The School of Odds

Kalmar FF v Malmo FF

2026-07-20 17:00 UTC — Allsvenskan - Sweden

Head to Head

16 sportsbooks (5 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: IQM

Kalmar FF (Local)

Prediction 37.02%2.70fair odd
EV +7.35%
Edge +2.53%
Kelly +3.87%
Growth +0.284%

assuming max odds 2.90

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.18%36.56%37.03%38.55%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.402.502.472.9042%40%40%34%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Malmo FF (Visit)

Prediction 36.59%2.73fair odd
EV -3.02%
Edge -1.14%
Kelly -1.83%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.65

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.38%37.11%36.29%40.09%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
2.302.502.502.6543%40%40%38%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Draw

Prediction 26.39%3.79fair odd
EV -3.42%
Edge -0.934%
Kelly -1.29%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.66

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.77%26.33%26.68%26.73%MINMEANMEDIANMAX
Odds’ distribution
3.253.493.503.6631%29%29%27%MINMEANMEDIANMAX

Sportsbook Odds (16 sportsbooks)

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Coolbet2.90I 34.48%NM 33.18%EV +7.35%E +2.53%K +3.87%G +0.284%2.40I 41.67%NM 40.09%EV -12.17%E -5.07%K -8.70%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.73%EV -5.00%E -1.39%K -1.92%G +0.000%3.9%2026-07-13 10:14
betfred_uk2.60I 38.46%NM 35.38%EV -3.76%E -1.44%K -2.35%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 38.33%EV -12.17%E -5.07%K -8.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -7.64%E -2.18%K -3.06%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-13 10:13
FanDuel2.55I 39.22%NM 36.37%EV -5.61%E -2.20%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.86%EV -10.34%E -4.22%K -7.13%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -5.00%E -1.39%K -1.92%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-13 11:59
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.37%EV -5.61%E -2.20%K -3.62%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.86%EV -10.34%E -4.22%K -7.13%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.77%EV -5.00%E -1.39%K -1.92%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-13 12:00
SportsBet2.50I 40.00%NM 36.57%EV -7.46%E -2.98%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.31%EV -10.34%E -4.22%K -7.13%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -7.64%E -2.18%K -3.06%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-13 12:00
Paddy Power2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -7.46%E -2.98%K -4.97%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.80%EV -12.17%E -5.07%K -8.70%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 25.92%EV -7.64%E -2.18%K -3.06%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-13 12:00
Betsson2.48I 40.32%NM 37.66%EV -8.20%E -3.31%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.65%EV -4.12%E -1.57%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -7.64%E -2.18%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-13 10:15
NordicBet2.48I 40.32%NM 37.66%EV -8.20%E -3.31%K -5.54%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.65%EV -4.12%E -1.57%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.69%EV -7.64%E -2.18%K -3.06%G +0.000%7.1%2026-07-13 10:15
1xBet2.46I 40.65%NM 37.91%EV -8.94%E -3.63%K -6.12%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 35.60%EV -4.12%E -1.57%K -2.54%G +0.000%3.52I 28.41%NM 26.49%EV -7.11%E -2.02%K -2.82%G +0.000%7.2%2026-07-13 10:14
Pinnacle2.45I 40.82%NM 38.55%EV -9.31%E -3.80%K -6.42%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 35.64%EV -3.02%E -1.14%K -1.83%G +0.000%3.66I 27.32%NM 25.81%EV -3.42%E -0.934%K -1.29%G +0.000%5.9%2026-07-13 12:00
William Hill2.45I 40.82%NM 37.03%EV -9.31%E -3.80%K -6.42%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -8.51%E -3.41%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -10.28%E -3.02%K -4.28%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-13 12:00
888sport2.45I 40.82%NM 37.03%EV -9.31%E -3.80%K -6.42%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -8.51%E -3.41%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -10.28%E -3.02%K -4.28%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-13 11:59
888sport (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.03%EV -9.31%E -3.80%K -6.42%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -8.51%E -3.41%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -10.28%E -3.02%K -4.28%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-13 11:59
Mr Green (SE)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.03%EV -9.31%E -3.80%K -6.42%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -8.51%E -3.41%K -5.68%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -10.28%E -3.02%K -4.28%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-13 11:59
Everygame2.40I 41.67%NM 38.33%EV -11.16%E -4.65%K -7.97%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.38%EV -4.85%E -1.87%K -3.03%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.28%EV -7.64%E -2.18%K -3.06%G +0.000%8.7%2026-07-13 12:00
Sky Bet2.40I 41.67%NM 35.95%EV -11.16%E -4.65%K -7.97%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 37.51%EV -15.83%E -6.88%K -12.18%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 26.54%EV -14.24%E -4.38%K -6.33%G +0.000%15.9%2026-07-13 11:59
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (4)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.48I 40.32%NM 38.53%2.68I 37.31%NM 35.65%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.82%4.7%2026-07-13 10:15
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.48I 40.32%NM 38.53%2.68I 37.31%NM 35.65%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.82%4.7%2026-07-13 10:15
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.48I 40.32%NM 38.53%2.68I 37.31%NM 35.65%3.70I 27.03%NM 25.82%4.7%2026-07-13 10:15
Smarkets2.46I 40.65%NM 38.38%2.64I 37.88%NM 35.76%3.65I 27.40%NM 25.86%5.9%2026-07-13 12:00
Arbitrage (7 combinations) +0.46%Coolbet 2.90 (34.6%) / Pinnacle 2.65 (37.9%) / Pinnacle 3.66 (27.4%)Show all 7 combinations
Kalmar FF (Local)Malmo FF (Visit)DrawMargin
Coolbet 2.90 (34.6%)Pinnacle 2.65 (37.9%)Pinnacle 3.66 (27.4%)+0.461%
Coolbet 2.90 (34.5%)Betsson 2.62 (38.2%)Pinnacle 3.66 (27.3%)+0.027%
Coolbet 2.90 (34.5%)NordicBet 2.62 (38.2%)Pinnacle 3.66 (27.3%)+0.027%
Coolbet 2.90 (34.5%)1xBet 2.62 (38.2%)Pinnacle 3.66 (27.3%)+0.027%
Coolbet 2.90 (34.5%)Pinnacle 2.65 (37.7%)Coolbet 3.60 (27.8%)+0.004%
Coolbet 2.90 (34.5%)Pinnacle 2.65 (37.7%)FanDuel 3.60 (27.8%)+0.004%
Coolbet 2.90 (34.5%)Pinnacle 2.65 (37.7%)Betfair Sportsbook (UK) 3.60 (27.8%)+0.004%