Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Mjällby AIF v BK Hacken

Kickoff: 2026-05-17 14:30 UTC

Final: Mjällby AIF 0–1 BK Hacken

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

56 sportsbooks (17 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Mjällby AIF (Local)

Prediction 40.57%2.46fair odd
EV +0.203%
Edge +0.082%
Kelly +0.138%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.47

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
39.08%40.39%40.61%41.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.102.282.302.4747.62%43.84%43.48%40.49%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

BK Hacken (Visit)

Prediction 32.39%3.09fair odd
EV -0.877%
Edge -0.287%
Kelly -0.426%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.06

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
31.07%32.49%32.37%34.47%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.622.852.853.0638.17%35.14%35.09%32.68%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 27.04%3.70fair odd
EV -1.31%
Edge -0.359%
Kelly -0.494%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.65

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
26.31%27.12%27.03%28.31%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.003.363.333.6533.33%29.77%30.08%27.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Mjällby AIF (Local): 40.57%; BK Hacken (Visit): 32.39%; Draw: 27.04%. For Mjällby AIF (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.46. 1 bookmaker offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.47, corresponding to a positive expected value of +0.203%.

Sportsbook Odds (56 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Coolbet🎯2.47I 40.49%NM 39.08%EV +0.203%E +0.082%K +0.138%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.47%EV -9.30%E -3.32%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.45%EV -1.31%E -0.359%K -0.494%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-17 14:25
Unibet (SE)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 40.30%EV -1.42%E -0.584%K -0.993%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.11%EV -1.20%E -0.394%K -0.586%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.59%EV -4.01%E -1.13%K -1.57%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-17 14:25
Svenska Spel🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 40.30%EV -1.42%E -0.584%K -0.993%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.11%EV -1.20%E -0.394%K -0.586%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.59%EV -4.01%E -1.13%K -1.57%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-17 14:25
ATG (SE)🎯2.43I 41.15%NM 40.30%EV -1.42%E -0.584%K -0.993%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.11%EV -1.20%E -0.394%K -0.586%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.59%EV -4.01%E -1.13%K -1.57%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-17 14:25
Betway🎯2.38I 42.02%NM 39.25%EV -3.45%E -1.45%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.44%EV -6.71%E -2.33%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -10.77%E -3.26%K -4.68%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-17 14:24
Pinnacle🎯2.36I 42.37%NM 40.69%EV -4.26%E -1.80%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 32.33%EV -3.79%E -1.28%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.98%EV -3.74%E -1.05%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-17 14:25
DraftKings🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.22%EV -4.66%E -1.99%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.16%EV -7.68%E -2.69%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.62%EV -4.01%E -1.13%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-17 14:24
GTbets🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 40.19%EV -4.66%E -1.99%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.14%EV -7.68%E -2.69%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.68%EV -4.28%E -1.21%K -1.69%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-17 14:25
Betsson🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.89%EV -4.66%E -1.99%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.55%EV -6.71%E -2.33%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -8.07%E -2.37%K -3.36%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-17 14:25
NordicBet🎯2.35I 42.55%NM 39.89%EV -4.66%E -1.99%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.55%EV -6.71%E -2.33%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -8.07%E -2.37%K -3.36%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-17 14:25
1xBet🎯2.34I 42.74%NM 40.63%EV -5.07%E -2.17%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 31.07%EV -0.877%E -0.287%K -0.426%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 28.30%EV -9.15%E -2.72%K -3.88%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-17 14:25
LeoVegas (SE)🎯2.33I 42.92%NM 40.02%EV -5.48%E -2.35%K -4.12%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.15%EV -6.06%E -2.09%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.83%EV -9.42%E -2.81%K -4.01%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-17 14:25
LowVig.ag🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.96%EV -5.88%E -2.54%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.89%EV -3.47%E -1.16%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.15%EV -5.36%E -1.53%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-17 14:25
BetOnline.ag🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.96%EV -5.88%E -2.54%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.89%EV -3.47%E -1.16%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.15%EV -5.36%E -1.53%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-17 14:25
BetAnything🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.96%EV -5.88%E -2.54%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.89%EV -3.47%E -1.16%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.15%EV -5.36%E -1.53%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-17 14:25
Bovada🎯2.32I 43.10%NM 40.45%EV -5.88%E -2.54%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.36%EV -6.06%E -2.09%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.20%EV -6.72%E -1.95%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-17 14:24
BetUS🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.26%EV -6.69%E -2.91%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.63%EV -2.82%E -0.940%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.11%EV -5.36%E -1.53%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-17 14:25
FanDuel🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 41.04%EV -6.69%E -2.91%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.00%EV -4.44%E -1.51%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -5.36%E -1.53%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-17 14:23
Unibet (UK)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -6.69%E -2.91%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -6.06%E -2.09%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.10%EV -6.72%E -1.95%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-17 14:24
Everygame🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.58%EV -6.69%E -2.91%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -7.68%E -2.69%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -5.36%E -1.53%K -2.15%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-17 14:25
BetMGM🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.27%EV -6.69%E -2.91%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.50%EV -7.68%E -2.69%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -8.07%E -2.37%K -3.36%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-17 14:25
888sport🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.07%EV -6.69%E -2.91%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.00%EV -6.71%E -2.33%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -10.77%E -3.26%K -4.68%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-17 14:25
William Hill🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.07%EV -6.69%E -2.91%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.00%EV -6.71%E -2.33%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -10.77%E -3.26%K -4.68%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-17 14:25
888sport (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.07%EV -6.69%E -2.91%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.00%EV -6.71%E -2.33%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -10.77%E -3.26%K -4.68%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-17 14:25
Mr Green (SE)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 40.07%EV -6.69%E -2.91%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.00%EV -6.71%E -2.33%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -10.77%E -3.26%K -4.68%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-17 14:24
Unibet🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.94%EV -6.69%E -2.91%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.23%EV -7.68%E -2.69%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -10.77%E -3.26%K -4.68%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-17 14:25
Unibet (NL)🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.94%EV -6.69%E -2.91%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.23%EV -7.68%E -2.69%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -10.77%E -3.26%K -4.68%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-17 14:25
Grosvenor🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.94%EV -6.69%E -2.91%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.23%EV -7.68%E -2.69%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -10.77%E -3.26%K -4.68%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-17 14:25
Casumo🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.94%EV -6.69%E -2.91%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.23%EV -7.68%E -2.69%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -10.77%E -3.26%K -4.68%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-17 14:25
betPARX🎯2.30I 43.48%NM 39.94%EV -6.69%E -2.91%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.23%EV -7.68%E -2.69%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -10.77%E -3.26%K -4.68%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-17 14:25
PlayUp🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 39.68%EV -7.50%E -3.29%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.90%EV -10.92%E -3.97%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.42%EV -10.77%E -3.26%K -4.68%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-17 14:25
LeoVegas🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 39.58%EV -7.50%E -3.29%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.23%EV -9.30%E -3.32%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.20%EV -13.48%E -4.21%K -6.13%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-17 14:25
BetRivers🎯2.28I 43.86%NM 39.58%EV -7.50%E -3.29%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.23%EV -9.30%E -3.32%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.20%EV -13.48%E -4.21%K -6.13%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-17 14:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 41.34%EV -8.72%E -3.88%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -6.06%E -2.09%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -5.36%E -1.53%K -2.15%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-17 14:24
Bet Right🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.96%EV -8.72%E -3.88%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.33%EV -7.68%E -2.69%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.71%EV -6.72%E -1.95%K -2.74%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-17 14:25
betfred_uk🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.93%EV -8.72%E -3.88%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.98%EV -6.71%E -2.33%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.09%EV -8.07%E -2.37%K -3.36%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-17 14:24
SportsBet🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.89%EV -8.72%E -3.88%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.05%EV -7.03%E -2.45%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -8.07%E -2.37%K -3.36%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-17 14:24
Tipico (DE)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.80%EV -8.72%E -3.88%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.21%EV -7.68%E -2.69%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -8.07%E -2.37%K -3.36%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-17 14:25
Bet Victor🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -8.72%E -3.88%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -9.30%E -3.32%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -8.07%E -2.37%K -3.36%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-17 14:24
TABtouch🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.89%EV -8.72%E -3.88%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.06%EV -9.30%E -3.32%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -13.48%E -4.21%K -6.13%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-17 14:25
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.59%EV -8.72%E -3.88%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.99%EV -12.54%E -4.64%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.41%EV -12.12%E -3.73%K -5.39%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-17 14:24
Neds🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.59%EV -8.72%E -3.88%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.99%EV -12.54%E -4.64%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.41%EV -12.12%E -3.73%K -5.39%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-17 14:25
Coral🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.59%EV -8.72%E -3.88%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.99%EV -12.54%E -4.64%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.41%EV -12.12%E -3.73%K -5.39%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-17 14:25
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯2.25I 44.44%NM 39.59%EV -8.72%E -3.88%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.99%EV -12.54%E -4.64%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.41%EV -12.12%E -3.73%K -5.39%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-17 14:25
LiveScore Bet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 39.70%EV -9.53%E -4.27%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.19%EV -10.92%E -3.97%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.11%EV -14.83%E -4.71%K -6.90%G +0.000%13.0%2026-05-17 14:25
Virgin Bet🎯2.23I 44.84%NM 39.70%EV -9.53%E -4.27%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.19%EV -10.92%E -3.97%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.11%EV -14.83%E -4.71%K -6.90%G +0.000%13.0%2026-05-17 14:25
Winamax (DE)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.26%EV -10.75%E -4.89%K -8.96%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.42%EV -9.30%E -3.32%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.31%EV -6.72%E -1.95%K -2.74%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-17 14:25
Betr (AU)🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 41.11%EV -10.75%E -4.89%K -8.96%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.30%EV -9.30%E -3.32%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.60%EV -8.07%E -2.37%K -3.36%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-17 14:25
Paddy Power🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.78%EV -10.75%E -4.89%K -8.96%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -9.30%E -3.32%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV -10.77%E -3.26%K -4.68%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-17 14:25
Sky Bet🎯2.20I 45.45%NM 40.37%EV -10.75%E -4.89%K -8.96%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.30%EV -10.92%E -3.97%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.33%EV -12.12%E -3.73%K -5.39%G +0.000%12.6%2026-05-17 14:25
Betclic (FR)🎯2.18I 45.87%NM 41.00%EV -11.56%E -5.30%K -9.80%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.92%EV -9.30%E -3.32%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -10.77%E -3.26%K -4.68%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-17 14:21
PMU (FR)🎯2.16I 46.30%NM 39.63%EV -12.37%E -5.73%K -10.67%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 32.30%EV -14.16%E -5.34%K -8.58%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.07%EV -17.53%E -5.75%K -8.55%G +0.000%16.8%2026-05-17 14:25
Winamax (FR)🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 40.85%EV -12.78%E -5.94%K -11.11%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.53%EV -12.54%E -4.64%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.62%EV -10.77%E -3.26%K -4.68%G +0.000%13.9%2026-05-17 14:25
BoyleSports🎯2.15I 46.51%NM 40.45%EV -12.78%E -5.94%K -11.11%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 33.19%EV -15.13%E -5.77%K -9.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.35%EV -10.77%E -3.26%K -4.68%G +0.000%15.0%2026-05-17 14:25
Unibet (FR)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 41.50%EV -14.81%E -7.05%K -13.46%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.69%EV -10.92%E -3.97%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.81%EV -12.12%E -3.73%K -5.39%G +0.000%14.8%2026-05-17 14:24
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯2.10I 47.62%NM 40.36%EV -14.81%E -7.05%K -13.46%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 31.39%EV -12.54%E -4.64%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.25%EV -18.88%E -6.29%K -9.44%G +0.000%18.0%2026-05-17 10:40
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.42I 41.32%NM 41.07%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.06%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.86%0.6%2026-05-17 14:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.42I 41.32%NM 41.07%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.06%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.86%0.6%2026-05-17 14:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.42I 41.32%NM 41.07%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.06%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.86%0.6%2026-05-17 14:25
Matchbook2.42I 41.32%NM 41.07%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.06%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.86%0.6%2026-05-17 14:25
Smarkets2.40I 41.67%NM 41.12%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.84%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.04%1.3%2026-05-17 14:25