La escuela de los momiosEspañol
Örgryte IS v Malmo FF
Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →
Resultado del partido
Örgryte IS (Local)
Predicción 17.53%5.70momio equitativo
EV +6.95%
Ventaja +1.14%
Kelly +1.36%
Crecimiento +0.095%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.10
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
15.89%17.60%17.65%18.77%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.655.355.256.1021.51%18.70%19.05%16.39%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Malmo FF (Visitante)
Predicción 59.25%1.69momio equitativo
EV -4.02%
Ventaja -2.48%
Kelly -6.48%
Crecimiento +0.000%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.62
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
57.43%59.19%59.17%61.95%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.461.551.551.6268.49%64.67%64.52%61.73%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Empate
Predicción 23.22%4.31momio equitativo
EV +2.17%
Ventaja +0.493%
Kelly +0.638%
Crecimiento +0.014%
suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.40
Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
22.07%23.21%23.18%25.34%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.404.014.004.4029.41%24.96%25.00%22.73%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Momios de las casas de apuestas (52 corredores)
No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.
| Corredor | Local ▼ | Visitante | Empate | Margen | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (SE) | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.94%EV +6.95%E +1.14%K +1.36%G +0.095% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.95%EV -6.98%E -4.45%K -12.25%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.11%EV +2.17%E +0.493%K +0.638%G +0.014% | 2.8% | 2026-04-05 14:30 |
| Svenska Spel | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.94%EV +6.95%E +1.14%K +1.36%G +0.095% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.95%EV -6.98%E -4.45%K -12.25%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.11%EV +2.17%E +0.493%K +0.638%G +0.014% | 2.8% | 2026-04-05 14:30 |
| ATG (SE) | 6.10I 16.39%NM 15.94%EV +6.95%E +1.14%K +1.36%G +0.095% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 61.95%EV -6.98%E -4.45%K -12.25%G +0.000% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.11%EV +2.17%E +0.493%K +0.638%G +0.014% | 2.8% | 2026-04-05 14:30 |
| LeoVegas (SE) | 6.00I 16.67%NM 15.89%EV +5.19%E +0.866%K +1.04%G +0.054% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 61.93%EV -8.76%E -5.69%K -16.22%G +0.000% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.18%EV -0.153%E -0.035%K -0.046%G +0.000% | 4.9% | 2026-04-05 14:30 |
| Unibet | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.01%EV +1.69%E +0.291%K +0.351%G +0.006% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.89%EV -11.13%E -7.42%K -22.26%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.10%EV -2.47%E -0.589%K -0.773%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-05 14:30 |
| Unibet (NL) | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.01%EV +1.69%E +0.291%K +0.351%G +0.006% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.89%EV -11.13%E -7.42%K -22.26%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.10%EV -2.47%E -0.589%K -0.773%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-05 14:30 |
| Grosvenor | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.01%EV +1.69%E +0.291%K +0.351%G +0.006% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.89%EV -11.13%E -7.42%K -22.26%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.10%EV -2.47%E -0.589%K -0.773%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-05 14:30 |
| Casumo | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.01%EV +1.69%E +0.291%K +0.351%G +0.006% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.89%EV -11.13%E -7.42%K -22.26%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.10%EV -2.47%E -0.589%K -0.773%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-05 14:30 |
| betPARX | 5.80I 17.24%NM 16.01%EV +1.69%E +0.291%K +0.351%G +0.006% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.89%EV -11.13%E -7.42%K -22.26%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.10%EV -2.47%E -0.589%K -0.773%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-05 14:30 |
| LeoVegas | 5.75I 17.39%NM 16.12%EV +0.811%E +0.141%K +0.171%G +0.001% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 61.80%EV -11.13%E -7.42%K -22.26%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.07%EV -2.47%E -0.589%K -0.773%G +0.000% | 7.9% | 2026-04-05 14:30 |
| TABtouch | 5.75I 17.39%NM 15.97%EV +0.811%E +0.141%K +0.171%G +0.001% | 1.49I 67.11%NM 61.63%EV -11.72%E -7.87%K -23.92%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.40%EV -4.80%E -1.17%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 8.9% | 2026-04-05 14:30 |
| Pinnacle | 5.73I 17.45%NM 16.68%EV +0.460%E +0.080%K +0.097%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 60.12%EV -5.80%E -3.65%K -9.82%G +0.000% | 4.12I 24.27%NM 23.20%EV -4.33%E -1.05%K -1.39%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-04-05 14:29 |
| LowVig.ag | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.02%EV -0.066%E -0.012%K -0.014%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.88%EV -4.02%E -2.48%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.10%EV -2.47%E -0.589%K -0.773%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-04-05 14:29 |
| BetOnline.ag | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.02%EV -0.066%E -0.012%K -0.014%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.88%EV -4.02%E -2.48%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.10%EV -2.47%E -0.589%K -0.773%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-04-05 14:30 |
| BetAnything | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.02%EV -0.066%E -0.012%K -0.014%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 59.88%EV -4.02%E -2.48%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.10%EV -2.47%E -0.589%K -0.773%G +0.000% | 3.1% | 2026-04-05 14:29 |
| Coolbet | 5.60I 17.86%NM 17.21%EV -1.82%E -0.325%K -0.396%G +0.000% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 59.85%EV -4.61%E -2.86%K -7.56%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.94%EV -2.47%E -0.589%K -0.773%G +0.000% | 3.8% | 2026-04-05 14:29 |
| BetUS | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.98%EV -1.82%E -0.325%K -0.396%G +0.000% | 1.59I 62.89%NM 59.82%EV -5.80%E -3.65%K -9.82%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.20%EV -4.80%E -1.17%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 5.1% | 2026-04-05 14:30 |
| FanDuel | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.66%EV -1.82%E -0.325%K -0.396%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.58%EV -8.76%E -5.69%K -16.22%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -4.80%E -1.17%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-05 14:29 |
| LiveScore Bet | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.19%EV -1.82%E -0.325%K -0.396%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 61.69%EV -12.91%E -8.78%K -27.46%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.12%EV -4.80%E -1.17%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-05 14:30 |
| Virgin Bet | 5.60I 17.86%NM 16.19%EV -1.82%E -0.325%K -0.396%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 61.69%EV -12.91%E -8.78%K -27.46%G +0.000% | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.12%EV -4.80%E -1.17%K -1.55%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-04-05 14:30 |
| Everygame | 5.50I 18.18%NM 17.01%EV -3.57%E -0.650%K -0.794%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.60%EV -6.98%E -4.45%K -12.25%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.39%EV -7.12%E -1.78%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-05 14:29 |
| DraftKings | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.91%EV -3.57%E -0.650%K -0.794%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.24%EV -6.98%E -4.45%K -12.25%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.85%EV -9.44%E -2.42%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-05 14:30 |
| PointsBet (AU) | 5.50I 18.18%NM 16.88%EV -3.57%E -0.650%K -0.794%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.90%EV -8.17%E -5.27%K -14.85%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.21%EV -7.12%E -1.78%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 7.7% | 2026-04-05 14:29 |
| 1xBet | 5.49I 18.21%NM 17.04%EV -3.75%E -0.683%K -0.835%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 59.58%EV -6.98%E -4.45%K -12.25%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.38%EV -7.12%E -1.78%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-05 14:29 |
| GTbets | 5.44I 18.38%NM 17.51%EV -4.62%E -0.850%K -1.04%G +0.000% | 1.62I 61.73%NM 58.80%EV -4.02%E -2.48%K -6.48%G +0.000% | 4.02I 24.88%NM 23.69%EV -6.65%E -1.66%K -2.20%G +0.000% | 5.0% | 2026-04-05 14:29 |
| Unibet (UK) | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.88%EV -7.96%E -1.52%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.66%EV -5.20%E -3.25%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.46%EV -7.12%E -1.78%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-05 14:30 |
| Betsson | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.80%EV -7.96%E -1.52%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.13%EV -6.39%E -4.04%K -11.02%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.07%EV -5.96%E -1.47%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-05 14:30 |
| NordicBet | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.80%EV -7.96%E -1.52%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 59.13%EV -6.39%E -4.04%K -11.02%G +0.000% | 4.05I 24.69%NM 23.07%EV -5.96%E -1.47%K -1.95%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-04-05 14:30 |
| BetMGM | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.67%EV -7.96%E -1.52%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 60.24%EV -8.76%E -5.69%K -16.22%G +0.000% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.09%EV -2.47%E -0.589%K -0.773%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-05 14:29 |
| Bet Victor | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.44%EV -7.96%E -1.52%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.08%EV -8.17%E -5.27%K -14.85%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -9.44%E -2.42%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-05 14:30 |
| Bet Right | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.44%EV -7.96%E -1.52%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.08%EV -8.17%E -5.27%K -14.85%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -9.44%E -2.42%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-05 14:29 |
| Betr (AU) | 5.25I 19.05%NM 17.34%EV -7.96%E -1.52%K -1.87%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 58.72%EV -8.17%E -5.27%K -14.85%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.95%EV -11.76%E -3.10%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 9.9% | 2026-04-05 14:29 |
| Tipico (DE) | 5.20I 19.23%NM 17.68%EV -8.83%E -1.70%K -2.10%G +0.000% | 1.55I 64.52%NM 59.33%EV -8.17%E -5.27%K -14.85%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.99%EV -7.12%E -1.78%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-04-05 14:29 |
| Betway | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.60%EV -12.34%E -2.47%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 1.60I 62.50%NM 58.14%EV -5.20%E -3.25%K -8.67%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.26%EV -7.12%E -1.78%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 7.5% | 2026-04-05 14:29 |
| PlayUp | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.19%EV -12.34%E -2.47%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 1.58I 63.29%NM 57.56%EV -6.39%E -4.04%K -11.02%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.25%EV -12.92%E -3.45%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-05 14:29 |
| 888sport | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -12.34%E -2.47%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.90%EV -6.98%E -4.45%K -12.25%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -11.76%E -3.10%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-05 14:29 |
| William Hill | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -12.34%E -2.47%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.90%EV -6.98%E -4.45%K -12.25%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -11.76%E -3.10%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-05 14:30 |
| 888sport (SE) | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -12.34%E -2.47%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.90%EV -6.98%E -4.45%K -12.25%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -11.76%E -3.10%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-05 14:29 |
| Mr Green (SE) | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.18%EV -12.34%E -2.47%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 1.57I 63.69%NM 57.90%EV -6.98%E -4.45%K -12.25%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.92%EV -11.76%E -3.10%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 10.0% | 2026-04-05 14:29 |
| SportsBet | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.12%EV -12.34%E -2.47%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 59.22%EV -9.35%E -6.11%K -17.64%G +0.000% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.65%EV -7.12%E -1.78%K -2.37%G +0.000% | 10.4% | 2026-04-05 14:30 |
| Winamax (DE) | 5.00I 20.00%NM 18.09%EV -12.34%E -2.47%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 1.54I 64.94%NM 58.72%EV -8.76%E -5.69%K -16.22%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.19%EV -9.44%E -2.42%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-05 14:30 |
| Sky Bet | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.85%EV -12.34%E -2.47%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.34%EV -9.35%E -6.11%K -17.64%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.80%EV -12.92%E -3.45%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-04-05 14:30 |
| Paddy Power | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.70%EV -12.34%E -2.47%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 59.01%EV -11.13%E -7.42%K -22.26%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.29%EV -11.76%E -3.10%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-04-05 14:30 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK) | 5.00I 20.00%NM 17.23%EV -12.34%E -2.47%K -3.08%G +0.000% | 1.50I 66.67%NM 57.43%EV -11.13%E -7.42%K -22.26%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 25.34%EV -21.05%E -6.19%K -8.77%G +0.000% | 16.1% | 2026-04-05 14:30 |
| Ladbrokes (UK) | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.63%EV -15.85%E -3.30%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.44%EV -9.35%E -6.11%K -17.64%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.93%EV -9.44%E -2.42%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-04-05 14:30 |
| Neds | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.63%EV -15.85%E -3.30%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.44%EV -9.35%E -6.11%K -17.64%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.93%EV -9.44%E -2.42%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-04-05 14:28 |
| Coral | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.63%EV -15.85%E -3.30%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.44%EV -9.35%E -6.11%K -17.64%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.93%EV -9.44%E -2.42%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-04-05 14:30 |
| Ladbrokes (AU) | 4.80I 20.83%NM 18.63%EV -15.85%E -3.30%K -4.17%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 58.44%EV -9.35%E -6.11%K -17.64%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 22.93%EV -9.44%E -2.42%K -3.26%G +0.000% | 11.8% | 2026-04-05 14:29 |
| BoyleSports | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.62%EV -16.72%E -3.52%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 1.53I 65.36%NM 57.80%EV -9.35%E -6.11%K -17.64%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.58%EV -12.92%E -3.45%K -4.70%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-04-05 14:29 |
| Betclic (FR) | 4.75I 21.05%NM 18.17%EV -16.72%E -3.52%K -4.46%G +0.000% | 1.47I 68.03%NM 58.70%EV -12.91%E -8.78%K -27.46%G +0.000% | 3.73I 26.81%NM 23.13%EV -13.39%E -3.59%K -4.90%G +0.000% | 15.9% | 2026-04-05 14:28 |
| Winamax (FR) | 4.70I 21.28%NM 18.77%EV -17.60%E -3.74%K -4.76%G +0.000% | 1.52I 65.79%NM 58.02%EV -9.94%E -6.54%K -19.12%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.21%EV -11.76%E -3.10%K -4.20%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-04-05 14:30 |
| Unibet (FR) | 4.65I 21.51%NM 18.38%EV -18.47%E -3.97%K -5.06%G +0.000% | 1.46I 68.49%NM 58.53%EV -13.50%E -9.25%K -29.35%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 23.09%EV -14.08%E -3.81%K -5.22%G +0.000% | 17.0% | 2026-04-05 14:29 |
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas
Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.
Bolsas de apuestas (5)
| Corredor | Local | Visitante | Empate | Margen ▲ | Actualizado |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (UK) | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.52% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.43% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.05% | 0.9% | 2026-04-05 14:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU) | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.52% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 60.43% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 23.05% | 0.9% | 2026-04-05 14:30 |
| Matchbook | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.26% | 1.63I 61.35%NM 60.37% | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.36% | 1.6% | 2026-04-05 14:30 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU) | 5.70I 17.54%NM 17.24% | 1.64I 60.98%NM 59.91% | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.85% | 1.8% | 2026-04-05 14:30 |
| Smarkets | 6.00I 16.67%NM 16.25% | 1.61I 62.11%NM 60.54% | 4.20I 23.81%NM 23.21% | 2.6% | 2026-04-05 14:30 |