Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →
assuming max odds 3.40
assuming max odds 2.25
assuming max odds 3.50
At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Örgryte IS (Local): 29.04%; Degerfors IF (Visit): 43.29%; Draw: 27.67%. For Örgryte IS (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.44. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.40, with an expected value of -1.26%; they did not produce positive expected value.
We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.
| Bookmaker | Local ▼ | Visit | Draw | Margin | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| ATG (SE)🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.48%EV -1.26%E -0.370%K -0.524%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.04%EV -2.59%E -1.15%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.48%EV -5.94%E -1.75%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-04-23 19:20 |
| Svenska Spel🎯 | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.48%EV -1.26%E -0.370%K -0.524%G +0.000% | 2.25I 44.44%NM 43.04%EV -2.59%E -1.15%K -2.07%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 28.48%EV -5.94%E -1.75%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 3.3% | 2026-04-23 19:24 |
| LeoVegas (SE)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -2.71%E -0.809%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.04%EV -4.76%E -2.16%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.69%EV -8.70%E -2.64%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-23 19:24 |
| Unibet (SE)🎯 | 3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -2.71%E -0.809%K -1.15%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 43.04%EV -4.76%E -2.16%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.69%EV -8.70%E -2.64%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 5.6% | 2026-04-23 19:24 |
| Pinnacle🎯 | 3.29I 30.40%NM 28.67%EV -4.45%E -1.35%K -1.94%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.67%EV -6.49%E -3.00%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 3.41I 29.33%NM 27.66%EV -5.66%E -1.66%K -2.35%G +0.000% | 6.0% | 2026-04-23 21:50 |
| Bovada🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -5.61%E -1.73%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.48%EV -6.49%E -3.00%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.62%EV -5.94%E -1.75%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 6.5% | 2026-04-23 22:37 |
| Unibet (UK)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -5.61%E -1.73%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.59%EV -6.92%E -3.22%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -5.94%E -1.75%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 6.7% | 2026-04-23 20:05 |
| 1xBet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.80%EV -5.61%E -1.73%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.34%EV -6.49%E -3.00%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 3.36I 29.76%NM 27.86%EV -7.04%E -2.10%K -2.98%G +0.000% | 6.8% | 2026-04-23 22:25 |
| BetOnline.ag🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.78%EV -5.61%E -1.73%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.30%EV -6.49%E -3.00%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.92%EV -7.32%E -2.18%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-23 18:55 |
| LowVig.ag🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.78%EV -5.61%E -1.73%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 43.30%EV -6.49%E -3.00%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 3.35I 29.85%NM 27.92%EV -7.32%E -2.18%K -3.11%G +0.000% | 6.9% | 2026-04-23 18:50 |
| Betway🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -5.61%E -1.73%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.23%EV -6.92%E -3.22%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.17%EV -8.70%E -2.64%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 7.6% | 2026-04-23 21:50 |
| Unibet🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.53%EV -5.61%E -1.73%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 42.93%EV -6.49%E -3.00%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.53%EV -10.09%E -3.10%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-23 19:25 |
| Casumo🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.53%EV -5.61%E -1.73%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 42.93%EV -6.49%E -3.00%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.53%EV -10.09%E -3.10%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-23 19:24 |
| Unibet (NL)🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.53%EV -5.61%E -1.73%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 42.93%EV -6.49%E -3.00%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.53%EV -10.09%E -3.10%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-23 19:24 |
| Grosvenor🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.53%EV -5.61%E -1.73%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 42.93%EV -6.49%E -3.00%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.53%EV -10.09%E -3.10%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-23 19:25 |
| betPARX🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.53%EV -5.61%E -1.73%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 2.16I 46.30%NM 42.93%EV -6.49%E -3.00%K -5.59%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.53%EV -10.09%E -3.10%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 7.8% | 2026-04-23 19:20 |
| BetRivers🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.42%EV -5.61%E -1.73%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.16%EV -7.35%E -3.44%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.42%EV -10.09%E -3.10%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-23 19:24 |
| LeoVegas🎯 | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.42%EV -5.61%E -1.73%K -2.50%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 43.16%EV -7.35%E -3.44%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 28.42%EV -10.09%E -3.10%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 8.3% | 2026-04-23 19:25 |
| GTbets🎯 | 3.24I 30.86%NM 28.95%EV -5.91%E -1.82%K -2.64%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.63%EV -6.92%E -3.22%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 3.42I 29.24%NM 27.43%EV -5.38%E -1.57%K -2.22%G +0.000% | 6.6% | 2026-04-23 19:29 |
| Betsson🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -7.07%E -2.21%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.40%EV -6.92%E -3.22%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -5.94%E -1.75%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-23 21:48 |
| NordicBet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -7.07%E -2.21%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.40%EV -6.92%E -3.22%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -5.94%E -1.75%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 7.2% | 2026-04-23 21:49 |
| DraftKings🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -7.07%E -2.21%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.04%EV -6.92%E -3.22%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -8.70%E -2.64%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 8.1% | 2026-04-23 21:49 |
| 888sport🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -7.07%E -2.21%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -6.92%E -3.22%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -11.47%E -3.58%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-23 23:09 |
| William Hill🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -7.07%E -2.21%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -6.92%E -3.22%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -11.47%E -3.58%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-23 23:09 |
| 888sport (SE)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -7.07%E -2.21%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -6.92%E -3.22%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -11.47%E -3.58%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-23 23:09 |
| Mr Green (SE)🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -7.07%E -2.21%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -6.92%E -3.22%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -11.47%E -3.58%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 9.0% | 2026-04-23 23:10 |
| TABtouch🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -7.07%E -2.21%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 2.14I 46.73%NM 42.78%EV -7.35%E -3.44%K -6.45%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -11.47%E -3.58%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 9.2% | 2026-04-23 19:25 |
| LiveScore Bet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.49%EV -7.07%E -2.21%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.01%EV -8.22%E -3.88%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.49%EV -11.47%E -3.58%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-23 19:20 |
| Virgin Bet🎯 | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.49%EV -7.07%E -2.21%K -3.21%G +0.000% | 2.12I 47.17%NM 43.01%EV -8.22%E -3.88%K -7.34%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.49%EV -11.47%E -3.58%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 9.7% | 2026-04-23 19:25 |
| BetMGM🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -9.97%E -3.22%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -4.76%E -2.16%K -3.96%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -5.94%E -1.75%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 7.1% | 2026-04-23 17:53 |
| PointsBet (AU)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -9.97%E -3.22%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -6.92%E -3.22%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -3.17%E -0.906%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 7.3% | 2026-04-23 19:25 |
| FanDuel🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -9.97%E -3.22%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -9.09%E -4.33%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -3.17%E -0.906%K -1.27%G +0.000% | 8.4% | 2026-04-23 19:24 |
| betfred_uk🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -9.97%E -3.22%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -9.09%E -4.33%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -5.94%E -1.75%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-23 19:28 |
| Bet Right🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -9.97%E -3.22%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -9.09%E -4.33%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -5.94%E -1.75%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-23 19:24 |
| Bet Victor🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -9.97%E -3.22%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -9.09%E -4.33%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -5.94%E -1.75%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 9.3% | 2026-04-23 21:54 |
| SportsBet🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -9.97%E -3.22%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.17%EV -11.25%E -5.49%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -5.94%E -1.75%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-04-23 19:25 |
| Paddy Power🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -9.97%E -3.22%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 44.17%EV -11.25%E -5.49%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -5.94%E -1.75%K -2.47%G +0.000% | 10.5% | 2026-04-23 19:25 |
| PlayUp🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 29.15%EV -9.97%E -3.22%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 2.10I 47.62%NM 43.04%EV -9.09%E -4.33%K -8.26%G +0.000% | 3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -10.09%E -3.10%K -4.48%G +0.000% | 10.6% | 2026-04-23 21:50 |
| PMU (FR)🎯 | 3.10I 32.26%NM 28.28%EV -9.97%E -3.22%K -4.75%G +0.000% | 2.04I 49.02%NM 42.98%EV -11.68%E -5.73%K -11.23%G +0.000% | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.74%EV -15.62%E -5.12%K -7.62%G +0.000% | 14.1% | 2026-04-23 19:20 |
| Winamax (DE)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.99%EV -11.42%E -3.75%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 44.21%EV -13.42%E -6.71%K -13.42%G +0.000% | 3.30I 30.30%NM 26.80%EV -8.70%E -2.64%K -3.78%G +0.000% | 13.1% | 2026-04-23 20:05 |
| Unibet (FR)🎯 | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.25%EV -11.42%E -3.75%K -5.57%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 44.41%EV -16.01%E -8.25%K -17.03%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.35%EV -12.85%E -4.08%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 16.1% | 2026-04-23 20:04 |
| Betclic (FR)🎯 | 3.02I 33.11%NM 28.51%EV -12.29%E -4.07%K -6.09%G +0.000% | 1.95I 51.28%NM 44.16%EV -15.58%E -7.99%K -16.40%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.33%EV -12.85%E -4.08%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 16.1% | 2026-04-23 20:08 |
| Neds🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -12.88%E -4.29%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.87%EV -6.92%E -3.22%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -11.47%E -3.58%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-23 17:54 |
| Ladbrokes (UK)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -12.88%E -4.29%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.87%EV -6.92%E -3.22%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -11.47%E -3.58%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-23 17:54 |
| Ladbrokes (AU)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -12.88%E -4.29%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.87%EV -6.92%E -3.22%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -11.47%E -3.58%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-23 17:54 |
| Coral🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -12.88%E -4.29%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 2.15I 46.51%NM 41.87%EV -6.92%E -3.22%K -6.02%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -11.47%E -3.58%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 11.1% | 2026-04-23 17:55 |
| BoyleSports🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 29.40%EV -12.88%E -4.29%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 2.05I 48.78%NM 43.03%EV -11.25%E -5.49%K -10.71%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.57%EV -11.47%E -3.58%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 13.4% | 2026-04-23 21:49 |
| Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯 | 3.00I 33.33%NM 28.24%EV -12.88%E -4.29%K -6.44%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 42.35%EV -13.42%E -6.71%K -13.42%G +0.000% | 2.88I 34.72%NM 29.41%EV -20.32%E -7.06%K -10.81%G +0.000% | 18.1% | 2026-04-23 19:24 |
| Sky Bet🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 29.80%EV -15.78%E -5.44%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 2.00I 50.00%NM 43.20%EV -13.42%E -6.71%K -13.42%G +0.000% | 3.20I 31.25%NM 27.00%EV -11.47%E -3.58%K -5.21%G +0.000% | 15.7% | 2026-04-23 19:25 |
| Winamax (FR)🎯 | 2.90I 34.48%NM 29.28%EV -15.78%E -5.44%K -8.30%G +0.000% | 1.94I 51.55%NM 43.77%EV -16.01%E -8.25%K -17.03%G +0.000% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 26.95%EV -12.85%E -4.08%K -5.98%G +0.000% | 17.8% | 2026-04-23 20:05 |
Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.
| Bookmaker | Local | Visit | Draw | Margin ▲ | Updated |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Smarkets◎ | 3.05I 32.79%NM 28.75% | 2.02I 49.50%NM 43.41% | 3.15I 31.75%NM 27.84% | 14.0% | 2026-04-23 20:04 |
| Betfair Exchange (UK)◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 28.12% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 43.93% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 27.95% | 116.8% | 2026-04-23 14:54 |
| Betfair Exchange (EU)◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 28.12% | 1.05I 95.24%NM 43.93% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 27.95% | 116.8% | 2026-04-23 14:55 |
| Betfair Exchange (AU)◎ | 1.64I 60.98%NM 28.00% | 1.04I 96.15%NM 44.16% | 1.65I 60.61%NM 27.83% | 117.7% | 2026-04-23 14:55 |