Vantagem -0.562%
Kelly -0.752%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 3.95

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
23.55%24.73%24.74%25.55%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.
Distribuição das odds
3.503.713.753.9528.57%26.97%26.67%25.32%MÍN.MÉDIAMEDIANAMÁX.

Nas últimas odds antes do início, Média interquartílica (Lista Curada) estimava para Frente a frente: Västerås SK (Local): 26.27%; IK Sirius (Visitante): 48.97%; Empate: 24.75%. Para Västerås SK (Local), essa estimativa equivalia a odds decimais justas de 3.81. 3 casas de apostas ofereciam odds de fecho acima desse nível; as melhores eram 3.85, correspondendo a um valor esperado positivo de +1.15%.

Odds das casas de apostas (55 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargemAtualização
Unibet (SE)🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 25.19%EV +1.15%E +0.298%K +0.402%G +0.005%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.25%EV -5.48%E -2.84%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.55%EV -2.22%E -0.562%K -0.752%G +0.000%3.1%2026-09-04 09:29
Svenska Spel🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 25.19%EV +1.15%E +0.298%K +0.402%G +0.005%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.25%EV -5.48%E -2.84%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.55%EV -2.22%E -0.562%K -0.752%G +0.000%3.1%2026-09-04 09:29
ATG (SE)🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 25.19%EV +1.15%E +0.298%K +0.402%G +0.005%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.25%EV -5.48%E -2.84%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.55%EV -2.22%E -0.562%K -0.752%G +0.000%3.1%2026-09-04 09:30
Tipico (DE)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -2.79%E -0.755%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.02%EV -11.85%E -6.58%K -14.81%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -5.93%E -1.56%K -2.12%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-03 04:40
1xBet🎯3.69I 27.10%NM 25.38%EV -3.06%E -0.829%K -1.14%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.30%EV -6.95%E -3.66%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.32%EV -8.41%E -2.27%K -3.11%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-04 09:35
Coolbet🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 26.34%EV -4.11%E -1.13%K -1.55%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.31%EV -4.50%E -2.31%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.34%EV -2.22%E -0.562%K -0.752%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-02 08:20
Casumo🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.54%EV -4.11%E -1.13%K -1.55%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.59%EV -7.93%E -4.22%K -9.01%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.86%EV -7.17%E -1.91%K -2.61%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-04 09:29
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.54%EV -4.11%E -1.13%K -1.55%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.59%EV -7.93%E -4.22%K -9.01%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.86%EV -7.17%E -1.91%K -2.61%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-04 09:30
Grosvenor🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.54%EV -4.11%E -1.13%K -1.55%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.59%EV -7.93%E -4.22%K -9.01%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.86%EV -7.17%E -1.91%K -2.61%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-04 09:29
Unibet (NL)🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.54%EV -4.11%E -1.13%K -1.55%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.59%EV -7.93%E -4.22%K -9.01%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.86%EV -7.17%E -1.91%K -2.61%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-04 09:30
betPARX🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.54%EV -4.11%E -1.13%K -1.55%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.59%EV -7.93%E -4.22%K -9.01%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.86%EV -7.17%E -1.91%K -2.61%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-04 09:30
Unibet🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.54%EV -4.11%E -1.13%K -1.55%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.59%EV -7.93%E -4.22%K -9.01%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.86%EV -7.17%E -1.91%K -2.61%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-04 09:29
Pinnacle🎯3.64I 27.47%NM 26.00%EV -4.37%E -1.20%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.55%EV -6.46%E -3.38%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.87I 25.84%NM 24.45%EV -4.20%E -1.09%K -1.46%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-02 07:50
LeoVegas🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.18%EV -5.42%E -1.51%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.34%EV -4.50%E -2.31%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.48%EV -8.41%E -2.27%K -3.11%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-04 00:05
Bovada🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.11%EV -5.42%E -1.51%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.47%EV -6.95%E -3.66%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.42%EV -4.69%E -1.22%K -1.65%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-02 07:48
Unibet (UK)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -5.42%E -1.51%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.60%EV -5.48%E -2.84%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.35%EV -8.41%E -2.27%K -3.11%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-03 01:15
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV -5.42%E -1.51%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.58%EV -7.93%E -4.22%K -9.01%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -5.93%E -1.56%K -2.12%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-03 15:35
Betsson🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.17%EV -6.74%E -1.90%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.38%EV -5.97%E -3.11%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.45%EV -9.65%E -2.64%K -3.64%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-01 09:45
NordicBet🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.17%EV -6.74%E -1.90%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.38%EV -5.97%E -3.11%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.45%EV -9.65%E -2.64%K -3.64%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-01 09:45
GTbets🎯3.53I 28.33%NM 26.70%EV -7.26%E -2.06%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.83%EV -5.48%E -2.84%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.48%EV -4.69%E -1.22%K -1.65%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-02 05:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.81%EV -8.05%E -2.30%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.13%EV -6.46%E -3.38%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.06%EV -3.46%E -0.886%K -1.19%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-04 06:09
BetMGM🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -8.05%E -2.30%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.40%EV -5.48%E -2.84%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.91%EV -7.17%E -1.91%K -2.61%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-02 05:40
Betway🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -8.05%E -2.30%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.82%EV -6.46%E -3.38%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -5.93%E -1.56%K -2.12%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-04 06:10
LowVig.ag🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -8.05%E -2.30%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.53%EV -5.97%E -3.11%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.85%EV -7.17%E -1.91%K -2.61%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-04 06:10
BetOnline.ag🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -8.05%E -2.30%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.53%EV -5.97%E -3.11%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.85%EV -7.17%E -1.91%K -2.61%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-04 06:10
BetUS🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -8.05%E -2.30%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.53%EV -5.97%E -3.11%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.85%EV -7.17%E -1.91%K -2.61%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-04 06:09
BetAnything🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -8.05%E -2.30%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.53%EV -5.97%E -3.11%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.85%EV -7.17%E -1.91%K -2.61%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-04 06:09
888sport🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -8.05%E -2.30%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.16%EV -6.46%E -3.38%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -10.88%E -3.02%K -4.19%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-04 00:05
William Hill🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -8.05%E -2.30%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.16%EV -6.46%E -3.38%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -10.88%E -3.02%K -4.19%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-04 00:00
888sport (SE)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -8.05%E -2.30%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.16%EV -6.46%E -3.38%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -10.88%E -3.02%K -4.19%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-04 00:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -8.05%E -2.30%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.16%EV -6.46%E -3.38%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -10.88%E -3.02%K -4.19%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-04 00:05
FanDuel🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -8.05%E -2.30%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.20%EV -10.38%E -5.67%K -12.50%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.55%EV -3.46%E -0.886%K -1.19%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-03 15:35
Bet Victor🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.06%EV -8.05%E -2.30%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.30%EV -9.40%E -5.08%K -11.06%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.65%EV -8.41%E -2.27%K -3.11%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-02 07:50
betano_uk🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.06%EV -8.05%E -2.30%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.30%EV -9.40%E -5.08%K -11.06%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.65%EV -8.41%E -2.27%K -3.11%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-02 07:50
betfred_uk🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.00%EV -8.05%E -2.30%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 49.73%EV -10.38%E -5.67%K -12.50%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.27%EV -7.17%E -1.91%K -2.61%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-03 15:35
BetRivers🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.74%EV -8.05%E -2.30%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 49.23%EV -10.38%E -5.67%K -12.50%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.03%EV -10.88%E -3.02%K -4.19%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-04 09:30
TABtouch🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.67%EV -8.05%E -2.30%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 49.37%EV -10.87%E -5.97%K -13.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.96%EV -10.88%E -3.02%K -4.19%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-04 09:30
Betclic (FR)🎯3.48I 28.74%NM 26.11%EV -8.57%E -2.46%K -3.46%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 48.85%EV -8.91%E -4.79%K -10.36%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 25.03%EV -10.14%E -2.79%K -3.86%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-04 07:08
DraftKings🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.20%EV -9.36%E -2.71%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.11%EV -4.50%E -2.31%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.69%EV -5.93%E -1.56%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-04 03:34
SportsBet🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 26.65%EV -9.36%E -2.71%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.16%EV -8.42%E -4.50%K -9.68%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.19%EV -5.93%E -1.56%K -2.12%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-01 05:59
Bet Right🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 26.56%EV -9.36%E -2.71%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.00%EV -8.42%E -4.50%K -9.68%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.44%EV -7.17%E -1.91%K -2.61%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-03 15:35
Virgin Bet🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 25.72%EV -9.36%E -2.71%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 49.29%EV -11.85%E -6.58%K -14.81%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.99%EV -12.12%E -3.41%K -4.75%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-04 09:30
PMU (FR)🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 25.72%EV -9.36%E -2.71%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 49.29%EV -11.85%E -6.58%K -14.81%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.99%EV -12.12%E -3.41%K -4.75%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-04 09:30
LiveScore Bet🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 25.72%EV -9.36%E -2.71%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 49.29%EV -11.85%E -6.58%K -14.81%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.99%EV -12.12%E -3.41%K -4.75%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-04 09:30
Unibet (FR)🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 25.41%EV -9.36%E -2.71%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 49.54%EV -13.32%E -7.52%K -17.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.05%EV -13.36%E -3.82%K -5.34%G +0.000%14.1%2026-09-03 15:35
Paddy Power🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -10.68%E -3.14%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.24%EV -9.40%E -5.08%K -11.06%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -5.93%E -1.56%K -2.12%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-01 14:18
Winamax (DE)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.60%EV -10.68%E -3.14%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 48.62%EV -8.91%E -4.79%K -10.36%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.78%EV -9.65%E -2.64%K -3.64%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-03 01:15
PlayUp🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.55%EV -10.68%E -3.14%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.02%EV -7.93%E -4.22%K -9.01%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.43%EV -12.12%E -3.41%K -4.75%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-01 10:05
Sky Bet🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 26.88%EV -13.30%E -4.03%K -5.78%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 48.48%EV -10.38%E -5.67%K -12.50%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.64%EV -10.88%E -3.02%K -4.19%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-02 15:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -13.30%E -4.03%K -5.78%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 47.87%EV -9.40%E -5.08%K -11.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.30%EV -13.36%E -3.82%K -5.34%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-02 05:40
Neds🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -13.30%E -4.03%K -5.78%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 47.87%EV -9.40%E -5.08%K -11.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.30%EV -13.36%E -3.82%K -5.34%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-02 05:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -13.30%E -4.03%K -5.78%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 47.87%EV -9.40%E -5.08%K -11.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.30%EV -13.36%E -3.82%K -5.34%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-02 05:40
Coral🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -13.30%E -4.03%K -5.78%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 47.87%EV -9.40%E -5.08%K -11.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.30%EV -13.36%E -3.82%K -5.34%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-02 05:40
Winamax (FR)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 26.81%EV -13.30%E -4.03%K -5.78%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 48.61%EV -10.87%E -5.97%K -13.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.58%EV -10.88%E -3.02%K -4.19%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-03 01:15
BoyleSports🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 26.60%EV -14.62%E -4.50%K -6.50%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 49.39%EV -14.30%E -8.17%K -19.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.01%EV -10.88%E -3.02%K -4.19%G +0.000%15.7%2026-09-02 07:50
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.80I 26.32%NM 26.07%1.99I 50.25%NM 49.77%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.16%1.0%2026-09-04 13:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.80I 26.32%NM 26.07%1.99I 50.25%NM 49.77%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.16%1.0%2026-09-04 13:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.80I 26.32%NM 26.07%1.99I 50.25%NM 49.77%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.16%1.0%2026-09-04 13:10
Matchbook◎3.80I 26.32%NM 26.07%1.99I 50.25%NM 49.77%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.16%1.0%2026-09-04 13:20
Smarkets◎3.65I 27.40%NM 26.62%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.08%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.29%2.9%2026-09-04 14:00