L’École des cotesodds.school
Modèle par défautMoyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)
+ Nouveau modèleTous les modèles

Mjällby AIF v GAIS

Coup d’envoi : 2026-09-20 14:30 UTC

Score final : Mjällby AIF 0–3 GAIS

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

51 opérateurs (14 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée)

Mjällby AIF (Local)

Prévision 34.52%2.90cote équitable
EV -2.31%
Avantage -0.817%
Kelly -1.26%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.83

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
33.14%34.60%34.55%36.12%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.482.662.652.8340.32%37.63%37.74%35.34%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

GAIS (Visiteur)

Prévision 38.16%2.62cote équitable
EV -0.405%
Avantage -0.155%
Kelly -0.252%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.61

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
36.81%38.16%38.08%39.59%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
2.202.432.422.6145.45%41.21%41.32%38.31%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Match nul

Prévision 27.32%3.66cote équitable
EV -0.273%
Avantage -0.075%
Kelly -0.103%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.65

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.61%27.24%27.37%28.11%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.
Distribution des cotes
3.203.383.403.6531.25%29.56%29.41%27.40%MIN.MOYENNEMÉDIANEMAX.

Aux dernières cotes avant le début, Moyenne interquartile (Liste Sélectionnée) estimait pour Résultat du match : Mjällby AIF (Local) : 34.52% ; GAIS (Visiteur) : 38.16% ; Match nul : 27.32%. Pour Match nul, cette estimation équivalait à une cote décimale juste de 3.66. Aucun opérateur admissible ne proposait de cote de clôture supérieure à ce seuil : la meilleure était 3.65, pour une espérance de -0.273% ; elle ne produisait pas d’espérance positive.

Cotes des opérateurs (51 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
1xBet🎯2.83I 35.34%NM 33.57%EV -2.31%E -0.817%K -1.26%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.59%EV -8.42%E -3.51%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.84%EV -3.28%E -0.926%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.3%2026-09-20 14:29
Pinnacle🎯2.81I 35.59%NM 34.14%EV -3.00%E -1.07%K -1.66%G +0.000%2.51I 39.84%NM 38.22%EV -4.22%E -1.68%K -2.80%G +0.000%3.47I 28.82%NM 27.64%EV -5.19%E -1.50%K -2.10%G +0.000%4.2%2026-09-20 14:19
Bovada🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.60%EV -3.35%E -1.20%K -1.86%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.72%EV -7.27%E -2.99%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.67%EV -7.10%E -2.09%K -2.96%G +0.000%6.3%2026-09-20 14:29
FanDuel🎯2.80I 35.71%NM 33.44%EV -3.35%E -1.20%K -1.86%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 39.02%EV -8.42%E -3.51%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.54%EV -7.10%E -2.09%K -2.96%G +0.000%6.8%2026-09-20 14:14
Betsson🎯2.78I 35.97%NM 34.20%EV -4.04%E -1.45%K -2.27%G +0.000%2.47I 40.49%NM 38.49%EV -5.75%E -2.33%K -3.91%G +0.000%3.48I 28.74%NM 27.32%EV -4.92%E -1.41%K -1.98%G +0.000%5.2%2026-09-20 14:19
BetOnline.ag🎯2.78I 35.97%NM 34.13%EV -4.04%E -1.45%K -2.27%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.96%EV -4.60%E -1.84%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.91%EV -7.10%E -2.09%K -2.96%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-20 14:19
LowVig.ag🎯2.78I 35.97%NM 34.13%EV -4.04%E -1.45%K -2.27%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.96%EV -4.60%E -1.84%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.91%EV -7.10%E -2.09%K -2.96%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-20 14:19
BetUS🎯2.78I 35.97%NM 34.13%EV -4.04%E -1.45%K -2.27%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.96%EV -4.60%E -1.84%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.91%EV -7.10%E -2.09%K -2.96%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-20 14:19
BetAnything🎯2.78I 35.97%NM 34.13%EV -4.04%E -1.45%K -2.27%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.96%EV -4.60%E -1.84%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.91%EV -7.10%E -2.09%K -2.96%G +0.000%5.4%2026-09-20 14:19
LeoVegas🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 34.39%EV -5.07%E -1.84%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.60%EV -6.51%E -2.66%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.02%EV -4.37%E -1.25%K -1.75%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-20 14:10
SportsBet🎯2.75I 36.36%NM 33.29%EV -5.07%E -1.84%K -2.90%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.96%EV -10.33%E -4.39%K -7.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.74%EV -9.84%E -2.98%K -4.28%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-20 14:19
NordicBet🎯2.72I 36.76%NM 34.20%EV -6.11%E -2.25%K -3.55%G +0.000%2.42I 41.32%NM 38.44%EV -7.66%E -3.16%K -5.39%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.36%EV -7.10%E -2.09%K -2.96%G +0.000%7.5%2026-09-20 14:19
Unibet (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.99%EV -6.80%E -2.52%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.38%EV -0.787%E -0.303%K -0.492%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.63%EV -0.273%E -0.075%K -0.103%G +0.000%2.9%2026-09-20 13:39
Svenska Spel🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.99%EV -6.80%E -2.52%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.38%EV -0.787%E -0.303%K -0.492%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.63%EV -0.273%E -0.075%K -0.103%G +0.000%2.9%2026-09-20 13:40
ATG (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 35.99%EV -6.80%E -2.52%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.38%EV -0.787%E -0.303%K -0.492%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.63%EV -0.273%E -0.075%K -0.103%G +0.000%2.9%2026-09-20 13:39
Unibet (UK)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -6.80%E -2.52%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.05%EV -6.51%E -2.66%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -7.10%E -2.09%K -2.96%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-20 14:09
BetMGM🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -6.80%E -2.52%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 38.05%EV -6.51%E -2.66%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.42%EV -7.10%E -2.09%K -2.96%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-20 14:04
William Hill🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.83%EV -6.80%E -2.52%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -8.42%E -3.51%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.11%EV -11.20%E -3.45%K -4.98%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-20 14:19
888sport🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.83%EV -6.80%E -2.52%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -8.42%E -3.51%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.11%EV -11.20%E -3.45%K -4.98%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-20 14:19
888sport (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.83%EV -6.80%E -2.52%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -8.42%E -3.51%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.11%EV -11.20%E -3.45%K -4.98%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-20 14:19
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.83%EV -6.80%E -2.52%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.06%EV -8.42%E -3.51%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 28.11%EV -11.20%E -3.45%K -4.98%G +0.000%9.5%2026-09-20 14:19
Paddy Power🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.42%EV -6.80%E -2.52%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 39.23%EV -12.23%E -5.32%K -9.41%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.34%EV -9.84%E -2.98%K -4.28%G +0.000%10.8%2026-09-20 14:14
Sky Bet🎯2.70I 37.04%NM 33.14%EV -6.80%E -2.52%K -4.00%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.90%EV -12.23%E -5.32%K -9.41%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 27.96%EV -12.57%E -3.93%K -5.71%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-20 14:19
Coolbet🎯2.66I 37.59%NM 36.12%EV -8.18%E -3.08%K -4.93%G +0.000%2.61I 38.31%NM 36.81%EV -0.405%E -0.155%K -0.252%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.07%EV -3.01%E -0.847%K -1.18%G +0.000%4.1%2026-09-20 06:54
GTbets🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 35.17%EV -8.53%E -3.22%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 38.35%EV -7.27%E -2.99%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 26.48%EV -3.82%E -1.09%K -1.52%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-20 13:29
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.95%EV -8.53%E -3.22%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.81%EV -6.51%E -2.66%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -7.10%E -2.09%K -2.96%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-20 14:29
PlayUp🎯2.65I 37.74%NM 34.12%EV -8.53%E -3.22%K -5.17%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.48%EV -10.33%E -4.39%K -7.65%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.40%EV -9.84%E -2.98%K -4.28%G +0.000%10.6%2026-09-20 14:19
betfred_uk🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.94%EV -9.56%E -3.65%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -8.42%E -3.51%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -7.10%E -2.09%K -2.96%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-20 14:00
Betclic (FR)🎯2.62I 38.17%NM 34.04%EV -9.56%E -3.65%K -5.90%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.77%EV -12.23%E -5.32%K -9.41%G +0.000%3.28I 30.49%NM 27.19%EV -10.38%E -3.17%K -4.55%G +0.000%12.1%2026-09-20 14:07
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -10.25%E -3.94%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.23%EV -4.60%E -1.84%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.98%EV -5.74%E -1.66%K -2.34%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-20 13:39
Unibet🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -10.25%E -3.94%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.23%EV -4.60%E -1.84%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.98%EV -5.74%E -1.66%K -2.34%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-20 13:39
Casumo🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -10.25%E -3.94%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.23%EV -4.60%E -1.84%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.98%EV -5.74%E -1.66%K -2.34%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-20 13:39
Unibet (NL)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -10.25%E -3.94%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.23%EV -4.60%E -1.84%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.98%EV -5.74%E -1.66%K -2.34%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-20 13:40
Grosvenor🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -10.25%E -3.94%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.23%EV -4.60%E -1.84%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.98%EV -5.74%E -1.66%K -2.34%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-20 13:39
betPARX🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.80%EV -10.25%E -3.94%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 37.23%EV -4.60%E -1.84%K -3.07%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.98%EV -5.74%E -1.66%K -2.34%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-20 13:39
Tipico (DE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.39%EV -10.25%E -3.94%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.55%EV -6.51%E -2.66%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -7.10%E -2.09%K -2.96%G +0.000%8.7%2026-09-20 14:19
Bet Right🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 35.25%EV -10.25%E -3.94%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.19%EV -8.42%E -3.51%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.56%EV -5.74%E -1.66%K -2.34%G +0.000%9.1%2026-09-17 01:05
Winamax (DE)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.96%EV -10.25%E -3.94%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.35I 42.55%NM 38.68%EV -10.33%E -4.39%K -7.65%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.35%EV -5.74%E -1.66%K -2.34%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-20 14:09
Betr (AU)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.83%EV -10.25%E -3.94%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.73%EV -8.42%E -3.51%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.44%EV -9.84%E -2.98%K -4.28%G +0.000%10.4%2026-09-20 14:29
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.57%EV -10.25%E -3.94%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.77%EV -9.18%E -3.86%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.66%EV -11.20%E -3.45%K -4.98%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-20 14:05
Neds🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.57%EV -10.25%E -3.94%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.77%EV -9.18%E -3.86%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.66%EV -11.20%E -3.45%K -4.98%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-20 14:04
Coral🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.52%EV -10.25%E -3.94%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 37.87%EV -9.56%E -4.04%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.61%EV -11.20%E -3.45%K -4.98%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-20 14:04
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 34.52%EV -10.25%E -3.94%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.37I 42.19%NM 37.87%EV -9.56%E -4.04%K -6.98%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.61%EV -11.20%E -3.45%K -4.98%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-20 14:05
Unibet (FR)🎯2.60I 38.46%NM 33.83%EV -10.25%E -3.94%K -6.41%G +0.000%2.25I 44.44%NM 39.10%EV -14.14%E -6.29%K -11.31%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.07%EV -11.20%E -3.45%K -4.98%G +0.000%13.7%2026-09-20 14:10
Virgin Bet🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.69%EV -11.98%E -4.70%K -7.73%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.15%EV -6.51%E -2.66%K -4.49%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.17%EV -8.47%E -2.53%K -3.60%G +0.000%9.9%2026-09-20 13:40
BetRivers🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 35.43%EV -11.98%E -4.70%K -7.73%G +0.000%2.43I 41.15%NM 37.18%EV -7.27%E -2.99%K -5.09%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.38%EV -9.84%E -2.98%K -4.28%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-20 13:39
Winamax (FR)🎯2.55I 39.22%NM 34.84%EV -11.98%E -4.70%K -7.73%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 38.63%EV -12.23%E -5.32%K -9.41%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.52%EV -8.47%E -2.53%K -3.60%G +0.000%12.5%2026-09-20 14:09
TABtouch🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 35.72%EV -13.70%E -5.48%K -9.14%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.21%EV -8.42%E -3.51%K -6.01%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.06%EV -9.84%E -2.98%K -4.28%G +0.000%12.0%2026-09-20 13:40
BoyleSports🎯2.50I 40.00%NM 34.82%EV -13.70%E -5.48%K -9.14%G +0.000%2.20I 45.45%NM 39.57%EV -16.05%E -7.30%K -13.38%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.61%EV -7.10%E -2.09%K -2.96%G +0.000%14.9%2026-09-20 14:29
LiveScore Bet🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 35.65%EV -14.39%E -5.80%K -9.73%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.15%EV -9.18%E -3.86%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.20%EV -11.20%E -3.45%K -4.98%G +0.000%13.1%2026-09-20 13:40
PMU (FR)🎯2.48I 40.32%NM 35.65%EV -14.39%E -5.80%K -9.73%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 37.15%EV -9.18%E -3.86%K -6.65%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.20%EV -11.20%E -3.45%K -4.98%G +0.000%13.1%2026-09-20 13:39
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎2.96I 33.78%NM 33.49%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.34%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.16%0.9%2026-09-20 14:24
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎2.96I 33.78%NM 33.49%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.34%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.16%0.9%2026-09-20 14:24
Matchbook◎2.96I 33.78%NM 33.47%2.54I 39.37%NM 39.01%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.52%0.9%2026-09-20 14:24
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎2.96I 33.78%NM 33.37%2.52I 39.68%NM 39.19%3.60I 27.78%NM 27.44%1.2%2026-09-20 14:24
Smarkets◎2.92I 34.25%NM 33.44%2.50I 40.00%NM 39.06%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.50%2.4%2026-09-20 14:19