Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Västerås SK v IK Sirius

Coup d’envoi : 2026-09-05 15:30 UTC

Score final : Västerås SK 0–1 IK Sirius

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

55 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Västerås SK (Local)

Prévision 26.27%3.81cote équitable
EV +1.15%
Avantage +0.298%
Kelly +0.402%
Croissance +0.005%

avec la cote maximale 3.85

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.82%26.23%26.28%27.20%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.253.523.503.8530.77%28.42%28.57%25.97%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

IK Sirius (Visiteur)

Prévision 48.97%2.04cote équitable
EV -4.50%
Avantage -2.31%
Kelly -4.74%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.95

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
47.87%49.04%48.98%51.02%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
1.751.881.881.9557.14%53.27%53.19%51.28%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 24.75%4.04cote équitable
EV -2.22%
Avantage -0.562%
Kelly -0.752%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.95

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
23.55%24.73%24.74%25.55%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.503.713.753.9528.57%26.97%26.67%25.32%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Västerås SK (Local) : 26.27% ; IK Sirius (Visiteur) : 48.97% ; Match nul : 24.75%. Pour Västerås SK (Local), cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.81. 3 opérateurs proposaient une cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil ; la meilleure était 3.85, soit une espérance positive de +1.15%.

Cotes des opérateurs (55 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Unibet (SE)🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 25.19%EV +1.15%E +0.298%K +0.402%G +0.005%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.25%EV -5.48%E -2.84%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.55%EV -2.22%E -0.562%K -0.752%G +0.000%3.1%2026-09-04 09:29
Svenska Spel🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 25.19%EV +1.15%E +0.298%K +0.402%G +0.005%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.25%EV -5.48%E -2.84%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.55%EV -2.22%E -0.562%K -0.752%G +0.000%3.1%2026-09-04 09:29
ATG (SE)🎯3.85I 25.97%NM 25.19%EV +1.15%E +0.298%K +0.402%G +0.005%1.93I 51.81%NM 50.25%EV -5.48%E -2.84%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.55%EV -2.22%E -0.562%K -0.752%G +0.000%3.1%2026-09-04 09:30
Tipico (DE)🎯3.70I 27.03%NM 24.82%EV -2.79%E -0.755%K -1.04%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.02%EV -11.85%E -6.58%K -14.81%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.17%EV -5.93%E -1.56%K -2.12%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-03 04:40
1xBet🎯3.69I 27.10%NM 25.38%EV -3.06%E -0.829%K -1.14%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.30%EV -6.95%E -3.66%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.32%EV -8.41%E -2.27%K -3.11%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-04 09:35
Coolbet🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 26.34%EV -4.11%E -1.13%K -1.55%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 49.31%EV -4.50%E -2.31%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.34%EV -2.22%E -0.562%K -0.752%G +0.000%4.0%2026-09-02 08:20
Casumo🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.54%EV -4.11%E -1.13%K -1.55%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.59%EV -7.93%E -4.22%K -9.01%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.86%EV -7.17%E -1.91%K -2.61%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-04 09:29
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.54%EV -4.11%E -1.13%K -1.55%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.59%EV -7.93%E -4.22%K -9.01%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.86%EV -7.17%E -1.91%K -2.61%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-04 09:30
Grosvenor🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.54%EV -4.11%E -1.13%K -1.55%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.59%EV -7.93%E -4.22%K -9.01%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.86%EV -7.17%E -1.91%K -2.61%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-04 09:29
Unibet (NL)🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.54%EV -4.11%E -1.13%K -1.55%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.59%EV -7.93%E -4.22%K -9.01%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.86%EV -7.17%E -1.91%K -2.61%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-04 09:30
betPARX🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.54%EV -4.11%E -1.13%K -1.55%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.59%EV -7.93%E -4.22%K -9.01%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.86%EV -7.17%E -1.91%K -2.61%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-04 09:30
Unibet🎯3.65I 27.40%NM 25.54%EV -4.11%E -1.13%K -1.55%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.59%EV -7.93%E -4.22%K -9.01%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.86%EV -7.17%E -1.91%K -2.61%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-04 09:29
Pinnacle🎯3.64I 27.47%NM 26.00%EV -4.37%E -1.20%K -1.66%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.55%EV -6.46%E -3.38%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.87I 25.84%NM 24.45%EV -4.20%E -1.09%K -1.46%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-02 07:50
LeoVegas🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.18%EV -5.42%E -1.51%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.34%EV -4.50%E -2.31%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.48%EV -8.41%E -2.27%K -3.11%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-04 00:05
Bovada🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.11%EV -5.42%E -1.51%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.90I 52.63%NM 49.47%EV -6.95%E -3.66%K -7.72%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.42%EV -4.69%E -1.22%K -1.65%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-02 07:48
Unibet (UK)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 26.05%EV -5.42%E -1.51%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.60%EV -5.48%E -2.84%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.35%EV -8.41%E -2.27%K -3.11%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-03 01:15
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.60I 27.78%NM 25.89%EV -5.42%E -1.51%K -2.09%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 49.58%EV -7.93%E -4.22%K -9.01%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.53%EV -5.93%E -1.56%K -2.12%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-03 15:35
Betsson🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.17%EV -6.74%E -1.90%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.38%EV -5.97%E -3.11%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.45%EV -9.65%E -2.64%K -3.64%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-01 09:45
NordicBet🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 26.17%EV -6.74%E -1.90%K -2.64%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.38%EV -5.97%E -3.11%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.45%EV -9.65%E -2.64%K -3.64%G +0.000%7.6%2026-09-01 09:45
GTbets🎯3.53I 28.33%NM 26.70%EV -7.26%E -2.06%K -2.87%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.83%EV -5.48%E -2.84%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 24.48%EV -4.69%E -1.22%K -1.65%G +0.000%6.1%2026-09-02 05:40
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.81%EV -8.05%E -2.30%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 49.13%EV -6.46%E -3.38%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 24.06%EV -3.46%E -0.886%K -1.19%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-04 06:09
BetMGM🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -8.05%E -2.30%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.93I 51.81%NM 48.40%EV -5.48%E -2.84%K -5.89%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.91%EV -7.17%E -1.91%K -2.61%G +0.000%7.1%2026-09-02 05:40
Betway🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.64%EV -8.05%E -2.30%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.82%EV -6.46%E -3.38%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.54%EV -5.93%E -1.56%K -2.12%G +0.000%7.2%2026-09-04 06:10
LowVig.ag🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -8.05%E -2.30%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.53%EV -5.97%E -3.11%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.85%EV -7.17%E -1.91%K -2.61%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-04 06:10
BetOnline.ag🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -8.05%E -2.30%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.53%EV -5.97%E -3.11%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.85%EV -7.17%E -1.91%K -2.61%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-04 06:10
BetUS🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -8.05%E -2.30%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.53%EV -5.97%E -3.11%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.85%EV -7.17%E -1.91%K -2.61%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-04 06:09
BetAnything🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -8.05%E -2.30%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.92I 52.08%NM 48.53%EV -5.97%E -3.11%K -6.49%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.85%EV -7.17%E -1.91%K -2.61%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-04 06:09
888sport🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -8.05%E -2.30%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.16%EV -6.46%E -3.38%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -10.88%E -3.02%K -4.19%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-04 00:05
William Hill🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -8.05%E -2.30%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.16%EV -6.46%E -3.38%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -10.88%E -3.02%K -4.19%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-04 00:00
888sport (SE)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -8.05%E -2.30%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.16%EV -6.46%E -3.38%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -10.88%E -3.02%K -4.19%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-04 00:05
Mr Green (SE)🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -8.05%E -2.30%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 48.16%EV -6.46%E -3.38%K -7.10%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -10.88%E -3.02%K -4.19%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-04 00:05
FanDuel🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -8.05%E -2.30%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 50.20%EV -10.38%E -5.67%K -12.50%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.55%EV -3.46%E -0.886%K -1.19%G +0.000%8.9%2026-09-03 15:35
Bet Victor🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.06%EV -8.05%E -2.30%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.30%EV -9.40%E -5.08%K -11.06%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.65%EV -8.41%E -2.27%K -3.11%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-02 07:50
betano_uk🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.06%EV -8.05%E -2.30%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.30%EV -9.40%E -5.08%K -11.06%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.65%EV -8.41%E -2.27%K -3.11%G +0.000%9.7%2026-09-02 07:50
betfred_uk🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 26.00%EV -8.05%E -2.30%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 49.73%EV -10.38%E -5.67%K -12.50%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.27%EV -7.17%E -1.91%K -2.61%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-03 15:35
BetRivers🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.74%EV -8.05%E -2.30%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 49.23%EV -10.38%E -5.67%K -12.50%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.03%EV -10.88%E -3.02%K -4.19%G +0.000%11.0%2026-09-04 09:30
TABtouch🎯3.50I 28.57%NM 25.67%EV -8.05%E -2.30%K -3.22%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 49.37%EV -10.87%E -5.97%K -13.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.96%EV -10.88%E -3.02%K -4.19%G +0.000%11.3%2026-09-04 09:30
Betclic (FR)🎯3.48I 28.74%NM 26.11%EV -8.57%E -2.46%K -3.46%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 48.85%EV -8.91%E -4.79%K -10.36%G +0.000%3.63I 27.55%NM 25.03%EV -10.14%E -2.79%K -3.86%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-04 07:08
DraftKings🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 27.20%EV -9.36%E -2.71%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 48.11%EV -4.50%E -2.31%K -4.74%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.69%EV -5.93%E -1.56%K -2.12%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-04 03:34
SportsBet🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 26.65%EV -9.36%E -2.71%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.16%EV -8.42%E -4.50%K -9.68%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.19%EV -5.93%E -1.56%K -2.12%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-01 05:59
Bet Right🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 26.56%EV -9.36%E -2.71%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.87I 53.48%NM 49.00%EV -8.42%E -4.50%K -9.68%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.44%EV -7.17%E -1.91%K -2.61%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-03 15:35
Virgin Bet🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 25.72%EV -9.36%E -2.71%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 49.29%EV -11.85%E -6.58%K -14.81%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.99%EV -12.12%E -3.41%K -4.75%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-04 09:30
PMU (FR)🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 25.72%EV -9.36%E -2.71%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 49.29%EV -11.85%E -6.58%K -14.81%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.99%EV -12.12%E -3.41%K -4.75%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-04 09:30
LiveScore Bet🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 25.72%EV -9.36%E -2.71%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 49.29%EV -11.85%E -6.58%K -14.81%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.99%EV -12.12%E -3.41%K -4.75%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-04 09:30
Unibet (FR)🎯3.45I 28.99%NM 25.41%EV -9.36%E -2.71%K -3.82%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 49.54%EV -13.32%E -7.52%K -17.29%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.05%EV -13.36%E -3.82%K -5.34%G +0.000%14.1%2026-09-03 15:35
Paddy Power🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.79%EV -10.68%E -3.14%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 49.24%EV -9.40%E -5.08%K -11.06%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.97%EV -5.93%E -1.56%K -2.12%G +0.000%9.8%2026-09-01 14:18
Winamax (DE)🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.60%EV -10.68%E -3.14%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.86I 53.76%NM 48.62%EV -8.91%E -4.79%K -10.36%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 24.78%EV -9.65%E -2.64%K -3.64%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-03 01:15
PlayUp🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 26.55%EV -10.68%E -3.14%K -4.45%G +0.000%1.88I 53.19%NM 48.02%EV -7.93%E -4.22%K -9.01%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.43%EV -12.12%E -3.41%K -4.75%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-01 10:05
Sky Bet🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 26.88%EV -13.30%E -4.03%K -5.78%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 48.48%EV -10.38%E -5.67%K -12.50%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.64%EV -10.88%E -3.02%K -4.19%G +0.000%12.7%2026-09-02 15:30
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -13.30%E -4.03%K -5.78%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 47.87%EV -9.40%E -5.08%K -11.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.30%EV -13.36%E -3.82%K -5.34%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-02 05:40
Neds🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -13.30%E -4.03%K -5.78%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 47.87%EV -9.40%E -5.08%K -11.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.30%EV -13.36%E -3.82%K -5.34%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-02 05:40
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -13.30%E -4.03%K -5.78%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 47.87%EV -9.40%E -5.08%K -11.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.30%EV -13.36%E -3.82%K -5.34%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-02 05:40
Coral🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 26.83%EV -13.30%E -4.03%K -5.78%G +0.000%1.85I 54.05%NM 47.87%EV -9.40%E -5.08%K -11.06%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.30%EV -13.36%E -3.82%K -5.34%G +0.000%12.9%2026-09-02 05:40
Winamax (FR)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 26.81%EV -13.30%E -4.03%K -5.78%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 48.61%EV -10.87%E -5.97%K -13.25%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.58%EV -10.88%E -3.02%K -4.19%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-03 01:15
BoyleSports🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 26.60%EV -14.62%E -4.50%K -6.50%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 49.39%EV -14.30%E -8.17%K -19.06%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.01%EV -10.88%E -3.02%K -4.19%G +0.000%15.7%2026-09-02 07:50
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎3.80I 26.32%NM 26.07%1.99I 50.25%NM 49.77%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.16%1.0%2026-09-04 13:10
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎3.80I 26.32%NM 26.07%1.99I 50.25%NM 49.77%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.16%1.0%2026-09-04 13:10
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎3.80I 26.32%NM 26.07%1.99I 50.25%NM 49.77%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.16%1.0%2026-09-04 13:10
Matchbook◎3.80I 26.32%NM 26.07%1.99I 50.25%NM 49.77%4.10I 24.39%NM 24.16%1.0%2026-09-04 13:20
Smarkets◎3.65I 27.40%NM 26.62%1.98I 50.51%NM 49.08%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.29%2.9%2026-09-04 14:00