Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Västerås SK v AIK

Kickoff: 2026-05-17 14:30 UTC

Final: Västerås SK 1–1 AIK

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

52 sportsbooks (16 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Västerås SK (Local)

Prediction 28.76%3.48fair odd
EV +2.11%
Edge +0.594%
Kelly +0.826%
Growth +0.017%

assuming max odds 3.55

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
27.03%28.73%28.73%29.88%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.953.233.253.5533.90%30.97%30.77%28.17%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

AIK (Visit)

Prediction 43.57%2.30fair odd
EV -1.98%
Edge -0.879%
Kelly -1.58%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.25

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
41.72%43.60%43.55%44.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.912.102.102.2552.36%47.55%47.62%44.44%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 27.67%3.61fair odd
EV -3.15%
Edge -0.899%
Kelly -1.26%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.87%27.67%27.72%29.60%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.883.293.303.5034.72%30.40%30.30%28.57%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Västerås SK (Local): 28.76%; AIK (Visit): 43.57%; Draw: 27.67%. For Västerås SK (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.48. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 3.55, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.11%.

Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Unibet (SE)🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 27.56%EV +2.11%E +0.594%K +0.826%G +0.017%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.48%EV -4.16%E -1.89%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.96%EV -3.15%E -0.899%K -1.26%G +0.000%2.2%2026-05-17 14:25
ATG (SE)🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 27.56%EV +2.11%E +0.594%K +0.826%G +0.017%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.48%EV -4.16%E -1.89%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.96%EV -3.15%E -0.899%K -1.26%G +0.000%2.2%2026-05-17 14:25
Svenska Spel🎯3.55I 28.17%NM 27.56%EV +2.11%E +0.594%K +0.826%G +0.017%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.48%EV -4.16%E -1.89%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.96%EV -3.15%E -0.899%K -1.26%G +0.000%2.2%2026-05-17 14:25
Pinnacle🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 28.20%EV -2.21%E -0.649%K -0.920%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.40%EV -5.90%E -2.73%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.40%EV -3.15%E -0.899%K -1.26%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-17 14:25
FanDuel🎯3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -2.21%E -0.649%K -0.920%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -8.51%E -4.05%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -8.68%E -2.63%K -3.77%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-17 14:23
1xBet🎯3.36I 29.76%NM 28.29%EV -3.36%E -0.999%K -1.42%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.41%EV -4.59%E -2.10%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 28.29%EV -7.02%E -2.09%K -2.98%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-17 14:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯3.35I 29.85%NM 27.81%EV -3.65%E -1.09%K -1.55%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.95%EV -7.64%E -3.60%K -6.82%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.24%EV -8.68%E -2.63%K -3.77%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-17 14:25
Coolbet🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 29.09%EV -5.08%E -1.54%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.67%EV -1.98%E -0.879%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.24%EV -5.91%E -1.74%K -2.46%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-17 14:25
LowVig.ag🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.76%EV -5.08%E -1.54%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.33%EV -4.59%E -2.10%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.91%EV -5.91%E -1.74%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-17 14:25
BetOnline.ag🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.76%EV -5.08%E -1.54%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.33%EV -4.59%E -2.10%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.91%EV -5.91%E -1.74%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-17 14:25
BetUS🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.76%EV -5.08%E -1.54%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.33%EV -4.59%E -2.10%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.91%EV -5.91%E -1.74%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-17 14:25
DraftKings🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.64%EV -5.08%E -1.54%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.96%EV -6.34%E -2.95%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.40%EV -4.53%E -1.31%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-17 14:24
Bovada🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.41%EV -5.08%E -1.54%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.02%EV -7.21%E -3.38%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -5.91%E -1.74%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-17 14:24
BetAnything🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.41%EV -5.08%E -1.54%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.02%EV -7.21%E -3.38%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -5.91%E -1.74%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-17 14:25
Betway🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -5.08%E -1.54%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.34%E -2.95%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -8.68%E -2.63%K -3.77%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-17 14:24
Everygame🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -5.08%E -1.54%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -8.51%E -4.05%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -5.91%E -1.74%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-17 14:25
Tipico (DE)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -5.08%E -1.54%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -8.51%E -4.05%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -8.68%E -2.63%K -3.77%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-17 14:25
Unibet🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -5.08%E -1.54%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.81%EV -8.51%E -4.05%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -10.07%E -3.10%K -4.47%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-17 14:25
Unibet (NL)🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -5.08%E -1.54%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.81%EV -8.51%E -4.05%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -10.07%E -3.10%K -4.47%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-17 14:25
Grosvenor🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -5.08%E -1.54%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.81%EV -8.51%E -4.05%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -10.07%E -3.10%K -4.47%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-17 14:25
Casumo🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -5.08%E -1.54%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.81%EV -8.51%E -4.05%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -10.07%E -3.10%K -4.47%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-17 14:25
betPARX🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -5.08%E -1.54%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.81%EV -8.51%E -4.05%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -10.07%E -3.10%K -4.47%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-17 14:25
SportsBet🎯3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -5.08%E -1.54%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.41%EV -10.69%E -5.22%K -10.18%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -10.07%E -3.10%K -4.47%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-17 14:24
BetMGM🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -6.52%E -2.01%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.59%EV -6.34%E -2.95%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -5.91%E -1.74%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-17 14:25
Betsson🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.55%EV -6.52%E -2.01%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.76%EV -7.64%E -3.60%K -6.82%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.69%EV -7.30%E -2.18%K -3.11%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-17 14:25
NordicBet🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 28.55%EV -6.52%E -2.01%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.76%EV -7.64%E -3.60%K -6.82%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.69%EV -7.30%E -2.18%K -3.11%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-17 14:25
Paddy Power🎯3.25I 30.77%NM 27.77%EV -6.52%E -2.01%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.03%EV -10.69%E -5.22%K -10.18%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.20%EV -11.45%E -3.58%K -5.20%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-17 14:25
Unibet (UK)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -7.96%E -2.49%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.83%EV -4.16%E -1.89%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -5.91%E -1.74%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-17 14:24
PointsBet (AU)🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -7.96%E -2.49%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.40%EV -6.34%E -2.95%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -5.91%E -1.74%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-15 13:05
William Hill🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -7.96%E -2.49%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -4.16%E -1.89%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -14.22%E -4.59%K -6.77%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-12 13:50
Bet Victor🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -7.96%E -2.49%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.57%EV -10.69%E -5.22%K -10.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -5.91%E -1.74%K -2.46%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-17 14:24
LeoVegas🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 28.14%EV -7.96%E -2.49%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 43.72%EV -10.26%E -4.98%K -9.68%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.14%EV -11.45%E -3.58%K -5.20%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-17 14:25
TABtouch🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 27.96%EV -7.96%E -2.49%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.64%EV -10.69%E -5.22%K -10.18%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.40%EV -12.83%E -4.07%K -5.97%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-17 14:25
Sky Bet🎯3.20I 31.25%NM 27.83%EV -7.96%E -2.49%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.44%EV -10.69%E -5.22%K -10.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -14.22%E -4.59%K -6.77%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-17 14:25
PlayUp🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 28.71%EV -9.40%E -2.98%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 43.47%EV -9.38%E -4.51%K -8.69%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -10.07%E -3.10%K -4.47%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-17 14:25
BetRivers🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 28.58%EV -9.40%E -2.98%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 43.28%EV -9.38%E -4.51%K -8.69%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -11.45%E -3.58%K -5.20%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-17 14:20
LiveScore Bet🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 28.09%EV -9.40%E -2.98%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 43.81%EV -12.00%E -5.94%K -11.76%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.09%EV -12.83%E -4.07%K -5.97%G +0.000%13.0%2026-05-17 14:25
Virgin Bet🎯3.15I 31.75%NM 28.09%EV -9.40%E -2.98%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 43.81%EV -12.00%E -5.94%K -11.76%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.09%EV -12.83%E -4.07%K -5.97%G +0.000%13.0%2026-05-17 14:25
Bet Right🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.70%EV -10.84%E -3.50%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -6.34%E -2.95%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -7.30%E -2.18%K -3.11%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-17 14:25
betfred_uk🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -10.84%E -3.50%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -6.34%E -2.95%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -8.68%E -2.63%K -3.77%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-17 04:41
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -10.84%E -3.50%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.44%EV -10.69%E -5.22%K -10.18%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.83%EV -11.45%E -3.58%K -5.20%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-17 14:24
Neds🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -10.84%E -3.50%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.44%EV -10.69%E -5.22%K -10.18%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.83%EV -11.45%E -3.58%K -5.20%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-17 14:25
Coral🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -10.84%E -3.50%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.44%EV -10.69%E -5.22%K -10.18%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.83%EV -11.45%E -3.58%K -5.20%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-17 14:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -10.84%E -3.50%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.44%EV -10.69%E -5.22%K -10.18%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.83%EV -11.45%E -3.58%K -5.20%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-17 14:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯3.10I 32.26%NM 27.03%EV -10.84%E -3.50%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 43.87%EV -16.79%E -8.79%K -18.45%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.10%EV -20.30%E -7.05%K -10.80%G +0.000%19.3%2026-05-17 14:25
Betclic (FR)🎯3.07I 32.57%NM 29.12%EV -11.70%E -3.81%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 43.19%EV -9.82%E -4.74%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 27.68%EV -10.62%E -3.29%K -4.76%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-17 14:21
Winamax (DE)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 29.74%EV -12.27%E -4.02%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.19%EV -8.51%E -4.05%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.07%EV -7.30%E -2.18%K -3.11%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-17 14:25
Betr (AU)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 29.62%EV -12.27%E -4.02%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.01%EV -8.51%E -4.05%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.37%EV -8.68%E -2.63%K -3.77%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-17 14:25
Unibet (FR)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 28.62%EV -12.27%E -4.02%K -5.99%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 44.09%EV -13.74%E -6.94%K -14.02%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.28%EV -11.45%E -3.58%K -5.20%G +0.000%14.5%2026-05-17 14:24
PMU (FR)🎯3.05I 32.79%NM 28.06%EV -12.27%E -4.02%K -5.99%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 43.88%EV -15.05%E -7.72%K -15.84%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.06%EV -15.60%E -5.11%K -7.61%G +0.000%16.9%2026-05-17 14:25
BoyleSports🎯3.00I 33.33%NM 29.21%EV -13.71%E -4.57%K -6.86%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 43.82%EV -12.87%E -6.43%K -12.87%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.97%EV -10.07%E -3.10%K -4.47%G +0.000%14.1%2026-05-17 14:25
Winamax (FR)🎯2.95I 33.90%NM 29.88%EV -15.15%E -5.14%K -7.77%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.00%EV -10.69%E -5.22%K -10.18%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.12%EV -10.07%E -3.10%K -4.47%G +0.000%13.4%2026-05-17 14:25
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.60I 27.78%NM 27.61%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.78%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.61%0.6%2026-05-17 14:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.60I 27.78%NM 27.61%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.78%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.61%0.6%2026-05-17 14:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.60I 27.78%NM 27.61%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.78%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.61%0.6%2026-05-17 14:25
Matchbook3.60I 27.78%NM 27.61%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.78%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.61%0.6%2026-05-17 14:25
Smarkets3.55I 28.17%NM 27.67%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.65%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.67%1.8%2026-05-17 14:25