The School of Odds

Örgryte IS v BK Hacken

2026-07-11 15:30 — Allsvenskan - Sweden

Head to Head

23 sportsbooks (7 in analysis )

Option 1: Örgryte IS (Local)

Odds
4.5022.22%Min
5.3818.59%Mean
5.5018.18%Median
5.9016.95%Max
Consensus probabilities
15.74%6.355Min
18.74%5.335Max
16.65%6.005Mean
16.87%5.926Median
16.75%5.970IQM
16.63%6.011Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 5.90 under the IQM model: 16.75%

EV -1.17%Edge -0.198%Kelly -0.239%Growth +0.000%

Option 2: BK Hacken (Visit)

Odds
1.3971.94%Min
1.4568.76%Mean
1.4568.97%Median
1.5066.67%Max
Consensus probabilities
60.68%1.648Min
64.92%1.540Max
62.92%1.589Mean
62.69%1.595Median
62.78%1.593IQM
62.91%1.589Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 1.50 under the IQM model: 62.78%

EV -5.83%Edge -3.89%Kelly -11.67%Growth +0.000%

Option 3: Draw

Odds
4.1024.39%Min
4.4622.42%Mean
4.5022.22%Median
4.8020.83%Max
Consensus probabilities
19.34%5.170Min
21.51%4.650Max
20.42%4.896Mean
20.44%4.893Median
20.47%4.885IQM
20.45%4.890Margin-weighted

Metrics for max odd 4.80 under the IQM model: 20.47%

EV -1.74%Edge -0.362%Kelly -0.457%Growth +0.000%

Sportsbook Odds (23 sportsbooks)

BookmakerÖrgryte IS (Local) ▼BK Hacken (Visit)DrawMarginUpdated
FanDuel5.90I 16.95% NM 15.74%EV -1.17% E -0.198% K -0.239% G +0.000%1.43I 69.93% NM 64.92%EV -10.23% E -7.15% K -23.79% G +0.000%4.80I 20.83% NM 19.34%EV -1.74% E -0.362% K -0.457% G +0.000%7.7%2026-07-05 13:40
1xBet5.80I 17.24% NM 16.15%EV -2.85% E -0.491% K -0.593% G +0.000%1.47I 68.03% NM 63.71%EV -7.72% E -5.25% K -16.42% G +0.000%4.65I 21.51% NM 20.14%EV -4.81% E -1.03% K -1.32% G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-05 15:39
NordicBet5.80I 17.24% NM 16.13%EV -2.85% E -0.491% K -0.593% G +0.000%1.50I 66.67% NM 62.37%EV -5.83% E -3.89% K -11.67% G +0.000%4.35I 22.99% NM 21.51%EV -10.95% E -2.52% K -3.27% G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-05 16:25
Betsson5.80I 17.24% NM 16.13%EV -2.85% E -0.491% K -0.593% G +0.000%1.50I 66.67% NM 62.37%EV -5.83% E -3.89% K -11.67% G +0.000%4.35I 22.99% NM 21.51%EV -10.95% E -2.52% K -3.27% G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-05 16:25
SportsBet5.70I 17.54% NM 16.13%EV -4.52% E -0.793% K -0.962% G +0.000%1.43I 69.93% NM 64.30%EV -10.23% E -7.15% K -23.79% G +0.000%4.70I 21.28% NM 19.56%EV -3.78% E -0.805% K -1.02% G +0.000%8.8%2026-07-05 13:40
GTbets5.64I 17.73% NM 16.73%EV -5.53% E -0.980% K -1.19% G +0.000%1.50I 66.67% NM 62.90%EV -5.83% E -3.89% K -11.67% G +0.000%4.63I 21.60% NM 20.38%EV -5.22% E -1.13% K -1.44% G +0.000%6.0%2026-07-05 13:40
LeoVegas5.50I 18.18% NM 17.06%EV -7.87% E -1.43% K -1.75% G +0.000%1.50I 66.67% NM 62.55%EV -5.83% E -3.89% K -11.67% G +0.000%4.60I 21.74% NM 20.40%EV -5.83% E -1.27% K -1.62% G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-05 14:15
BetMGM5.50I 18.18% NM 17.06%EV -7.87% E -1.43% K -1.75% G +0.000%1.50I 66.67% NM 62.55%EV -5.83% E -3.89% K -11.67% G +0.000%4.60I 21.74% NM 20.40%EV -5.83% E -1.27% K -1.62% G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-05 15:35
LowVig.ag5.50I 18.18% NM 16.91%EV -7.87% E -1.43% K -1.75% G +0.000%1.49I 67.11% NM 62.42%EV -6.46% E -4.34% K -13.19% G +0.000%4.50I 22.22% NM 20.67%EV -7.88% E -1.75% K -2.25% G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-05 15:05
BetOnline.ag5.50I 18.18% NM 16.91%EV -7.87% E -1.43% K -1.75% G +0.000%1.49I 67.11% NM 62.42%EV -6.46% E -4.34% K -13.19% G +0.000%4.50I 22.22% NM 20.67%EV -7.88% E -1.75% K -2.25% G +0.000%7.5%2026-07-05 15:05
Unibet (UK)5.50I 18.18% NM 16.84%EV -7.87% E -1.43% K -1.75% G +0.000%1.48I 67.57% NM 62.58%EV -7.09% E -4.79% K -14.77% G +0.000%4.50I 22.22% NM 20.58%EV -7.88% E -1.75% K -2.25% G +0.000%8.0%2026-07-05 13:40
Bet Right5.50I 18.18% NM 16.62%EV -7.87% E -1.43% K -1.75% G +0.000%1.45I 68.97% NM 63.06%EV -8.97% E -6.19% K -19.94% G +0.000%4.50I 22.22% NM 20.32%EV -7.88% E -1.75% K -2.25% G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-05 13:40
Bet Victor5.50I 18.18% NM 16.62%EV -7.87% E -1.43% K -1.75% G +0.000%1.45I 68.97% NM 63.06%EV -8.97% E -6.19% K -19.94% G +0.000%4.50I 22.22% NM 20.32%EV -7.88% E -1.75% K -2.25% G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-05 16:04
betfred_uk5.50I 18.18% NM 16.55%EV -7.87% E -1.43% K -1.75% G +0.000%1.44I 69.44% NM 63.22%EV -9.60% E -6.67% K -21.82% G +0.000%4.50I 22.22% NM 20.23%EV -7.88% E -1.75% K -2.25% G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-05 13:40
Paddy Power5.50I 18.18% NM 16.26%EV -7.87% E -1.43% K -1.75% G +0.000%1.40I 71.43% NM 63.87%EV -12.11% E -8.65% K -30.28% G +0.000%4.50I 22.22% NM 19.87%EV -7.88% E -1.75% K -2.25% G +0.000%11.8%2026-07-05 13:40
Betway5.25I 19.05% NM 17.28%EV -12.06% E -2.30% K -2.84% G +0.000%1.45I 68.97% NM 62.56%EV -8.97% E -6.19% K -19.94% G +0.000%4.50I 22.22% NM 20.16%EV -7.88% E -1.75% K -2.25% G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-05 16:04
Ladbrokes (AU)5.00I 20.00% NM 17.77%EV -16.25% E -3.25% K -4.06% G +0.000%1.44I 69.44% NM 61.71%EV -9.60% E -6.67% K -21.82% G +0.000%4.33I 23.09% NM 20.52%EV -11.36% E -2.62% K -3.41% G +0.000%12.5%2026-07-05 15:30
Neds5.00I 20.00% NM 17.77%EV -16.25% E -3.25% K -4.06% G +0.000%1.44I 69.44% NM 61.71%EV -9.60% E -6.67% K -21.82% G +0.000%4.33I 23.09% NM 20.52%EV -11.36% E -2.62% K -3.41% G +0.000%12.5%2026-07-05 15:34
Ladbrokes (UK)5.00I 20.00% NM 17.77%EV -16.25% E -3.25% K -4.06% G +0.000%1.44I 69.44% NM 61.71%EV -9.60% E -6.67% K -21.82% G +0.000%4.33I 23.09% NM 20.52%EV -11.36% E -2.62% K -3.41% G +0.000%12.5%2026-07-05 15:35
Coral5.00I 20.00% NM 17.77%EV -16.25% E -3.25% K -4.06% G +0.000%1.44I 69.44% NM 61.71%EV -9.60% E -6.67% K -21.82% G +0.000%4.33I 23.09% NM 20.52%EV -11.36% E -2.62% K -3.41% G +0.000%12.5%2026-07-05 15:35
Sky Bet5.00I 20.00% NM 17.36%EV -16.25% E -3.25% K -4.06% G +0.000%1.40I 71.43% NM 61.98%EV -12.11% E -8.65% K -30.28% G +0.000%4.20I 23.81% NM 20.66%EV -14.02% E -3.34% K -4.38% G +0.000%15.2%2026-07-05 13:40
Winamax (DE)4.80I 20.83% NM 18.19%EV -19.60% E -4.08% K -5.16% G +0.000%1.42I 70.42% NM 61.50%EV -10.86% E -7.64% K -25.85% G +0.000%4.30I 23.26% NM 20.31%EV -11.97% E -2.78% K -3.63% G +0.000%14.5%2026-07-05 13:40
Winamax (FR)4.50I 22.22% NM 18.74%EV -24.62% E -5.47% K -7.03% G +0.000%1.39I 71.94% NM 60.68%EV -12.74% E -9.16% K -32.66% G +0.000%4.10I 24.39% NM 20.57%EV -16.07% E -3.92% K -5.18% G +0.000%18.6%2026-07-05 13:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerÖrgryte IS (Local)BK Hacken (Visit)DrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets5.00I 20.00%1.43I 69.93%4.20I 23.81%13.7%2026-07-05 13:40
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.04I 96.15%1.04I 96.15%1.01I 99.01%191.3%2026-07-05 15:55
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.04I 96.15%1.04I 96.15%1.01I 99.01%191.3%2026-07-05 13:55
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.04I 96.15%1.04I 96.15%1.01I 99.01%191.3%2026-07-05 15:55