L’École des cotes

Örgryte IS v IFK Goteborg

Coup d’envoi : 2026-05-18 17:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

56 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Örgryte IS (Local)

Prévision 23.20%4.31cote équitable
EV +4.39%
Avantage +0.976%
Kelly +1.26%
Croissance +0.055%

avec la cote maximale 4.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
21.68%23.10%23.22%24.47%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.654.004.004.5027.40%24.98%25.00%22.22%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

IFK Goteborg (Visiteur)

Prévision 51.61%1.94cote équitable
EV -2.45%
Avantage -1.30%
Kelly -2.75%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.89

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
49.52%51.70%51.60%53.31%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.651.781.781.8960.61%56.32%56.18%52.91%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 25.19%3.97cote équitable
EV -1.76%
Avantage -0.452%
Kelly -0.608%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.90

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
24.39%25.21%25.19%27.64%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.103.643.603.9032.26%27.48%27.78%25.64%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (56 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Unibet (SE)4.50I 22.22%NM 21.68%EV +4.39%E +0.976%K +1.26%G +0.055%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.31%EV -5.55%E -3.03%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.01%EV -1.76%E -0.452%K -0.608%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-18 16:35
Svenska Spel4.50I 22.22%NM 21.68%EV +4.39%E +0.976%K +1.26%G +0.055%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.31%EV -5.55%E -3.03%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.01%EV -1.76%E -0.452%K -0.608%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-18 16:35
ATG (SE)4.50I 22.22%NM 21.68%EV +4.39%E +0.976%K +1.26%G +0.055%1.83I 54.64%NM 53.31%EV -5.55%E -3.03%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 25.01%EV -1.76%E -0.452%K -0.608%G +0.000%2.5%2026-05-18 16:35
Pinnacle4.25I 23.53%NM 22.49%EV -1.41%E -0.331%K -0.433%G +0.000%1.81I 55.25%NM 52.81%EV -6.58%E -3.64%K -8.12%G +0.000%3.87I 25.84%NM 24.70%EV -2.52%E -0.651%K -0.878%G +0.000%4.6%2026-05-18 16:45
1xBet4.20I 23.81%NM 22.59%EV -2.57%E -0.611%K -0.802%G +0.000%1.79I 55.87%NM 53.01%EV -7.61%E -4.25%K -9.64%G +0.000%3.89I 25.71%NM 24.39%EV -2.02%E -0.518%K -0.698%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-18 16:55
LeoVegas (SE)4.20I 23.81%NM 22.25%EV -2.57%E -0.611%K -0.802%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.50%EV -8.13%E -4.57%K -10.42%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.26%EV -6.80%E -1.84%K -2.52%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-18 16:35
NordicBet4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -2.57%E -0.611%K -0.802%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.85%EV -7.10%E -3.94%K -8.87%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -9.32%E -2.59%K -3.59%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-18 16:50
Betsson4.20I 23.81%NM 22.22%EV -2.57%E -0.611%K -0.802%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.85%EV -7.10%E -3.94%K -8.87%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.93%EV -9.32%E -2.59%K -3.59%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-18 16:45
Tipico (DE)4.20I 23.81%NM 21.90%EV -2.57%E -0.611%K -0.802%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.55%EV -9.68%E -5.53%K -12.90%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.55%EV -9.32%E -2.59%K -3.59%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-18 16:55
Bovada4.15I 24.10%NM 22.61%EV -3.73%E -0.898%K -1.18%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 52.71%EV -8.13%E -4.57%K -10.42%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.69%EV -4.28%E -1.13%K -1.53%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-18 16:55
Coolbet4.10I 24.39%NM 23.46%EV -4.89%E -1.19%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.89%EV -2.45%E -1.30%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.65%EV -5.54%E -1.48%K -2.02%G +0.000%4.0%2026-05-18 15:35
DraftKings4.10I 24.39%NM 23.07%EV -4.89%E -1.19%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.83I 54.64%NM 51.70%EV -5.55%E -3.03%K -6.68%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.23%EV -5.54%E -1.48%K -2.02%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-18 15:05
Everygame4.10I 24.39%NM 22.88%EV -4.89%E -1.19%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 52.11%EV -7.10%E -3.94%K -8.87%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.01%EV -5.54%E -1.48%K -2.02%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-18 16:45
FanDuel4.10I 24.39%NM 22.75%EV -4.89%E -1.19%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.70%EV -8.65%E -4.88%K -11.23%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.55%EV -4.28%E -1.13%K -1.53%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-18 15:15
Unibet (NL)4.10I 24.39%NM 22.38%EV -4.89%E -1.19%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.13%EV -9.16%E -5.21%K -12.05%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -9.32%E -2.59%K -3.59%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-18 16:35
Casumo4.10I 24.39%NM 22.38%EV -4.89%E -1.19%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.13%EV -9.16%E -5.21%K -12.05%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -9.32%E -2.59%K -3.59%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-18 16:35
Unibet4.10I 24.39%NM 22.38%EV -4.89%E -1.19%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.13%EV -9.16%E -5.21%K -12.05%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -9.32%E -2.59%K -3.59%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-18 16:35
Grosvenor4.10I 24.39%NM 22.38%EV -4.89%E -1.19%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.13%EV -9.16%E -5.21%K -12.05%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -9.32%E -2.59%K -3.59%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-18 16:35
betPARX4.10I 24.39%NM 22.38%EV -4.89%E -1.19%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.76I 56.82%NM 52.13%EV -9.16%E -5.21%K -12.05%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -9.32%E -2.59%K -3.59%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-18 16:35
LowVig.ag4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -7.21%E -1.80%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.43%EV -5.03%E -2.73%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.91%EV -4.28%E -1.13%K -1.53%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-18 16:45
BetOnline.ag4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -7.21%E -1.80%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.43%EV -5.03%E -2.73%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.91%EV -4.28%E -1.13%K -1.53%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-18 16:45
BetUS4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -7.21%E -1.80%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.43%EV -5.03%E -2.73%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.91%EV -4.28%E -1.13%K -1.53%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-18 16:45
BetAnything4.00I 25.00%NM 23.66%EV -7.21%E -1.80%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.84I 54.35%NM 51.43%EV -5.03%E -2.73%K -5.99%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.91%EV -4.28%E -1.13%K -1.53%G +0.000%5.7%2026-05-18 16:45
Unibet (UK)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.45%EV -7.21%E -1.80%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.82I 54.95%NM 51.54%EV -6.06%E -3.33%K -7.40%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 25.01%EV -5.54%E -1.48%K -2.02%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-18 15:10
Betway4.00I 25.00%NM 23.32%EV -7.21%E -1.80%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.81%EV -7.10%E -3.94%K -8.87%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 24.87%EV -5.54%E -1.48%K -2.02%G +0.000%7.2%2026-05-18 16:45
PointsBet (AU)4.00I 25.00%NM 23.24%EV -7.21%E -1.80%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.64%EV -7.10%E -3.94%K -8.87%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.12%EV -6.80%E -1.84%K -2.52%G +0.000%7.6%2026-05-18 15:10
BetMGM4.00I 25.00%NM 23.19%EV -7.21%E -1.80%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 52.40%EV -8.65%E -4.88%K -11.23%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.41%EV -4.28%E -1.13%K -1.53%G +0.000%7.8%2026-05-18 16:50
betfred_uk4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -7.21%E -1.80%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 51.28%EV -7.10%E -3.94%K -8.87%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.64%EV -9.32%E -2.59%K -3.59%G +0.000%8.3%2026-05-18 15:09
888sport4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -7.21%E -1.80%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.91%EV -7.10%E -3.94%K -8.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -11.84%E -3.38%K -4.74%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-18 16:45
888sport (SE)4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -7.21%E -1.80%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.91%EV -7.10%E -3.94%K -8.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -11.84%E -3.38%K -4.74%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-18 16:45
Mr Green (SE)4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -7.21%E -1.80%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.91%EV -7.10%E -3.94%K -8.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -11.84%E -3.38%K -4.74%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-18 16:45
William Hill4.00I 25.00%NM 22.91%EV -7.21%E -1.80%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.91%EV -7.10%E -3.94%K -8.87%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.18%EV -11.84%E -3.38%K -4.74%G +0.000%9.1%2026-05-18 16:45
SportsBet4.00I 25.00%NM 22.90%EV -7.21%E -1.80%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 52.34%EV -9.68%E -5.53%K -12.90%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.76%EV -6.80%E -1.84%K -2.52%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-18 15:15
LeoVegas4.00I 25.00%NM 22.45%EV -7.21%E -1.80%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 51.90%EV -10.71%E -6.19%K -14.67%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.65%EV -11.84%E -3.38%K -4.74%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-18 16:35
BetRivers4.00I 25.00%NM 22.45%EV -7.21%E -1.80%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 51.90%EV -10.71%E -6.19%K -14.67%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.65%EV -11.84%E -3.38%K -4.74%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-18 16:35
TABtouch4.00I 25.00%NM 22.38%EV -7.21%E -1.80%K -2.40%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 52.04%EV -11.23%E -6.53%K -15.59%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.58%EV -11.84%E -3.38%K -4.74%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-18 16:35
Virgin Bet3.95I 25.32%NM 22.38%EV -8.37%E -2.12%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 52.00%EV -12.26%E -7.21%K -17.51%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.62%EV -13.10%E -3.80%K -5.35%G +0.000%13.1%2026-05-18 16:35
LiveScore Bet3.95I 25.32%NM 22.38%EV -8.37%E -2.12%K -2.84%G +0.000%1.70I 58.82%NM 52.00%EV -12.26%E -7.21%K -17.51%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 25.62%EV -13.10%E -3.80%K -5.35%G +0.000%13.1%2026-05-18 16:35
GTbets3.92I 25.51%NM 24.47%EV -9.06%E -2.31%K -3.10%G +0.000%1.89I 52.91%NM 50.75%EV -2.45%E -1.30%K -2.75%G +0.000%3.87I 25.84%NM 24.78%EV -2.52%E -0.651%K -0.878%G +0.000%4.3%2026-05-12 11:09
Bet Victor3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -9.53%E -2.44%K -3.28%G +0.000%1.80I 55.56%NM 50.98%EV -7.10%E -3.94%K -8.87%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.49%EV -9.32%E -2.59%K -3.59%G +0.000%9.0%2026-05-18 16:48
Bet Right3.90I 25.64%NM 23.48%EV -9.53%E -2.44%K -3.28%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 51.44%EV -8.13%E -4.57%K -10.42%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.08%EV -8.06%E -2.21%K -3.04%G +0.000%9.2%2026-05-18 15:10
PlayUp3.85I 25.97%NM 23.56%EV -10.69%E -2.78%K -3.75%G +0.000%1.77I 56.50%NM 51.25%EV -8.65%E -4.88%K -11.23%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.20%EV -9.32%E -2.59%K -3.59%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-18 16:40
Betclic (FR)3.83I 26.11%NM 23.36%EV -11.15%E -2.91%K -3.94%G +0.000%1.74I 57.47%NM 51.43%EV -10.19%E -5.86%K -13.77%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 25.21%EV -10.58%E -2.98%K -4.15%G +0.000%11.7%2026-05-18 16:35
Winamax (DE)3.80I 26.32%NM 24.03%EV -11.85%E -3.12%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 51.30%EV -8.13%E -4.57%K -10.42%G +0.000%3.70I 27.03%NM 24.68%EV -6.80%E -1.84%K -2.52%G +0.000%9.5%2026-05-18 15:10
Betr (AU)3.80I 26.32%NM 23.86%EV -11.85%E -3.12%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.78I 56.18%NM 50.95%EV -8.13%E -4.57%K -10.42%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.19%EV -9.32%E -2.59%K -3.59%G +0.000%10.3%2026-05-18 15:10
Paddy Power3.80I 26.32%NM 23.66%EV -11.85%E -3.12%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.37%EV -9.68%E -5.53%K -12.90%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.97%EV -9.32%E -2.59%K -3.59%G +0.000%11.2%2026-05-18 15:15
Ladbrokes (UK)3.80I 26.32%NM 23.52%EV -11.85%E -3.12%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 51.66%EV -10.71%E -6.19%K -14.67%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -9.32%E -2.59%K -3.59%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-18 16:50
Ladbrokes (AU)3.80I 26.32%NM 23.52%EV -11.85%E -3.12%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 51.66%EV -10.71%E -6.19%K -14.67%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -9.32%E -2.59%K -3.59%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-18 16:50
Neds3.80I 26.32%NM 23.52%EV -11.85%E -3.12%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 51.66%EV -10.71%E -6.19%K -14.67%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -9.32%E -2.59%K -3.59%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-18 16:50
Coral3.80I 26.32%NM 23.52%EV -11.85%E -3.12%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 51.66%EV -10.71%E -6.19%K -14.67%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 24.82%EV -9.32%E -2.59%K -3.59%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-18 16:50
Sky Bet3.80I 26.32%NM 23.49%EV -11.85%E -3.12%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.75I 57.14%NM 51.01%EV -9.68%E -5.53%K -12.90%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.50%EV -11.84%E -3.38%K -4.74%G +0.000%12.0%2026-05-18 15:15
PMU (FR)3.80I 26.32%NM 22.54%EV -11.85%E -3.12%K -4.23%G +0.000%1.65I 60.61%NM 51.90%EV -14.84%E -8.99%K -22.83%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 25.56%EV -15.62%E -4.66%K -6.65%G +0.000%16.8%2026-05-18 16:35
BoyleSports3.75I 26.67%NM 23.59%EV -13.01%E -3.47%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 51.13%EV -10.71%E -6.19%K -14.67%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.28%EV -11.84%E -3.38%K -4.74%G +0.000%13.0%2026-05-18 15:05
Unibet (FR)3.75I 26.67%NM 23.16%EV -13.01%E -3.47%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.67I 59.88%NM 52.02%EV -13.81%E -8.27%K -20.61%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.82%EV -11.84%E -3.38%K -4.74%G +0.000%15.1%2026-05-18 16:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.75I 26.67%NM 22.85%EV -13.01%E -3.47%K -4.73%G +0.000%1.73I 57.80%NM 49.52%EV -10.71%E -6.19%K -14.67%G +0.000%3.10I 32.26%NM 27.64%EV -21.92%E -7.07%K -10.44%G +0.000%16.7%2026-05-18 15:15
Winamax (FR)3.65I 27.40%NM 24.09%EV -15.33%E -4.20%K -5.78%G +0.000%1.72I 58.14%NM 51.13%EV -11.23%E -6.53%K -15.59%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 24.77%EV -10.58%E -2.98%K -4.15%G +0.000%13.7%2026-05-18 15:10
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)4.40I 22.73%NM 22.52%1.88I 53.19%NM 52.71%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.77%0.9%2026-05-18 16:50
Betfair Exchange (AU)4.40I 22.73%NM 22.46%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.84%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.70%1.2%2026-05-18 16:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)4.40I 22.73%NM 22.46%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.84%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.70%1.2%2026-05-18 16:55
Matchbook4.40I 22.73%NM 22.46%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.84%4.00I 25.00%NM 24.70%1.2%2026-05-18 16:55
Smarkets4.30I 23.26%NM 22.79%1.87I 53.48%NM 52.40%3.95I 25.32%NM 24.81%2.0%2026-05-18 16:55