Language:English
Örgryte IS v Malmo FF
Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
Head to Head
Örgryte IS (Local)
Prediction 17.53%5.70fair odd
EV +6.95%
Edge +1.14%
Kelly +1.36%
Growth +0.095%
assuming max odds 6.10
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
15.89%17.60%17.65%18.77%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.655.355.256.1021.51%18.70%19.05%16.39%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Malmo FF (Visit)
Prediction 59.25%1.69fair odd
EV -4.02%
Edge -2.48%
Kelly -6.48%
Growth +0.000%
assuming max odds 1.62
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
57.43%59.19%59.17%61.95%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.461.551.551.6268.49%64.67%64.52%61.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Draw
Prediction 23.22%4.31fair odd
EV +2.17%
Edge +0.493%
Kelly +0.638%
Growth +0.014%
assuming max odds 4.40
Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
22.07%23.21%23.18%25.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.404.014.004.4029.41%24.96%25.00%22.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Örgryte IS (Local): 17.53%; Malmo FF (Visit): 59.25%; Draw: 23.22%. For Örgryte IS (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 5.70. 12 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 6.10, corresponding to a positive expected value of +6.95%.
Sportsbook Odds (52 sportsbooks)
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.94%EV +6.95%E +1.14%K +1.36%G +0.095% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.95%EV -6.98%E -4.45%K -12.25%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.11%EV +2.17%E +0.493%K +0.638%G +0.014% | 2.8% | 2026-04-05 14:30 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.94%EV +6.95%E +1.14%K +1.36%G +0.095% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.95%EV -6.98%E -4.45%K -12.25%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.11%EV +2.17%E +0.493%K +0.638%G +0.014% | 2.8% | 2026-04-05 14:30 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.94%EV +6.95%E +1.14%K +1.36%G +0.095% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.95%EV -6.98%E -4.45%K -12.25%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.11%EV +2.17%E +0.493%K +0.638%G +0.014% | 2.8% | 2026-04-05 14:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.89%EV +5.19%E +0.866%K +1.04%G +0.054% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.93%EV -8.76%E -5.69%K -16.22%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.18%EV -0.153%E -0.035%K -0.046%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-05 14:30 |
| Unibet🎯 | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.01%EV +1.69%E +0.291%K +0.351%G +0.006% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.89%EV -11.13%E -7.42%K -22.26%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.10%EV -2.47%E -0.589%K -0.773%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-05 14:30 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.01%EV +1.69%E +0.291%K +0.351%G +0.006% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.89%EV -11.13%E -7.42%K -22.26%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.10%EV -2.47%E -0.589%K -0.773%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-05 14:30 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.01%EV +1.69%E +0.291%K +0.351%G +0.006% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.89%EV -11.13%E -7.42%K -22.26%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.10%EV -2.47%E -0.589%K -0.773%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-05 14:30 |
| Casumo🎯 | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.01%EV +1.69%E +0.291%K +0.351%G +0.006% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.89%EV -11.13%E -7.42%K -22.26%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.10%EV -2.47%E -0.589%K -0.773%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-05 14:30 |
| betPARX🎯 | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.01%EV +1.69%E +0.291%K +0.351%G +0.006% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.89%EV -11.13%E -7.42%K -22.26%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.10%EV -2.47%E -0.589%K -0.773%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-05 14:30 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.12%EV +0.811%E +0.141%K +0.171%G +0.001% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.80%EV -11.13%E -7.42%K -22.26%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.07%EV -2.47%E -0.589%K -0.773%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-05 14:30 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.97%EV +0.811%E +0.141%K +0.171%G +0.001% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 61.63%EV -11.72%E -7.87%K -23.92%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%EV -4.80%E -1.17%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-05 14:30 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 5.73I 17.45%NM 16.68%EV +0.460%E +0.080%K +0.097%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.12%EV -5.80%E -3.65%K -9.82%G +0.000% | 4.12I 24.27%NM 23.20%EV -4.33%E -1.05%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-05 14:29 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.02%EV -0.066%E -0.012%K -0.014%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.88%EV -4.02%E -2.48%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.10%EV -2.47%E -0.589%K -0.773%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-04-05 14:29 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.02%EV -0.066%E -0.012%K -0.014%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.88%EV -4.02%E -2.48%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.10%EV -2.47%E -0.589%K -0.773%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-04-05 14:30 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.02%EV -0.066%E -0.012%K -0.014%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.88%EV -4.02%E -2.48%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.10%EV -2.47%E -0.589%K -0.773%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-04-05 14:29 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.21%EV -1.82%E -0.325%K -0.396%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -4.61%E -2.86%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.94%EV -2.47%E -0.589%K -0.773%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-05 14:29 |
| BetUS🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.98%EV -1.82%E -0.325%K -0.396%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.82%EV -5.80%E -3.65%K -9.82%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.20%EV -4.80%E -1.17%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-05 14:30 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.66%EV -1.82%E -0.325%K -0.396%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.58%EV -8.76%E -5.69%K -16.22%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -4.80%E -1.17%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-05 14:29 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.19%EV -1.82%E -0.325%K -0.396%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 61.69%EV -12.91%E -8.78%K -27.46%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.12%EV -4.80%E -1.17%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-05 14:30 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.19%EV -1.82%E -0.325%K -0.396%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 61.69%EV -12.91%E -8.78%K -27.46%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.12%EV -4.80%E -1.17%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-05 14:30 |
| Everygame🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.01%EV -3.57%E -0.650%K -0.794%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.60%EV -6.98%E -4.45%K -12.25%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -7.12%E -1.78%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-05 14:29 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.91%EV -3.57%E -0.650%K -0.794%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.24%EV -6.98%E -4.45%K -12.25%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -9.44%E -2.42%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-05 14:30 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.88%EV -3.57%E -0.650%K -0.794%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.90%EV -8.17%E -5.27%K -14.85%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.21%EV -7.12%E -1.78%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-05 14:29 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 5.49I 18.21%NM 17.04%EV -3.75%E -0.683%K -0.835%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.58%EV -6.98%E -4.45%K -12.25%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.38%EV -7.12%E -1.78%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-05 14:29 |
| GTbets🎯 | 5.44I 18.38%NM 17.51%EV -4.62%E -0.850%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.80%EV -4.02%E -2.48%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 4.02I 24.88%NM 23.69%EV -6.65%E -1.66%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-05 14:29 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.88%EV -7.96%E -1.52%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.66%EV -5.20%E -3.25%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -7.12%E -1.78%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-05 14:30 |
| Betsson🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.80%EV -7.96%E -1.52%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.13%EV -6.39%E -4.04%K -11.02%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.07%EV -5.96%E -1.47%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-05 14:30 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.80%EV -7.96%E -1.52%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.13%EV -6.39%E -4.04%K -11.02%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.07%EV -5.96%E -1.47%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-05 14:30 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.67%EV -7.96%E -1.52%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.24%EV -8.76%E -5.69%K -16.22%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.09%EV -2.47%E -0.589%K -0.773%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-05 14:29 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.44%EV -7.96%E -1.52%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.08%EV -8.17%E -5.27%K -14.85%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -9.44%E -2.42%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-05 14:30 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.44%EV -7.96%E -1.52%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.08%EV -8.17%E -5.27%K -14.85%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -9.44%E -2.42%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-05 14:29 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.34%EV -7.96%E -1.52%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.72%EV -8.17%E -5.27%K -14.85%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -11.76%E -3.10%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-05 14:29 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.68%EV -8.83%E -1.70%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.33%EV -8.17%E -5.27%K -14.85%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.99%EV -7.12%E -1.78%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-05 14:29 |
| Betway🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -12.34%E -2.47%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.14%EV -5.20%E -3.25%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -7.12%E -1.78%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-05 14:29 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.19%EV -12.34%E -2.47%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 57.56%EV -6.39%E -4.04%K -11.02%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.25%EV -12.92%E -3.45%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-05 14:29 |
| 888sport🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -12.34%E -2.47%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.90%EV -6.98%E -4.45%K -12.25%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -11.76%E -3.10%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-05 14:29 |
| William Hill🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -12.34%E -2.47%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.90%EV -6.98%E -4.45%K -12.25%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -11.76%E -3.10%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-05 14:30 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -12.34%E -2.47%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.90%EV -6.98%E -4.45%K -12.25%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -11.76%E -3.10%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-05 14:29 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -12.34%E -2.47%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.90%EV -6.98%E -4.45%K -12.25%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -11.76%E -3.10%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-05 14:29 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -12.34%E -2.47%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -9.35%E -6.11%K -17.64%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -7.12%E -1.78%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-05 14:30 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.09%EV -12.34%E -2.47%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 58.72%EV -8.76%E -5.69%K -16.22%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.19%EV -9.44%E -2.42%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-05 14:30 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.85%EV -12.34%E -2.47%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.34%EV -9.35%E -6.11%K -17.64%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.80%EV -12.92%E -3.45%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-04-05 14:30 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.70%EV -12.34%E -2.47%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.01%EV -11.13%E -7.42%K -22.26%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.29%EV -11.76%E -3.10%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-04-05 14:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.23%EV -12.34%E -2.47%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 57.43%EV -11.13%E -7.42%K -22.26%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.34%EV -21.05%E -6.19%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 16.1% | 2026-04-05 14:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.63%EV -15.85%E -3.30%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.44%EV -9.35%E -6.11%K -17.64%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.93%EV -9.44%E -2.42%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-04-05 14:30 |
| Neds🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.63%EV -15.85%E -3.30%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.44%EV -9.35%E -6.11%K -17.64%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.93%EV -9.44%E -2.42%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-04-05 14:28 |
| Coral🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.63%EV -15.85%E -3.30%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.44%EV -9.35%E -6.11%K -17.64%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.93%EV -9.44%E -2.42%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-04-05 14:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.63%EV -15.85%E -3.30%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.44%EV -9.35%E -6.11%K -17.64%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.93%EV -9.44%E -2.42%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-04-05 14:29 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.62%EV -16.72%E -3.52%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 57.80%EV -9.35%E -6.11%K -17.64%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.58%EV -12.92%E -3.45%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-04-05 14:29 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.17%EV -16.72%E -3.52%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 58.70%EV -12.91%E -8.78%K -27.46%G +0.000% | 3.73I 26.81%NM 23.13%EV -13.39%E -3.59%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 15.9% | 2026-04-05 14:28 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 4.70I 21.28%NM 18.77%EV -17.60%E -3.74%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 58.02%EV -9.94%E -6.54%K -19.12%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.21%EV -11.76%E -3.10%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-04-05 14:30 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 4.65I 21.51%NM 18.38%EV -18.47%E -3.97%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 58.53%EV -13.50%E -9.25%K -29.35%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.09%EV -14.08%E -3.81%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 17.0% | 2026-04-05 14:29 |
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
Exchanges (5)
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.52% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.43% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.05% | 0.9% | 2026-04-05 14:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.52% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.43% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.05% | 0.9% | 2026-04-05 14:30 |
| Matchbook◎ | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.26% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.37% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.36% | 1.6% | 2026-04-05 14:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.24% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.91% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.85% | 1.8% | 2026-04-05 14:30 |
| Smarkets◎ | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.25% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.54% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.21% | 2.6% | 2026-04-05 14:30 |