Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 4.50
assuming max odds 1.89
assuming max odds 3.90
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Örgryte IS (Local): 23.20%; IFK Goteborg (Visit): 51.61%; Draw: 25.19%. For Örgryte IS (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 4.31. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 4.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +4.39%.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.68%EV +4.39%E +0.976%K +1.26%G +0.055% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.31%EV -5.55%E -3.03%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.01%EV -1.76%E -0.452%K -0.608%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-05-18 16:35 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.68%EV +4.39%E +0.976%K +1.26%G +0.055% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.31%EV -5.55%E -3.03%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.01%EV -1.76%E -0.452%K -0.608%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-05-18 16:35 |
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 4.50I 22.22%NM 21.68%EV +4.39%E +0.976%K +1.26%G +0.055% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 53.31%EV -5.55%E -3.03%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 3.90I 25.64%NM 25.01%EV -1.76%E -0.452%K -0.608%G +0.000% | 2.5% | 2026-05-18 16:35 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 4.25I 23.53%NM 22.49%EV -1.41%E -0.331%K -0.433%G +0.000% | 1.81I 55.25%NM 52.81%EV -6.58%E -3.64%K -8.12%G +0.000% | 3.87I 25.84%NM 24.70%EV -2.52%E -0.651%K -0.878%G +0.000% | 4.6% | 2026-05-18 16:45 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.59%EV -2.57%E -0.611%K -0.802%G +0.000% | 1.79I 55.87%NM 53.01%EV -7.61%E -4.25%K -9.64%G +0.000% | 3.89I 25.71%NM 24.39%EV -2.02%E -0.518%K -0.698%G +0.000% | 5.4% | 2026-05-18 16:55 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -2.57%E -0.611%K -0.802%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.50%EV -8.13%E -4.57%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.26%EV -6.80%E -1.84%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 7.0% | 2026-05-18 16:35 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -2.57%E -0.611%K -0.802%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.85%EV -7.10%E -3.94%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -9.32%E -2.59%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-18 16:50 |
| Betsson🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -2.57%E -0.611%K -0.802%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.85%EV -7.10%E -3.94%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -9.32%E -2.59%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-05-18 16:45 |
| Tipico (DE)🎯 | 4.20I 23.81%NM 21.90%EV -2.57%E -0.611%K -0.802%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.55%EV -9.68%E -5.53%K -12.90%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -9.32%E -2.59%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 8.7% | 2026-05-18 16:55 |
| Bovada🎯 | 4.15I 24.10%NM 22.61%EV -3.73%E -0.898%K -1.18%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 52.71%EV -8.13%E -4.57%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.69%EV -4.28%E -1.13%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-18 16:55 |
| Coolbet🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.46%EV -4.89%E -1.19%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.89%EV -2.45%E -1.30%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.65%EV -5.54%E -1.48%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 4.0% | 2026-05-18 15:35 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 23.07%EV -4.89%E -1.19%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 1.83I 54.64%NM 51.70%EV -5.55%E -3.03%K -6.68%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.23%EV -5.54%E -1.48%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-18 15:05 |
| Everygame🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.88%EV -4.89%E -1.19%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 52.11%EV -7.10%E -3.94%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.01%EV -5.54%E -1.48%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-18 16:45 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.75%EV -4.89%E -1.19%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.70%EV -8.65%E -4.88%K -11.23%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -4.28%E -1.13%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-18 15:15 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.38%EV -4.89%E -1.19%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.13%EV -9.16%E -5.21%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -9.32%E -2.59%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-18 16:35 |
| Casumo🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.38%EV -4.89%E -1.19%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.13%EV -9.16%E -5.21%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -9.32%E -2.59%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-18 16:35 |
| Unibet🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.38%EV -4.89%E -1.19%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.13%EV -9.16%E -5.21%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -9.32%E -2.59%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-18 16:35 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.38%EV -4.89%E -1.19%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.13%EV -9.16%E -5.21%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -9.32%E -2.59%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-18 16:35 |
| betPARX🎯 | 4.10I 24.39%NM 22.38%EV -4.89%E -1.19%K -1.58%G +0.000% | 1.76I 56.82%NM 52.13%EV -9.16%E -5.21%K -12.05%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -9.32%E -2.59%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-18 16:35 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -7.21%E -1.80%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.43%EV -5.03%E -2.73%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.91%EV -4.28%E -1.13%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-18 16:45 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -7.21%E -1.80%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.43%EV -5.03%E -2.73%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.91%EV -4.28%E -1.13%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-18 16:45 |
| BetUS🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -7.21%E -1.80%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.43%EV -5.03%E -2.73%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.91%EV -4.28%E -1.13%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-18 16:45 |
| BetAnything🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -7.21%E -1.80%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 1.84I 54.35%NM 51.43%EV -5.03%E -2.73%K -5.99%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.91%EV -4.28%E -1.13%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 5.7% | 2026-05-18 16:45 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%EV -7.21%E -1.80%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 1.82I 54.95%NM 51.54%EV -6.06%E -3.33%K -7.40%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 25.01%EV -5.54%E -1.48%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-05-18 15:10 |
| Betway🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -7.21%E -1.80%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.81%EV -7.10%E -3.94%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV -5.54%E -1.48%K -2.02%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-05-18 16:45 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.24%EV -7.21%E -1.80%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.64%EV -7.10%E -3.94%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 25.12%EV -6.80%E -1.84%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-05-18 15:10 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -7.21%E -1.80%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 52.40%EV -8.65%E -4.88%K -11.23%G +0.000% | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.41%EV -4.28%E -1.13%K -1.53%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-05-18 16:50 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -7.21%E -1.80%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 51.28%EV -7.10%E -3.94%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -9.32%E -2.59%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-05-18 15:09 |
| 888sport🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -7.21%E -1.80%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.91%EV -7.10%E -3.94%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -11.84%E -3.38%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-18 16:45 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -7.21%E -1.80%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.91%EV -7.10%E -3.94%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -11.84%E -3.38%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-18 16:45 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -7.21%E -1.80%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.91%EV -7.10%E -3.94%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -11.84%E -3.38%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-18 16:45 |
| William Hill🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -7.21%E -1.80%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.91%EV -7.10%E -3.94%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -11.84%E -3.38%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 9.1% | 2026-05-18 16:45 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.90%EV -7.21%E -1.80%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 52.34%EV -9.68%E -5.53%K -12.90%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -6.80%E -1.84%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-18 15:15 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.45%EV -7.21%E -1.80%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.90%EV -10.71%E -6.19%K -14.67%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.65%EV -11.84%E -3.38%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-18 16:35 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.45%EV -7.21%E -1.80%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.90%EV -10.71%E -6.19%K -14.67%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.65%EV -11.84%E -3.38%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 11.4% | 2026-05-18 16:35 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 4.00I 25.00%NM 22.38%EV -7.21%E -1.80%K -2.40%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 52.04%EV -11.23%E -6.53%K -15.59%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.58%EV -11.84%E -3.38%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-05-18 16:35 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.38%EV -8.37%E -2.12%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.00%EV -12.26%E -7.21%K -17.51%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.62%EV -13.10%E -3.80%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-05-18 16:35 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.95I 25.32%NM 22.38%EV -8.37%E -2.12%K -2.84%G +0.000% | 1.70I 58.82%NM 52.00%EV -12.26%E -7.21%K -17.51%G +0.000% | 3.45I 28.99%NM 25.62%EV -13.10%E -3.80%K -5.35%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-05-18 16:35 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.92I 25.51%NM 24.47%EV -9.06%E -2.31%K -3.10%G +0.000% | 1.89I 52.91%NM 50.75%EV -2.45%E -1.30%K -2.75%G +0.000% | 3.87I 25.84%NM 24.78%EV -2.52%E -0.651%K -0.878%G +0.000% | 4.3% | 2026-05-12 11:09 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -9.53%E -2.44%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 1.80I 55.56%NM 50.98%EV -7.10%E -3.94%K -8.87%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -9.32%E -2.59%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-05-18 16:48 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -9.53%E -2.44%K -3.28%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.44%EV -8.13%E -4.57%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 3.65I 27.40%NM 25.08%EV -8.06%E -2.21%K -3.04%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-05-18 15:10 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.85I 25.97%NM 23.56%EV -10.69%E -2.78%K -3.75%G +0.000% | 1.77I 56.50%NM 51.25%EV -8.65%E -4.88%K -11.23%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.20%EV -9.32%E -2.59%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 10.2% | 2026-05-18 16:40 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.83I 26.11%NM 23.36%EV -11.15%E -2.91%K -3.94%G +0.000% | 1.74I 57.47%NM 51.43%EV -10.19%E -5.86%K -13.77%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 25.21%EV -10.58%E -2.98%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 11.7% | 2026-05-18 16:35 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 24.03%EV -11.85%E -3.12%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 51.30%EV -8.13%E -4.57%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 3.70I 27.03%NM 24.68%EV -6.80%E -1.84%K -2.52%G +0.000% | 9.5% | 2026-05-18 15:10 |
| Betr (AU)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.86%EV -11.85%E -3.12%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 1.78I 56.18%NM 50.95%EV -8.13%E -4.57%K -10.42%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 25.19%EV -9.32%E -2.59%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 10.3% | 2026-05-18 15:10 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.66%EV -11.85%E -3.12%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.37%EV -9.68%E -5.53%K -12.90%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.97%EV -9.32%E -2.59%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 11.2% | 2026-05-18 15:15 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.52%EV -11.85%E -3.12%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.66%EV -10.71%E -6.19%K -14.67%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -9.32%E -2.59%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-18 16:50 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.52%EV -11.85%E -3.12%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.66%EV -10.71%E -6.19%K -14.67%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -9.32%E -2.59%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-18 16:50 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.52%EV -11.85%E -3.12%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.66%EV -10.71%E -6.19%K -14.67%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -9.32%E -2.59%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-18 16:50 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.52%EV -11.85%E -3.12%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.66%EV -10.71%E -6.19%K -14.67%G +0.000% | 3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -9.32%E -2.59%K -3.59%G +0.000% | 11.9% | 2026-05-18 16:50 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49%EV -11.85%E -3.12%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 1.75I 57.14%NM 51.01%EV -9.68%E -5.53%K -12.90%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -11.84%E -3.38%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 12.0% | 2026-05-18 15:15 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.80I 26.32%NM 22.54%EV -11.85%E -3.12%K -4.23%G +0.000% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 51.90%EV -14.84%E -8.99%K -22.83%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 25.56%EV -15.62%E -4.66%K -6.65%G +0.000% | 16.8% | 2026-05-18 16:35 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.59%EV -13.01%E -3.47%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 51.13%EV -10.71%E -6.19%K -14.67%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 25.28%EV -11.84%E -3.38%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 13.0% | 2026-05-18 15:05 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 23.16%EV -13.01%E -3.47%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 1.67I 59.88%NM 52.02%EV -13.81%E -8.27%K -20.61%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 24.82%EV -11.84%E -3.38%K -4.74%G +0.000% | 15.1% | 2026-05-18 16:35 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.75I 26.67%NM 22.85%EV -13.01%E -3.47%K -4.73%G +0.000% | 1.73I 57.80%NM 49.52%EV -10.71%E -6.19%K -14.67%G +0.000% | 3.10I 32.26%NM 27.64%EV -21.92%E -7.07%K -10.44%G +0.000% | 16.7% | 2026-05-18 15:15 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 3.65I 27.40%NM 24.09%EV -15.33%E -4.20%K -5.78%G +0.000% | 1.72I 58.14%NM 51.13%EV -11.23%E -6.53%K -15.59%G +0.000% | 3.55I 28.17%NM 24.77%EV -10.58%E -2.98%K -4.15%G +0.000% | 13.7% | 2026-05-18 15:10 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.52% | 1.88I 53.19%NM 52.71% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.77% | 0.9% | 2026-05-18 16:50 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.46% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.84% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.70% | 1.2% | 2026-05-18 16:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.46% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.84% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.70% | 1.2% | 2026-05-18 16:55 |
| Matchbook◎ | 4.40I 22.73%NM 22.46% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.84% | 4.00I 25.00%NM 24.70% | 1.2% | 2026-05-18 16:55 |
| Smarkets◎ | 4.30I 23.26%NM 22.79% | 1.87I 53.48%NM 52.40% | 3.95I 25.32%NM 24.81% | 2.0% | 2026-05-18 16:55 |