The School of Odds

Örgryte IS v Djurgardens IF

2026-07-20 17:00 UTC — Allsvenskan - Sweden

Head to Head

18 sportsbooks (4 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Örgryte IS (Local)

Prediction 13.22%7.56fair odd
EV -6.14%
Edge -0.865%
Kelly -1.01%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 7.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
13.00%13.36%13.22%15.29%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
5.506.667.007.1018%15%14%14%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Djurgardens IF (Visit)

Prediction 65.45%1.53fair odd
EV -5.75%
Edge -3.99%
Kelly -13.06%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.44

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
63.69%65.99%65.45%68.68%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
1.301.371.351.4477%73%74%69%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Draw

Prediction 21.33%4.69fair odd
EV +6.63%
Edge +1.33%
Kelly +1.66%
Growth +0.110%

assuming max odds 5.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.27%20.65%21.33%21.74%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
4.004.444.345.0025%23%23%20%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (18 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocalVisitDraw ▼MarginUpdated
FanDuel7.00I 14.29%NM 13.12%EV -7.46%E -1.07%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 68.52%EV -12.29%E -9.17%K -36.15%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.36%EV +6.63%E +1.33%K +1.66%G +0.110%8.9%2026-07-13 10:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)7.00I 14.29%NM 13.05%EV -7.46%E -1.07%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 68.68%EV -12.95%E -9.73%K -39.23%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.27%EV +6.63%E +1.33%K +1.66%G +0.110%9.5%2026-07-13 10:14
SportsBet7.00I 14.29%NM 13.00%EV -7.46%E -1.07%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 68.43%EV -12.95%E -9.73%K -39.23%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.57%EV +4.49%E +0.917%K +1.15%G +0.052%9.9%2026-07-13 10:15
Paddy Power6.50I 15.38%NM 13.57%EV -14.07%E -2.16%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 67.86%EV -14.91%E -11.47%K -49.70%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.57%EV +1.30%E +0.273%K +0.345%G +0.004%13.4%2026-07-13 10:11
1xBet7.09I 14.10%NM 13.21%EV -6.27%E -0.884%K -1.03%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 66.43%EV -7.71%E -5.47%K -18.80%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.36%EV -1.90%E -0.414%K -0.529%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-13 11:59
LeoVegas6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV -14.07%E -2.16%K -2.56%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.80%EV -8.36%E -5.97%K -20.91%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -1.90%E -0.414%K -0.529%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-13 11:59
betfred_uk7.00I 14.29%NM 13.04%EV -7.46%E -1.07%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 67.12%EV -10.98%E -8.07%K -30.50%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.84%EV -1.90%E -0.414%K -0.529%G +0.000%9.6%2026-07-13 10:13
Betsson7.10I 14.08%NM 13.22%EV -6.14%E -0.865%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.20%EV -5.75%E -3.99%K -13.06%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.58%EV -7.23%E -1.66%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-13 11:59
NordicBet7.10I 14.08%NM 13.22%EV -6.14%E -0.865%K -1.01%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 65.20%EV -5.75%E -3.99%K -13.06%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.58%EV -7.23%E -1.66%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-13 12:00
Sky Bet6.00I 16.67%NM 14.50%EV -20.68%E -3.45%K -4.14%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 65.41%EV -12.95%E -9.73%K -39.23%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.09%EV -7.66%E -1.77%K -2.30%G +0.000%14.9%2026-07-13 10:15
Winamax (DE)5.80I 17.24%NM 15.05%EV -23.32%E -4.02%K -4.86%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 64.65%EV -11.64%E -8.62%K -33.25%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.30%EV -8.30%E -1.93%K -2.52%G +0.000%14.6%2026-07-13 12:00
William Hill7.00I 14.29%NM 13.04%EV -7.46%E -1.07%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.22%EV -8.36%E -5.97%K -20.91%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -10.43%E -2.48%K -3.26%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-13 12:00
888sport7.00I 14.29%NM 13.04%EV -7.46%E -1.07%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.22%EV -8.36%E -5.97%K -20.91%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -10.43%E -2.48%K -3.26%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-13 11:59
888sport (SE)7.00I 14.29%NM 13.04%EV -7.46%E -1.07%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.22%EV -8.36%E -5.97%K -20.91%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -10.43%E -2.48%K -3.26%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-13 11:59
Mr Green (SE)7.00I 14.29%NM 13.04%EV -7.46%E -1.07%K -1.24%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 65.22%EV -8.36%E -5.97%K -20.91%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.74%EV -10.43%E -2.48%K -3.26%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-13 11:59
Betclic (FR)6.25I 16.00%NM 14.05%EV -17.38%E -2.78%K -3.31%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 65.04%EV -11.64%E -8.62%K -33.25%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 20.91%EV -10.43%E -2.48%K -3.26%G +0.000%13.9%2026-07-13 11:59
Unibet (FR)6.10I 16.39%NM 14.27%EV -19.36%E -3.17%K -3.80%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 64.49%EV -11.64%E -8.62%K -33.25%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.24%EV -12.57%E -3.06%K -4.05%G +0.000%14.9%2026-07-13 12:00
Winamax (FR)5.50I 18.18%NM 15.29%EV -27.29%E -4.96%K -6.06%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 63.69%EV -13.60%E -10.30%K -42.50%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.02%EV -14.70%E -3.67%K -4.90%G +0.000%18.9%2026-07-13 12:00
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets5.90I 16.95%NM 14.54%1.34I 74.63%NM 64.02%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.45%16.6%2026-07-13 12:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-07-13 10:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-07-13 10:15
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.04I 96.15%NM 33.01%1.01I 99.01%NM 33.99%191.3%2026-07-13 10:15