L’École des cotes

Mjällby AIF v Halmstads BK

Coup d’envoi : 2026-04-27 17:00 UTC

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

51 opérateurs (13 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Mjällby AIF (Local)

Prévision 65.34%1.53cote équitable
EV -5.26%
Avantage -3.63%
Kelly -11.69%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 1.45

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
62.99%65.29%65.23%66.82%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
1.341.401.401.4574.63%71.27%71.43%68.97%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Halmstads BK (Visiteur)

Prévision 13.72%7.29cote équitable
EV +2.91%
Avantage +0.389%
Kelly +0.448%
Croissance +0.013%

avec la cote maximale 7.50

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
12.46%13.77%13.91%15.75%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
5.406.747.007.5018.52%14.83%14.29%13.33%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 20.94%4.78cote équitable
EV -3.68%
Avantage -0.800%
Kelly -1.02%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 4.60

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
20.20%20.94%20.86%23.07%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.754.304.304.6026.67%23.25%23.26%21.74%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (51 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocalVisiteur ▼Match nulMargeMise à jour
LeoVegas (SE)1.43I 69.93%NM 65.82%EV -6.57%E -4.59%K -15.27%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.55%EV +2.91%E +0.389%K +0.448%G +0.013%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.64%EV -8.91%E -2.05%K -2.66%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-20 11:00
Unibet (SE)1.43I 69.93%NM 65.82%EV -6.57%E -4.59%K -15.27%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.55%EV +2.91%E +0.389%K +0.448%G +0.013%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.64%EV -8.91%E -2.05%K -2.66%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-20 10:59
Svenska Spel1.43I 69.93%NM 65.82%EV -6.57%E -4.59%K -15.27%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.55%EV +2.91%E +0.389%K +0.448%G +0.013%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.64%EV -8.91%E -2.05%K -2.66%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-20 11:00
ATG (SE)1.43I 69.93%NM 65.82%EV -6.57%E -4.59%K -15.27%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.55%EV +2.91%E +0.389%K +0.448%G +0.013%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.64%EV -8.91%E -2.05%K -2.66%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-20 11:00
Unibet1.42I 70.42%NM 65.81%EV -7.22%E -5.08%K -17.19%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.46%EV +2.91%E +0.389%K +0.448%G +0.013%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.73%EV -9.96%E -2.32%K -3.02%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-20 11:00
Casumo1.42I 70.42%NM 65.81%EV -7.22%E -5.08%K -17.19%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.46%EV +2.91%E +0.389%K +0.448%G +0.013%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.73%EV -9.96%E -2.32%K -3.02%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-20 11:00
Grosvenor1.42I 70.42%NM 65.81%EV -7.22%E -5.08%K -17.19%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.46%EV +2.91%E +0.389%K +0.448%G +0.013%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.73%EV -9.96%E -2.32%K -3.02%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-20 10:59
Unibet (NL)1.42I 70.42%NM 65.81%EV -7.22%E -5.08%K -17.19%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.46%EV +2.91%E +0.389%K +0.448%G +0.013%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.73%EV -9.96%E -2.32%K -3.02%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-20 10:59
betPARX1.42I 70.42%NM 65.81%EV -7.22%E -5.08%K -17.19%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.46%EV +2.91%E +0.389%K +0.448%G +0.013%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.73%EV -9.96%E -2.32%K -3.02%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-20 11:00
GTbets1.42I 70.42%NM 65.80%EV -7.22%E -5.08%K -17.19%G +0.000%7.15I 13.99%NM 13.07%EV -1.89%E -0.264%K -0.307%G +0.000%4.42I 22.62%NM 21.14%EV -7.45%E -1.68%K -2.18%G +0.000%7.0%2026-04-23 22:09
Betsson1.44I 69.44%NM 65.20%EV -5.91%E -4.11%K -13.44%G +0.000%7.10I 14.08%NM 13.22%EV -2.57%E -0.363%K -0.422%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.58%EV -8.91%E -2.05%K -2.66%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-23 22:04
NordicBet1.44I 69.44%NM 65.20%EV -5.91%E -4.11%K -13.44%G +0.000%7.10I 14.08%NM 13.22%EV -2.57%E -0.363%K -0.422%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.58%EV -8.91%E -2.05%K -2.66%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-23 22:04
1xBet1.43I 69.93%NM 65.50%EV -6.57%E -4.59%K -15.27%G +0.000%7.09I 14.10%NM 13.21%EV -2.71%E -0.382%K -0.445%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 21.29%EV -7.87%E -1.79%K -2.31%G +0.000%6.8%2026-04-23 23:14
Betway1.43I 69.93%NM 65.17%EV -6.57%E -4.59%K -15.27%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.31%EV -3.95%E -0.564%K -0.658%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.52%EV -9.33%E -2.16%K -2.80%G +0.000%7.3%2026-04-23 22:05
FanDuel1.40I 71.43%NM 66.47%EV -8.53%E -6.09%K -21.32%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.29%EV -3.95%E -0.564%K -0.658%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.23%EV -3.68%E -0.800%K -1.02%G +0.000%7.5%2026-04-23 22:14
PointsBet (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 66.18%EV -8.53%E -6.09%K -21.32%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.24%EV -3.95%E -0.564%K -0.658%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.59%EV -5.77%E -1.28%K -1.65%G +0.000%7.9%2026-04-24 00:30
LeoVegas1.41I 70.92%NM 65.39%EV -7.87%E -5.58%K -19.20%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.17%EV -3.95%E -0.564%K -0.658%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.44%EV -9.96%E -2.32%K -3.02%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-20 11:00
BetRivers1.41I 70.92%NM 65.39%EV -7.87%E -5.58%K -19.20%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.17%EV -3.95%E -0.564%K -0.658%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.44%EV -9.96%E -2.32%K -3.02%G +0.000%8.5%2026-04-20 11:00
betfred_uk1.40I 71.43%NM 65.65%EV -8.53%E -6.09%K -21.32%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.13%EV -3.95%E -0.564%K -0.658%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 21.22%EV -9.33%E -2.16%K -2.80%G +0.000%8.8%2026-04-23 22:14
TABtouch1.40I 71.43%NM 65.38%EV -8.53%E -6.09%K -21.32%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.08%EV -3.95%E -0.564%K -0.658%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.54%EV -11.01%E -2.59%K -3.39%G +0.000%9.2%2026-04-20 11:00
Bet Right1.38I 72.46%NM 66.19%EV -9.83%E -7.13%K -25.88%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.05%EV -3.95%E -0.564%K -0.658%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.76%EV -7.87%E -1.79%K -2.31%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-24 00:29
SportsBet1.36I 73.53%NM 66.82%EV -11.14%E -8.19%K -30.94%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.98%EV -3.95%E -0.564%K -0.658%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.20%EV -5.77%E -1.28%K -1.65%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-23 22:15
Paddy Power1.36I 73.53%NM 66.82%EV -11.14%E -8.19%K -30.94%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.98%EV -3.95%E -0.564%K -0.658%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.20%EV -5.77%E -1.28%K -1.65%G +0.000%10.0%2026-04-23 22:14
LiveScore Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 65.71%EV -9.83%E -7.13%K -25.88%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.95%EV -3.95%E -0.564%K -0.658%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.34%EV -11.01%E -2.59%K -3.39%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-20 11:00
Virgin Bet1.38I 72.46%NM 65.71%EV -9.83%E -7.13%K -25.88%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.95%EV -3.95%E -0.564%K -0.658%G +0.000%4.25I 23.53%NM 21.34%EV -11.01%E -2.59%K -3.39%G +0.000%10.3%2026-04-20 11:00
Bet Victor1.36I 73.53%NM 66.52%EV -11.14%E -8.19%K -30.94%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.92%EV -3.95%E -0.564%K -0.658%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.56%EV -7.87%E -1.79%K -2.31%G +0.000%10.5%2026-04-24 01:35
Bovada1.44I 69.44%NM 65.37%EV -5.91%E -4.11%K -13.44%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.95%EV -7.38%E -1.09%K -1.28%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 20.69%EV -4.72%E -1.04%K -1.33%G +0.000%6.2%2026-04-23 22:37
BetMGM1.43I 69.93%NM 65.67%EV -6.57%E -4.59%K -15.27%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.91%EV -7.38%E -1.09%K -1.28%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.42%EV -3.68%E -0.800%K -1.02%G +0.000%6.5%2026-04-24 01:15
PMU (FR)1.34I 74.63%NM 65.56%EV -12.45%E -9.29%K -36.61%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.01%EV -7.38%E -1.09%K -1.28%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.43%EV -14.15%E -3.45%K -4.56%G +0.000%13.8%2026-04-20 11:00
Pinnacle1.44I 69.44%NM 65.36%EV -5.91%E -4.11%K -13.44%G +0.000%6.72I 14.88%NM 14.00%EV -7.79%E -1.16%K -1.36%G +0.000%4.56I 21.93%NM 20.64%EV -4.52%E -0.990%K -1.27%G +0.000%6.3%2026-04-23 22:04
Unibet (UK)1.45I 68.97%NM 64.71%EV -5.26%E -3.63%K -11.69%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.44%EV -10.81%E -1.66%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.85%EV -5.77%E -1.28%K -1.65%G +0.000%6.6%2026-04-24 01:15
DraftKings1.42I 70.42%NM 65.19%EV -7.22%E -5.08%K -17.19%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.24%EV -10.81%E -1.66%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.57%EV -5.77%E -1.28%K -1.65%G +0.000%8.0%2026-04-23 22:04
Everygame1.40I 71.43%NM 65.21%EV -8.53%E -6.09%K -21.32%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.04%EV -10.81%E -1.66%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.75%EV -7.87%E -1.79%K -2.31%G +0.000%9.5%2026-04-23 22:04
888sport1.40I 71.43%NM 64.57%EV -8.53%E -6.09%K -21.32%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.91%EV -10.81%E -1.66%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -12.05%E -2.87%K -3.77%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-23 23:09
William Hill1.40I 71.43%NM 64.57%EV -8.53%E -6.09%K -21.32%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.91%EV -10.81%E -1.66%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -12.05%E -2.87%K -3.77%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-23 23:09
888sport (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 64.57%EV -8.53%E -6.09%K -21.32%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.91%EV -10.81%E -1.66%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -12.05%E -2.87%K -3.77%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-23 23:09
Mr Green (SE)1.40I 71.43%NM 64.57%EV -8.53%E -6.09%K -21.32%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.91%EV -10.81%E -1.66%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.52%EV -12.05%E -2.87%K -3.77%G +0.000%10.6%2026-04-23 23:10
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)1.36I 73.53%NM 63.62%EV -11.14%E -8.19%K -30.94%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.31%EV -10.81%E -1.66%K -1.96%G +0.000%3.75I 26.67%NM 23.07%EV -21.48%E -5.73%K -7.81%G +0.000%15.6%2026-04-23 22:14
BetOnline.ag1.43I 69.93%NM 64.58%EV -6.57%E -4.59%K -15.27%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.43%EV -12.18%E -1.90%K -2.26%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.99%EV -7.87%E -1.79%K -2.31%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-24 01:25
LowVig.ag1.43I 69.93%NM 64.58%EV -6.57%E -4.59%K -15.27%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.43%EV -12.18%E -1.90%K -2.26%G +0.000%4.40I 22.73%NM 20.99%EV -7.87%E -1.79%K -2.31%G +0.000%8.3%2026-04-24 01:15
PlayUp1.42I 70.42%NM 63.55%EV -7.22%E -5.08%K -17.19%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.44%EV -14.24%E -2.28%K -2.71%G +0.000%4.10I 24.39%NM 22.01%EV -14.15%E -3.45%K -4.56%G +0.000%10.8%2026-04-23 22:04
Neds1.40I 71.43%NM 63.83%EV -8.53%E -6.09%K -21.32%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -17.67%E -2.94%K -3.53%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.28%EV -12.05%E -2.87%K -3.77%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-24 01:15
Ladbrokes (UK)1.40I 71.43%NM 63.83%EV -8.53%E -6.09%K -21.32%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -17.67%E -2.94%K -3.53%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.28%EV -12.05%E -2.87%K -3.77%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-24 01:15
Ladbrokes (AU)1.40I 71.43%NM 63.83%EV -8.53%E -6.09%K -21.32%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -17.67%E -2.94%K -3.53%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.28%EV -12.05%E -2.87%K -3.77%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-24 01:15
Coral1.40I 71.43%NM 63.83%EV -8.53%E -6.09%K -21.32%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -17.67%E -2.94%K -3.53%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.28%EV -12.05%E -2.87%K -3.77%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-24 01:15
BoyleSports1.40I 71.43%NM 63.83%EV -8.53%E -6.09%K -21.32%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.89%EV -17.67%E -2.94%K -3.53%G +0.000%4.20I 23.81%NM 21.28%EV -12.05%E -2.87%K -3.77%G +0.000%11.9%2026-04-23 22:09
Sky Bet1.36I 73.53%NM 63.83%EV -11.14%E -8.19%K -30.94%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.47%EV -17.67%E -2.94%K -3.53%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.70%EV -16.24%E -4.06%K -5.41%G +0.000%15.2%2026-04-23 22:15
Betclic (FR)1.35I 74.07%NM 63.84%EV -11.79%E -8.74%K -33.69%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 14.61%EV -19.04%E -3.23%K -3.89%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.55%EV -16.24%E -4.06%K -5.41%G +0.000%16.0%2026-04-24 01:14
Unibet (FR)1.34I 74.63%NM 64.19%EV -12.45%E -9.29%K -36.61%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 14.58%EV -19.04%E -3.23%K -3.89%G +0.000%4.05I 24.69%NM 21.24%EV -15.19%E -3.75%K -4.98%G +0.000%16.3%2026-04-24 01:14
Winamax (DE)1.38I 72.46%NM 64.15%EV -9.83%E -7.13%K -25.88%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.26%EV -20.41%E -3.52%K -4.25%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 20.59%EV -9.96%E -2.32%K -3.02%G +0.000%13.0%2026-04-24 01:15
Winamax (FR)1.35I 74.07%NM 62.99%EV -11.79%E -8.74%K -33.69%G +0.000%5.40I 18.52%NM 15.75%EV -25.90%E -4.80%K -5.89%G +0.000%4.00I 25.00%NM 21.26%EV -16.24%E -4.06%K -5.41%G +0.000%17.6%2026-04-24 01:15
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (4)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Smarkets1.38I 72.46%NM 63.67%5.90I 16.95%NM 14.89%4.10I 24.39%NM 21.43%13.8%2026-04-24 01:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)1.12I 89.29%NM 32.41%1.04I 96.15%NM 34.90%1.11I 90.09%NM 32.70%175.5%2026-04-23 21:20
Betfair Exchange (EU)1.12I 89.29%NM 32.41%1.04I 96.15%NM 34.90%1.11I 90.09%NM 32.70%175.5%2026-04-23 21:19
Betfair Exchange (UK)1.12I 89.29%NM 32.41%1.04I 96.15%NM 34.90%1.11I 90.09%NM 32.70%175.5%2026-04-23 21:14