La escuela de los momios

Mjällby AIF v IF Brommapojkarna

Inicio: 2026-04-18 13:04 UTC

Final: Mjällby AIF 3–0 IF Brommapojkarna

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

55 corredores (16 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Mjällby AIF (Local)

Predicción 61.80%1.62momio equitativo
EV -3.58%
Ventaja -2.30%
Kelly -6.40%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 1.56

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
59.76%62.03%61.77%66.02%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
1.341.481.501.5674.63%67.51%66.67%64.10%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

IF Brommapojkarna (Visitante)

Predicción 15.44%6.48momio equitativo
EV +15.81%
Ventaja +2.11%
Kelly +2.43%
Crecimiento +0.385%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 7.50

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
13.11%15.30%15.48%17.48%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
5.006.136.007.5020.00%16.30%16.67%13.33%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 22.75%4.39momio equitativo
EV +8.08%
Ventaja +1.70%
Kelly +2.15%
Crecimiento +0.174%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 4.75

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
20.55%22.67%22.75%24.59%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.504.144.104.7528.57%24.14%24.39%21.05%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (55 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocalVisitante ▼EmpateMargenActualizado
betPARX1.49I 67.11%NM 65.98%EV -7.91%E -5.31%K -16.15%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 13.11%EV +15.81%E +2.11%K +2.43%G +0.385%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.92%EV +6.94%E +1.48%K +1.88%G +0.130%1.7%2026-04-18 13:00
Casumo1.49I 67.11%NM 65.51%EV -7.91%E -5.31%K -16.15%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.94%EV +8.09%E +1.16%K +1.35%G +0.109%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.55%EV +8.08%E +1.70%K +2.15%G +0.174%2.5%2026-04-18 13:00
Svenska Spel1.49I 67.11%NM 65.51%EV -7.91%E -5.31%K -16.15%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.94%EV +8.09%E +1.16%K +1.35%G +0.109%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.55%EV +8.08%E +1.70%K +2.15%G +0.174%2.5%2026-04-18 13:01
ATG (SE)1.49I 67.11%NM 65.51%EV -7.91%E -5.31%K -16.15%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.94%EV +8.09%E +1.16%K +1.35%G +0.109%4.75I 21.05%NM 20.55%EV +8.08%E +1.70%K +2.15%G +0.174%2.5%2026-04-18 13:01
Unibet (SE)1.49I 67.11%NM 65.36%EV -7.91%E -5.31%K -16.15%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.91%EV +8.09%E +1.16%K +1.35%G +0.109%4.70I 21.28%NM 20.72%EV +6.94%E +1.48%K +1.88%G +0.130%2.7%2026-04-18 12:59
Coolbet1.50I 66.67%NM 64.07%EV -7.29%E -4.86%K -14.59%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.73%EV +8.09%E +1.16%K +1.35%G +0.109%4.33I 23.09%NM 22.20%EV -1.48%E -0.341%K -0.443%G +0.000%4.0%2026-04-18 13:01
Virgin Bet1.47I 68.03%NM 65.38%EV -9.15%E -6.22%K -19.46%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.73%EV +8.09%E +1.16%K +1.35%G +0.109%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.89%EV +4.67%E +1.01%K +1.30%G +0.061%4.1%2026-04-18 13:00
LiveScore Bet1.47I 68.03%NM 65.38%EV -9.15%E -6.22%K -19.46%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.73%EV +8.09%E +1.16%K +1.35%G +0.109%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.89%EV +4.67%E +1.01%K +1.30%G +0.061%4.1%2026-04-18 13:01
LeoVegas1.44I 69.44%NM 65.84%EV -11.00%E -7.64%K -25.00%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.54%EV +8.09%E +1.16%K +1.35%G +0.109%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.61%EV +4.67%E +1.01%K +1.30%G +0.061%5.5%2026-04-18 13:00
Unibet1.41I 70.92%NM 66.02%EV -12.86%E -9.12%K -31.36%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV +8.09%E +1.16%K +1.35%G +0.109%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.69%EV +2.39%E +0.532%K +0.684%G +0.016%7.4%2026-04-18 13:00
Unibet (NL)1.41I 70.92%NM 66.02%EV -12.86%E -9.12%K -31.36%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV +8.09%E +1.16%K +1.35%G +0.109%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.69%EV +2.39%E +0.532%K +0.684%G +0.016%7.4%2026-04-18 13:00
Grosvenor1.41I 70.92%NM 66.02%EV -12.86%E -9.12%K -31.36%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.30%EV +8.09%E +1.16%K +1.35%G +0.109%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.69%EV +2.39%E +0.532%K +0.684%G +0.016%7.4%2026-04-18 13:00
LeoVegas (SE)1.43I 69.93%NM 65.38%EV -11.62%E -8.13%K -27.02%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.85%EV +4.23%E +0.627%K +0.736%G +0.031%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.77%EV +2.39%E +0.532%K +0.684%G +0.016%7.0%2026-04-18 13:00
BetRivers1.41I 70.92%NM 65.39%EV -12.86%E -9.12%K -31.36%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.66%EV +4.23%E +0.627%K +0.736%G +0.031%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.95%EV +0.117%E +0.027%K +0.035%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-18 12:55
TABtouch1.40I 71.43%NM 65.55%EV -13.47%E -9.62%K -33.68%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.60%EV +4.23%E +0.627%K +0.736%G +0.031%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.86%EV +0.117%E +0.027%K +0.035%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-18 13:00
Tipico (DE)1.45I 68.97%NM 63.07%EV -10.38%E -7.16%K -23.07%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.07%EV +0.370%E +0.057%K +0.067%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.86%EV -8.98%E -2.25%K -2.99%G +0.000%9.4%2026-04-18 13:00
PMU (FR)1.34I 74.63%NM 65.73%EV -17.18%E -12.82%K -50.54%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.55%EV +0.370%E +0.057%K +0.067%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 20.72%EV -3.30%E -0.775%K -1.01%G +0.000%13.5%2026-04-18 13:00
Betsson1.45I 68.97%NM 63.14%EV -10.38%E -7.16%K -23.07%G +0.000%6.30I 15.87%NM 14.53%EV -2.72%E -0.431%K -0.513%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.33%EV -6.71%E -1.64%K -2.16%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-18 13:01
NordicBet1.45I 68.97%NM 63.14%EV -10.38%E -7.16%K -23.07%G +0.000%6.30I 15.87%NM 14.53%EV -2.72%E -0.431%K -0.513%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.33%EV -6.71%E -1.64%K -2.16%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-18 13:01
PointsBet (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 61.92%EV -7.29%E -4.86%K -14.59%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.86%EV -3.49%E -0.558%K -0.665%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.22%EV -8.98%E -2.25%K -2.99%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-18 12:59
BetOnline.ag1.54I 64.94%NM 61.26%EV -4.82%E -3.13%K -8.93%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.72%EV -7.35%E -1.23%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.01%EV -6.71%E -1.64%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-18 13:00
LowVig.ag1.54I 64.94%NM 61.26%EV -4.82%E -3.13%K -8.93%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.72%EV -7.35%E -1.23%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.01%EV -6.71%E -1.64%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-18 12:59
BetUS1.54I 64.94%NM 61.26%EV -4.82%E -3.13%K -8.93%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.72%EV -7.35%E -1.23%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.01%EV -6.71%E -1.64%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-18 12:59
BetAnything1.54I 64.94%NM 61.26%EV -4.82%E -3.13%K -8.93%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.72%EV -7.35%E -1.23%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.01%EV -6.71%E -1.64%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.0%2026-04-18 12:59
Betway1.53I 65.36%NM 61.07%EV -5.44%E -3.55%K -10.26%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.57%EV -7.35%E -1.23%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.36%EV -8.98%E -2.25%K -2.99%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-18 13:00
DraftKings1.49I 67.11%NM 62.38%EV -7.91%E -5.31%K -16.15%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.49%EV -7.35%E -1.23%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.13%EV -4.43%E -1.06%K -1.39%G +0.000%7.6%2026-04-18 13:01
FanDuel1.50I 66.67%NM 61.89%EV -7.29%E -4.86%K -14.59%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.47%EV -7.35%E -1.23%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.64%EV -6.71%E -1.64%K -2.16%G +0.000%7.7%2026-04-18 13:00
betfred_uk1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -7.29%E -4.86%K -14.59%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -7.35%E -1.23%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -8.98%E -2.25%K -2.99%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-18 12:59
Paddy Power1.50I 66.67%NM 61.54%EV -7.29%E -4.86%K -14.59%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.38%EV -7.35%E -1.23%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 23.08%EV -8.98%E -2.25%K -2.99%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-18 13:00
Bet Right1.50I 66.67%NM 61.36%EV -7.29%E -4.86%K -14.59%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.34%EV -7.35%E -1.23%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.95I 25.32%NM 23.30%EV -10.12%E -2.56%K -3.43%G +0.000%8.6%2026-04-18 12:59
Bet Victor1.50I 66.67%NM 61.18%EV -7.29%E -4.86%K -14.59%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.29%EV -7.35%E -1.23%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.53%EV -11.26%E -2.89%K -3.88%G +0.000%9.0%2026-04-18 13:00
William Hill1.50I 66.67%NM 60.80%EV -7.29%E -4.86%K -14.59%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.20%EV -7.35%E -1.23%K -1.47%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 24.00%EV -13.54%E -3.56%K -4.83%G +0.000%9.6%2026-04-18 13:00
SportsBet1.47I 68.03%NM 62.02%EV -9.15%E -6.22%K -19.46%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.19%EV -7.35%E -1.23%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 22.79%EV -8.98%E -2.25%K -2.99%G +0.000%9.7%2026-04-18 13:00
Winamax (DE)1.45I 68.97%NM 62.68%EV -10.38%E -7.16%K -23.07%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.15%EV -7.35%E -1.23%K -1.47%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.17%EV -6.71%E -1.64%K -2.16%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-18 13:01
Pinnacle1.56I 64.10%NM 61.23%EV -3.58%E -2.30%K -6.40%G +0.000%5.96I 16.78%NM 16.03%EV -7.97%E -1.34%K -1.61%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 22.74%EV -4.43%E -1.06%K -1.39%G +0.000%4.7%2026-04-18 12:59
GTbets1.55I 64.52%NM 60.76%EV -4.20%E -2.71%K -7.64%G +0.000%5.79I 17.27%NM 16.27%EV -10.59%E -1.83%K -2.21%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.97%EV -6.71%E -1.64%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-18 12:59
Bovada1.55I 64.52%NM 60.69%EV -4.20%E -2.71%K -7.64%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.36%EV -11.21%E -1.95%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.95%EV -6.71%E -1.64%K -2.16%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-18 12:58
BetMGM1.53I 65.36%NM 61.00%EV -5.44%E -3.55%K -10.26%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.23%EV -11.21%E -1.95%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -6.71%E -1.64%K -2.16%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-18 13:00
Everygame1.53I 65.36%NM 61.00%EV -5.44%E -3.55%K -10.26%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 16.23%EV -11.21%E -1.95%K -2.36%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.76%EV -6.71%E -1.64%K -2.16%G +0.000%7.1%2026-04-18 12:59
888sport1.50I 66.67%NM 60.40%EV -7.29%E -4.86%K -14.59%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.76%EV -11.21%E -1.95%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.84%EV -13.54%E -3.56%K -4.83%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-18 13:01
888sport (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 60.40%EV -7.29%E -4.86%K -14.59%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.76%EV -11.21%E -1.95%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.84%EV -13.54%E -3.56%K -4.83%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-18 13:00
Mr Green (SE)1.50I 66.67%NM 60.40%EV -7.29%E -4.86%K -14.59%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.76%EV -11.21%E -1.95%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 23.84%EV -13.54%E -3.56%K -4.83%G +0.000%10.4%2026-04-18 13:00
Betr (AU)1.48I 67.57%NM 61.09%EV -8.53%E -5.76%K -17.77%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.72%EV -11.21%E -1.95%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.18%EV -11.26%E -2.89%K -3.88%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-18 12:59
Betclic (FR)1.42I 70.42%NM 62.07%EV -12.24%E -8.62%K -29.14%G +0.000%5.75I 17.39%NM 15.33%EV -11.21%E -1.95%K -2.36%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.60%EV -11.26%E -2.89%K -3.88%G +0.000%13.5%2026-04-18 13:00
1xBet1.52I 65.79%NM 61.37%EV -6.06%E -3.98%K -11.65%G +0.000%5.72I 17.48%NM 16.31%EV -11.67%E -2.04%K -2.47%G +0.000%4.18I 23.92%NM 22.32%EV -4.89%E -1.17%K -1.54%G +0.000%7.2%2026-04-18 12:59
Winamax (FR)1.44I 69.44%NM 61.66%EV -11.00%E -7.64%K -25.00%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 15.58%EV -11.98%E -2.10%K -2.55%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 22.77%EV -11.26%E -2.89%K -3.88%G +0.000%12.6%2026-04-18 13:01
PlayUp1.50I 66.67%NM 60.16%EV -7.29%E -4.86%K -14.59%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.41%EV -15.07%E -2.74%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.85I 25.97%NM 23.44%EV -12.40%E -3.22%K -4.35%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-18 13:00
Sky Bet1.50I 66.67%NM 59.78%EV -7.29%E -4.86%K -14.59%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 16.30%EV -15.07%E -2.74%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.91%EV -14.67%E -3.91%K -5.34%G +0.000%11.5%2026-04-18 13:00
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.44I 69.44%NM 59.76%EV -11.00%E -7.64%K -25.00%G +0.000%5.50I 18.18%NM 15.65%EV -15.07%E -2.74%K -3.35%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 24.59%EV -20.36%E -5.82%K -8.14%G +0.000%16.2%2026-04-18 12:59
Coral1.50I 66.67%NM 59.87%EV -7.29%E -4.86%K -14.59%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.11%EV -18.93%E -3.61%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.03%EV -11.26%E -2.89%K -3.88%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-18 13:01
Ladbrokes (AU)1.50I 66.67%NM 59.87%EV -7.29%E -4.86%K -14.59%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.11%EV -18.93%E -3.61%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.03%EV -11.26%E -2.89%K -3.88%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-18 12:59
Ladbrokes (UK)1.50I 66.67%NM 59.87%EV -7.29%E -4.86%K -14.59%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.11%EV -18.93%E -3.61%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.03%EV -11.26%E -2.89%K -3.88%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-18 13:00
Neds1.50I 66.67%NM 59.87%EV -7.29%E -4.86%K -14.59%G +0.000%5.25I 19.05%NM 17.11%EV -18.93%E -3.61%K -4.45%G +0.000%3.90I 25.64%NM 23.03%EV -11.26%E -2.89%K -3.88%G +0.000%11.4%2026-04-18 12:59
Unibet (FR)1.42I 70.42%NM 60.53%EV -12.24%E -8.62%K -29.14%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 16.85%EV -21.25%E -4.17%K -5.18%G +0.000%3.80I 26.32%NM 22.62%EV -13.54%E -3.56%K -4.83%G +0.000%16.3%2026-04-18 12:59
BoyleSports1.44I 69.44%NM 60.68%EV -11.00%E -7.64%K -25.00%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 17.48%EV -22.79%E -4.56%K -5.70%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.84%EV -8.98%E -2.25%K -2.99%G +0.000%14.4%2026-04-18 13:00
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.58I 63.29%NM 62.51%6.80I 14.71%NM 14.52%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.97%1.3%2026-04-18 13:00
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.58I 63.29%NM 62.23%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.90%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.87%1.7%2026-04-18 13:01
Matchbook1.59I 62.89%NM 61.80%6.40I 15.63%NM 15.35%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.85%1.8%2026-04-18 13:01
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.56I 64.10%NM 62.53%6.60I 15.15%NM 14.78%4.30I 23.26%NM 22.69%2.5%2026-04-18 13:01
Smarkets1.54I 64.94%NM 61.87%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.89%4.10I 24.39%NM 23.24%5.0%2026-04-18 13:01