L’École des cotes

Örgryte IS v BK Hacken

Coup d’envoi : 2026-07-11 15:30 UTC

Score final : Örgryte IS 4–3 BK Hacken

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

56 opérateurs (17 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Örgryte IS (Local)

Prévision 16.30%6.13cote équitable
EV +5.98%
Avantage +0.920%
Kelly +1.09%
Croissance +0.065%

avec la cote maximale 6.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
15.07%16.41%16.26%18.35%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.755.605.636.5021.05%17.85%17.78%15.38%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

BK Hacken (Visiteur)

Prévision 63.82%1.57cote équitable
EV -4.27%
Avantage -2.85%
Kelly -8.55%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
61.71%63.60%63.95%65.73%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.341.441.441.5074.63%69.22%69.44%66.67%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 19.88%5.03cote équitable
EV +1.38%
Avantage +0.270%
Kelly +0.336%
Croissance +0.005%

avec la cote maximale 5.10

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
18.92%19.98%19.79%21.51%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
4.254.594.555.1023.53%21.79%21.98%19.61%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (56 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Unibet (SE)6.50I 15.38%NM 15.07%EV +5.98%E +0.920%K +1.09%G +0.065%1.49I 67.11%NM 65.73%EV -4.91%E -3.30%K -10.02%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.20%EV +1.38%E +0.270%K +0.336%G +0.005%2.1%2026-07-11 15:15
ATG (SE)6.50I 15.38%NM 15.07%EV +5.98%E +0.920%K +1.09%G +0.065%1.49I 67.11%NM 65.73%EV -4.91%E -3.30%K -10.02%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.20%EV +1.38%E +0.270%K +0.336%G +0.005%2.1%2026-07-11 15:14
Svenska Spel6.50I 15.38%NM 15.07%EV +5.98%E +0.920%K +1.09%G +0.065%1.49I 67.11%NM 65.73%EV -4.91%E -3.30%K -10.02%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 19.20%EV +1.38%E +0.270%K +0.336%G +0.005%2.1%2026-07-11 15:14
Coolbet6.10I 16.39%NM 15.74%EV -0.540%E -0.088%K -0.106%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 64.45%EV -4.91%E -3.30%K -10.02%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.80%EV -3.59%E -0.741%K -0.933%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-11 14:55
Pinnacle6.09I 16.42%NM 15.71%EV -0.703%E -0.115%K -0.138%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 64.64%EV -5.55%E -3.75%K -11.56%G +0.000%4.87I 20.53%NM 19.65%EV -3.20%E -0.656%K -0.826%G +0.000%4.5%2026-07-11 15:15
Grosvenor6.00I 16.67%NM 15.48%EV -2.17%E -0.362%K -0.434%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 64.96%EV -8.74%E -6.11%K -20.33%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.56%EV -5.58%E -1.18%K -1.49%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-11 15:15
LeoVegas (SE)6.00I 16.67%NM 15.48%EV -2.17%E -0.362%K -0.434%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 64.96%EV -8.74%E -6.11%K -20.33%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.56%EV -5.58%E -1.18%K -1.49%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-11 15:15
1xBet5.81I 17.21%NM 16.39%EV -5.27%E -0.907%K -1.10%G +0.000%1.49I 67.11%NM 63.90%EV -4.91%E -3.30%K -10.02%G +0.000%4.83I 20.70%NM 19.71%EV -3.99%E -0.826%K -1.04%G +0.000%5.0%2026-07-11 15:24
LeoVegas5.80I 17.24%NM 16.32%EV -5.43%E -0.936%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 64.37%EV -6.19%E -4.21%K -13.17%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.31%EV -2.60%E -0.531%K -0.667%G +0.000%5.7%2026-07-11 15:19
LowVig.ag5.80I 17.24%NM 16.25%EV -5.43%E -0.936%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.69%EV -5.55%E -3.75%K -11.56%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.06%EV -6.58%E -1.40%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-11 15:14
BetOnline.ag5.80I 17.24%NM 16.25%EV -5.43%E -0.936%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.69%EV -5.55%E -3.75%K -11.56%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.06%EV -6.58%E -1.40%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-11 15:14
BetUS5.80I 17.24%NM 16.25%EV -5.43%E -0.936%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.69%EV -5.55%E -3.75%K -11.56%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.06%EV -6.58%E -1.40%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-11 15:14
BetAnything5.80I 17.24%NM 16.25%EV -5.43%E -0.936%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.69%EV -5.55%E -3.75%K -11.56%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.06%EV -6.58%E -1.40%K -1.78%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-11 15:15
NordicBet5.80I 17.24%NM 16.13%EV -5.43%E -0.936%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.37%EV -4.27%E -2.85%K -8.55%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.51%EV -13.53%E -3.11%K -4.04%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-11 14:50
Betsson5.80I 17.24%NM 16.13%EV -5.43%E -0.936%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.37%EV -4.27%E -2.85%K -8.55%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.51%EV -13.53%E -3.11%K -4.04%G +0.000%6.9%2026-07-11 14:49
FanDuel5.80I 17.24%NM 15.90%EV -5.43%E -0.936%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 64.48%EV -8.74%E -6.11%K -20.33%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 19.62%EV -6.58%E -1.40%K -1.78%G +0.000%8.4%2026-07-11 14:54
Unibet (NL)5.80I 17.24%NM 15.83%EV -5.43%E -0.936%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 64.21%EV -8.74%E -6.11%K -20.33%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.96%EV -8.56%E -1.86%K -2.38%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-11 15:14
Unibet5.80I 17.24%NM 15.83%EV -5.43%E -0.936%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 64.21%EV -8.74%E -6.11%K -20.33%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.96%EV -8.56%E -1.86%K -2.38%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-11 15:15
Casumo5.80I 17.24%NM 15.83%EV -5.43%E -0.936%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 64.21%EV -8.74%E -6.11%K -20.33%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.96%EV -8.56%E -1.86%K -2.38%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-11 15:14
betPARX5.80I 17.24%NM 15.83%EV -5.43%E -0.936%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.43I 69.93%NM 64.21%EV -8.74%E -6.11%K -20.33%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.96%EV -8.56%E -1.86%K -2.38%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-11 15:15
Tipico (DE)5.80I 17.24%NM 15.83%EV -5.43%E -0.936%K -1.13%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.31%EV -7.46%E -5.15%K -16.59%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.86%EV -12.54%E -2.85%K -3.69%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-11 14:59
DraftKings5.75I 17.39%NM 16.44%EV -6.25%E -1.09%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.87%EV -5.55%E -3.75%K -11.56%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.69%EV -4.59%E -0.956%K -1.21%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-11 15:10
Bovada5.75I 17.39%NM 16.33%EV -6.25%E -1.09%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.89%EV -6.19%E -4.21%K -13.17%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.77%EV -5.58%E -1.18%K -1.49%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-11 15:09
Unibet (UK)5.75I 17.39%NM 16.19%EV -6.25%E -1.09%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.21%EV -7.46%E -5.15%K -16.59%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.60%EV -5.58%E -1.18%K -1.49%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-11 15:20
Betway5.75I 17.39%NM 16.19%EV -6.25%E -1.09%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 64.21%EV -7.46%E -5.15%K -16.59%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.60%EV -5.58%E -1.18%K -1.49%G +0.000%7.4%2026-07-11 15:14
PointsBet (AU)5.75I 17.39%NM 16.16%EV -6.25%E -1.09%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.47I 68.03%NM 63.20%EV -6.19%E -4.21%K -13.17%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.64%EV -10.55%E -2.34%K -3.01%G +0.000%7.6%2026-07-11 14:50
Everygame5.75I 17.39%NM 16.09%EV -6.25%E -1.09%K -1.32%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.80%EV -7.46%E -5.15%K -16.59%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.11%EV -8.56%E -1.86%K -2.38%G +0.000%8.1%2026-07-11 15:14
GTbets5.65I 17.70%NM 16.69%EV -7.88%E -1.39%K -1.69%G +0.000%1.50I 66.67%NM 62.86%EV -4.27%E -2.85%K -8.55%G +0.000%4.61I 21.69%NM 20.45%EV -8.36%E -1.81%K -2.32%G +0.000%6.1%2026-07-11 15:20
BetRivers5.60I 17.86%NM 16.09%EV -8.69%E -1.55%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 63.89%EV -10.02%E -7.10%K -24.43%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.02%EV -10.55%E -2.34%K -3.01%G +0.000%11.0%2026-07-11 15:14
TABtouch5.60I 17.86%NM 16.01%EV -8.69%E -1.55%K -1.89%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 64.06%EV -10.66%E -7.61%K -26.64%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.93%EV -10.55%E -2.34%K -3.01%G +0.000%11.5%2026-07-11 15:14
BetMGM5.50I 18.18%NM 17.02%EV -10.32%E -1.88%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.48I 67.57%NM 63.26%EV -5.55%E -3.75%K -11.56%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.71%EV -5.58%E -1.18%K -1.49%G +0.000%6.8%2026-07-11 15:19
Bet Right5.50I 18.18%NM 16.70%EV -10.32%E -1.88%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.46I 68.49%NM 62.90%EV -6.83%E -4.68%K -14.84%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.41%EV -10.55%E -2.34%K -3.01%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-11 14:50
SportsBet5.50I 18.18%NM 16.62%EV -10.32%E -1.88%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 63.06%EV -7.46%E -5.15%K -16.59%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.32%EV -10.55%E -2.34%K -3.01%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-11 14:49
betfred_uk5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -10.32%E -1.88%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 63.22%EV -8.10%E -5.63%K -18.42%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.23%EV -10.55%E -2.34%K -3.01%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-11 14:50
Bet Victor5.50I 18.18%NM 16.55%EV -10.32%E -1.88%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 63.22%EV -8.10%E -5.63%K -18.42%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.23%EV -10.55%E -2.34%K -3.01%G +0.000%9.8%2026-07-11 15:13
888sport5.50I 18.18%NM 16.48%EV -10.32%E -1.88%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 62.93%EV -8.10%E -5.63%K -18.42%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.59%EV -12.54%E -2.85%K -3.69%G +0.000%10.4%2026-07-11 15:14
William Hill5.50I 18.18%NM 16.48%EV -10.32%E -1.88%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 62.93%EV -8.10%E -5.63%K -18.42%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.59%EV -12.54%E -2.85%K -3.69%G +0.000%10.4%2026-07-11 15:14
888sport (SE)5.50I 18.18%NM 16.48%EV -10.32%E -1.88%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 62.93%EV -8.10%E -5.63%K -18.42%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.59%EV -12.54%E -2.85%K -3.69%G +0.000%10.4%2026-07-11 15:14
Mr Green (SE)5.50I 18.18%NM 16.48%EV -10.32%E -1.88%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 62.93%EV -8.10%E -5.63%K -18.42%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.59%EV -12.54%E -2.85%K -3.69%G +0.000%10.4%2026-07-11 15:15
PlayUp5.50I 18.18%NM 16.43%EV -10.32%E -1.88%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 62.31%EV -7.46%E -5.15%K -16.59%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.26%EV -15.52%E -3.65%K -4.78%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-11 15:15
Betclic (FR)5.50I 18.18%NM 16.40%EV -10.32%E -1.88%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.41I 70.92%NM 63.98%EV -10.02%E -7.10%K -24.43%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.61%EV -8.56%E -1.86%K -2.38%G +0.000%10.8%2026-07-11 15:18
Virgin Bet5.50I 18.18%NM 16.04%EV -10.32%E -1.88%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 63.92%EV -11.93%E -8.65%K -31.40%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.05%EV -12.54%E -2.85%K -3.69%G +0.000%13.4%2026-07-11 15:14
LiveScore Bet5.50I 18.18%NM 16.04%EV -10.32%E -1.88%K -2.29%G +0.000%1.38I 72.46%NM 63.92%EV -11.93%E -8.65%K -31.40%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.05%EV -12.54%E -2.85%K -3.69%G +0.000%13.4%2026-07-11 15:14
Winamax (DE)5.30I 18.87%NM 17.13%EV -13.58%E -2.56%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.42I 70.42%NM 63.95%EV -9.38%E -6.61%K -22.33%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.92%EV -4.59%E -0.956%K -1.21%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-11 15:20
Unibet (FR)5.30I 18.87%NM 16.66%EV -13.58%E -2.56%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 63.51%EV -11.29%E -8.13%K -28.96%G +0.000%4.45I 22.47%NM 19.84%EV -11.54%E -2.59%K -3.35%G +0.000%13.3%2026-07-11 15:19
PMU (FR)5.30I 18.87%NM 16.16%EV -13.58%E -2.56%K -3.16%G +0.000%1.34I 74.63%NM 63.92%EV -14.48%E -10.81%K -42.60%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 19.92%EV -14.53%E -3.38%K -4.40%G +0.000%16.8%2026-07-11 15:14
Betr (AU)5.25I 19.05%NM 17.20%EV -14.40%E -2.74%K -3.39%G +0.000%1.45I 68.97%NM 62.28%EV -7.46%E -5.15%K -16.59%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.52%EV -12.54%E -2.85%K -3.69%G +0.000%10.7%2026-07-11 14:50
Ladbrokes (AU)5.00I 20.00%NM 17.83%EV -18.48%E -3.70%K -4.62%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 61.91%EV -8.10%E -5.63%K -18.42%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.26%EV -12.54%E -2.85%K -3.69%G +0.000%12.2%2026-07-11 15:19
Neds5.00I 20.00%NM 17.83%EV -18.48%E -3.70%K -4.62%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 61.91%EV -8.10%E -5.63%K -18.42%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.26%EV -12.54%E -2.85%K -3.69%G +0.000%12.2%2026-07-11 15:20
Ladbrokes (UK)5.00I 20.00%NM 17.83%EV -18.48%E -3.70%K -4.62%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 61.91%EV -8.10%E -5.63%K -18.42%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.26%EV -12.54%E -2.85%K -3.69%G +0.000%12.2%2026-07-11 15:20
Coral5.00I 20.00%NM 17.83%EV -18.48%E -3.70%K -4.62%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 61.91%EV -8.10%E -5.63%K -18.42%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.26%EV -12.54%E -2.85%K -3.69%G +0.000%12.2%2026-07-11 15:19
Sky Bet5.00I 20.00%NM 17.77%EV -18.48%E -3.70%K -4.62%G +0.000%1.44I 69.44%NM 61.71%EV -8.10%E -5.63%K -18.42%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.52%EV -13.93%E -3.22%K -4.18%G +0.000%12.5%2026-07-11 14:34
Paddy Power5.00I 20.00%NM 17.60%EV -18.48%E -3.70%K -4.62%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 62.85%EV -10.66%E -7.61%K -26.64%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.55%EV -10.55%E -2.34%K -3.01%G +0.000%13.7%2026-07-11 15:04
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)5.00I 20.00%NM 17.60%EV -18.48%E -3.70%K -4.62%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 62.85%EV -10.66%E -7.61%K -26.64%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.55%EV -10.55%E -2.34%K -3.01%G +0.000%13.7%2026-07-11 15:15
Winamax (FR)5.00I 20.00%NM 17.59%EV -18.48%E -3.70%K -4.62%G +0.000%1.39I 71.94%NM 63.28%EV -11.29%E -8.13%K -28.96%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.12%EV -8.56%E -1.86%K -2.38%G +0.000%13.7%2026-07-11 15:19
BoyleSports4.75I 21.05%NM 18.35%EV -22.55%E -4.75%K -6.01%G +0.000%1.40I 71.43%NM 62.27%EV -10.66%E -7.61%K -26.64%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.37%EV -10.55%E -2.34%K -3.01%G +0.000%14.7%2026-07-11 14:55
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)6.40I 15.63%NM 15.47%1.53I 65.36%NM 64.72%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.81%1.0%2026-07-11 15:20
Betfair Exchange (AU)6.40I 15.63%NM 15.47%1.53I 65.36%NM 64.72%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.81%1.0%2026-07-11 15:20
Betfair Exchange (UK)6.40I 15.63%NM 15.47%1.53I 65.36%NM 64.72%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.81%1.0%2026-07-11 15:20
Matchbook6.40I 15.63%NM 15.47%1.53I 65.36%NM 64.72%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.81%1.0%2026-07-11 15:20
Smarkets6.40I 15.63%NM 15.34%1.51I 66.23%NM 65.02%5.00I 20.00%NM 19.64%1.9%2026-07-11 15:25