默认模型四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Malmo FF v Örgryte IS

开赛时间: 2026-09-13 14:30 UTC

最终结果: Malmo FF 4–1 Örgryte IS

收盘赔率 — 按所选模型,根据开赛前最后记录的赔率计算得出的概率和期望值。比赛已经开始,因此这些并非实时数据。 依据所有已完赛结果评估各模型概率预测的可靠性 →

胜负盘

56 家博彩公司 (17 家纳入分析 )

模型估计的各赛果概率:四分位数间均值 (精选名单)

Malmo FF (主队)

预测 66.53%1.50公平赔率
EV -4.87%
优势 -3.40%
Kelly -11.32%
增长率 +0.000%

假设最高赔率为 1.43

博彩公司预测分布
64.24%66.51%66.49%69.72%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
1.301.381.401.4376.92%72.33%71.43%69.93%最小值均值中位数最大值

Örgryte IS (客队)

预测 14.17%7.06公平赔率
EV +13.32%
优势 +1.67%
Kelly +1.90%
增长率 +0.253%

假设最高赔率为 8.00

博彩公司预测分布
12.20%14.14%14.24%15.75%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
5.706.676.508.0017.54%14.99%15.38%12.50%最小值均值中位数最大值

平局

预测 19.31%5.18公平赔率
EV +4.27%
优势 +0.790%
Kelly +0.970%
增长率 +0.041%

假设最高赔率为 5.40

博彩公司预测分布
18.08%19.35%19.27%21.40%最小值均值中位数最大值
赔率分布
4.304.784.755.4023.26%20.91%21.05%18.52%最小值均值中位数最大值

按开赛前最后一组赔率,四分位数间均值 (精选名单)对胜负盘的概率估计为:Malmo FF (主队):66.53%;Örgryte IS (客队):14.17%;平局:19.31%。 对于“Örgryte IS (客队)”,该估计对应的公平十进制赔率为7.06。 当时有11家博彩公司提供高于该水平的收盘赔率;最佳赔率为8.00,对应+13.32%的正期望值。

博彩公司赔率 (56 家博彩公司)

我们与任何博彩公司均无关联,也不会从用户在这些公司进行的任何操作中获利。

博彩公司主队客队 ▼平局利润率更新时间
Unibet (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 69.72%EV -6.86%E -4.90%K -17.16%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.20%EV +13.32%E +1.67%K +1.90%G +0.253%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.08%EV +4.27%E +0.790%K +0.970%G +0.041%2.4%2026-09-13 05:01
ATG (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 69.72%EV -6.86%E -4.90%K -17.16%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.20%EV +13.32%E +1.67%K +1.90%G +0.253%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.08%EV +4.27%E +0.790%K +0.970%G +0.041%2.4%2026-09-13 05:00
Svenska Spel🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 69.72%EV -6.86%E -4.90%K -17.16%G +0.000%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.20%EV +13.32%E +1.67%K +1.90%G +0.253%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.08%EV +4.27%E +0.790%K +0.970%G +0.041%2.4%2026-09-13 05:00
Unibet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -9.52%E -7.00%K -26.46%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.48%EV +6.24%E +0.832%K +0.960%G +0.060%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -3.46%E -0.691%K -0.864%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-13 05:25
Grosvenor🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -9.52%E -7.00%K -26.46%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.48%EV +6.24%E +0.832%K +0.960%G +0.060%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -3.46%E -0.691%K -0.864%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-13 05:00
Casumo🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -9.52%E -7.00%K -26.46%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.48%EV +6.24%E +0.832%K +0.960%G +0.060%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -3.46%E -0.691%K -0.864%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-13 05:00
LeoVegas (SE)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -9.52%E -7.00%K -26.46%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.48%EV +6.24%E +0.832%K +0.960%G +0.060%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -3.46%E -0.691%K -0.864%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-13 05:00
Unibet (NL)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -9.52%E -7.00%K -26.46%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.48%EV +6.24%E +0.832%K +0.960%G +0.060%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -3.46%E -0.691%K -0.864%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-13 05:01
betPARX🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.81%EV -9.52%E -7.00%K -26.46%G +0.000%7.50I 13.33%NM 12.48%EV +6.24%E +0.832%K +0.960%G +0.060%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.72%EV -3.46%E -0.691%K -0.864%G +0.000%6.9%2026-09-13 05:00
Coolbet🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.89%EV -5.53%E -3.90%K -13.17%G +0.000%7.30I 13.70%NM 13.21%EV +3.40%E +0.466%K +0.540%G +0.018%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.90%EV -1.52%E -0.299%K -0.372%G +0.000%3.7%2026-09-13 08:00
Tipico (DE)🎯1.35I 74.07%NM 68.09%EV -10.19%E -7.55%K -29.11%G +0.000%7.20I 13.89%NM 12.77%EV +1.99%E +0.276%K +0.321%G +0.006%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.15%EV -7.32%E -1.52%K -1.93%G +0.000%8.8%2026-09-13 14:20
FanDuel🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 68.20%EV -9.52%E -7.00%K -26.46%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.25%EV -0.845%E -0.121%K -0.141%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.55%EV -3.46%E -0.691%K -0.864%G +0.000%7.8%2026-09-13 14:20
Bet Right🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 66.79%EV -8.19%E -5.94%K -21.56%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.17%EV -0.845%E -0.121%K -0.141%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.04%EV -11.18%E -2.43%K -3.11%G +0.000%8.5%2026-09-13 05:35
Bet Victor🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.12%EV -9.52%E -7.00%K -26.46%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 13.04%EV -0.845%E -0.121%K -0.141%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.84%EV -11.18%E -2.43%K -3.11%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-13 14:26
BetRivers🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 68.03%EV -11.52%E -8.66%K -34.91%G +0.000%7.00I 14.29%NM 12.93%EV -0.845%E -0.121%K -0.141%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.05%EV -8.28%E -1.74%K -2.21%G +0.000%10.5%2026-09-13 05:00
Betsson🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.10%EV -4.87%E -3.40%K -11.32%G +0.000%6.90I 14.49%NM 13.49%EV -2.26%E -0.328%K -0.383%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.40%EV -16.01%E -3.68%K -4.78%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-13 14:20
NordicBet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.10%EV -4.87%E -3.40%K -11.32%G +0.000%6.90I 14.49%NM 13.49%EV -2.26%E -0.328%K -0.383%G +0.000%4.35I 22.99%NM 21.40%EV -16.01%E -3.68%K -4.78%G +0.000%7.4%2026-09-13 14:20
Pinnacle🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 67.17%EV -5.53%E -3.90%K -13.17%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 14.13%EV -4.39%E -0.650%K -0.763%G +0.000%5.10I 19.61%NM 18.70%EV -1.52%E -0.299%K -0.372%G +0.000%4.8%2026-09-13 14:25
PointsBet (AU)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.57%EV -6.86%E -4.90%K -17.16%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.81%EV -4.39%E -0.650%K -0.763%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.62%EV -8.28%E -1.74%K -2.21%G +0.000%7.3%2026-09-13 06:15
SportsBet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 67.35%EV -9.52%E -7.00%K -26.46%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.57%EV -4.39%E -0.650%K -0.763%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 19.08%EV -7.32%E -1.52%K -1.93%G +0.000%9.2%2026-09-13 14:25
TABtouch🎯1.32I 75.76%NM 67.87%EV -12.19%E -9.23%K -38.08%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.27%EV -4.39%E -0.650%K -0.763%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.86%EV -8.28%E -1.74%K -2.21%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-13 05:05
Virgin Bet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 68.06%EV -13.52%E -10.40%K -45.05%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.11%EV -4.39%E -0.650%K -0.763%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.83%EV -9.25%E -1.97%K -2.50%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-13 05:00
PMU (FR)🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 68.06%EV -13.52%E -10.40%K -45.05%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.11%EV -4.39%E -0.650%K -0.763%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.83%EV -9.25%E -1.97%K -2.50%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-13 05:01
LiveScore Bet🎯1.30I 76.92%NM 68.06%EV -13.52%E -10.40%K -45.05%G +0.000%6.75I 14.81%NM 13.11%EV -4.39%E -0.650%K -0.763%G +0.000%4.70I 21.28%NM 18.83%EV -9.25%E -1.97%K -2.50%G +0.000%13.0%2026-09-13 05:00
DraftKings🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.14%EV -4.87%E -3.40%K -11.32%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.55%EV -7.93%E -1.22%K -1.44%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.30%EV -5.39%E -1.10%K -1.38%G +0.000%5.7%2026-09-13 12:30
Unibet (UK)🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.56%EV -5.53%E -3.90%K -13.17%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.54%EV -7.93%E -1.22%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.90%EV -3.46%E -0.691%K -0.864%G +0.000%5.8%2026-09-13 13:20
LeoVegas🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 67.36%EV -6.86%E -4.90%K -17.16%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.51%EV -7.93%E -1.22%K -1.44%G +0.000%5.20I 19.23%NM 18.13%EV +0.407%E +0.078%K +0.097%G +0.000%6.0%2026-09-13 13:20
BetMGM🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.74%EV -4.87%E -3.40%K -11.32%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.46%EV -7.93%E -1.22%K -1.44%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.79%EV -8.28%E -1.74%K -2.21%G +0.000%6.4%2026-09-13 14:20
Bovada🎯1.41I 70.92%NM 66.59%EV -6.20%E -4.40%K -15.12%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.44%EV -7.93%E -1.22%K -1.44%G +0.000%4.95I 20.20%NM 18.97%EV -4.42%E -0.893%K -1.12%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-13 14:05
betfred_uk🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.80%EV -6.86%E -4.90%K -17.16%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV -7.93%E -1.22%K -1.44%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -11.18%E -2.43%K -3.11%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-13 06:15
888sport🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.80%EV -6.86%E -4.90%K -17.16%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV -7.93%E -1.22%K -1.44%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -11.18%E -2.43%K -3.11%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-13 10:15
Mr Green (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.80%EV -6.86%E -4.90%K -17.16%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV -7.93%E -1.22%K -1.44%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -11.18%E -2.43%K -3.11%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-13 10:15
888sport (SE)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.80%EV -6.86%E -4.90%K -17.16%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV -7.93%E -1.22%K -1.44%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -11.18%E -2.43%K -3.11%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-13 10:16
William Hill🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 65.80%EV -6.86%E -4.90%K -17.16%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 14.17%EV -7.93%E -1.22%K -1.44%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 20.03%EV -11.18%E -2.43%K -3.11%G +0.000%8.6%2026-09-13 10:16
betano_uk🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 66.87%EV -9.52%E -7.00%K -26.46%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.99%EV -7.93%E -1.22%K -1.44%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 19.14%EV -8.28%E -1.74%K -2.21%G +0.000%10.0%2026-09-13 14:20
Betr (AU)🎯1.38I 72.46%NM 65.83%EV -8.19%E -5.94%K -21.56%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.98%EV -7.93%E -1.22%K -1.44%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 20.19%EV -13.11%E -2.91%K -3.75%G +0.000%10.1%2026-09-13 05:40
Paddy Power🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 67.36%EV -11.52%E -8.66%K -34.91%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.78%EV -7.93%E -1.22%K -1.44%G +0.000%4.75I 21.05%NM 18.86%EV -8.28%E -1.74%K -2.21%G +0.000%11.6%2026-09-13 14:20
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 66.95%EV -11.52%E -8.66%K -34.91%G +0.000%6.50I 15.38%NM 13.70%EV -7.93%E -1.22%K -1.44%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.36%EV -11.18%E -2.43%K -3.11%G +0.000%12.3%2026-09-13 14:20
BetUS🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.10%EV -5.53%E -3.90%K -13.17%G +0.000%6.45I 15.50%NM 14.55%EV -8.64%E -1.34%K -1.58%G +0.000%4.85I 20.62%NM 19.35%EV -6.35%E -1.31%K -1.65%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-13 14:25
LowVig.ag🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.15%EV -5.53%E -3.90%K -13.17%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.68%EV -9.34%E -1.46%K -1.73%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.17%EV -5.39%E -1.10%K -1.38%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-13 14:25
BetOnline.ag🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.15%EV -5.53%E -3.90%K -13.17%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.68%EV -9.34%E -1.46%K -1.73%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.17%EV -5.39%E -1.10%K -1.38%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-13 14:25
BetAnything🎯1.42I 70.42%NM 66.15%EV -5.53%E -3.90%K -13.17%G +0.000%6.40I 15.63%NM 14.68%EV -9.34%E -1.46%K -1.73%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 19.17%EV -5.39%E -1.10%K -1.38%G +0.000%6.5%2026-09-13 14:25
1xBet🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 66.65%EV -4.87%E -3.40%K -11.32%G +0.000%6.26I 15.97%NM 15.23%EV -11.33%E -1.81%K -2.15%G +0.000%5.26I 19.01%NM 18.12%EV +1.57%E +0.298%K +0.367%G +0.006%4.9%2026-09-13 14:25
PlayUp🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.53%EV -6.86%E -4.90%K -17.16%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.46%EV -11.47%E -1.83%K -2.18%G +0.000%4.30I 23.26%NM 21.01%EV -16.97%E -3.95%K -5.14%G +0.000%10.7%2026-09-13 14:21
Sky Bet🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 65.80%EV -9.52%E -7.00%K -26.46%G +0.000%6.25I 16.00%NM 14.32%EV -11.47%E -1.83%K -2.18%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.89%EV -13.11%E -2.91%K -3.75%G +0.000%11.8%2026-09-13 14:20
GTbets🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 66.15%EV -6.86%E -4.90%K -17.16%G +0.000%6.21I 16.10%NM 14.91%EV -12.03%E -1.94%K -2.31%G +0.000%4.89I 20.45%NM 18.94%EV -5.58%E -1.14%K -1.43%G +0.000%8.0%2026-09-13 05:31
Betway🎯1.43I 69.93%NM 65.60%EV -4.87%E -3.40%K -11.32%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 15.64%EV -15.01%E -2.50%K -3.00%G +0.000%5.00I 20.00%NM 18.76%EV -3.46%E -0.691%K -0.864%G +0.000%6.6%2026-09-13 14:30
Coral🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.24%EV -6.86%E -4.90%K -17.16%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.99%EV -15.01%E -2.50%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.77%EV -16.39%E -3.79%K -4.92%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-13 14:20
Ladbrokes (AU)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.24%EV -6.86%E -4.90%K -17.16%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.99%EV -15.01%E -2.50%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.77%EV -16.39%E -3.79%K -4.92%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-13 14:20
Neds🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.24%EV -6.86%E -4.90%K -17.16%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.99%EV -15.01%E -2.50%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.77%EV -16.39%E -3.79%K -4.92%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-13 14:20
Ladbrokes (UK)🎯1.40I 71.43%NM 64.24%EV -6.86%E -4.90%K -17.16%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.99%EV -15.01%E -2.50%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.33I 23.09%NM 20.77%EV -16.39%E -3.79%K -4.92%G +0.000%11.2%2026-09-13 14:20
BoyleSports🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 65.41%EV -9.52%E -7.00%K -26.46%G +0.000%6.00I 16.67%NM 14.83%EV -15.01%E -2.50%K -3.00%G +0.000%4.50I 22.22%NM 19.77%EV -13.11%E -2.91%K -3.75%G +0.000%12.4%2026-09-13 14:25
Betclic (FR)🎯1.36I 73.53%NM 65.52%EV -9.52%E -7.00%K -26.46%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 15.10%EV -16.43%E -2.78%K -3.35%G +0.000%4.60I 21.74%NM 19.37%EV -11.18%E -2.43%K -3.11%G +0.000%12.2%2026-09-13 14:04
Unibet (FR)🎯1.33I 75.19%NM 65.89%EV -11.52%E -8.66%K -34.91%G +0.000%5.90I 16.95%NM 14.85%EV -16.43%E -2.78%K -3.35%G +0.000%4.55I 21.98%NM 19.26%EV -12.14%E -2.67%K -3.42%G +0.000%14.1%2026-09-13 14:05
Winamax (DE)🎯1.39I 71.94%NM 65.65%EV -7.53%E -5.42%K -19.30%G +0.000%5.80I 17.24%NM 15.73%EV -17.84%E -3.08%K -3.72%G +0.000%4.90I 20.41%NM 18.62%EV -5.39%E -1.10%K -1.38%G +0.000%9.6%2026-09-13 13:20
Winamax (FR)🎯1.37I 72.99%NM 65.54%EV -8.86%E -6.47%K -23.94%G +0.000%5.70I 17.54%NM 15.75%EV -19.26%E -3.38%K -4.10%G +0.000%4.80I 20.83%NM 18.71%EV -7.32%E -1.52%K -1.93%G +0.000%11.4%2026-09-13 13:20
利润率 = 利润率(超额概率) · I = 隐含概率 · NM = 无利润率概率 · EV = 期望值 · E = 优势 · K = Kelly 准则 · G = 资金增长率

更新时间 指各博彩公司最后一次调整赔率的时间,因此时间较早仅表示赔率一直未变,并不代表数据已经失效。通常,约 15 分钟内未收到更新的博彩公司会被移除;只有整个市场的数据源均无更新时,才会改为显示最后记录的赔率。

博彩交易所 (5)

博彩公司主队客队平局利润率 ▲更新时间
Matchbook◎1.44I 69.44%NM 69.12%8.00I 12.50%NM 12.44%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.43%0.5%2026-09-13 14:25
Betfair Exchange (AU)◎1.45I 68.97%NM 68.52%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.74%5.30I 18.87%NM 18.75%0.7%2026-09-13 14:21
Betfair Exchange (EU)◎1.44I 69.44%NM 68.90%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.72%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.37%0.8%2026-09-13 14:25
Betfair Exchange (UK)◎1.44I 69.44%NM 68.90%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.72%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.37%0.8%2026-09-13 14:25
Smarkets◎1.43I 69.93%NM 69.05%7.80I 12.82%NM 12.66%5.40I 18.52%NM 18.29%1.3%2026-09-13 14:25