La escuela de los momios

Västerås SK v AIK

Inicio: 2026-05-17 14:30 UTC

Final: Västerås SK 1–1 AIK

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

52 corredores (16 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Västerås SK (Local)

Predicción 28.76%3.48momio equitativo
EV +2.11%
Ventaja +0.594%
Kelly +0.826%
Crecimiento +0.017%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.55

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
27.03%28.73%28.73%29.88%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.953.233.253.5533.90%30.97%30.77%28.17%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

AIK (Visitante)

Predicción 43.57%2.30momio equitativo
EV -1.98%
Ventaja -0.879%
Kelly -1.58%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.25

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
41.72%43.60%43.55%44.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.912.102.102.2552.36%47.55%47.62%44.44%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 27.67%3.61momio equitativo
EV -3.15%
Ventaja -0.899%
Kelly -1.26%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.50

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.87%27.67%27.72%29.60%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.293.303.5034.72%30.40%30.30%28.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (52 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Unibet (SE)3.55I 28.17%NM 27.56%EV +2.11%E +0.594%K +0.826%G +0.017%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.48%EV -4.16%E -1.89%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.96%EV -3.15%E -0.899%K -1.26%G +0.000%2.2%2026-05-17 14:25
ATG (SE)3.55I 28.17%NM 27.56%EV +2.11%E +0.594%K +0.826%G +0.017%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.48%EV -4.16%E -1.89%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.96%EV -3.15%E -0.899%K -1.26%G +0.000%2.2%2026-05-17 14:25
Svenska Spel3.55I 28.17%NM 27.56%EV +2.11%E +0.594%K +0.826%G +0.017%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.48%EV -4.16%E -1.89%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.96%EV -3.15%E -0.899%K -1.26%G +0.000%2.2%2026-05-17 14:25
Pinnacle3.40I 29.41%NM 28.20%EV -2.21%E -0.649%K -0.920%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 44.40%EV -5.90%E -2.73%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.40%EV -3.15%E -0.899%K -1.26%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-17 14:25
FanDuel3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -2.21%E -0.649%K -0.920%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -8.51%E -4.05%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -8.68%E -2.63%K -3.77%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-17 14:23
1xBet3.36I 29.76%NM 28.29%EV -3.36%E -0.999%K -1.42%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.41%EV -4.59%E -2.10%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 28.29%EV -7.02%E -2.09%K -2.98%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-17 14:25
LeoVegas (SE)3.35I 29.85%NM 27.81%EV -3.65%E -1.09%K -1.55%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.95%EV -7.64%E -3.60%K -6.82%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.24%EV -8.68%E -2.63%K -3.77%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-17 14:25
Coolbet3.30I 30.30%NM 29.09%EV -5.08%E -1.54%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 42.67%EV -1.98%E -0.879%K -1.58%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.24%EV -5.91%E -1.74%K -2.46%G +0.000%4.2%2026-05-17 14:25
LowVig.ag3.30I 30.30%NM 28.76%EV -5.08%E -1.54%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.33%EV -4.59%E -2.10%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.91%EV -5.91%E -1.74%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-17 14:25
BetOnline.ag3.30I 30.30%NM 28.76%EV -5.08%E -1.54%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.33%EV -4.59%E -2.10%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.91%EV -5.91%E -1.74%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-17 14:25
BetUS3.30I 30.30%NM 28.76%EV -5.08%E -1.54%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.19I 45.66%NM 43.33%EV -4.59%E -2.10%K -3.86%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.91%EV -5.91%E -1.74%K -2.46%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-17 14:25
DraftKings3.30I 30.30%NM 28.64%EV -5.08%E -1.54%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.96%EV -6.34%E -2.95%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.40%EV -4.53%E -1.31%K -1.85%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-17 14:24
Bovada3.30I 30.30%NM 28.41%EV -5.08%E -1.54%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.02%EV -7.21%E -3.38%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -5.91%E -1.74%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-17 14:24
BetAnything3.30I 30.30%NM 28.41%EV -5.08%E -1.54%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.13I 46.95%NM 44.02%EV -7.21%E -3.38%K -6.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -5.91%E -1.74%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-17 14:25
Betway3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -5.08%E -1.54%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.42%EV -6.34%E -2.95%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.29%EV -8.68%E -2.63%K -3.77%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-17 14:24
Everygame3.30I 30.30%NM 28.23%EV -5.08%E -1.54%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.37%EV -8.51%E -4.05%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.40%EV -5.91%E -1.74%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-17 14:25
Tipico (DE)3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -5.08%E -1.54%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 44.00%EV -8.51%E -4.05%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.00%EV -8.68%E -2.63%K -3.77%G +0.000%8.2%2026-05-17 14:25
Unibet3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -5.08%E -1.54%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.81%EV -8.51%E -4.05%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -10.07%E -3.10%K -4.47%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-17 14:25
Unibet (NL)3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -5.08%E -1.54%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.81%EV -8.51%E -4.05%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -10.07%E -3.10%K -4.47%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-17 14:25
Grosvenor3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -5.08%E -1.54%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.81%EV -8.51%E -4.05%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -10.07%E -3.10%K -4.47%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-17 14:25
Casumo3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -5.08%E -1.54%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.81%EV -8.51%E -4.05%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -10.07%E -3.10%K -4.47%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-17 14:25
betPARX3.30I 30.30%NM 27.88%EV -5.08%E -1.54%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.81%EV -8.51%E -4.05%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.31%EV -10.07%E -3.10%K -4.47%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-17 14:25
SportsBet3.30I 30.30%NM 27.59%EV -5.08%E -1.54%K -2.21%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.41%EV -10.69%E -5.22%K -10.18%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.01%EV -10.07%E -3.10%K -4.47%G +0.000%9.9%2026-05-17 14:24
BetMGM3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -6.52%E -2.01%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.59%EV -6.34%E -2.95%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -5.91%E -1.74%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-17 14:25
Betsson3.25I 30.77%NM 28.55%EV -6.52%E -2.01%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.76%EV -7.64%E -3.60%K -6.82%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.69%EV -7.30%E -2.18%K -3.11%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-17 14:25
NordicBet3.25I 30.77%NM 28.55%EV -6.52%E -2.01%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.76%EV -7.64%E -3.60%K -6.82%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.69%EV -7.30%E -2.18%K -3.11%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-17 14:25
Paddy Power3.25I 30.77%NM 27.77%EV -6.52%E -2.01%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.03%EV -10.69%E -5.22%K -10.18%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.20%EV -11.45%E -3.58%K -5.20%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-17 14:25
Unibet (UK)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.45%EV -7.96%E -2.49%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.83%EV -4.16%E -1.89%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.72%EV -5.91%E -1.74%K -2.46%G +0.000%6.1%2026-05-17 14:24
PointsBet (AU)3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -7.96%E -2.49%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.40%EV -6.34%E -2.95%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -5.91%E -1.74%K -2.46%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-15 13:05
William Hill3.20I 31.25%NM 28.68%EV -7.96%E -2.49%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 41.72%EV -4.16%E -1.89%K -3.46%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 29.60%EV -14.22%E -4.59%K -6.77%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-12 13:50
Bet Victor3.20I 31.25%NM 28.55%EV -7.96%E -2.49%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.57%EV -10.69%E -5.22%K -10.18%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.87%EV -5.91%E -1.74%K -2.46%G +0.000%9.4%2026-05-17 14:24
LeoVegas3.20I 31.25%NM 28.14%EV -7.96%E -2.49%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.06I 48.54%NM 43.72%EV -10.26%E -4.98%K -9.68%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.14%EV -11.45%E -3.58%K -5.20%G +0.000%11.0%2026-05-17 14:25
TABtouch3.20I 31.25%NM 27.96%EV -7.96%E -2.49%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.64%EV -10.69%E -5.22%K -10.18%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.40%EV -12.83%E -4.07%K -5.97%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-17 14:25
Sky Bet3.20I 31.25%NM 27.83%EV -7.96%E -2.49%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.44%EV -10.69%E -5.22%K -10.18%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -14.22%E -4.59%K -6.77%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-17 14:25
PlayUp3.15I 31.75%NM 28.71%EV -9.40%E -2.98%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 43.47%EV -9.38%E -4.51%K -8.69%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.82%EV -10.07%E -3.10%K -4.47%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-17 14:25
BetRivers3.15I 31.75%NM 28.58%EV -9.40%E -2.98%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.08I 48.08%NM 43.28%EV -9.38%E -4.51%K -8.69%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -11.45%E -3.58%K -5.20%G +0.000%11.1%2026-05-17 14:20
LiveScore Bet3.15I 31.75%NM 28.09%EV -9.40%E -2.98%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 43.81%EV -12.00%E -5.94%K -11.76%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.09%EV -12.83%E -4.07%K -5.97%G +0.000%13.0%2026-05-17 14:25
Virgin Bet3.15I 31.75%NM 28.09%EV -9.40%E -2.98%K -4.37%G +0.000%2.02I 49.50%NM 43.81%EV -12.00%E -5.94%K -11.76%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.09%EV -12.83%E -4.07%K -5.97%G +0.000%13.0%2026-05-17 14:25
Bet Right3.10I 32.26%NM 29.70%EV -10.84%E -3.50%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.82%EV -6.34%E -2.95%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.48%EV -7.30%E -2.18%K -3.11%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-17 14:25
betfred_uk3.10I 32.26%NM 29.57%EV -10.84%E -3.50%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.64%EV -6.34%E -2.95%K -5.51%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.78%EV -8.68%E -2.63%K -3.77%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-17 04:41
Ladbrokes (AU)3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -10.84%E -3.50%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.44%EV -10.69%E -5.22%K -10.18%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.83%EV -11.45%E -3.58%K -5.20%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-17 14:24
Neds3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -10.84%E -3.50%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.44%EV -10.69%E -5.22%K -10.18%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.83%EV -11.45%E -3.58%K -5.20%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-17 14:25
Coral3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -10.84%E -3.50%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.44%EV -10.69%E -5.22%K -10.18%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.83%EV -11.45%E -3.58%K -5.20%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-17 14:25
Ladbrokes (UK)3.10I 32.26%NM 28.73%EV -10.84%E -3.50%K -5.16%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.44%EV -10.69%E -5.22%K -10.18%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.83%EV -11.45%E -3.58%K -5.20%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-17 14:25
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.10I 32.26%NM 27.03%EV -10.84%E -3.50%K -5.16%G +0.000%1.91I 52.36%NM 43.87%EV -16.79%E -8.79%K -18.45%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.10%EV -20.30%E -7.05%K -10.80%G +0.000%19.3%2026-05-17 14:25
Betclic (FR)3.07I 32.57%NM 29.12%EV -11.70%E -3.81%K -5.65%G +0.000%2.07I 48.31%NM 43.19%EV -9.82%E -4.74%K -9.18%G +0.000%3.23I 30.96%NM 27.68%EV -10.62%E -3.29%K -4.76%G +0.000%11.8%2026-05-17 14:21
Winamax (DE)3.05I 32.79%NM 29.74%EV -12.27%E -4.02%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.19%EV -8.51%E -4.05%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.07%EV -7.30%E -2.18%K -3.11%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-17 14:25
Betr (AU)3.05I 32.79%NM 29.62%EV -12.27%E -4.02%K -5.99%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.01%EV -8.51%E -4.05%K -7.74%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.37%EV -8.68%E -2.63%K -3.77%G +0.000%10.7%2026-05-17 14:25
Unibet (FR)3.05I 32.79%NM 28.62%EV -12.27%E -4.02%K -5.99%G +0.000%1.98I 50.51%NM 44.09%EV -13.74%E -6.94%K -14.02%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.28%EV -11.45%E -3.58%K -5.20%G +0.000%14.5%2026-05-17 14:24
PMU (FR)3.05I 32.79%NM 28.06%EV -12.27%E -4.02%K -5.99%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 43.88%EV -15.05%E -7.72%K -15.84%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.06%EV -15.60%E -5.11%K -7.61%G +0.000%16.9%2026-05-17 14:25
BoyleSports3.00I 33.33%NM 29.21%EV -13.71%E -4.57%K -6.86%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 43.82%EV -12.87%E -6.43%K -12.87%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.97%EV -10.07%E -3.10%K -4.47%G +0.000%14.1%2026-05-17 14:25
Winamax (FR)2.95I 33.90%NM 29.88%EV -15.15%E -5.14%K -7.77%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.00%EV -10.69%E -5.22%K -10.18%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.12%EV -10.07%E -3.10%K -4.47%G +0.000%13.4%2026-05-17 14:25
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)3.60I 27.78%NM 27.61%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.78%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.61%0.6%2026-05-17 14:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)3.60I 27.78%NM 27.61%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.78%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.61%0.6%2026-05-17 14:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)3.60I 27.78%NM 27.61%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.78%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.61%0.6%2026-05-17 14:25
Matchbook3.60I 27.78%NM 27.61%2.22I 45.05%NM 44.78%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.61%0.6%2026-05-17 14:25
Smarkets3.55I 28.17%NM 27.67%2.20I 45.45%NM 44.65%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.67%1.8%2026-05-17 14:25