L’École des cotes

Mjällby AIF v IF Brommapojkarna

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-18 13:04 UTC

Score final : Mjällby AIF 3–0 IF Brommapojkarna

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

55 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Mjällby AIF (Local)

Prévision 61.80%1.62cote équitable
EV -3.58%
Avantage -2.30%
Kelly -6.40%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.56

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
59.76%62.03%61.77%66.02%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.341.481.501.5674.63%67.51%66.67%64.10%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

IF Brommapojkarna (Visiteur)

Prévision 15.44%6.48cote équitable
EV +15.81%
Avantage +2.11%
Kelly +2.43%
Croissance +0.385%

avec la cote maximale 7.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
13.11%15.30%15.48%17.48%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
5.006.136.007.5020.00%16.30%16.67%13.33%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 22.75%4.39cote équitable
EV +8.08%
Avantage +1.70%
Kelly +2.15%
Croissance +0.174%

avec la cote maximale 4.75

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
20.55%22.67%22.75%24.59%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.504.144.104.7528.57%24.14%24.39%21.05%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (55 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
betPARX1.49I 67.11%NM 65.98%EV -7.91%E -5.31%K -16.15%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 13.11%EV +15.81%E +2.11%K +2.43%G +0.385%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.92%EV +6.94%E +1.48%K +1.88%G +0.130%1.7%2026-04-18 13:00
Casumo1.49I 67.11%NM 65.51%EV -7.91%E -5.31%K -16.15%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.94%EV +8.09%E +1.16%K +1.35%G +0.109%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.55%EV +8.08%E +1.70%K +2.15%G +0.174%2.5%2026-04-18 13:00
Svenska Spel1.49I 67.11%NM 65.51%EV -7.91%E -5.31%K -16.15%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.94%EV +8.09%E +1.16%K +1.35%G +0.109%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.55%EV +8.08%E +1.70%K +2.15%G +0.174%2.5%2026-04-18 13:01
ATG (SE)1.49I 67.11%NM 65.51%EV -7.91%E -5.31%K -16.15%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.94%EV +8.09%E +1.16%K +1.35%G +0.109%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.55%EV +8.08%E +1.70%K +2.15%G +0.174%2.5%2026-04-18 13:01
Unibet (SE)1.49I 67.11%NM 65.36%EV -7.91%E -5.31%K -16.15%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.91%EV +8.09%E +1.16%K +1.35%G +0.109%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.72%EV +6.94%E +1.48%K +1.88%G +0.130%2.7%2026-04-18 12:59
Coolbet1.50I 66.67%NM 64.07%EV -7.29%E -4.86%K -14.59%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.73%EV +8.09%E +1.16%K +1.35%G +0.109%4.33I 23.09%NM 22.20%EV -1.48%E -0.341%K -0.443%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-18 13:01
Virgin Bet1.47I 68.03%NM 65.38%EV -9.15%E -6.22%K -19.46%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.73%EV +8.09%E +1.16%K +1.35%G +0.109%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.89%EV +4.67%E +1.01%K +1.30%G +0.061%4.1%2026-04-18 13:00
LiveScore Bet1.47I 68.03%NM 65.38%EV -9.15%E -6.22%K -19.46%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.73%EV +8.09%E +1.16%K +1.35%G +0.109%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.89%EV +4.67%E +1.01%K +1.30%G +0.061%4.1%2026-04-18 13:01
LeoVegas1.44I 69.44%NM 65.84%EV -11.00%E -7.64%K -25.00%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.54%EV +8.09%E +1.16%K +1.35%G +0.109%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.61%EV +4.67%E +1.01%K +1.30%G +0.061%5.5%2026-04-18 13:00
Unibet1.41I 70.92%NM 66.02%EV -12.86%E -9.12%K -31.36%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV +8.09%E +1.16%K +1.35%G +0.109%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.69%EV +2.39%E +0.532%K +0.684%G +0.016%7.4%2026-04-18 13:00
Unibet (NL)1.41I 70.92%NM 66.02%EV -12.86%E -9.12%K -31.36%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV +8.09%E +1.16%K +1.35%G +0.109%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.69%EV +2.39%E +0.532%K +0.684%G +0.016%7.4%2026-04-18 13:00
Grosvenor1.41I 70.92%NM 66.02%EV -12.86%E -9.12%K -31.36%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV +8.09%E +1.16%K +1.35%G +0.109%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.69%EV +2.39%E +0.532%K +0.684%G +0.016%7.4%2026-04-18 13:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -11.62%E -8.13%K -27.02%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.85%EV +4.23%E +0.627%K +0.736%G +0.031%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV +2.39%E +0.532%K +0.684%G +0.016%7.0%2026-04-18 13:00
BetRivers1.41I 70.92%NM 65.39%EV -12.86%E -9.12%K -31.36%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.66%EV +4.23%E +0.627%K +0.736%G +0.031%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.95%EV +0.117%E +0.027%K +0.035%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-18 12:55
TABtouch1.40I 71.43%NM 65.55%EV -13.47%E -9.62%K -33.68%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.60%EV +4.23%E +0.627%K +0.736%G +0.031%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.86%EV +0.117%E +0.027%K +0.035%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-18 13:00
Tipico (DE)1.45I 68.97%NM 63.07%EV -10.38%E -7.16%K -23.07%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.07%EV +0.370%E +0.057%K +0.067%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -8.98%E -2.25%K -2.99%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-18 13:00
PMU (FR)1.34I 74.63%NM 65.73%EV -17.18%E -12.82%K -50.54%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.55%EV +0.370%E +0.057%K +0.067%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 20.72%EV -3.30%E -0.775%K -1.01%G +0.000%13.5%2026-04-18 13:00
Betsson1.45I 68.97%NM 63.14%EV -10.38%E -7.16%K -23.07%G +0.000%6.30I 15.87%NM 14.53%EV -2.72%E -0.431%K -0.513%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.33%EV -6.71%E -1.64%K -2.16%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-18 13:01
NordicBet1.45I 68.97%NM 63.14%EV -10.38%E -7.16%K -23.07%G +0.000%6.30I 15.87%NM 14.53%EV -2.72%E -0.431%K -0.513%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.33%EV -6.71%E -1.64%K -2.16%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-18 13:01
PointsBet (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.92%EV -7.29%E -4.86%K -14.59%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.86%EV -3.49%E -0.558%K -0.665%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.22%EV -8.98%E -2.25%K -2.99%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-18 12:59
BetOnline.ag1.54I 64.94%NM 61.26%EV -4.82%E -3.13%K -8.93%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.72%EV -7.35%E -1.23%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.01%EV -6.71%E -1.64%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-18 13:00
LowVig.ag1.54I 64.94%NM 61.26%EV -4.82%E -3.13%K -8.93%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.72%EV -7.35%E -1.23%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.01%EV -6.71%E -1.64%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-18 12:59
BetUS1.54I 64.94%NM 61.26%EV -4.82%E -3.13%K -8.93%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.72%EV -7.35%E -1.23%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.01%EV -6.71%E -1.64%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-18 12:59
BetAnything1.54I 64.94%NM 61.26%EV -4.82%E -3.13%K -8.93%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.72%EV -7.35%E -1.23%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.01%EV -6.71%E -1.64%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-18 12:59
Betway1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -5.44%E -3.55%K -10.26%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.57%EV -7.35%E -1.23%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.36%EV -8.98%E -2.25%K -2.99%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-18 13:00
DraftKings1.49I 67.11%NM 62.38%EV -7.91%E -5.31%K -16.15%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -7.35%E -1.23%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.13%EV -4.43%E -1.06%K -1.39%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-18 13:01
FanDuel1.50I 66.67%NM 61.89%EV -7.29%E -4.86%K -14.59%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV -7.35%E -1.23%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -6.71%E -1.64%K -2.16%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-18 13:00
betfred_uk1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -7.29%E -4.86%K -14.59%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -7.35%E -1.23%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -8.98%E -2.25%K -2.99%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-18 12:59
Paddy Power1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -7.29%E -4.86%K -14.59%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -7.35%E -1.23%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -8.98%E -2.25%K -2.99%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-18 13:00
Bet Right1.50I 66.67%NM 61.36%EV -7.29%E -4.86%K -14.59%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.34%EV -7.35%E -1.23%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV -10.12%E -2.56%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-18 12:59
Bet Victor1.50I 66.67%NM 61.18%EV -7.29%E -4.86%K -14.59%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.29%EV -7.35%E -1.23%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -11.26%E -2.89%K -3.88%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-18 13:00
William Hill1.50I 66.67%NM 60.80%EV -7.29%E -4.86%K -14.59%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.20%EV -7.35%E -1.23%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -13.54%E -3.56%K -4.83%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-18 13:00
SportsBet1.47I 68.03%NM 62.02%EV -9.15%E -6.22%K -19.46%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.19%EV -7.35%E -1.23%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.79%EV -8.98%E -2.25%K -2.99%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-18 13:00
Winamax (DE)1.45I 68.97%NM 62.68%EV -10.38%E -7.16%K -23.07%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.15%EV -7.35%E -1.23%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.17%EV -6.71%E -1.64%K -2.16%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-18 13:01
Pinnacle1.56I 64.10%NM 61.23%EV -3.58%E -2.30%K -6.40%G +0.000%5.96I 16.78%NM 16.03%EV -7.97%E -1.34%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.74%EV -4.43%E -1.06%K -1.39%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-18 12:59
GTbets1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -4.20%E -2.71%K -7.64%G +0.000%5.79I 17.27%NM 16.27%EV -10.59%E -1.83%K -2.21%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.97%EV -6.71%E -1.64%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-18 12:59
Bovada1.55I 64.52%NM 60.69%EV -4.20%E -2.71%K -7.64%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.36%EV -11.21%E -1.95%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.95%EV -6.71%E -1.64%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-18 12:58
BetMGM1.53I 65.36%NM 61.00%EV -5.44%E -3.55%K -10.26%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.23%EV -11.21%E -1.95%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -6.71%E -1.64%K -2.16%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-18 13:00
Everygame1.53I 65.36%NM 61.00%EV -5.44%E -3.55%K -10.26%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.23%EV -11.21%E -1.95%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -6.71%E -1.64%K -2.16%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-18 12:59
888sport1.50I 66.67%NM 60.40%EV -7.29%E -4.86%K -14.59%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.76%EV -11.21%E -1.95%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.84%EV -13.54%E -3.56%K -4.83%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-18 13:01
888sport (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 60.40%EV -7.29%E -4.86%K -14.59%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.76%EV -11.21%E -1.95%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.84%EV -13.54%E -3.56%K -4.83%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-18 13:00
Mr Green (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 60.40%EV -7.29%E -4.86%K -14.59%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.76%EV -11.21%E -1.95%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.84%EV -13.54%E -3.56%K -4.83%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-18 13:00
Betr (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 61.09%EV -8.53%E -5.76%K -17.77%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.72%EV -11.21%E -1.95%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.18%EV -11.26%E -2.89%K -3.88%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-18 12:59
Betclic (FR)1.42I 70.42%NM 62.07%EV -12.24%E -8.62%K -29.14%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.33%EV -11.21%E -1.95%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.60%EV -11.26%E -2.89%K -3.88%G +0.000%13.5%2026-04-18 13:00
1xBet1.52I 65.79%NM 61.37%EV -6.06%E -3.98%K -11.65%G +0.000%5.72I 17.48%NM 16.31%EV -11.67%E -2.04%K -2.47%G +0.000%4.18I 23.92%NM 22.32%EV -4.89%E -1.17%K -1.54%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-18 12:59
Winamax (FR)1.44I 69.44%NM 61.66%EV -11.00%E -7.64%K -25.00%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 15.58%EV -11.98%E -2.10%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.77%EV -11.26%E -2.89%K -3.88%G +0.000%12.6%2026-04-18 13:01
PlayUp1.50I 66.67%NM 60.16%EV -7.29%E -4.86%K -14.59%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.41%EV -15.07%E -2.74%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.44%EV -12.40%E -3.22%K -4.35%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-18 13:00
Sky Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 59.78%EV -7.29%E -4.86%K -14.59%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.30%EV -15.07%E -2.74%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.91%EV -14.67%E -3.91%K -5.34%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-18 13:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 59.76%EV -11.00%E -7.64%K -25.00%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.65%EV -15.07%E -2.74%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.59%EV -20.36%E -5.82%K -8.14%G +0.000%16.2%2026-04-18 12:59
Coral1.50I 66.67%NM 59.87%EV -7.29%E -4.86%K -14.59%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.11%EV -18.93%E -3.61%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.03%EV -11.26%E -2.89%K -3.88%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-18 13:01
Ladbrokes (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 59.87%EV -7.29%E -4.86%K -14.59%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.11%EV -18.93%E -3.61%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.03%EV -11.26%E -2.89%K -3.88%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-18 12:59
Ladbrokes (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 59.87%EV -7.29%E -4.86%K -14.59%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.11%EV -18.93%E -3.61%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.03%EV -11.26%E -2.89%K -3.88%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-18 13:00
Neds1.50I 66.67%NM 59.87%EV -7.29%E -4.86%K -14.59%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.11%EV -18.93%E -3.61%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.03%EV -11.26%E -2.89%K -3.88%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-18 12:59
Unibet (FR)1.42I 70.42%NM 60.53%EV -12.24%E -8.62%K -29.14%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 16.85%EV -21.25%E -4.17%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.62%EV -13.54%E -3.56%K -4.83%G +0.000%16.3%2026-04-18 12:59
BoyleSports1.44I 69.44%NM 60.68%EV -11.00%E -7.64%K -25.00%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.48%EV -22.79%E -4.56%K -5.70%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.84%EV -8.98%E -2.25%K -2.99%G +0.000%14.4%2026-04-18 13:00
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.58I 63.29%NM 62.51%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.52%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.97%1.3%2026-04-18 13:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.58I 63.29%NM 62.23%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.90%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.87%1.7%2026-04-18 13:01
Matchbook1.59I 62.89%NM 61.80%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.35%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.85%1.8%2026-04-18 13:01
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.56I 64.10%NM 62.53%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.78%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.69%2.5%2026-04-18 13:01
Smarkets1.54I 64.94%NM 61.87%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.24%5.0%2026-04-18 13:01