La escuela de los momios

Örgryte IS v Djurgardens IF

Inicio: 2026-07-20 17:00 UTC

Final: Örgryte IS 0–0 Djurgardens IF

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

57 corredores (17 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Örgryte IS (Local)

Predicción 12.93%7.73momio equitativo
EV +35.77%
Ventaja +3.41%
Kelly +3.77%
Crecimiento +1.35%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 10.50

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
9.24%12.85%13.07%14.90%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
6.007.617.2510.5016.67%13.15%13.79%9.52%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Djurgardens IF (Visitante)

Predicción 69.71%1.43momio equitativo
EV -3.80%
Ventaja -2.75%
Kelly -10.00%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.38

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
67.22%69.76%69.67%74.60%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.191.311.321.3884.03%76.07%75.76%72.46%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 17.36%5.76momio equitativo
EV +4.16%
Ventaja +0.693%
Kelly +0.832%
Crecimiento +0.035%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 6.00

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
16.16%17.39%17.26%18.43%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
4.805.315.306.0020.83%18.83%18.87%16.67%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (57 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Unibet (SE)10.50I 9.52%NM 9.24%EV +35.77%E +3.41%K +3.77%G +1.35%1.30I 76.92%NM 74.60%EV -9.38%E -7.21%K -31.26%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.16%EV +4.16%E +0.693%K +0.832%G +0.035%3.1%2026-07-20 16:25
ATG (SE)10.50I 9.52%NM 9.24%EV +35.77%E +3.41%K +3.77%G +1.35%1.30I 76.92%NM 74.60%EV -9.38%E -7.21%K -31.26%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.16%EV +4.16%E +0.693%K +0.832%G +0.035%3.1%2026-07-20 16:30
Svenska Spel10.50I 9.52%NM 9.24%EV +35.77%E +3.41%K +3.77%G +1.35%1.30I 76.92%NM 74.60%EV -9.38%E -7.21%K -31.26%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 16.16%EV +4.16%E +0.693%K +0.832%G +0.035%3.1%2026-07-20 16:15
LeoVegas (SE)9.50I 10.53%NM 9.88%EV +22.84%E +2.40%K +2.69%G +0.614%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.35%EV -10.77%E -8.42%K -38.47%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.77%EV -2.78%E -0.497%K -0.605%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-20 16:25
Grosvenor9.50I 10.53%NM 9.88%EV +22.84%E +2.40%K +2.69%G +0.614%1.28I 78.13%NM 73.35%EV -10.77%E -8.42%K -38.47%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 16.77%EV -2.78%E -0.497%K -0.605%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-20 16:25
Casumo9.00I 11.11%NM 10.28%EV +16.37%E +1.82%K +2.05%G +0.335%1.27I 78.74%NM 72.89%EV -11.47%E -9.03%K -42.48%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.83%EV -4.52%E -0.822%K -1.00%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-20 16:15
Unibet9.00I 11.11%NM 10.28%EV +16.37%E +1.82%K +2.05%G +0.335%1.27I 78.74%NM 72.89%EV -11.47%E -9.03%K -42.48%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.83%EV -4.52%E -0.822%K -1.00%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-20 16:15
Unibet (NL)9.00I 11.11%NM 10.28%EV +16.37%E +1.82%K +2.05%G +0.335%1.27I 78.74%NM 72.89%EV -11.47%E -9.03%K -42.48%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.83%EV -4.52%E -0.822%K -1.00%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-20 16:25
betPARX9.00I 11.11%NM 10.28%EV +16.37%E +1.82%K +2.05%G +0.335%1.27I 78.74%NM 72.89%EV -11.47%E -9.03%K -42.48%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.83%EV -4.52%E -0.822%K -1.00%G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-20 16:30
Betsson8.50I 11.76%NM 11.04%EV +9.91%E +1.17%K +1.32%G +0.131%1.32I 75.76%NM 71.09%EV -7.98%E -6.05%K -24.95%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.87%EV -8.86%E -1.69%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-20 16:35
BetRivers8.50I 11.76%NM 10.63%EV +9.91%E +1.17%K +1.32%G +0.131%1.25I 80.00%NM 72.31%EV -12.86%E -10.29%K -51.45%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.05%EV -7.99%E -1.51%K -1.86%G +0.000%10.6%2026-07-20 16:25
TABtouch8.50I 11.76%NM 10.56%EV +9.91%E +1.17%K +1.32%G +0.131%1.24I 80.65%NM 72.36%EV -13.56%E -10.94%K -56.50%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.09%EV -8.86%E -1.69%K -2.08%G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-20 16:25
Virgin Bet8.50I 11.76%NM 10.48%EV +9.91%E +1.17%K +1.32%G +0.131%1.23I 81.30%NM 72.40%EV -14.26%E -11.59%K -61.99%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.13%EV -9.73%E -1.87%K -2.32%G +0.000%12.3%2026-07-20 16:25
LiveScore Bet8.50I 11.76%NM 10.48%EV +9.91%E +1.17%K +1.32%G +0.131%1.23I 81.30%NM 72.40%EV -14.26%E -11.59%K -61.99%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.13%EV -9.73%E -1.87%K -2.32%G +0.000%12.3%2026-07-20 16:25
Coolbet8.20I 12.20%NM 11.77%EV +6.03%E +0.735%K +0.837%G +0.050%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.99%EV -5.19%E -3.82%K -14.43%G +0.000%5.60I 17.86%NM 17.24%EV -2.78%E -0.497%K -0.605%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-20 16:19
NordicBet8.10I 12.35%NM 11.54%EV +4.74%E +0.585%K +0.667%G +0.032%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.82%EV -7.98%E -6.05%K -24.95%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.64%EV -7.99%E -1.51%K -1.86%G +0.000%7.0%2026-07-20 16:35
PointsBet (AU)8.00I 12.50%NM 11.71%EV +3.44%E +0.430%K +0.492%G +0.017%1.33I 75.19%NM 70.44%EV -7.29%E -5.48%K -22.08%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.85%EV -8.86%E -1.69%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-20 13:15
1xBet8.00I 12.50%NM 11.71%EV +3.44%E +0.430%K +0.492%G +0.017%1.32I 75.76%NM 70.95%EV -7.98%E -6.05%K -24.95%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.34%EV -6.26%E -1.16%K -1.42%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-20 16:35
Unibet (FR)8.00I 12.50%NM 11.62%EV +3.44%E +0.430%K +0.492%G +0.017%1.30I 76.92%NM 71.49%EV -9.38%E -7.21%K -31.26%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.90%EV -4.52%E -0.822%K -1.00%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-20 16:05
PMU (FR)8.00I 12.50%NM 10.73%EV +3.44%E +0.430%K +0.492%G +0.017%1.19I 84.03%NM 72.11%EV -17.05%E -14.32%K -89.71%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.16%EV -13.20%E -2.64%K -3.30%G +0.000%16.5%2026-07-20 16:15
Unibet (UK)7.50I 13.33%NM 12.56%EV -3.02%E -0.403%K -0.465%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 70.31%EV -6.59%E -4.92%K -19.38%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.13%EV -4.52%E -0.822%K -1.00%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-20 16:15
FanDuel7.50I 13.33%NM 12.36%EV -3.02%E -0.403%K -0.465%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 70.78%EV -8.68%E -6.63%K -28.00%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.86%EV -4.52%E -0.822%K -1.00%G +0.000%7.9%2026-07-20 16:25
betfred_uk7.50I 13.33%NM 12.30%EV -3.02%E -0.403%K -0.465%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 70.94%EV -9.38%E -7.21%K -31.26%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.77%EV -4.52%E -0.822%K -1.00%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-20 13:15
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)7.50I 13.33%NM 12.29%EV -3.02%E -0.403%K -0.465%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 69.28%EV -7.29%E -5.48%K -22.08%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.43%EV -13.20%E -2.64%K -3.30%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-20 16:25
Bet Right7.50I 13.33%NM 12.26%EV -3.02%E -0.403%K -0.465%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 70.22%EV -8.68%E -6.63%K -28.00%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.52%EV -8.86%E -1.69%K -2.08%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-20 13:15
betano_uk7.50I 13.33%NM 12.20%EV -3.02%E -0.403%K -0.465%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 70.38%EV -9.38%E -7.21%K -31.26%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.43%EV -8.86%E -1.69%K -2.08%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-20 14:59
Bet Victor7.50I 13.33%NM 12.20%EV -3.02%E -0.403%K -0.465%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 70.38%EV -9.38%E -7.21%K -31.26%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.43%EV -8.86%E -1.69%K -2.08%G +0.000%9.3%2026-07-20 14:58
GTbets7.39I 13.53%NM 12.80%EV -4.45%E -0.602%K -0.696%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.07%EV -4.50%E -3.28%K -12.16%G +0.000%5.22I 19.16%NM 18.13%EV -9.38%E -1.80%K -2.22%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-20 11:30
Everygame7.25I 13.79%NM 12.90%EV -6.26%E -0.863%K -1.00%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.28%EV -5.89%E -4.36%K -16.83%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.82%EV -8.86%E -1.69%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-20 16:35
SportsBet7.25I 13.79%NM 12.72%EV -6.26%E -0.863%K -1.00%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 69.88%EV -7.98%E -6.05%K -24.95%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.40%EV -7.99%E -1.51%K -1.86%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-20 16:25
PlayUp7.25I 13.79%NM 12.46%EV -6.26%E -0.863%K -1.00%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 69.48%EV -9.38%E -7.21%K -31.26%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.06%EV -13.20%E -2.64%K -3.30%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-20 16:25
Betr (AU)7.25I 13.79%NM 12.46%EV -6.26%E -0.863%K -1.00%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 69.48%EV -9.38%E -7.21%K -31.26%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.06%EV -13.20%E -2.64%K -3.30%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-20 13:15
Pinnacle7.22I 13.85%NM 13.20%EV -6.64%E -0.920%K -1.07%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 70.08%EV -5.19%E -3.82%K -14.43%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 16.72%EV -1.05%E -0.184%K -0.223%G +0.000%4.9%2026-07-20 16:25
Tipico (DE)7.20I 13.89%NM 12.76%EV -6.90%E -0.959%K -1.11%G +0.000%1.32I 75.76%NM 69.58%EV -7.98%E -6.05%K -24.95%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 17.66%EV -9.73%E -1.87%K -2.32%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-20 16:25
DraftKings7.00I 14.29%NM 13.55%EV -9.49%E -1.36%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.37I 72.99%NM 69.21%EV -4.50%E -3.28%K -12.16%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.24%EV -4.52%E -0.822%K -1.00%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-20 16:25
BetMGM7.00I 14.29%NM 13.48%EV -9.49%E -1.36%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.37%EV -5.19%E -3.82%K -14.43%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.15%EV -4.52%E -0.822%K -1.00%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-20 16:25
Bovada7.00I 14.29%NM 13.43%EV -9.49%E -1.36%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.36I 73.53%NM 69.15%EV -5.19%E -3.82%K -14.43%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 17.42%EV -6.26%E -1.16%K -1.42%G +0.000%6.3%2026-07-20 16:34
LeoVegas7.00I 14.29%NM 13.41%EV -9.49%E -1.36%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.35I 74.07%NM 69.53%EV -5.89%E -4.36%K -16.83%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 17.07%EV -4.52%E -0.822%K -1.00%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-20 16:15
William Hill7.00I 14.29%NM 13.05%EV -9.49%E -1.36%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 68.68%EV -7.29%E -5.48%K -22.08%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.27%EV -13.20%E -2.64%K -3.30%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-20 16:35
888sport7.00I 14.29%NM 13.05%EV -9.49%E -1.36%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 68.68%EV -7.29%E -5.48%K -22.08%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.27%EV -13.20%E -2.64%K -3.30%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-20 10:10
888sport (SE)7.00I 14.29%NM 13.05%EV -9.49%E -1.36%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 68.68%EV -7.29%E -5.48%K -22.08%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.27%EV -13.20%E -2.64%K -3.30%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-20 10:10
Mr Green (SE)7.00I 14.29%NM 13.05%EV -9.49%E -1.36%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 68.68%EV -7.29%E -5.48%K -22.08%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.27%EV -13.20%E -2.64%K -3.30%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-20 10:09
Paddy Power7.00I 14.29%NM 12.85%EV -9.49%E -1.36%K -1.58%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 69.17%EV -9.38%E -7.21%K -31.26%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.98%EV -13.20%E -2.64%K -3.30%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-20 16:25
LowVig.ag6.80I 14.71%NM 13.87%EV -12.07%E -1.78%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.34%EV -3.80%E -2.75%K -10.00%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.79%EV -7.99%E -1.51%K -1.86%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-20 16:35
BetOnline.ag6.80I 14.71%NM 13.87%EV -12.07%E -1.78%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.34%EV -3.80%E -2.75%K -10.00%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.79%EV -7.99%E -1.51%K -1.86%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-20 16:35
BetUS6.80I 14.71%NM 13.87%EV -12.07%E -1.78%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.34%EV -3.80%E -2.75%K -10.00%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.79%EV -7.99%E -1.51%K -1.86%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-20 16:35
BetAnything6.80I 14.71%NM 13.87%EV -12.07%E -1.78%K -2.08%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 68.34%EV -3.80%E -2.75%K -10.00%G +0.000%5.30I 18.87%NM 17.79%EV -7.99%E -1.51%K -1.86%G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-20 16:35
Betclic (FR)6.75I 14.81%NM 13.37%EV -12.72%E -1.88%K -2.21%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 69.43%EV -9.38%E -7.21%K -31.26%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.19%EV -8.86%E -1.69%K -2.08%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-20 16:33
Betway6.50I 15.38%NM 14.39%EV -15.95%E -2.45%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 67.79%EV -3.80%E -2.75%K -10.00%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.82%EV -8.86%E -1.69%K -2.08%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-20 16:35
Winamax (DE)6.50I 15.38%NM 14.00%EV -15.95%E -2.45%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.31I 76.34%NM 69.46%EV -8.68%E -6.63%K -28.00%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.54%EV -4.52%E -0.822%K -1.00%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-20 16:15
Winamax (FR)6.50I 15.38%NM 13.88%EV -15.95%E -2.45%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 69.41%EV -9.38%E -7.21%K -31.26%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 16.71%EV -6.26%E -1.16%K -1.42%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-20 16:15
Sky Bet6.50I 15.38%NM 13.60%EV -15.95%E -2.45%K -2.90%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 67.99%EV -9.38%E -7.21%K -31.26%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.41%EV -16.67%E -3.47%K -4.39%G +0.000%13.1%2026-07-20 16:25
Coral6.00I 16.67%NM 14.90%EV -22.42%E -3.74%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 67.22%EV -7.29%E -5.48%K -22.08%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.88%EV -13.20%E -2.64%K -3.30%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-20 16:25
Ladbrokes (AU)6.00I 16.67%NM 14.90%EV -22.42%E -3.74%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 67.22%EV -7.29%E -5.48%K -22.08%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.88%EV -13.20%E -2.64%K -3.30%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-20 16:25
Neds6.00I 16.67%NM 14.90%EV -22.42%E -3.74%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 67.22%EV -7.29%E -5.48%K -22.08%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.88%EV -13.20%E -2.64%K -3.30%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-20 16:25
Ladbrokes (UK)6.00I 16.67%NM 14.90%EV -22.42%E -3.74%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.33I 75.19%NM 67.22%EV -7.29%E -5.48%K -22.08%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.88%EV -13.20%E -2.64%K -3.30%G +0.000%11.9%2026-07-20 16:25
BoyleSports6.00I 16.67%NM 14.67%EV -22.42%E -3.74%K -4.48%G +0.000%1.30I 76.92%NM 67.72%EV -9.38%E -7.21%K -31.26%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.61%EV -13.20%E -2.64%K -3.30%G +0.000%13.6%2026-07-20 16:25
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)8.40I 11.90%NM 11.87%1.40I 71.43%NM 71.23%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.90%0.3%2026-07-20 16:35
Betfair Exchange (UK)8.40I 11.90%NM 11.87%1.40I 71.43%NM 71.23%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.90%0.3%2026-07-20 16:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)8.40I 11.90%NM 11.84%1.40I 71.43%NM 71.02%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.14%0.6%2026-07-20 16:35
Matchbook8.40I 11.90%NM 11.84%1.40I 71.43%NM 71.02%5.80I 17.24%NM 17.14%0.6%2026-07-20 16:35
Smarkets8.40I 11.90%NM 11.81%1.39I 71.94%NM 71.37%5.90I 16.95%NM 16.82%0.8%2026-07-20 16:30