La escuela de los momios

Örgryte IS v Degerfors IF

Inicio: 2026-04-27 17:00 UTC

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

50 corredores (13 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Örgryte IS (Local)

Predicción 29.04%3.44momio equitativo
EV -1.26%
Ventaja -0.370%
Kelly -0.524%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.40

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
28.24%29.14%28.98%30.11%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.903.163.203.4034.48%31.61%31.25%29.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Degerfors IF (Visitante)

Predicción 43.29%2.31momio equitativo
EV -2.59%
Ventaja -1.15%
Kelly -2.07%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.25

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
41.87%43.26%43.39%44.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.942.122.152.2551.55%47.11%46.51%44.44%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 27.67%3.61momio equitativo
EV -3.17%
Ventaja -0.906%
Kelly -1.27%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.50

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.35%27.60%27.63%29.41%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.883.283.253.5034.72%30.46%30.77%28.57%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (50 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
ATG (SE)3.40I 29.41%NM 28.48%EV -1.26%E -0.370%K -0.524%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.04%EV -2.59%E -1.15%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.48%EV -5.94%E -1.75%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-23 19:20
Svenska Spel3.40I 29.41%NM 28.48%EV -1.26%E -0.370%K -0.524%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 43.04%EV -2.59%E -1.15%K -2.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 28.48%EV -5.94%E -1.75%K -2.47%G +0.000%3.3%2026-04-23 19:24
LeoVegas (SE)3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -2.71%E -0.809%K -1.15%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.04%EV -4.76%E -2.16%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.69%EV -8.70%E -2.64%K -3.78%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 19:24
Unibet (SE)3.35I 29.85%NM 28.27%EV -2.71%E -0.809%K -1.15%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 43.04%EV -4.76%E -2.16%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.69%EV -8.70%E -2.64%K -3.78%G +0.000%5.6%2026-04-23 19:24
Pinnacle3.29I 30.40%NM 28.67%EV -4.45%E -1.35%K -1.94%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.67%EV -6.49%E -3.00%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.41I 29.33%NM 27.66%EV -5.66%E -1.66%K -2.35%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-23 21:50
Bovada3.25I 30.77%NM 28.90%EV -5.61%E -1.73%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.48%EV -6.49%E -3.00%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.62%EV -5.94%E -1.75%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-23 22:37
Unibet (UK)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.84%EV -5.61%E -1.73%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.59%EV -6.92%E -3.22%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -5.94%E -1.75%K -2.47%G +0.000%6.7%2026-04-23 20:05
1xBet3.25I 30.77%NM 28.80%EV -5.61%E -1.73%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.34%EV -6.49%E -3.00%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 27.86%EV -7.04%E -2.10%K -2.98%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-23 22:25
BetOnline.ag3.25I 30.77%NM 28.78%EV -5.61%E -1.73%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.30%EV -6.49%E -3.00%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.92%EV -7.32%E -2.18%K -3.11%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-23 18:55
LowVig.ag3.25I 30.77%NM 28.78%EV -5.61%E -1.73%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 43.30%EV -6.49%E -3.00%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.92%EV -7.32%E -2.18%K -3.11%G +0.000%6.9%2026-04-23 18:50
Betway3.25I 30.77%NM 28.60%EV -5.61%E -1.73%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.23%EV -6.92%E -3.22%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.17%EV -8.70%E -2.64%K -3.78%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-23 21:50
Unibet3.25I 30.77%NM 28.53%EV -5.61%E -1.73%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 42.93%EV -6.49%E -3.00%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.53%EV -10.09%E -3.10%K -4.48%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-23 19:25
Casumo3.25I 30.77%NM 28.53%EV -5.61%E -1.73%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 42.93%EV -6.49%E -3.00%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.53%EV -10.09%E -3.10%K -4.48%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-23 19:24
Unibet (NL)3.25I 30.77%NM 28.53%EV -5.61%E -1.73%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 42.93%EV -6.49%E -3.00%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.53%EV -10.09%E -3.10%K -4.48%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-23 19:24
Grosvenor3.25I 30.77%NM 28.53%EV -5.61%E -1.73%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 42.93%EV -6.49%E -3.00%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.53%EV -10.09%E -3.10%K -4.48%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-23 19:25
betPARX3.25I 30.77%NM 28.53%EV -5.61%E -1.73%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.16I 46.30%NM 42.93%EV -6.49%E -3.00%K -5.59%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.53%EV -10.09%E -3.10%K -4.48%G +0.000%7.8%2026-04-23 19:20
BetRivers3.25I 30.77%NM 28.42%EV -5.61%E -1.73%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.16%EV -7.35%E -3.44%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.42%EV -10.09%E -3.10%K -4.48%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-23 19:24
LeoVegas3.25I 30.77%NM 28.42%EV -5.61%E -1.73%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 43.16%EV -7.35%E -3.44%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.42%EV -10.09%E -3.10%K -4.48%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-23 19:25
GTbets3.24I 30.86%NM 28.95%EV -5.91%E -1.82%K -2.64%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.63%EV -6.92%E -3.22%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.42I 29.24%NM 27.43%EV -5.38%E -1.57%K -2.22%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-23 19:29
Betsson3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -7.07%E -2.21%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.40%EV -6.92%E -3.22%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -5.94%E -1.75%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-23 21:48
NordicBet3.20I 31.25%NM 29.16%EV -7.07%E -2.21%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.40%EV -6.92%E -3.22%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.44%EV -5.94%E -1.75%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-23 21:49
DraftKings3.20I 31.25%NM 28.92%EV -7.07%E -2.21%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.04%EV -6.92%E -3.22%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.04%EV -8.70%E -2.64%K -3.78%G +0.000%8.1%2026-04-23 21:49
888sport3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -7.07%E -2.21%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -6.92%E -3.22%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -11.47%E -3.58%K -5.21%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-23 23:09
William Hill3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -7.07%E -2.21%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -6.92%E -3.22%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -11.47%E -3.58%K -5.21%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-23 23:09
888sport (SE)3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -7.07%E -2.21%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -6.92%E -3.22%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -11.47%E -3.58%K -5.21%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-23 23:09
Mr Green (SE)3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -7.07%E -2.21%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 42.67%EV -6.92%E -3.22%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.67%EV -11.47%E -3.58%K -5.21%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-23 23:10
TABtouch3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -7.07%E -2.21%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.14I 46.73%NM 42.78%EV -7.35%E -3.44%K -6.45%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.61%EV -11.47%E -3.58%K -5.21%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-23 19:25
LiveScore Bet3.20I 31.25%NM 28.49%EV -7.07%E -2.21%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.01%EV -8.22%E -3.88%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.49%EV -11.47%E -3.58%K -5.21%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-23 19:20
Virgin Bet3.20I 31.25%NM 28.49%EV -7.07%E -2.21%K -3.21%G +0.000%2.12I 47.17%NM 43.01%EV -8.22%E -3.88%K -7.34%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.49%EV -11.47%E -3.58%K -5.21%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-23 19:25
BetMGM3.10I 32.26%NM 30.11%EV -9.97%E -3.22%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 42.43%EV -4.76%E -2.16%K -3.96%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.46%EV -5.94%E -1.75%K -2.47%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-23 17:53
PointsBet (AU)3.10I 32.26%NM 30.05%EV -9.97%E -3.22%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 43.33%EV -6.92%E -3.22%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.62%EV -3.17%E -0.906%K -1.27%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-23 19:25
FanDuel3.10I 32.26%NM 29.75%EV -9.97%E -3.22%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.91%EV -9.09%E -4.33%K -8.26%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.35%EV -3.17%E -0.906%K -1.27%G +0.000%8.4%2026-04-23 19:24
betfred_uk3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -9.97%E -3.22%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -9.09%E -4.33%K -8.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -5.94%E -1.75%K -2.47%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-23 19:28
Bet Right3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -9.97%E -3.22%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -9.09%E -4.33%K -8.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -5.94%E -1.75%K -2.47%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-23 19:24
Bet Victor3.10I 32.26%NM 29.52%EV -9.97%E -3.22%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.57%EV -9.09%E -4.33%K -8.26%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.91%EV -5.94%E -1.75%K -2.47%G +0.000%9.3%2026-04-23 21:54
SportsBet3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -9.97%E -3.22%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.17%EV -11.25%E -5.49%K -10.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -5.94%E -1.75%K -2.47%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-23 19:25
Paddy Power3.10I 32.26%NM 29.21%EV -9.97%E -3.22%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 44.17%EV -11.25%E -5.49%K -10.71%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.63%EV -5.94%E -1.75%K -2.47%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-23 19:25
PlayUp3.10I 32.26%NM 29.15%EV -9.97%E -3.22%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.10I 47.62%NM 43.04%EV -9.09%E -4.33%K -8.26%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.81%EV -10.09%E -3.10%K -4.48%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-23 21:50
PMU (FR)3.10I 32.26%NM 28.28%EV -9.97%E -3.22%K -4.75%G +0.000%2.04I 49.02%NM 42.98%EV -11.68%E -5.73%K -11.23%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.74%EV -15.62%E -5.12%K -7.62%G +0.000%14.1%2026-04-23 19:20
Winamax (DE)3.05I 32.79%NM 28.99%EV -11.42%E -3.75%K -5.57%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 44.21%EV -13.42%E -6.71%K -13.42%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.80%EV -8.70%E -2.64%K -3.78%G +0.000%13.1%2026-04-23 20:05
Unibet (FR)3.05I 32.79%NM 28.25%EV -11.42%E -3.75%K -5.57%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 44.41%EV -16.01%E -8.25%K -17.03%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.35%EV -12.85%E -4.08%K -5.98%G +0.000%16.1%2026-04-23 20:04
Betclic (FR)3.02I 33.11%NM 28.51%EV -12.29%E -4.07%K -6.09%G +0.000%1.95I 51.28%NM 44.16%EV -15.58%E -7.99%K -16.40%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.33%EV -12.85%E -4.08%K -5.98%G +0.000%16.1%2026-04-23 20:08
Neds3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -12.88%E -4.29%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.87%EV -6.92%E -3.22%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -11.47%E -3.58%K -5.21%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-23 17:54
Ladbrokes (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -12.88%E -4.29%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.87%EV -6.92%E -3.22%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -11.47%E -3.58%K -5.21%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-23 17:54
Ladbrokes (AU)3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -12.88%E -4.29%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.87%EV -6.92%E -3.22%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -11.47%E -3.58%K -5.21%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-23 17:54
Coral3.00I 33.33%NM 30.00%EV -12.88%E -4.29%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.15I 46.51%NM 41.87%EV -6.92%E -3.22%K -6.02%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.13%EV -11.47%E -3.58%K -5.21%G +0.000%11.1%2026-04-23 17:55
BoyleSports3.00I 33.33%NM 29.40%EV -12.88%E -4.29%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.05I 48.78%NM 43.03%EV -11.25%E -5.49%K -10.71%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.57%EV -11.47%E -3.58%K -5.21%G +0.000%13.4%2026-04-23 21:49
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)3.00I 33.33%NM 28.24%EV -12.88%E -4.29%K -6.44%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 42.35%EV -13.42%E -6.71%K -13.42%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 29.41%EV -20.32%E -7.06%K -10.81%G +0.000%18.1%2026-04-23 19:24
Sky Bet2.90I 34.48%NM 29.80%EV -15.78%E -5.44%K -8.30%G +0.000%2.00I 50.00%NM 43.20%EV -13.42%E -6.71%K -13.42%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.00%EV -11.47%E -3.58%K -5.21%G +0.000%15.7%2026-04-23 19:25
Winamax (FR)2.90I 34.48%NM 29.28%EV -15.78%E -5.44%K -8.30%G +0.000%1.94I 51.55%NM 43.77%EV -16.01%E -8.25%K -17.03%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 26.95%EV -12.85%E -4.08%K -5.98%G +0.000%17.8%2026-04-23 20:05
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (4)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Smarkets3.05I 32.79%NM 28.75%2.02I 49.50%NM 43.41%3.15I 31.75%NM 27.84%14.0%2026-04-23 20:04
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.64I 60.98%NM 28.12%1.05I 95.24%NM 43.93%1.65I 60.61%NM 27.95%116.8%2026-04-23 14:54
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.64I 60.98%NM 28.12%1.05I 95.24%NM 43.93%1.65I 60.61%NM 27.95%116.8%2026-04-23 14:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.64I 60.98%NM 28.00%1.04I 96.15%NM 44.16%1.65I 60.61%NM 27.83%117.7%2026-04-23 14:55