Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Mjällby AIF v GAIS

Kickoff: 2026-09-20 14:30 UTC

Final: Mjällby AIF 0–3 GAIS

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

51 sportsbooks (14 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Mjällby AIF (Local)

Prediction 34.52%2.90fair odd
EV -2.31%
Edge -0.817%
Kelly -1.26%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.83

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.14%34.60%34.55%36.12%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.482.662.652.8340.32%37.63%37.74%35.34%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

GAIS (Visit)

Prediction 38.16%2.62fair odd
EV -0.405%
Edge -0.155%
Kelly -0.252%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.61

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
36.81%38.16%38.08%39.59%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.202.432.422.6145.45%41.21%41.32%38.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 27.32%3.66fair odd
EV -0.273%
Edge -0.075%
Kelly -0.103%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.65

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.61%27.24%27.37%28.11%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.203.383.403.6531.25%29.56%29.41%27.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Mjällby AIF (Local): 34.52%; GAIS (Visit): 38.16%; Draw: 27.32%. For Draw, that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 3.66. No eligible bookmaker offered closing odds above that level: the best were 3.65, with an expected value of -0.273%; they did not produce positive expected value.

Sportsbook Odds (51 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
1xBet🎯2.83I 35.34%NM 33.57%EV -2.31%E -0.817%K -1.26%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.59%EV -8.42%E -3.51%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.84%EV -3.28%E -0.926%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-20 14:29
Pinnacle🎯2.81I 35.59%NM 34.14%EV -3.00%E -1.07%K -1.66%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 38.22%EV -4.22%E -1.68%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 27.64%EV -5.19%E -1.50%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-20 14:19
Bovada🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.60%EV -3.35%E -1.20%K -1.86%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.72%EV -7.27%E -2.99%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.67%EV -7.10%E -2.09%K -2.96%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-20 14:29
FanDuel🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -3.35%E -1.20%K -1.86%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -8.42%E -3.51%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -7.10%E -2.09%K -2.96%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-20 14:14
Betsson🎯2.78I 35.97%NM 34.20%EV -4.04%E -1.45%K -2.27%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 38.49%EV -5.75%E -2.33%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 27.32%EV -4.92%E -1.41%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-20 14:19
BetOnline.ag🎯2.78I 35.97%NM 34.13%EV -4.04%E -1.45%K -2.27%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.96%EV -4.60%E -1.84%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.91%EV -7.10%E -2.09%K -2.96%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-20 14:19
LowVig.ag🎯2.78I 35.97%NM 34.13%EV -4.04%E -1.45%K -2.27%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.96%EV -4.60%E -1.84%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.91%EV -7.10%E -2.09%K -2.96%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-20 14:19
BetUS🎯2.78I 35.97%NM 34.13%EV -4.04%E -1.45%K -2.27%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.96%EV -4.60%E -1.84%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.91%EV -7.10%E -2.09%K -2.96%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-20 14:19
BetAnything🎯2.78I 35.97%NM 34.13%EV -4.04%E -1.45%K -2.27%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.96%EV -4.60%E -1.84%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.91%EV -7.10%E -2.09%K -2.96%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-20 14:19
LeoVegas🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.39%EV -5.07%E -1.84%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -6.51%E -2.66%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.02%EV -4.37%E -1.25%K -1.75%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-20 14:10
SportsBet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.29%EV -5.07%E -1.84%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -10.33%E -4.39%K -7.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -9.84%E -2.98%K -4.28%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-20 14:19
NordicBet🎯2.72I 36.76%NM 34.20%EV -6.11%E -2.25%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 38.44%EV -7.66%E -3.16%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.36%EV -7.10%E -2.09%K -2.96%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-20 14:19
Unibet (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.99%EV -6.80%E -2.52%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.38%EV -0.787%E -0.303%K -0.492%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.63%EV -0.273%E -0.075%K -0.103%G +0.000%2.9%2026-09-20 13:39
Svenska Spel🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.99%EV -6.80%E -2.52%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.38%EV -0.787%E -0.303%K -0.492%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.63%EV -0.273%E -0.075%K -0.103%G +0.000%2.9%2026-09-20 13:40
ATG (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.99%EV -6.80%E -2.52%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.38%EV -0.787%E -0.303%K -0.492%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.63%EV -0.273%E -0.075%K -0.103%G +0.000%2.9%2026-09-20 13:39
Unibet (UK)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -6.80%E -2.52%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.05%EV -6.51%E -2.66%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -7.10%E -2.09%K -2.96%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-20 14:09
BetMGM🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -6.80%E -2.52%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.05%EV -6.51%E -2.66%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -7.10%E -2.09%K -2.96%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-20 14:04
William Hill🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.83%EV -6.80%E -2.52%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -8.42%E -3.51%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.11%EV -11.20%E -3.45%K -4.98%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-20 14:19
888sport🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.83%EV -6.80%E -2.52%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -8.42%E -3.51%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.11%EV -11.20%E -3.45%K -4.98%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-20 14:19
888sport (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.83%EV -6.80%E -2.52%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -8.42%E -3.51%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.11%EV -11.20%E -3.45%K -4.98%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-20 14:19
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.83%EV -6.80%E -2.52%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -8.42%E -3.51%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.11%EV -11.20%E -3.45%K -4.98%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-20 14:19
Paddy Power🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.42%EV -6.80%E -2.52%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.23%EV -12.23%E -5.32%K -9.41%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -9.84%E -2.98%K -4.28%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-20 14:14
Sky Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.14%EV -6.80%E -2.52%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.90%EV -12.23%E -5.32%K -9.41%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.96%EV -12.57%E -3.93%K -5.71%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-20 14:19
Coolbet🎯2.66I 37.59%NM 36.12%EV -8.18%E -3.08%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 36.81%EV -0.405%E -0.155%K -0.252%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.07%EV -3.01%E -0.847%K -1.18%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-20 06:54
GTbets🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.17%EV -8.53%E -3.22%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.35%EV -7.27%E -2.99%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 26.48%EV -3.82%E -1.09%K -1.52%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-20 13:29
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.95%EV -8.53%E -3.22%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.81%EV -6.51%E -2.66%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -7.10%E -2.09%K -2.96%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-20 14:29
PlayUp🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.12%EV -8.53%E -3.22%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.48%EV -10.33%E -4.39%K -7.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -9.84%E -2.98%K -4.28%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-20 14:19
betfred_uk🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.94%EV -9.56%E -3.65%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -8.42%E -3.51%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -7.10%E -2.09%K -2.96%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-20 14:00
Betclic (FR)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.04%EV -9.56%E -3.65%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.77%EV -12.23%E -5.32%K -9.41%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 27.19%EV -10.38%E -3.17%K -4.55%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-20 14:07
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -10.25%E -3.94%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.23%EV -4.60%E -1.84%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.98%EV -5.74%E -1.66%K -2.34%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-20 13:39
Unibet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -10.25%E -3.94%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.23%EV -4.60%E -1.84%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.98%EV -5.74%E -1.66%K -2.34%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-20 13:39
Casumo🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -10.25%E -3.94%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.23%EV -4.60%E -1.84%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.98%EV -5.74%E -1.66%K -2.34%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-20 13:39
Unibet (NL)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -10.25%E -3.94%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.23%EV -4.60%E -1.84%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.98%EV -5.74%E -1.66%K -2.34%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-20 13:40
Grosvenor🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -10.25%E -3.94%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.23%EV -4.60%E -1.84%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.98%EV -5.74%E -1.66%K -2.34%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-20 13:39
betPARX🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -10.25%E -3.94%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.23%EV -4.60%E -1.84%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.98%EV -5.74%E -1.66%K -2.34%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-20 13:39
Tipico (DE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.39%EV -10.25%E -3.94%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.55%EV -6.51%E -2.66%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -7.10%E -2.09%K -2.96%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-20 14:19
Bet Right🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.25%EV -10.25%E -3.94%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.19%EV -8.42%E -3.51%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.56%EV -5.74%E -1.66%K -2.34%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-17 01:05
Winamax (DE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.96%EV -10.25%E -3.94%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.68%EV -10.33%E -4.39%K -7.65%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.35%EV -5.74%E -1.66%K -2.34%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-20 14:09
Betr (AU)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.83%EV -10.25%E -3.94%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.73%EV -8.42%E -3.51%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -9.84%E -2.98%K -4.28%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-20 14:29
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.57%EV -10.25%E -3.94%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.77%EV -9.18%E -3.86%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.66%EV -11.20%E -3.45%K -4.98%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-20 14:05
Neds🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.57%EV -10.25%E -3.94%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.77%EV -9.18%E -3.86%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.66%EV -11.20%E -3.45%K -4.98%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-20 14:04
Coral🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.52%EV -10.25%E -3.94%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 37.87%EV -9.56%E -4.04%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.61%EV -11.20%E -3.45%K -4.98%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-20 14:04
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.52%EV -10.25%E -3.94%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 37.87%EV -9.56%E -4.04%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.61%EV -11.20%E -3.45%K -4.98%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-20 14:05
Unibet (FR)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 33.83%EV -10.25%E -3.94%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.10%EV -14.14%E -6.29%K -11.31%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.07%EV -11.20%E -3.45%K -4.98%G +0.000%13.7%2026-09-20 14:10
Virgin Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.69%EV -11.98%E -4.70%K -7.73%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -6.51%E -2.66%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.17%EV -8.47%E -2.53%K -3.60%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-20 13:40
BetRivers🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.43%EV -11.98%E -4.70%K -7.73%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.18%EV -7.27%E -2.99%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -9.84%E -2.98%K -4.28%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-20 13:39
Winamax (FR)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 34.84%EV -11.98%E -4.70%K -7.73%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.63%EV -12.23%E -5.32%K -9.41%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.52%EV -8.47%E -2.53%K -3.60%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-20 14:09
TABtouch🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.72%EV -13.70%E -5.48%K -9.14%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.21%EV -8.42%E -3.51%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.06%EV -9.84%E -2.98%K -4.28%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-20 13:40
BoyleSports🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 34.82%EV -13.70%E -5.48%K -9.14%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 39.57%EV -16.05%E -7.30%K -13.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.61%EV -7.10%E -2.09%K -2.96%G +0.000%14.9%2026-09-20 14:29
LiveScore Bet🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 35.65%EV -14.39%E -5.80%K -9.73%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.15%EV -9.18%E -3.86%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.20%EV -11.20%E -3.45%K -4.98%G +0.000%13.1%2026-09-20 13:40
PMU (FR)🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 35.65%EV -14.39%E -5.80%K -9.73%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.15%EV -9.18%E -3.86%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.20%EV -11.20%E -3.45%K -4.98%G +0.000%13.1%2026-09-20 13:39
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.96I 33.78%NM 33.49%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.34%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.16%0.9%2026-09-20 14:24
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.96I 33.78%NM 33.49%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.34%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.16%0.9%2026-09-20 14:24
Matchbook◎2.96I 33.78%NM 33.47%2.54I 39.37%NM 39.01%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.52%0.9%2026-09-20 14:24
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.96I 33.78%NM 33.37%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.19%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.44%1.2%2026-09-20 14:24
Smarkets◎2.92I 34.25%NM 33.44%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.06%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.50%2.4%2026-09-20 14:19