Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Mjällby AIF v Halmstads BK

Kickoff: 2026-04-27 17:00 UTC

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

51 sportsbooks (13 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Mjällby AIF (Local)

Prediction 65.34%1.53fair odd
EV -5.26%
Edge -3.63%
Kelly -11.69%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 1.45

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
62.99%65.29%65.23%66.82%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
1.341.401.401.4574.63%71.27%71.43%68.97%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Halmstads BK (Visit)

Prediction 13.72%7.29fair odd
EV +2.91%
Edge +0.389%
Kelly +0.448%
Growth +0.013%

assuming max odds 7.50

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
12.46%13.77%13.91%15.75%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
5.406.747.007.5018.52%14.83%14.29%13.33%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 20.94%4.78fair odd
EV -3.68%
Edge -0.800%
Kelly -1.02%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 4.60

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
20.20%20.94%20.86%23.07%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.754.304.304.6026.67%23.25%23.26%21.74%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Mjällby AIF (Local): 65.34%; Halmstads BK (Visit): 13.72%; Draw: 20.94%. For Halmstads BK (Visit), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 7.29. 9 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 7.50, corresponding to a positive expected value of +2.91%.

Sportsbook Odds (51 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocalVisit ▼DrawMarginUpdated
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.82%EV -6.57%E -4.59%K -15.27%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.55%EV +2.91%E +0.389%K +0.448%G +0.013%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.64%EV -8.91%E -2.05%K -2.66%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-20 11:00
Unibet (SE)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.82%EV -6.57%E -4.59%K -15.27%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.55%EV +2.91%E +0.389%K +0.448%G +0.013%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.64%EV -8.91%E -2.05%K -2.66%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-20 10:59
Svenska Spel🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.82%EV -6.57%E -4.59%K -15.27%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.55%EV +2.91%E +0.389%K +0.448%G +0.013%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.64%EV -8.91%E -2.05%K -2.66%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-20 11:00
ATG (SE)🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.82%EV -6.57%E -4.59%K -15.27%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.55%EV +2.91%E +0.389%K +0.448%G +0.013%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.64%EV -8.91%E -2.05%K -2.66%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-20 11:00
Unibet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.81%EV -7.22%E -5.08%K -17.19%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.46%EV +2.91%E +0.389%K +0.448%G +0.013%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.73%EV -9.96%E -2.32%K -3.02%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-20 11:00
Casumo🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.81%EV -7.22%E -5.08%K -17.19%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.46%EV +2.91%E +0.389%K +0.448%G +0.013%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.73%EV -9.96%E -2.32%K -3.02%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-20 11:00
Grosvenor🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.81%EV -7.22%E -5.08%K -17.19%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.46%EV +2.91%E +0.389%K +0.448%G +0.013%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.73%EV -9.96%E -2.32%K -3.02%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-20 10:59
Unibet (NL)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.81%EV -7.22%E -5.08%K -17.19%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.46%EV +2.91%E +0.389%K +0.448%G +0.013%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.73%EV -9.96%E -2.32%K -3.02%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-20 10:59
betPARX🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.81%EV -7.22%E -5.08%K -17.19%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.46%EV +2.91%E +0.389%K +0.448%G +0.013%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.73%EV -9.96%E -2.32%K -3.02%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-20 11:00
GTbets🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.80%EV -7.22%E -5.08%K -17.19%G +0.000%7.15I 13.99%NM 13.07%EV -1.89%E -0.264%K -0.307%G +0.000%4.42I 22.62%NM 21.14%EV -7.45%E -1.68%K -2.18%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 22:09
Betsson🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.20%EV -5.91%E -4.11%K -13.44%G +0.000%7.10I 14.08%NM 13.22%EV -2.57%E -0.363%K -0.422%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.58%EV -8.91%E -2.05%K -2.66%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-23 22:04
NordicBet🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.20%EV -5.91%E -4.11%K -13.44%G +0.000%7.10I 14.08%NM 13.22%EV -2.57%E -0.363%K -0.422%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.58%EV -8.91%E -2.05%K -2.66%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-23 22:04
1xBet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.50%EV -6.57%E -4.59%K -15.27%G +0.000%7.09I 14.10%NM 13.21%EV -2.71%E -0.382%K -0.445%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.29%EV -7.87%E -1.79%K -2.31%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-23 23:14
Betway🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.17%EV -6.57%E -4.59%K -15.27%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.31%EV -3.95%E -0.564%K -0.658%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.52%EV -9.33%E -2.16%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-23 22:05
FanDuel🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.47%EV -8.53%E -6.09%K -21.32%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.29%EV -3.95%E -0.564%K -0.658%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.23%EV -3.68%E -0.800%K -1.02%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-23 22:14
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.18%EV -8.53%E -6.09%K -21.32%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV -3.95%E -0.564%K -0.658%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -5.77%E -1.28%K -1.65%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-24 00:30
LeoVegas🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 65.39%EV -7.87%E -5.58%K -19.20%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.17%EV -3.95%E -0.564%K -0.658%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.44%EV -9.96%E -2.32%K -3.02%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-20 11:00
BetRivers🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 65.39%EV -7.87%E -5.58%K -19.20%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.17%EV -3.95%E -0.564%K -0.658%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.44%EV -9.96%E -2.32%K -3.02%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-20 11:00
betfred_uk🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.65%EV -8.53%E -6.09%K -21.32%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.13%EV -3.95%E -0.564%K -0.658%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.22%EV -9.33%E -2.16%K -2.80%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-23 22:14
TABtouch🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.38%EV -8.53%E -6.09%K -21.32%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.08%EV -3.95%E -0.564%K -0.658%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.54%EV -11.01%E -2.59%K -3.39%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-20 11:00
Bet Right🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 66.19%EV -9.83%E -7.13%K -25.88%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.05%EV -3.95%E -0.564%K -0.658%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.76%EV -7.87%E -1.79%K -2.31%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-24 00:29
SportsBet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 66.82%EV -11.14%E -8.19%K -30.94%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.98%EV -3.95%E -0.564%K -0.658%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.20%EV -5.77%E -1.28%K -1.65%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-23 22:15
Paddy Power🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 66.82%EV -11.14%E -8.19%K -30.94%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.98%EV -3.95%E -0.564%K -0.658%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.20%EV -5.77%E -1.28%K -1.65%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-23 22:14
LiveScore Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 65.71%EV -9.83%E -7.13%K -25.88%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.95%EV -3.95%E -0.564%K -0.658%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.34%EV -11.01%E -2.59%K -3.39%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-20 11:00
Virgin Bet🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 65.71%EV -9.83%E -7.13%K -25.88%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.95%EV -3.95%E -0.564%K -0.658%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.34%EV -11.01%E -2.59%K -3.39%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-20 11:00
Bet Victor🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 66.52%EV -11.14%E -8.19%K -30.94%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.92%EV -3.95%E -0.564%K -0.658%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.56%EV -7.87%E -1.79%K -2.31%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-24 01:35
Bovada🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.37%EV -5.91%E -4.11%K -13.44%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.95%EV -7.38%E -1.09%K -1.28%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.69%EV -4.72%E -1.04%K -1.33%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-23 22:37
BetMGM🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.67%EV -6.57%E -4.59%K -15.27%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.91%EV -7.38%E -1.09%K -1.28%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -3.68%E -0.800%K -1.02%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-24 01:15
PMU (FR)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 65.56%EV -12.45%E -9.29%K -36.61%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.01%EV -7.38%E -1.09%K -1.28%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.43%EV -14.15%E -3.45%K -4.56%G +0.000%13.8%2026-04-20 11:00
Pinnacle🎯1.44I 69.44%NM 65.36%EV -5.91%E -4.11%K -13.44%G +0.000%6.72I 14.88%NM 14.00%EV -7.79%E -1.16%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.56I 21.93%NM 20.64%EV -4.52%E -0.990%K -1.27%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-23 22:04
Unibet (UK)🎯1.45I 68.97%NM 64.71%EV -5.26%E -3.63%K -11.69%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.44%EV -10.81%E -1.66%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.85%EV -5.77%E -1.28%K -1.65%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-24 01:15
DraftKings🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 65.19%EV -7.22%E -5.08%K -17.19%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.24%EV -10.81%E -1.66%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.57%EV -5.77%E -1.28%K -1.65%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-23 22:04
Everygame🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.21%EV -8.53%E -6.09%K -21.32%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.04%EV -10.81%E -1.66%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.75%EV -7.87%E -1.79%K -2.31%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-23 22:04
888sport🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.57%EV -8.53%E -6.09%K -21.32%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.91%EV -10.81%E -1.66%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -12.05%E -2.87%K -3.77%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-23 23:09
William Hill🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.57%EV -8.53%E -6.09%K -21.32%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.91%EV -10.81%E -1.66%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -12.05%E -2.87%K -3.77%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-23 23:09
888sport (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.57%EV -8.53%E -6.09%K -21.32%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.91%EV -10.81%E -1.66%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -12.05%E -2.87%K -3.77%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-23 23:09
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.57%EV -8.53%E -6.09%K -21.32%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.91%EV -10.81%E -1.66%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -12.05%E -2.87%K -3.77%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-23 23:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 63.62%EV -11.14%E -8.19%K -30.94%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.31%EV -10.81%E -1.66%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.07%EV -21.48%E -5.73%K -7.81%G +0.000%15.6%2026-04-23 22:14
BetOnline.ag🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.58%EV -6.57%E -4.59%K -15.27%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.43%EV -12.18%E -1.90%K -2.26%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.99%EV -7.87%E -1.79%K -2.31%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-24 01:25
LowVig.ag🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 64.58%EV -6.57%E -4.59%K -15.27%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.43%EV -12.18%E -1.90%K -2.26%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.99%EV -7.87%E -1.79%K -2.31%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-24 01:15
PlayUp🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 63.55%EV -7.22%E -5.08%K -17.19%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.44%EV -14.24%E -2.28%K -2.71%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.01%EV -14.15%E -3.45%K -4.56%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-23 22:04
Neds🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 63.83%EV -8.53%E -6.09%K -21.32%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -17.67%E -2.94%K -3.53%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.28%EV -12.05%E -2.87%K -3.77%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-24 01:15
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 63.83%EV -8.53%E -6.09%K -21.32%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -17.67%E -2.94%K -3.53%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.28%EV -12.05%E -2.87%K -3.77%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-24 01:15
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 63.83%EV -8.53%E -6.09%K -21.32%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -17.67%E -2.94%K -3.53%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.28%EV -12.05%E -2.87%K -3.77%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-24 01:15
Coral🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 63.83%EV -8.53%E -6.09%K -21.32%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -17.67%E -2.94%K -3.53%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.28%EV -12.05%E -2.87%K -3.77%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-24 01:15
BoyleSports🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 63.83%EV -8.53%E -6.09%K -21.32%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -17.67%E -2.94%K -3.53%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.28%EV -12.05%E -2.87%K -3.77%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-23 22:09
Sky Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 63.83%EV -11.14%E -8.19%K -30.94%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.47%EV -17.67%E -2.94%K -3.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.70%EV -16.24%E -4.06%K -5.41%G +0.000%15.2%2026-04-23 22:15
Betclic (FR)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 63.84%EV -11.79%E -8.74%K -33.69%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 14.61%EV -19.04%E -3.23%K -3.89%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.55%EV -16.24%E -4.06%K -5.41%G +0.000%16.0%2026-04-24 01:14
Unibet (FR)🎯1.34I 74.63%NM 64.19%EV -12.45%E -9.29%K -36.61%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 14.58%EV -19.04%E -3.23%K -3.89%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 21.24%EV -15.19%E -3.75%K -4.98%G +0.000%16.3%2026-04-24 01:14
Winamax (DE)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 64.15%EV -9.83%E -7.13%K -25.88%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.26%EV -20.41%E -3.52%K -4.25%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.59%EV -9.96%E -2.32%K -3.02%G +0.000%13.0%2026-04-24 01:15
Winamax (FR)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 62.99%EV -11.79%E -8.74%K -33.69%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 15.75%EV -25.90%E -4.80%K -5.89%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.26%EV -16.24%E -4.06%K -5.41%G +0.000%17.6%2026-04-24 01:15
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Smarkets1.38I 72.46%NM 63.67%5.90I 16.95%NM 14.89%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.43%13.8%2026-04-24 01:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.12I 89.29%NM 32.41%1.04I 96.15%NM 34.90%1.11I 90.09%NM 32.70%175.5%2026-04-23 21:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.12I 89.29%NM 32.41%1.04I 96.15%NM 34.90%1.11I 90.09%NM 32.70%175.5%2026-04-23 21:19
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.12I 89.29%NM 32.41%1.04I 96.15%NM 34.90%1.11I 90.09%NM 32.70%175.5%2026-04-23 21:14