Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Örgryte IS v BK Hacken

Kickoff: 2026-07-11 15:30 UTC

Final: Örgryte IS 4–3 BK Hacken

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

56 sportsbooks (17 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Örgryte IS (Local)

Prediction 16.30%6.13fair odd
EV +5.98%
Edge +0.920%
Kelly +1.09%
Growth +0.065%

assuming max odds 6.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
15.07%16.41%16.26%18.35%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.755.605.636.5021.05%17.85%17.78%15.38%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

BK Hacken (Visit)

Prediction 63.82%1.57fair odd
EV -4.27%
Edge -2.85%
Kelly -8.55%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
61.71%63.60%63.95%65.73%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.341.441.441.5074.63%69.22%69.44%66.67%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 19.88%5.03fair odd
EV +1.38%
Edge +0.270%
Kelly +0.336%
Growth +0.005%

assuming max odds 5.10

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
18.92%19.98%19.79%21.51%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
4.254.594.555.1023.53%21.79%21.98%19.61%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Örgryte IS (Local): 16.30%; BK Hacken (Visit): 63.82%; Draw: 19.88%. For Örgryte IS (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 6.13. 3 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 6.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +5.98%.

Sportsbook Odds (56 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Unibet (SE)🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 15.07%EV +5.98%E +0.920%K +1.09%G +0.065%1.49I 67.11%NM 65.73%EV -4.91%E -3.30%K -10.02%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.20%EV +1.38%E +0.270%K +0.336%G +0.005%2.1%2026-07-11 15:15
ATG (SE)🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 15.07%EV +5.98%E +0.920%K +1.09%G +0.065%1.49I 67.11%NM 65.73%EV -4.91%E -3.30%K -10.02%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.20%EV +1.38%E +0.270%K +0.336%G +0.005%2.1%2026-07-11 15:14
Svenska Spel🎯6.50I 15.38%NM 15.07%EV +5.98%E +0.920%K +1.09%G +0.065%1.49I 67.11%NM 65.73%EV -4.91%E -3.30%K -10.02%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.20%EV +1.38%E +0.270%K +0.336%G +0.005%2.1%2026-07-11 15:14
Coolbet🎯6.10I 16.39%NM 15.74%EV -0.540%E -0.088%K -0.106%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.45%EV -4.91%E -3.30%K -10.02%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.80%EV -3.59%E -0.741%K -0.933%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-11 14:55
Pinnacle🎯6.09I 16.42%NM 15.71%EV -0.703%E -0.115%K -0.138%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.64%EV -5.55%E -3.75%K -11.56%G +0.000%4.87I 20.53%NM 19.65%EV -3.20%E -0.656%K -0.826%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-11 15:15
Grosvenor🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.48%EV -2.17%E -0.362%K -0.434%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 64.96%EV -8.74%E -6.11%K -20.33%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.56%EV -5.58%E -1.18%K -1.49%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-11 15:15
LeoVegas (SE)🎯6.00I 16.67%NM 15.48%EV -2.17%E -0.362%K -0.434%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 64.96%EV -8.74%E -6.11%K -20.33%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.56%EV -5.58%E -1.18%K -1.49%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-11 15:15
1xBet🎯5.81I 17.21%NM 16.39%EV -5.27%E -0.907%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.90%EV -4.91%E -3.30%K -10.02%G +0.000%4.83I 20.70%NM 19.71%EV -3.99%E -0.826%K -1.04%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-11 15:24
LeoVegas🎯5.80I 17.24%NM 16.32%EV -5.43%E -0.936%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.37%EV -6.19%E -4.21%K -13.17%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.31%EV -2.60%E -0.531%K -0.667%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-11 15:19
LowVig.ag🎯5.80I 17.24%NM 16.25%EV -5.43%E -0.936%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.69%EV -5.55%E -3.75%K -11.56%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.06%EV -6.58%E -1.40%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-11 15:14
BetOnline.ag🎯5.80I 17.24%NM 16.25%EV -5.43%E -0.936%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.69%EV -5.55%E -3.75%K -11.56%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.06%EV -6.58%E -1.40%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-11 15:14
BetUS🎯5.80I 17.24%NM 16.25%EV -5.43%E -0.936%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.69%EV -5.55%E -3.75%K -11.56%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.06%EV -6.58%E -1.40%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-11 15:14
BetAnything🎯5.80I 17.24%NM 16.25%EV -5.43%E -0.936%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.69%EV -5.55%E -3.75%K -11.56%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.06%EV -6.58%E -1.40%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-11 15:15
NordicBet🎯5.80I 17.24%NM 16.13%EV -5.43%E -0.936%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.37%EV -4.27%E -2.85%K -8.55%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.51%EV -13.53%E -3.11%K -4.04%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-11 14:50
Betsson🎯5.80I 17.24%NM 16.13%EV -5.43%E -0.936%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.37%EV -4.27%E -2.85%K -8.55%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.51%EV -13.53%E -3.11%K -4.04%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-11 14:49
FanDuel🎯5.80I 17.24%NM 15.90%EV -5.43%E -0.936%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 64.48%EV -8.74%E -6.11%K -20.33%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.62%EV -6.58%E -1.40%K -1.78%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-11 14:54
Unibet (NL)🎯5.80I 17.24%NM 15.83%EV -5.43%E -0.936%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 64.21%EV -8.74%E -6.11%K -20.33%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.96%EV -8.56%E -1.86%K -2.38%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-11 15:14
Unibet🎯5.80I 17.24%NM 15.83%EV -5.43%E -0.936%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 64.21%EV -8.74%E -6.11%K -20.33%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.96%EV -8.56%E -1.86%K -2.38%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-11 15:15
Casumo🎯5.80I 17.24%NM 15.83%EV -5.43%E -0.936%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 64.21%EV -8.74%E -6.11%K -20.33%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.96%EV -8.56%E -1.86%K -2.38%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-11 15:14
betPARX🎯5.80I 17.24%NM 15.83%EV -5.43%E -0.936%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 64.21%EV -8.74%E -6.11%K -20.33%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.96%EV -8.56%E -1.86%K -2.38%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-11 15:15
Tipico (DE)🎯5.80I 17.24%NM 15.83%EV -5.43%E -0.936%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.31%EV -7.46%E -5.15%K -16.59%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.86%EV -12.54%E -2.85%K -3.69%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-11 14:59
DraftKings🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.44%EV -6.25%E -1.09%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.87%EV -5.55%E -3.75%K -11.56%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.69%EV -4.59%E -0.956%K -1.21%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-11 15:10
Bovada🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.33%EV -6.25%E -1.09%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.89%EV -6.19%E -4.21%K -13.17%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.77%EV -5.58%E -1.18%K -1.49%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-11 15:09
Unibet (UK)🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.19%EV -6.25%E -1.09%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.21%EV -7.46%E -5.15%K -16.59%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.60%EV -5.58%E -1.18%K -1.49%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-11 15:20
Betway🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.19%EV -6.25%E -1.09%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.21%EV -7.46%E -5.15%K -16.59%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.60%EV -5.58%E -1.18%K -1.49%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-11 15:14
PointsBet (AU)🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.16%EV -6.25%E -1.09%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.20%EV -6.19%E -4.21%K -13.17%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.64%EV -10.55%E -2.34%K -3.01%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-11 14:50
Everygame🎯5.75I 17.39%NM 16.09%EV -6.25%E -1.09%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.80%EV -7.46%E -5.15%K -16.59%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.11%EV -8.56%E -1.86%K -2.38%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-11 15:14
GTbets🎯5.65I 17.70%NM 16.69%EV -7.88%E -1.39%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.86%EV -4.27%E -2.85%K -8.55%G +0.000%4.61I 21.69%NM 20.45%EV -8.36%E -1.81%K -2.32%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-11 15:20
BetRivers🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 16.09%EV -8.69%E -1.55%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 63.89%EV -10.02%E -7.10%K -24.43%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.02%EV -10.55%E -2.34%K -3.01%G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-11 15:14
TABtouch🎯5.60I 17.86%NM 16.01%EV -8.69%E -1.55%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 64.06%EV -10.66%E -7.61%K -26.64%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.93%EV -10.55%E -2.34%K -3.01%G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-11 15:14
BetMGM🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 17.02%EV -10.32%E -1.88%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.26%EV -5.55%E -3.75%K -11.56%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.71%EV -5.58%E -1.18%K -1.49%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-11 15:19
Bet Right🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.70%EV -10.32%E -1.88%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 62.90%EV -6.83%E -4.68%K -14.84%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.41%EV -10.55%E -2.34%K -3.01%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-11 14:50
SportsBet🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.62%EV -10.32%E -1.88%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.06%EV -7.46%E -5.15%K -16.59%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.32%EV -10.55%E -2.34%K -3.01%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-11 14:49
betfred_uk🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -10.32%E -1.88%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 63.22%EV -8.10%E -5.63%K -18.42%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.23%EV -10.55%E -2.34%K -3.01%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-11 14:50
Bet Victor🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -10.32%E -1.88%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 63.22%EV -8.10%E -5.63%K -18.42%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.23%EV -10.55%E -2.34%K -3.01%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-11 15:13
888sport🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.48%EV -10.32%E -1.88%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 62.93%EV -8.10%E -5.63%K -18.42%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.59%EV -12.54%E -2.85%K -3.69%G +0.000%10.4%2026-07-11 15:14
William Hill🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.48%EV -10.32%E -1.88%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 62.93%EV -8.10%E -5.63%K -18.42%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.59%EV -12.54%E -2.85%K -3.69%G +0.000%10.4%2026-07-11 15:14
888sport (SE)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.48%EV -10.32%E -1.88%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 62.93%EV -8.10%E -5.63%K -18.42%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.59%EV -12.54%E -2.85%K -3.69%G +0.000%10.4%2026-07-11 15:14
Mr Green (SE)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.48%EV -10.32%E -1.88%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 62.93%EV -8.10%E -5.63%K -18.42%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.59%EV -12.54%E -2.85%K -3.69%G +0.000%10.4%2026-07-11 15:15
PlayUp🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.43%EV -10.32%E -1.88%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 62.31%EV -7.46%E -5.15%K -16.59%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.26%EV -15.52%E -3.65%K -4.78%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-11 15:15
Betclic (FR)🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.40%EV -10.32%E -1.88%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 63.98%EV -10.02%E -7.10%K -24.43%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.61%EV -8.56%E -1.86%K -2.38%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-11 15:18
Virgin Bet🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.04%EV -10.32%E -1.88%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 63.92%EV -11.93%E -8.65%K -31.40%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.05%EV -12.54%E -2.85%K -3.69%G +0.000%13.4%2026-07-11 15:14
LiveScore Bet🎯5.50I 18.18%NM 16.04%EV -10.32%E -1.88%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 63.92%EV -11.93%E -8.65%K -31.40%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.05%EV -12.54%E -2.85%K -3.69%G +0.000%13.4%2026-07-11 15:14
Winamax (DE)🎯5.30I 18.87%NM 17.13%EV -13.58%E -2.56%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 63.95%EV -9.38%E -6.61%K -22.33%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.92%EV -4.59%E -0.956%K -1.21%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-11 15:20
Unibet (FR)🎯5.30I 18.87%NM 16.66%EV -13.58%E -2.56%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 63.51%EV -11.29%E -8.13%K -28.96%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 19.84%EV -11.54%E -2.59%K -3.35%G +0.000%13.3%2026-07-11 15:19
PMU (FR)🎯5.30I 18.87%NM 16.16%EV -13.58%E -2.56%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 63.92%EV -14.48%E -10.81%K -42.60%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 19.92%EV -14.53%E -3.38%K -4.40%G +0.000%16.8%2026-07-11 15:14
Betr (AU)🎯5.25I 19.05%NM 17.20%EV -14.40%E -2.74%K -3.39%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 62.28%EV -7.46%E -5.15%K -16.59%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.52%EV -12.54%E -2.85%K -3.69%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-11 14:50
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 17.83%EV -18.48%E -3.70%K -4.62%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 61.91%EV -8.10%E -5.63%K -18.42%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.26%EV -12.54%E -2.85%K -3.69%G +0.000%12.2%2026-07-11 15:19
Neds🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 17.83%EV -18.48%E -3.70%K -4.62%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 61.91%EV -8.10%E -5.63%K -18.42%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.26%EV -12.54%E -2.85%K -3.69%G +0.000%12.2%2026-07-11 15:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 17.83%EV -18.48%E -3.70%K -4.62%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 61.91%EV -8.10%E -5.63%K -18.42%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.26%EV -12.54%E -2.85%K -3.69%G +0.000%12.2%2026-07-11 15:20
Coral🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 17.83%EV -18.48%E -3.70%K -4.62%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 61.91%EV -8.10%E -5.63%K -18.42%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.26%EV -12.54%E -2.85%K -3.69%G +0.000%12.2%2026-07-11 15:19
Sky Bet🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 17.77%EV -18.48%E -3.70%K -4.62%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 61.71%EV -8.10%E -5.63%K -18.42%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.52%EV -13.93%E -3.22%K -4.18%G +0.000%12.5%2026-07-11 14:34
Paddy Power🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 17.60%EV -18.48%E -3.70%K -4.62%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 62.85%EV -10.66%E -7.61%K -26.64%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.55%EV -10.55%E -2.34%K -3.01%G +0.000%13.7%2026-07-11 15:04
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 17.60%EV -18.48%E -3.70%K -4.62%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 62.85%EV -10.66%E -7.61%K -26.64%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.55%EV -10.55%E -2.34%K -3.01%G +0.000%13.7%2026-07-11 15:15
Winamax (FR)🎯5.00I 20.00%NM 17.59%EV -18.48%E -3.70%K -4.62%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 63.28%EV -11.29%E -8.13%K -28.96%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.12%EV -8.56%E -1.86%K -2.38%G +0.000%13.7%2026-07-11 15:19
BoyleSports🎯4.75I 21.05%NM 18.35%EV -22.55%E -4.75%K -6.01%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 62.27%EV -10.66%E -7.61%K -26.64%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.37%EV -10.55%E -2.34%K -3.01%G +0.000%14.7%2026-07-11 14:55
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)6.40I 15.63%NM 15.47%1.53I 65.36%NM 64.72%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.81%1.0%2026-07-11 15:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)6.40I 15.63%NM 15.47%1.53I 65.36%NM 64.72%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.81%1.0%2026-07-11 15:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)6.40I 15.63%NM 15.47%1.53I 65.36%NM 64.72%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.81%1.0%2026-07-11 15:20
Matchbook6.40I 15.63%NM 15.47%1.53I 65.36%NM 64.72%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.81%1.0%2026-07-11 15:20
Smarkets6.40I 15.63%NM 15.34%1.51I 66.23%NM 65.02%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.64%1.9%2026-07-11 15:25

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