Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Örgryte IS v Djurgardens IF

Kickoff: 2026-07-20 17:00 UTC

Final: Örgryte IS 0–0 Djurgardens IF

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

57 sportsbooks (17 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Örgryte IS (Local)

Prediction 12.93%7.73fair odd
EV +35.77%
Edge +3.41%
Kelly +3.77%
Growth +1.35%

assuming max odds 10.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
9.24%12.85%13.07%14.90%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
6.007.617.2510.5016.67%13.15%13.79%9.52%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Djurgardens IF (Visit)

Prediction 69.71%1.43fair odd
EV -3.80%
Edge -2.75%
Kelly -10.00%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.38

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
67.22%69.76%69.67%74.60%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.191.311.321.3884.03%76.07%75.76%72.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 17.36%5.76fair odd
EV +4.16%
Edge +0.693%
Kelly +0.832%
Growth +0.035%

assuming max odds 6.00

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
16.16%17.39%17.26%18.43%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.805.315.306.0020.83%18.83%18.87%16.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Örgryte IS (Local): 12.93%; Djurgardens IF (Visit): 69.71%; Draw: 17.36%. For Örgryte IS (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 7.73. 20 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 10.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +35.77%.

Sportsbook Odds (57 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Unibet (SE)10.50I 9.52%NM 9.24%EV +35.77%E +3.41%K +3.77%G +1.35%1.30I 76.92%NM 74.60%EV -9.38%E -7.21%K -31.26%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.16%EV +4.16%E +0.693%K +0.832%G +0.035%3.1%2026-07-20 16:25
ATG (SE)10.50I 9.52%NM 9.24%EV +35.77%E +3.41%K +3.77%G +1.35%1.30I 76.92%NM 74.60%EV -9.38%E -7.21%K -31.26%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.16%EV +4.16%E +0.693%K +0.832%G +0.035%3.1%2026-07-20 16:30
Svenska Spel10.50I 9.52%NM 9.24%EV +35.77%E +3.41%K +3.77%G +1.35%1.30I 76.92%NM 74.60%EV -9.38%E -7.21%K -31.26%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.16%EV +4.16%E +0.693%K +0.832%G +0.035%3.1%2026-07-20 16:15
LeoVegas (SE)9.50I 10.53%NM 9.88%EV +22.84%E +2.40%K +2.69%G +0.614%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.35%EV -10.77%E -8.42%K -38.47%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.77%EV -2.78%E -0.497%K -0.605%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-20 16:25
Grosvenor9.50I 10.53%NM 9.88%EV +22.84%E +2.40%K +2.69%G +0.614%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.35%EV -10.77%E -8.42%K -38.47%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.77%EV -2.78%E -0.497%K -0.605%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-20 16:25
Casumo9.00I 11.11%NM 10.28%EV +16.37%E +1.82%K +2.05%G +0.335%1.27I 78.74%NM 72.89%EV -11.47%E -9.03%K -42.48%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.83%EV -4.52%E -0.822%K -1.00%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-20 16:15
Unibet9.00I 11.11%NM 10.28%EV +16.37%E +1.82%K +2.05%G +0.335%1.27I 78.74%NM 72.89%EV -11.47%E -9.03%K -42.48%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.83%EV -4.52%E -0.822%K -1.00%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-20 16:15
Unibet (NL)9.00I 11.11%NM 10.28%EV +16.37%E +1.82%K +2.05%G +0.335%1.27I 78.74%NM 72.89%EV -11.47%E -9.03%K -42.48%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.83%EV -4.52%E -0.822%K -1.00%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-20 16:25
betPARX9.00I 11.11%NM 10.28%EV +16.37%E +1.82%K +2.05%G +0.335%1.27I 78.74%NM 72.89%EV -11.47%E -9.03%K -42.48%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.83%EV -4.52%E -0.822%K -1.00%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-20 16:30
Betsson8.50I 11.76%NM 11.04%EV +9.91%E +1.17%K +1.32%G +0.131%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.09%EV -7.98%E -6.05%K -24.95%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.87%EV -8.86%E -1.69%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-20 16:35
BetRivers8.50I 11.76%NM 10.63%EV +9.91%E +1.17%K +1.32%G +0.131%1.25I 80.00%NM 72.31%EV -12.86%E -10.29%K -51.45%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.05%EV -7.99%E -1.51%K -1.86%G +0.000%10.6%2026-07-20 16:25
TABtouch8.50I 11.76%NM 10.56%EV +9.91%E +1.17%K +1.32%G +0.131%1.24I 80.65%NM 72.36%EV -13.56%E -10.94%K -56.50%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.09%EV -8.86%E -1.69%K -2.08%G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-20 16:25
Virgin Bet8.50I 11.76%NM 10.48%EV +9.91%E +1.17%K +1.32%G +0.131%1.23I 81.30%NM 72.40%EV -14.26%E -11.59%K -61.99%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.13%EV -9.73%E -1.87%K -2.32%G +0.000%12.3%2026-07-20 16:25
LiveScore Bet8.50I 11.76%NM 10.48%EV +9.91%E +1.17%K +1.32%G +0.131%1.23I 81.30%NM 72.40%EV -14.26%E -11.59%K -61.99%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.13%EV -9.73%E -1.87%K -2.32%G +0.000%12.3%2026-07-20 16:25
Coolbet8.20I 12.20%NM 11.77%EV +6.03%E +0.735%K +0.837%G +0.050%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.99%EV -5.19%E -3.82%K -14.43%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.24%EV -2.78%E -0.497%K -0.605%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-20 16:19
NordicBet8.10I 12.35%NM 11.54%EV +4.74%E +0.585%K +0.667%G +0.032%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.82%EV -7.98%E -6.05%K -24.95%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.64%EV -7.99%E -1.51%K -1.86%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-20 16:35
PointsBet (AU)8.00I 12.50%NM 11.71%EV +3.44%E +0.430%K +0.492%G +0.017%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.44%EV -7.29%E -5.48%K -22.08%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.85%EV -8.86%E -1.69%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-20 13:15
1xBet8.00I 12.50%NM 11.71%EV +3.44%E +0.430%K +0.492%G +0.017%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.95%EV -7.98%E -6.05%K -24.95%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.34%EV -6.26%E -1.16%K -1.42%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-20 16:35
Unibet (FR)8.00I 12.50%NM 11.62%EV +3.44%E +0.430%K +0.492%G +0.017%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.49%EV -9.38%E -7.21%K -31.26%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.90%EV -4.52%E -0.822%K -1.00%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-20 16:05
PMU (FR)8.00I 12.50%NM 10.73%EV +3.44%E +0.430%K +0.492%G +0.017%1.19I 84.03%NM 72.11%EV -17.05%E -14.32%K -89.71%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.16%EV -13.20%E -2.64%K -3.30%G +0.000%16.5%2026-07-20 16:15
Unibet (UK)7.50I 13.33%NM 12.56%EV -3.02%E -0.403%K -0.465%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.31%EV -6.59%E -4.92%K -19.38%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.13%EV -4.52%E -0.822%K -1.00%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-20 16:15
FanDuel7.50I 13.33%NM 12.36%EV -3.02%E -0.403%K -0.465%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 70.78%EV -8.68%E -6.63%K -28.00%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.86%EV -4.52%E -0.822%K -1.00%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-20 16:25
betfred_uk7.50I 13.33%NM 12.30%EV -3.02%E -0.403%K -0.465%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 70.94%EV -9.38%E -7.21%K -31.26%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.77%EV -4.52%E -0.822%K -1.00%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-20 13:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV -3.02%E -0.403%K -0.465%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.29%E -5.48%K -22.08%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -13.20%E -2.64%K -3.30%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-20 16:25
Bet Right7.50I 13.33%NM 12.26%EV -3.02%E -0.403%K -0.465%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 70.22%EV -8.68%E -6.63%K -28.00%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.52%EV -8.86%E -1.69%K -2.08%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-20 13:15
betano_uk7.50I 13.33%NM 12.20%EV -3.02%E -0.403%K -0.465%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 70.38%EV -9.38%E -7.21%K -31.26%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.43%EV -8.86%E -1.69%K -2.08%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-20 14:59
Bet Victor7.50I 13.33%NM 12.20%EV -3.02%E -0.403%K -0.465%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 70.38%EV -9.38%E -7.21%K -31.26%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.43%EV -8.86%E -1.69%K -2.08%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-20 14:58
GTbets7.39I 13.53%NM 12.80%EV -4.45%E -0.602%K -0.696%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.07%EV -4.50%E -3.28%K -12.16%G +0.000%5.22I 19.16%NM 18.13%EV -9.38%E -1.80%K -2.22%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-20 11:30
Everygame7.25I 13.79%NM 12.90%EV -6.26%E -0.863%K -1.00%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.28%EV -5.89%E -4.36%K -16.83%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.82%EV -8.86%E -1.69%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-20 16:35
SportsBet7.25I 13.79%NM 12.72%EV -6.26%E -0.863%K -1.00%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 69.88%EV -7.98%E -6.05%K -24.95%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.40%EV -7.99%E -1.51%K -1.86%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-20 16:25
PlayUp7.25I 13.79%NM 12.46%EV -6.26%E -0.863%K -1.00%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 69.48%EV -9.38%E -7.21%K -31.26%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.06%EV -13.20%E -2.64%K -3.30%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-20 16:25
Betr (AU)7.25I 13.79%NM 12.46%EV -6.26%E -0.863%K -1.00%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 69.48%EV -9.38%E -7.21%K -31.26%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.06%EV -13.20%E -2.64%K -3.30%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-20 13:15
Pinnacle7.22I 13.85%NM 13.20%EV -6.64%E -0.920%K -1.07%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.08%EV -5.19%E -3.82%K -14.43%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.72%EV -1.05%E -0.184%K -0.223%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-20 16:25
Tipico (DE)7.20I 13.89%NM 12.76%EV -6.90%E -0.959%K -1.11%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 69.58%EV -7.98%E -6.05%K -24.95%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.66%EV -9.73%E -1.87%K -2.32%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-20 16:25
DraftKings7.00I 14.29%NM 13.55%EV -9.49%E -1.36%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.21%EV -4.50%E -3.28%K -12.16%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.24%EV -4.52%E -0.822%K -1.00%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-20 16:25
BetMGM7.00I 14.29%NM 13.48%EV -9.49%E -1.36%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.37%EV -5.19%E -3.82%K -14.43%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.15%EV -4.52%E -0.822%K -1.00%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-20 16:25
Bovada7.00I 14.29%NM 13.43%EV -9.49%E -1.36%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.15%EV -5.19%E -3.82%K -14.43%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.42%EV -6.26%E -1.16%K -1.42%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-20 16:34
LeoVegas7.00I 14.29%NM 13.41%EV -9.49%E -1.36%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.53%EV -5.89%E -4.36%K -16.83%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.07%EV -4.52%E -0.822%K -1.00%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-20 16:15
William Hill7.00I 14.29%NM 13.05%EV -9.49%E -1.36%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 68.68%EV -7.29%E -5.48%K -22.08%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.27%EV -13.20%E -2.64%K -3.30%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-20 16:35
888sport7.00I 14.29%NM 13.05%EV -9.49%E -1.36%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 68.68%EV -7.29%E -5.48%K -22.08%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.27%EV -13.20%E -2.64%K -3.30%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-20 10:10
888sport (SE)7.00I 14.29%NM 13.05%EV -9.49%E -1.36%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 68.68%EV -7.29%E -5.48%K -22.08%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.27%EV -13.20%E -2.64%K -3.30%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-20 10:10
Mr Green (SE)7.00I 14.29%NM 13.05%EV -9.49%E -1.36%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 68.68%EV -7.29%E -5.48%K -22.08%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.27%EV -13.20%E -2.64%K -3.30%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-20 10:09
Paddy Power7.00I 14.29%NM 12.85%EV -9.49%E -1.36%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 69.17%EV -9.38%E -7.21%K -31.26%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.98%EV -13.20%E -2.64%K -3.30%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-20 16:25
LowVig.ag6.80I 14.71%NM 13.87%EV -12.07%E -1.78%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.34%EV -3.80%E -2.75%K -10.00%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.79%EV -7.99%E -1.51%K -1.86%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-20 16:35
BetOnline.ag6.80I 14.71%NM 13.87%EV -12.07%E -1.78%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.34%EV -3.80%E -2.75%K -10.00%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.79%EV -7.99%E -1.51%K -1.86%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-20 16:35
BetUS6.80I 14.71%NM 13.87%EV -12.07%E -1.78%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.34%EV -3.80%E -2.75%K -10.00%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.79%EV -7.99%E -1.51%K -1.86%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-20 16:35
BetAnything6.80I 14.71%NM 13.87%EV -12.07%E -1.78%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.34%EV -3.80%E -2.75%K -10.00%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.79%EV -7.99%E -1.51%K -1.86%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-20 16:35
Betclic (FR)6.75I 14.81%NM 13.37%EV -12.72%E -1.88%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 69.43%EV -9.38%E -7.21%K -31.26%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.19%EV -8.86%E -1.69%K -2.08%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-20 16:33
Betway6.50I 15.38%NM 14.39%EV -15.95%E -2.45%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.79%EV -3.80%E -2.75%K -10.00%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.82%EV -8.86%E -1.69%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-20 16:35
Winamax (DE)6.50I 15.38%NM 14.00%EV -15.95%E -2.45%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 69.46%EV -8.68%E -6.63%K -28.00%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.54%EV -4.52%E -0.822%K -1.00%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-20 16:15
Winamax (FR)6.50I 15.38%NM 13.88%EV -15.95%E -2.45%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 69.41%EV -9.38%E -7.21%K -31.26%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.71%EV -6.26%E -1.16%K -1.42%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-20 16:15
Sky Bet6.50I 15.38%NM 13.60%EV -15.95%E -2.45%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 67.99%EV -9.38%E -7.21%K -31.26%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.41%EV -16.67%E -3.47%K -4.39%G +0.000%13.1%2026-07-20 16:25
Coral6.00I 16.67%NM 14.90%EV -22.42%E -3.74%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 67.22%EV -7.29%E -5.48%K -22.08%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.88%EV -13.20%E -2.64%K -3.30%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-20 16:25
Ladbrokes (AU)6.00I 16.67%NM 14.90%EV -22.42%E -3.74%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 67.22%EV -7.29%E -5.48%K -22.08%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.88%EV -13.20%E -2.64%K -3.30%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-20 16:25
Neds6.00I 16.67%NM 14.90%EV -22.42%E -3.74%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 67.22%EV -7.29%E -5.48%K -22.08%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.88%EV -13.20%E -2.64%K -3.30%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-20 16:25
Ladbrokes (UK)6.00I 16.67%NM 14.90%EV -22.42%E -3.74%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 67.22%EV -7.29%E -5.48%K -22.08%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.88%EV -13.20%E -2.64%K -3.30%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-20 16:25
BoyleSports6.00I 16.67%NM 14.67%EV -22.42%E -3.74%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 67.72%EV -9.38%E -7.21%K -31.26%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.61%EV -13.20%E -2.64%K -3.30%G +0.000%13.6%2026-07-20 16:25
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)8.40I 11.90%NM 11.87%1.40I 71.43%NM 71.23%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.90%0.3%2026-07-20 16:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)8.40I 11.90%NM 11.87%1.40I 71.43%NM 71.23%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.90%0.3%2026-07-20 16:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)8.40I 11.90%NM 11.84%1.40I 71.43%NM 71.02%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.14%0.6%2026-07-20 16:35
Matchbook8.40I 11.90%NM 11.84%1.40I 71.43%NM 71.02%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.14%0.6%2026-07-20 16:35
Smarkets8.40I 11.90%NM 11.81%1.39I 71.94%NM 71.37%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.82%0.8%2026-07-20 16:30