La escuela de los momios

Mjällby AIF v BK Hacken

Inicio: 2026-05-17 14:30 UTC

Final: Mjällby AIF 0–1 BK Hacken

Momios de cierre — las predicciones y el valor esperado calculados con los últimos momios registrados antes del inicio, según el modelo seleccionado. El partido ya comenzó; estas cifras no son datos en vivo. Evalúe la fiabilidad de las predicciones probabilísticas de cada modelo frente a los resultados de todos los partidos resueltos →

Resultado del partido

56 corredores (17 en el análisis )

Probabilidad estimada de cada resultado, según el modelo: IQM

Mjällby AIF (Local)

Predicción 40.57%2.46momio equitativo
EV +0.203%
Ventaja +0.082%
Kelly +0.138%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 2.47

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
39.08%40.39%40.61%41.50%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.102.282.302.4747.62%43.84%43.48%40.49%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

BK Hacken (Visitante)

Predicción 32.39%3.09momio equitativo
EV -0.877%
Ventaja -0.287%
Kelly -0.426%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.06

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
31.07%32.49%32.37%34.47%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
2.622.852.853.0638.17%35.14%35.09%32.68%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Empate

Predicción 27.04%3.70momio equitativo
EV -1.31%
Ventaja -0.359%
Kelly -0.494%
Crecimiento +0.000%

suponiendo unos momios máximos de 3.65

Distribución de las predicciones de los corredores
26.31%27.12%27.03%28.31%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX
Distribución de los momios
3.003.363.333.6533.33%29.77%30.08%27.40%MÍNMEDIAMEDIANAMÁX

Momios de las casas de apuestas (56 corredores)

No estamos afiliados a ninguna casa de apuestas ni obtenemos beneficio alguno de las operaciones realizadas con ellas.

CorredorLocal ▼VisitanteEmpateMargenActualizado
Coolbet2.47I 40.49%NM 39.08%EV +0.203%E +0.082%K +0.138%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 34.47%EV -9.30%E -3.32%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.45%EV -1.31%E -0.359%K -0.494%G +0.000%3.6%2026-05-17 14:25
Unibet (SE)2.43I 41.15%NM 40.30%EV -1.42%E -0.584%K -0.993%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.11%EV -1.20%E -0.394%K -0.586%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.59%EV -4.01%E -1.13%K -1.57%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-17 14:25
Svenska Spel2.43I 41.15%NM 40.30%EV -1.42%E -0.584%K -0.993%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.11%EV -1.20%E -0.394%K -0.586%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.59%EV -4.01%E -1.13%K -1.57%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-17 14:25
ATG (SE)2.43I 41.15%NM 40.30%EV -1.42%E -0.584%K -0.993%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 32.11%EV -1.20%E -0.394%K -0.586%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 27.59%EV -4.01%E -1.13%K -1.57%G +0.000%2.1%2026-05-17 14:25
Betway2.38I 42.02%NM 39.25%EV -3.45%E -1.45%K -2.50%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.44%EV -6.71%E -2.33%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 28.31%EV -10.77%E -3.26%K -4.68%G +0.000%7.0%2026-05-17 14:24
Pinnacle2.36I 42.37%NM 40.69%EV -4.26%E -1.80%K -3.13%G +0.000%2.97I 33.67%NM 32.33%EV -3.79%E -1.28%K -1.93%G +0.000%3.56I 28.09%NM 26.98%EV -3.74%E -1.05%K -1.46%G +0.000%4.1%2026-05-17 14:25
DraftKings2.35I 42.55%NM 40.22%EV -4.66%E -1.99%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.16%EV -7.68%E -2.69%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.62%EV -4.01%E -1.13%K -1.57%G +0.000%5.8%2026-05-17 14:24
GTbets2.35I 42.55%NM 40.19%EV -4.66%E -1.99%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 33.14%EV -7.68%E -2.69%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.54I 28.25%NM 26.68%EV -4.28%E -1.21%K -1.69%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-17 14:25
Betsson2.35I 42.55%NM 39.89%EV -4.66%E -1.99%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.55%EV -6.71%E -2.33%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -8.07%E -2.37%K -3.36%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-17 14:25
NordicBet2.35I 42.55%NM 39.89%EV -4.66%E -1.99%K -3.46%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.55%EV -6.71%E -2.33%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.57%EV -8.07%E -2.37%K -3.36%G +0.000%6.7%2026-05-17 14:25
1xBet2.34I 42.74%NM 40.63%EV -5.07%E -2.17%K -3.78%G +0.000%3.06I 32.68%NM 31.07%EV -0.877%E -0.287%K -0.426%G +0.000%3.36I 29.76%NM 28.30%EV -9.15%E -2.72%K -3.88%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-17 14:25
LeoVegas (SE)2.33I 42.92%NM 40.02%EV -5.48%E -2.35%K -4.12%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.15%EV -6.06%E -2.09%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.83%EV -9.42%E -2.81%K -4.01%G +0.000%7.3%2026-05-17 14:25
LowVig.ag2.32I 43.10%NM 40.96%EV -5.88%E -2.54%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.89%EV -3.47%E -1.16%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.15%EV -5.36%E -1.53%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-17 14:25
BetOnline.ag2.32I 43.10%NM 40.96%EV -5.88%E -2.54%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.89%EV -3.47%E -1.16%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.15%EV -5.36%E -1.53%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-17 14:25
BetAnything2.32I 43.10%NM 40.96%EV -5.88%E -2.54%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.98I 33.56%NM 31.89%EV -3.47%E -1.16%K -1.75%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.15%EV -5.36%E -1.53%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.2%2026-05-17 14:25
Bovada2.32I 43.10%NM 40.45%EV -5.88%E -2.54%K -4.46%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.36%EV -6.06%E -2.09%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.20%EV -6.72%E -1.95%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.6%2026-05-17 14:24
BetUS2.30I 43.48%NM 41.26%EV -6.69%E -2.91%K -5.15%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 31.63%EV -2.82%E -0.940%K -1.41%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 27.11%EV -5.36%E -1.53%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.4%2026-05-17 14:25
FanDuel2.30I 43.48%NM 41.04%EV -6.69%E -2.91%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.95I 33.90%NM 32.00%EV -4.44%E -1.51%K -2.28%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.97%EV -5.36%E -1.53%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.9%2026-05-17 14:23
Unibet (UK)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.65%EV -6.69%E -2.91%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.24%EV -6.06%E -2.09%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 27.10%EV -6.72%E -1.95%K -2.74%G +0.000%6.9%2026-05-17 14:24
Everygame2.30I 43.48%NM 40.58%EV -6.69%E -2.91%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.75%EV -7.68%E -2.69%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.67%EV -5.36%E -1.53%K -2.15%G +0.000%7.1%2026-05-17 14:25
BetMGM2.30I 43.48%NM 40.27%EV -6.69%E -2.91%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.50%EV -7.68%E -2.69%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.24%EV -8.07%E -2.37%K -3.36%G +0.000%8.0%2026-05-17 14:25
888sport2.30I 43.48%NM 40.07%EV -6.69%E -2.91%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.00%EV -6.71%E -2.33%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -10.77%E -3.26%K -4.68%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-17 14:25
William Hill2.30I 43.48%NM 40.07%EV -6.69%E -2.91%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.00%EV -6.71%E -2.33%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -10.77%E -3.26%K -4.68%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-17 14:25
888sport (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.07%EV -6.69%E -2.91%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.00%EV -6.71%E -2.33%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -10.77%E -3.26%K -4.68%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-17 14:25
Mr Green (SE)2.30I 43.48%NM 40.07%EV -6.69%E -2.91%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 32.00%EV -6.71%E -2.33%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.93%EV -10.77%E -3.26%K -4.68%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-17 14:24
Unibet2.30I 43.48%NM 39.94%EV -6.69%E -2.91%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.23%EV -7.68%E -2.69%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -10.77%E -3.26%K -4.68%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-17 14:25
Unibet (NL)2.30I 43.48%NM 39.94%EV -6.69%E -2.91%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.23%EV -7.68%E -2.69%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -10.77%E -3.26%K -4.68%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-17 14:25
Grosvenor2.30I 43.48%NM 39.94%EV -6.69%E -2.91%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.23%EV -7.68%E -2.69%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -10.77%E -3.26%K -4.68%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-17 14:25
Casumo2.30I 43.48%NM 39.94%EV -6.69%E -2.91%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.23%EV -7.68%E -2.69%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -10.77%E -3.26%K -4.68%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-17 14:25
betPARX2.30I 43.48%NM 39.94%EV -6.69%E -2.91%K -5.15%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.23%EV -7.68%E -2.69%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.83%EV -10.77%E -3.26%K -4.68%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-17 14:25
PlayUp2.28I 43.86%NM 39.68%EV -7.50%E -3.29%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.90%EV -10.92%E -3.97%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.42%EV -10.77%E -3.26%K -4.68%G +0.000%10.5%2026-05-17 14:25
LeoVegas2.28I 43.86%NM 39.58%EV -7.50%E -3.29%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.23%EV -9.30%E -3.32%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.20%EV -13.48%E -4.21%K -6.13%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-17 14:25
BetRivers2.28I 43.86%NM 39.58%EV -7.50%E -3.29%K -5.86%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.23%EV -9.30%E -3.32%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.20%EV -13.48%E -4.21%K -6.13%G +0.000%10.8%2026-05-17 14:25
PointsBet (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 41.34%EV -8.72%E -3.88%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.90I 34.48%NM 32.08%EV -6.06%E -2.09%K -3.19%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.58%EV -5.36%E -1.53%K -2.15%G +0.000%7.5%2026-05-17 14:24
Bet Right2.25I 44.44%NM 40.96%EV -8.72%E -3.88%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.33%EV -7.68%E -2.69%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.71%EV -6.72%E -1.95%K -2.74%G +0.000%8.5%2026-05-17 14:25
betfred_uk2.25I 44.44%NM 40.93%EV -8.72%E -3.88%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.88I 34.72%NM 31.98%EV -6.71%E -2.33%K -3.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.09%EV -8.07%E -2.37%K -3.36%G +0.000%8.6%2026-05-17 14:24
SportsBet2.25I 44.44%NM 40.89%EV -8.72%E -3.88%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.87I 34.84%NM 32.05%EV -7.03%E -2.45%K -3.76%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.06%EV -8.07%E -2.37%K -3.36%G +0.000%8.7%2026-05-17 14:24
Tipico (DE)2.25I 44.44%NM 40.80%EV -8.72%E -3.88%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.85I 35.09%NM 32.21%EV -7.68%E -2.69%K -4.15%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.00%EV -8.07%E -2.37%K -3.36%G +0.000%8.9%2026-05-17 14:25
Bet Victor2.25I 44.44%NM 40.56%EV -8.72%E -3.88%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.59%EV -9.30%E -3.32%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.84%EV -8.07%E -2.37%K -3.36%G +0.000%9.6%2026-05-17 14:24
TABtouch2.25I 44.44%NM 39.89%EV -8.72%E -3.88%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.06%EV -9.30%E -3.32%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.05%EV -13.48%E -4.21%K -6.13%G +0.000%11.4%2026-05-17 14:25
Ladbrokes (AU)2.25I 44.44%NM 39.59%EV -8.72%E -3.88%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.99%EV -12.54%E -4.64%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.41%EV -12.12%E -3.73%K -5.39%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-17 14:24
Neds2.25I 44.44%NM 39.59%EV -8.72%E -3.88%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.99%EV -12.54%E -4.64%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.41%EV -12.12%E -3.73%K -5.39%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-17 14:25
Coral2.25I 44.44%NM 39.59%EV -8.72%E -3.88%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.99%EV -12.54%E -4.64%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.41%EV -12.12%E -3.73%K -5.39%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-17 14:25
Ladbrokes (UK)2.25I 44.44%NM 39.59%EV -8.72%E -3.88%K -6.98%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.99%EV -12.54%E -4.64%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.41%EV -12.12%E -3.73%K -5.39%G +0.000%12.3%2026-05-17 14:25
LiveScore Bet2.23I 44.84%NM 39.70%EV -9.53%E -4.27%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.19%EV -10.92%E -3.97%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.11%EV -14.83%E -4.71%K -6.90%G +0.000%13.0%2026-05-17 14:25
Virgin Bet2.23I 44.84%NM 39.70%EV -9.53%E -4.27%K -7.75%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.19%EV -10.92%E -3.97%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 28.11%EV -14.83%E -4.71%K -6.90%G +0.000%13.0%2026-05-17 14:25
Winamax (DE)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.26%EV -10.75%E -4.89%K -8.96%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.42%EV -9.30%E -3.32%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.31%EV -6.72%E -1.95%K -2.74%G +0.000%10.2%2026-05-17 14:25
Betr (AU)2.20I 45.45%NM 41.11%EV -10.75%E -4.89%K -8.96%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.30%EV -9.30%E -3.32%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.60%EV -8.07%E -2.37%K -3.36%G +0.000%10.6%2026-05-17 14:25
Paddy Power2.20I 45.45%NM 40.78%EV -10.75%E -4.89%K -8.96%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 32.04%EV -9.30%E -3.32%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.18%EV -10.77%E -3.26%K -4.68%G +0.000%11.5%2026-05-17 14:25
Sky Bet2.20I 45.45%NM 40.37%EV -10.75%E -4.89%K -8.96%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 32.30%EV -10.92%E -3.97%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.33%EV -12.12%E -3.73%K -5.39%G +0.000%12.6%2026-05-17 14:25
Betclic (FR)2.18I 45.87%NM 41.00%EV -11.56%E -5.30%K -9.80%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 31.92%EV -9.30%E -3.32%K -5.17%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.08%EV -10.77%E -3.26%K -4.68%G +0.000%11.9%2026-05-17 14:21
PMU (FR)2.16I 46.30%NM 39.63%EV -12.37%E -5.73%K -10.67%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 32.30%EV -14.16%E -5.34%K -8.58%G +0.000%3.05I 32.79%NM 28.07%EV -17.53%E -5.75%K -8.55%G +0.000%16.8%2026-05-17 14:25
Winamax (FR)2.15I 46.51%NM 40.85%EV -12.78%E -5.94%K -11.11%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 32.53%EV -12.54%E -4.64%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.62%EV -10.77%E -3.26%K -4.68%G +0.000%13.9%2026-05-17 14:25
BoyleSports2.15I 46.51%NM 40.45%EV -12.78%E -5.94%K -11.11%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 33.19%EV -15.13%E -5.77%K -9.34%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.35%EV -10.77%E -3.26%K -4.68%G +0.000%15.0%2026-05-17 14:25
Unibet (FR)2.10I 47.62%NM 41.50%EV -14.81%E -7.05%K -13.46%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 31.69%EV -10.92%E -3.97%K -6.24%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.81%EV -12.12%E -3.73%K -5.39%G +0.000%14.8%2026-05-17 14:24
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.10I 47.62%NM 40.36%EV -14.81%E -7.05%K -13.46%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 31.39%EV -12.54%E -4.64%K -7.38%G +0.000%3.00I 33.33%NM 28.25%EV -18.88%E -6.29%K -9.44%G +0.000%18.0%2026-05-17 10:40
Margen = Margen del corredor · I = Probabilidad implícita · NM = Probabilidad sin margen · EV = Valor esperado · E = Ventaja · K = Criterio de Kelly · G = Crecimiento del capital de apuestas

Actualizado indica cuándo actualizó cada corredor sus momios por última vez. Una hora anterior significa que los momios no han cambiado, no necesariamente que estén desactualizados. Por lo general se descartan los corredores de los que no se han recibido datos durante unos 15 minutos; solo cuando toda la fuente de un mercado deja de informar se conservan los últimos momios registrados.

Bolsas de apuestas (5)

CorredorLocalVisitanteEmpateMargen ▲Actualizado
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.42I 41.32%NM 41.07%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.06%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.86%0.6%2026-05-17 14:25
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.42I 41.32%NM 41.07%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.06%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.86%0.6%2026-05-17 14:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.42I 41.32%NM 41.07%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.06%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.86%0.6%2026-05-17 14:25
Matchbook2.42I 41.32%NM 41.07%3.10I 32.26%NM 32.06%3.70I 27.03%NM 26.86%0.6%2026-05-17 14:25
Smarkets2.40I 41.67%NM 41.12%3.10I 32.26%NM 31.84%3.65I 27.40%NM 27.04%1.3%2026-05-17 14:25