A Escola das Odds

Mjällby AIF v IF Brommapojkarna

Início: 2026-04-18 13:04 UTC

Final: Mjällby AIF 3–0 IF Brommapojkarna

Odds de fecho — as probabilidades calculadas e o valor esperado com base nas últimas cotações registadas antes do início, segundo o modelo selecionado. O jogo já começou, pelo que estes valores não são atuais. Avaliar a fiabilidade das previsões probabilísticas de cada modelo face aos resultados de todos os jogos concluídos →

Frente a frente

55 casas de apostas (16 na análise )

Probabilidade estimada de cada resultado, segundo o modelo: IQM

Mjällby AIF (Local)

Previsão 61.80%1.62odd justa
EV -3.58%
Vantagem -2.30%
Kelly -6.40%
Crescimento +0.000%

pressupondo odds máximas de 1.56

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
59.76%62.03%61.77%66.02%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
1.341.481.501.5674.63%67.51%66.67%64.10%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

IF Brommapojkarna (Visitante)

Previsão 15.44%6.48odd justa
EV +15.81%
Vantagem +2.11%
Kelly +2.43%
Crescimento +0.385%

pressupondo odds máximas de 7.50

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
13.11%15.30%15.48%17.48%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
5.006.136.007.5020.00%16.30%16.67%13.33%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Empate

Previsão 22.75%4.39odd justa
EV +8.08%
Vantagem +1.70%
Kelly +2.15%
Crescimento +0.174%

pressupondo odds máximas de 4.75

Distribuição das previsões das casas de apostas
20.55%22.67%22.75%24.59%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX
Distribuição das odds
3.504.144.104.7528.57%24.14%24.39%21.05%MINMÉDIAMEDIANAMAX

Odds das casas de apostas (55 casas de apostas)

Não temos qualquer vínculo com casas de apostas e não recebemos nada pelas ações realizadas junto delas.

Casa de apostasLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargemAtualização
betPARX1.49I 67.11%NM 65.98%EV -7.91%E -5.31%K -16.15%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 13.11%EV +15.81%E +2.11%K +2.43%G +0.385%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.92%EV +6.94%E +1.48%K +1.88%G +0.130%1.7%2026-04-18 13:00
Casumo1.49I 67.11%NM 65.51%EV -7.91%E -5.31%K -16.15%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.94%EV +8.09%E +1.16%K +1.35%G +0.109%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.55%EV +8.08%E +1.70%K +2.15%G +0.174%2.5%2026-04-18 13:00
Svenska Spel1.49I 67.11%NM 65.51%EV -7.91%E -5.31%K -16.15%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.94%EV +8.09%E +1.16%K +1.35%G +0.109%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.55%EV +8.08%E +1.70%K +2.15%G +0.174%2.5%2026-04-18 13:01
ATG (SE)1.49I 67.11%NM 65.51%EV -7.91%E -5.31%K -16.15%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.94%EV +8.09%E +1.16%K +1.35%G +0.109%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.55%EV +8.08%E +1.70%K +2.15%G +0.174%2.5%2026-04-18 13:01
Unibet (SE)1.49I 67.11%NM 65.36%EV -7.91%E -5.31%K -16.15%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.91%EV +8.09%E +1.16%K +1.35%G +0.109%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.72%EV +6.94%E +1.48%K +1.88%G +0.130%2.7%2026-04-18 12:59
Coolbet1.50I 66.67%NM 64.07%EV -7.29%E -4.86%K -14.59%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.73%EV +8.09%E +1.16%K +1.35%G +0.109%4.33I 23.09%NM 22.20%EV -1.48%E -0.341%K -0.443%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-18 13:01
Virgin Bet1.47I 68.03%NM 65.38%EV -9.15%E -6.22%K -19.46%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.73%EV +8.09%E +1.16%K +1.35%G +0.109%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.89%EV +4.67%E +1.01%K +1.30%G +0.061%4.1%2026-04-18 13:00
LiveScore Bet1.47I 68.03%NM 65.38%EV -9.15%E -6.22%K -19.46%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.73%EV +8.09%E +1.16%K +1.35%G +0.109%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.89%EV +4.67%E +1.01%K +1.30%G +0.061%4.1%2026-04-18 13:01
LeoVegas1.44I 69.44%NM 65.84%EV -11.00%E -7.64%K -25.00%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.54%EV +8.09%E +1.16%K +1.35%G +0.109%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.61%EV +4.67%E +1.01%K +1.30%G +0.061%5.5%2026-04-18 13:00
Unibet1.41I 70.92%NM 66.02%EV -12.86%E -9.12%K -31.36%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV +8.09%E +1.16%K +1.35%G +0.109%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.69%EV +2.39%E +0.532%K +0.684%G +0.016%7.4%2026-04-18 13:00
Unibet (NL)1.41I 70.92%NM 66.02%EV -12.86%E -9.12%K -31.36%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV +8.09%E +1.16%K +1.35%G +0.109%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.69%EV +2.39%E +0.532%K +0.684%G +0.016%7.4%2026-04-18 13:00
Grosvenor1.41I 70.92%NM 66.02%EV -12.86%E -9.12%K -31.36%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV +8.09%E +1.16%K +1.35%G +0.109%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.69%EV +2.39%E +0.532%K +0.684%G +0.016%7.4%2026-04-18 13:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -11.62%E -8.13%K -27.02%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.85%EV +4.23%E +0.627%K +0.736%G +0.031%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV +2.39%E +0.532%K +0.684%G +0.016%7.0%2026-04-18 13:00
BetRivers1.41I 70.92%NM 65.39%EV -12.86%E -9.12%K -31.36%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.66%EV +4.23%E +0.627%K +0.736%G +0.031%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.95%EV +0.117%E +0.027%K +0.035%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-18 12:55
TABtouch1.40I 71.43%NM 65.55%EV -13.47%E -9.62%K -33.68%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.60%EV +4.23%E +0.627%K +0.736%G +0.031%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.86%EV +0.117%E +0.027%K +0.035%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-18 13:00
Tipico (DE)1.45I 68.97%NM 63.07%EV -10.38%E -7.16%K -23.07%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.07%EV +0.370%E +0.057%K +0.067%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -8.98%E -2.25%K -2.99%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-18 13:00
PMU (FR)1.34I 74.63%NM 65.73%EV -17.18%E -12.82%K -50.54%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.55%EV +0.370%E +0.057%K +0.067%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 20.72%EV -3.30%E -0.775%K -1.01%G +0.000%13.5%2026-04-18 13:00
Betsson1.45I 68.97%NM 63.14%EV -10.38%E -7.16%K -23.07%G +0.000%6.30I 15.87%NM 14.53%EV -2.72%E -0.431%K -0.513%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.33%EV -6.71%E -1.64%K -2.16%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-18 13:01
NordicBet1.45I 68.97%NM 63.14%EV -10.38%E -7.16%K -23.07%G +0.000%6.30I 15.87%NM 14.53%EV -2.72%E -0.431%K -0.513%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.33%EV -6.71%E -1.64%K -2.16%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-18 13:01
PointsBet (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.92%EV -7.29%E -4.86%K -14.59%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.86%EV -3.49%E -0.558%K -0.665%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.22%EV -8.98%E -2.25%K -2.99%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-18 12:59
BetOnline.ag1.54I 64.94%NM 61.26%EV -4.82%E -3.13%K -8.93%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.72%EV -7.35%E -1.23%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.01%EV -6.71%E -1.64%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-18 13:00
LowVig.ag1.54I 64.94%NM 61.26%EV -4.82%E -3.13%K -8.93%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.72%EV -7.35%E -1.23%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.01%EV -6.71%E -1.64%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-18 12:59
BetUS1.54I 64.94%NM 61.26%EV -4.82%E -3.13%K -8.93%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.72%EV -7.35%E -1.23%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.01%EV -6.71%E -1.64%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-18 12:59
BetAnything1.54I 64.94%NM 61.26%EV -4.82%E -3.13%K -8.93%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.72%EV -7.35%E -1.23%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.01%EV -6.71%E -1.64%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-18 12:59
Betway1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -5.44%E -3.55%K -10.26%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.57%EV -7.35%E -1.23%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.36%EV -8.98%E -2.25%K -2.99%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-18 13:00
DraftKings1.49I 67.11%NM 62.38%EV -7.91%E -5.31%K -16.15%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -7.35%E -1.23%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.13%EV -4.43%E -1.06%K -1.39%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-18 13:01
FanDuel1.50I 66.67%NM 61.89%EV -7.29%E -4.86%K -14.59%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV -7.35%E -1.23%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -6.71%E -1.64%K -2.16%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-18 13:00
betfred_uk1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -7.29%E -4.86%K -14.59%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -7.35%E -1.23%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -8.98%E -2.25%K -2.99%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-18 12:59
Paddy Power1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -7.29%E -4.86%K -14.59%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -7.35%E -1.23%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -8.98%E -2.25%K -2.99%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-18 13:00
Bet Right1.50I 66.67%NM 61.36%EV -7.29%E -4.86%K -14.59%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.34%EV -7.35%E -1.23%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV -10.12%E -2.56%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-18 12:59
Bet Victor1.50I 66.67%NM 61.18%EV -7.29%E -4.86%K -14.59%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.29%EV -7.35%E -1.23%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -11.26%E -2.89%K -3.88%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-18 13:00
William Hill1.50I 66.67%NM 60.80%EV -7.29%E -4.86%K -14.59%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.20%EV -7.35%E -1.23%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -13.54%E -3.56%K -4.83%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-18 13:00
SportsBet1.47I 68.03%NM 62.02%EV -9.15%E -6.22%K -19.46%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.19%EV -7.35%E -1.23%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.79%EV -8.98%E -2.25%K -2.99%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-18 13:00
Winamax (DE)1.45I 68.97%NM 62.68%EV -10.38%E -7.16%K -23.07%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.15%EV -7.35%E -1.23%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.17%EV -6.71%E -1.64%K -2.16%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-18 13:01
Pinnacle1.56I 64.10%NM 61.23%EV -3.58%E -2.30%K -6.40%G +0.000%5.96I 16.78%NM 16.03%EV -7.97%E -1.34%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.74%EV -4.43%E -1.06%K -1.39%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-18 12:59
GTbets1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -4.20%E -2.71%K -7.64%G +0.000%5.79I 17.27%NM 16.27%EV -10.59%E -1.83%K -2.21%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.97%EV -6.71%E -1.64%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-18 12:59
Bovada1.55I 64.52%NM 60.69%EV -4.20%E -2.71%K -7.64%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.36%EV -11.21%E -1.95%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.95%EV -6.71%E -1.64%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-18 12:58
BetMGM1.53I 65.36%NM 61.00%EV -5.44%E -3.55%K -10.26%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.23%EV -11.21%E -1.95%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -6.71%E -1.64%K -2.16%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-18 13:00
Everygame1.53I 65.36%NM 61.00%EV -5.44%E -3.55%K -10.26%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.23%EV -11.21%E -1.95%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -6.71%E -1.64%K -2.16%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-18 12:59
888sport1.50I 66.67%NM 60.40%EV -7.29%E -4.86%K -14.59%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.76%EV -11.21%E -1.95%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.84%EV -13.54%E -3.56%K -4.83%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-18 13:01
888sport (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 60.40%EV -7.29%E -4.86%K -14.59%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.76%EV -11.21%E -1.95%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.84%EV -13.54%E -3.56%K -4.83%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-18 13:00
Mr Green (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 60.40%EV -7.29%E -4.86%K -14.59%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.76%EV -11.21%E -1.95%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.84%EV -13.54%E -3.56%K -4.83%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-18 13:00
Betr (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 61.09%EV -8.53%E -5.76%K -17.77%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.72%EV -11.21%E -1.95%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.18%EV -11.26%E -2.89%K -3.88%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-18 12:59
Betclic (FR)1.42I 70.42%NM 62.07%EV -12.24%E -8.62%K -29.14%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.33%EV -11.21%E -1.95%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.60%EV -11.26%E -2.89%K -3.88%G +0.000%13.5%2026-04-18 13:00
1xBet1.52I 65.79%NM 61.37%EV -6.06%E -3.98%K -11.65%G +0.000%5.72I 17.48%NM 16.31%EV -11.67%E -2.04%K -2.47%G +0.000%4.18I 23.92%NM 22.32%EV -4.89%E -1.17%K -1.54%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-18 12:59
Winamax (FR)1.44I 69.44%NM 61.66%EV -11.00%E -7.64%K -25.00%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 15.58%EV -11.98%E -2.10%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.77%EV -11.26%E -2.89%K -3.88%G +0.000%12.6%2026-04-18 13:01
PlayUp1.50I 66.67%NM 60.16%EV -7.29%E -4.86%K -14.59%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.41%EV -15.07%E -2.74%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.44%EV -12.40%E -3.22%K -4.35%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-18 13:00
Sky Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 59.78%EV -7.29%E -4.86%K -14.59%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.30%EV -15.07%E -2.74%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.91%EV -14.67%E -3.91%K -5.34%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-18 13:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 59.76%EV -11.00%E -7.64%K -25.00%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.65%EV -15.07%E -2.74%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.59%EV -20.36%E -5.82%K -8.14%G +0.000%16.2%2026-04-18 12:59
Coral1.50I 66.67%NM 59.87%EV -7.29%E -4.86%K -14.59%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.11%EV -18.93%E -3.61%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.03%EV -11.26%E -2.89%K -3.88%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-18 13:01
Ladbrokes (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 59.87%EV -7.29%E -4.86%K -14.59%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.11%EV -18.93%E -3.61%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.03%EV -11.26%E -2.89%K -3.88%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-18 12:59
Ladbrokes (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 59.87%EV -7.29%E -4.86%K -14.59%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.11%EV -18.93%E -3.61%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.03%EV -11.26%E -2.89%K -3.88%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-18 13:00
Neds1.50I 66.67%NM 59.87%EV -7.29%E -4.86%K -14.59%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.11%EV -18.93%E -3.61%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.03%EV -11.26%E -2.89%K -3.88%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-18 12:59
Unibet (FR)1.42I 70.42%NM 60.53%EV -12.24%E -8.62%K -29.14%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 16.85%EV -21.25%E -4.17%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.62%EV -13.54%E -3.56%K -4.83%G +0.000%16.3%2026-04-18 12:59
BoyleSports1.44I 69.44%NM 60.68%EV -11.00%E -7.64%K -25.00%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.48%EV -22.79%E -4.56%K -5.70%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.84%EV -8.98%E -2.25%K -2.99%G +0.000%14.4%2026-04-18 13:00
Margem = Margem · I = Probabilidade implícita · NM = Probabilidade sem margem · EV = Valor esperado · E = Vantagem · K = Critério de Kelly · G = Crescimento do capital de apostas

Atualização indica quando cada casa alterou a cotação pela última vez; uma hora mais antiga significa apenas que as odds não mudaram, não que estejam desatualizadas. As casas sem dados nos últimos ~15 minutos são normalmente excluídas; apenas quando a fonte de todo um mercado fica sem atualizações se mostram as últimas cotações registadas.

Bolsas de apostas (5)

Casa de apostasLocalVisitanteEmpateMargem ▲Atualização
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.58I 63.29%NM 62.51%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.52%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.97%1.3%2026-04-18 13:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.58I 63.29%NM 62.23%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.90%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.87%1.7%2026-04-18 13:01
Matchbook1.59I 62.89%NM 61.80%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.35%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.85%1.8%2026-04-18 13:01
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.56I 64.10%NM 62.53%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.78%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.69%2.5%2026-04-18 13:01
Smarkets1.54I 64.94%NM 61.87%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.24%5.0%2026-04-18 13:01