Default modelInterquartile mean (Vetted List)

Kalmar FF v Malmo FF

Kickoff: 2026-07-20 17:00 UTC

Final: Kalmar FF 2–2 Malmo FF

Closing line — the calculated probabilities and expected value from the last prices recorded before kickoff, under your selected model. The game has started, so these are not live figures. Assess the reliability of each model's probability predictions against all settled-game outcomes →

Head to Head

57 sportsbooks (16 in analysis )

Estimated chance of each outcome, according to the model: Interquartile mean (Vetted List)

Kalmar FF (Local)

Prediction 38.36%2.61fair odd
EV +5.11%
Edge +1.87%
Kelly +2.94%
Growth +0.150%

assuming max odds 2.74

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
35.07%38.10%38.37%40.15%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.252.442.402.7444.44%41.06%41.67%36.50%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Malmo FF (Visit)

Prediction 35.04%2.85fair odd
EV -1.20%
Edge -0.425%
Kelly -0.659%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 2.82

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
33.68%35.34%35.05%38.60%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
2.302.602.622.8243.48%38.53%38.17%35.46%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

Draw

Prediction 26.60%3.76fair odd
EV -2.90%
Edge -0.796%
Kelly -1.10%
Growth +0.000%

assuming max odds 3.65

Bookmakers’ predictions’ distribution
25.39%26.56%26.59%28.08%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.
Odds’ distribution
3.153.453.453.6531.75%28.98%28.99%27.40%MIN.MEANMEDIANMAX.

At the last prices before kickoff, Interquartile mean (Vetted List) estimated these probabilities for Head to Head: Kalmar FF (Local): 38.36%; Malmo FF (Visit): 35.04%; Draw: 26.60%. For Kalmar FF (Local), that estimate was equivalent to fair decimal odds of 2.61. 6 bookmakers offered closing odds above that level; the best were 2.74, corresponding to a positive expected value of +5.11%.

Sportsbook Odds (57 sportsbooks)

We're not affiliated with any bookmaker, we earn nothing from any action done with them.

BookmakerLocal ▼VisitDrawMarginUpdated
Coolbet2.74I 36.50%NM 35.07%EV +5.11%E +1.87%K +2.94%G +0.150%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.60%EV -12.76%E -5.12%K -8.56%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.33%EV -2.90%E -0.796%K -1.10%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-20 16:35
Unibet (SE)2.65I 37.74%NM 36.43%EV +1.66%E +0.627%K +1.01%G +0.017%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.13%EV -8.91%E -3.43%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.45%EV -2.90%E -0.796%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-20 16:35
Svenska Spel2.65I 37.74%NM 36.43%EV +1.66%E +0.627%K +1.01%G +0.017%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.13%EV -8.91%E -3.43%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.45%EV -2.90%E -0.796%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-20 16:35
ATG (SE)2.65I 37.74%NM 36.43%EV +1.66%E +0.627%K +1.01%G +0.017%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.13%EV -8.91%E -3.43%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.45%EV -2.90%E -0.796%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-20 16:35
Pinnacle2.63I 38.02%NM 36.47%EV +0.894%E +0.340%K +0.548%G +0.005%2.59I 38.61%NM 37.03%EV -9.26%E -3.57%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 26.50%EV -3.70%E -1.02%K -1.41%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-20 16:25
GTbets2.61I 38.31%NM 36.82%EV +0.127%E +0.049%K +0.079%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.26%EV -7.15%E -2.70%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.57I 28.01%NM 26.92%EV -5.03%E -1.41%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-20 16:35
LeoVegas (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.14%EV -2.18%E -0.853%K -1.40%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.16%EV -13.11%E -5.29%K -8.86%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.71%EV -8.23%E -2.38%K -3.36%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-20 16:35
Grosvenor2.55I 39.22%NM 36.14%EV -2.18%E -0.853%K -1.40%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.16%EV -13.11%E -5.29%K -8.86%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.71%EV -8.23%E -2.38%K -3.36%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-20 16:35
PointsBet (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -4.09%E -1.64%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.38%EV -10.66%E -4.18%K -6.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -6.90%E -1.97%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-20 16:30
betfred_uk2.50I 40.00%NM 36.84%EV -4.09%E -1.64%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.84%EV -12.41%E -4.96%K -8.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -6.90%E -1.97%K -2.76%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-20 16:15
Unibet (NL)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -4.09%E -1.64%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.03%EV -14.16%E -5.78%K -9.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -9.56%E -2.81%K -3.98%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-20 16:35
Unibet2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -4.09%E -1.64%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.03%EV -14.16%E -5.78%K -9.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -9.56%E -2.81%K -3.98%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-20 16:35
Casumo2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -4.09%E -1.64%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.03%EV -14.16%E -5.78%K -9.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -9.56%E -2.81%K -3.98%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-20 16:35
betPARX2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -4.09%E -1.64%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.03%EV -14.16%E -5.78%K -9.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -9.56%E -2.81%K -3.98%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-20 16:35
BetRivers2.48I 40.32%NM 36.05%EV -4.86%E -1.96%K -3.28%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.26%EV -15.91%E -6.63%K -11.37%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.69%EV -10.89%E -3.25%K -4.63%G +0.000%11.8%2026-07-20 16:35
LeoVegas2.45I 40.82%NM 38.64%EV -6.01%E -2.45%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.06%EV -5.40%E -2.00%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.30%EV -4.23%E -1.18%K -1.63%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-20 16:35
Unibet (UK)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.35%EV -6.01%E -2.45%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.80%EV -5.40%E -2.00%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.85%EV -6.90%E -1.97%K -2.76%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-20 16:35
BetMGM2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -6.01%E -2.45%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -3.65%E -1.33%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -9.56%E -2.81%K -3.98%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-20 16:34
Betsson2.45I 40.82%NM 38.25%EV -6.01%E -2.45%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 34.97%EV -6.10%E -2.28%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -6.90%E -1.97%K -2.76%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-20 16:35
NordicBet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.25%EV -6.01%E -2.45%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 34.97%EV -6.10%E -2.28%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -6.90%E -1.97%K -2.76%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-20 16:35
Bet Right2.45I 40.82%NM 37.31%EV -6.01%E -2.45%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.57%EV -12.41%E -4.96%K -8.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -6.90%E -1.97%K -2.76%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-20 16:35
Unibet (FR)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.31%EV -6.01%E -2.45%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.31%EV -14.16%E -5.78%K -9.77%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -4.23%E -1.18%K -1.63%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-20 16:35
Betr (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.03%EV -6.01%E -2.45%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -12.41%E -4.96%K -8.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -9.56%E -2.81%K -3.98%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-20 16:35
TABtouch2.45I 40.82%NM 36.19%EV -6.01%E -2.45%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.94%EV -15.91%E -6.63%K -11.37%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.87%EV -12.22%E -3.70%K -5.31%G +0.000%12.8%2026-07-20 16:35
Virgin Bet2.43I 41.15%NM 36.12%EV -6.78%E -2.79%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 36.88%EV -16.61%E -6.98%K -12.04%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.01%EV -13.55%E -4.17%K -6.02%G +0.000%13.9%2026-07-20 16:35
LiveScore Bet2.43I 41.15%NM 36.12%EV -6.78%E -2.79%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 36.88%EV -16.61%E -6.98%K -12.04%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.01%EV -13.55%E -4.17%K -6.02%G +0.000%13.9%2026-07-20 16:35
LowVig.ag2.40I 41.67%NM 39.57%EV -7.93%E -3.30%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.68%EV -1.20%E -0.425%K -0.659%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.75%EV -5.57%E -1.57%K -2.18%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-20 16:35
BetOnline.ag2.40I 41.67%NM 39.57%EV -7.93%E -3.30%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.68%EV -1.20%E -0.425%K -0.659%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.75%EV -5.57%E -1.57%K -2.18%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-20 16:35
BetAnything2.40I 41.67%NM 39.57%EV -7.93%E -3.30%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.68%EV -1.20%E -0.425%K -0.659%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.75%EV -5.57%E -1.57%K -2.18%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-20 16:35
BetUS2.40I 41.67%NM 39.48%EV -7.93%E -3.30%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.84%EV -1.90%E -0.678%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.69%EV -5.57%E -1.57%K -2.18%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-20 16:35
FanDuel2.40I 41.67%NM 39.38%EV -7.93%E -3.30%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -3.65%E -1.33%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.25%EV -4.23%E -1.18%K -1.63%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-20 16:34
DraftKings2.40I 41.67%NM 39.23%EV -7.93%E -3.30%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.24%EV -3.65%E -1.33%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.52%EV -5.57%E -1.57%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-20 16:30
1xBet2.40I 41.67%NM 38.84%EV -7.93%E -3.30%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -5.40%E -2.00%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.63%EV -6.90%E -1.97%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-20 16:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.84%EV -7.93%E -3.30%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -5.40%E -2.00%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.63%EV -6.90%E -1.97%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-20 16:35
William Hill2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -7.93%E -3.30%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.94%EV -8.21%E -3.13%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -9.56%E -2.81%K -3.98%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-20 16:35
888sport2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -7.93%E -3.30%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.94%EV -8.21%E -3.13%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -9.56%E -2.81%K -3.98%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-20 16:35
888sport (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -7.93%E -3.30%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.94%EV -8.21%E -3.13%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -9.56%E -2.81%K -3.98%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-20 16:35
Mr Green (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -7.93%E -3.30%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.94%EV -8.21%E -3.13%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -9.56%E -2.81%K -3.98%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-20 16:35
Bet Victor2.40I 41.67%NM 38.04%EV -7.93%E -3.30%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.11%EV -8.91%E -3.43%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -9.56%E -2.81%K -3.98%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-20 16:34
betano_uk2.38I 42.02%NM 38.24%EV -8.70%E -3.65%K -6.30%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.00%EV -8.91%E -3.43%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -9.56%E -2.81%K -3.98%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-20 16:35
Ladbrokes (AU)2.38I 42.02%NM 37.75%EV -8.70%E -3.65%K -6.30%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.17%EV -7.86%E -2.99%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.08%EV -14.88%E -4.65%K -6.76%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-20 16:35
Neds2.38I 42.02%NM 37.75%EV -8.70%E -3.65%K -6.30%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.17%EV -7.86%E -2.99%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.08%EV -14.88%E -4.65%K -6.76%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-20 16:35
Betclic (FR)2.37I 42.19%NM 38.06%EV -9.08%E -3.83%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 35.79%EV -11.71%E -4.65%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.15%EV -8.23%E -2.38%K -3.36%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-20 16:33
Coral2.37I 42.19%NM 37.80%EV -9.08%E -3.83%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.20%EV -8.21%E -3.13%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.00%EV -14.88%E -4.65%K -6.76%G +0.000%11.6%2026-07-20 16:35
Ladbrokes (UK)2.37I 42.19%NM 37.80%EV -9.08%E -3.83%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.20%EV -8.21%E -3.13%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.00%EV -14.88%E -4.65%K -6.76%G +0.000%11.6%2026-07-20 16:35
Bovada2.36I 42.37%NM 39.78%EV -9.46%E -4.01%K -6.96%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.14%EV -3.65%E -1.33%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -4.23%E -1.18%K -1.63%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-20 16:34
Everygame2.35I 42.55%NM 39.88%EV -9.85%E -4.19%K -7.29%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.08%EV -3.65%E -1.33%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -4.23%E -1.18%K -1.63%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-20 16:35
SportsBet2.35I 42.55%NM 39.09%EV -9.85%E -4.19%K -7.29%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.66%EV -7.15%E -2.70%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -6.90%E -1.97%K -2.76%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-20 16:34
Tipico (DE)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.09%EV -9.85%E -4.19%K -7.29%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.66%EV -7.15%E -2.70%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -6.90%E -1.97%K -2.76%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-20 16:35
Winamax (DE)2.35I 42.55%NM 38.68%EV -9.85%E -4.19%K -7.29%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.96%EV -8.91%E -3.43%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.35%EV -8.23%E -2.38%K -3.36%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-20 16:35
PlayUp2.35I 42.55%NM 38.64%EV -9.85%E -4.19%K -7.29%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.26%EV -7.15%E -2.70%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.10%EV -10.89%E -3.25%K -4.63%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-20 16:35
Winamax (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 38.27%EV -9.85%E -4.19%K -7.29%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.27%EV -10.66%E -4.18%K -6.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.45%EV -9.56%E -2.81%K -3.98%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-20 16:35
PMU (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 36.13%EV -9.85%E -4.19%K -7.29%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 36.92%EV -19.42%E -8.44%K -14.94%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 26.95%EV -16.21%E -5.14%K -7.54%G +0.000%17.8%2026-07-20 16:35
Betway2.30I 43.48%NM 40.15%EV -11.77%E -5.12%K -9.05%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.20%EV -5.40%E -2.00%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.65%EV -4.23%E -1.18%K -1.63%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-20 16:35
Paddy Power2.30I 43.48%NM 39.15%EV -11.77%E -5.12%K -9.05%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.37%EV -8.21%E -3.13%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -9.56%E -2.81%K -3.98%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-20 16:35
Sky Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 38.74%EV -11.77%E -5.12%K -9.05%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.27%EV -8.91%E -3.43%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.00%EV -12.22%E -3.70%K -5.31%G +0.000%12.2%2026-07-20 16:35
BoyleSports2.25I 44.44%NM 38.47%EV -13.68%E -6.08%K -10.95%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.07%EV -15.91%E -6.63%K -11.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.46%EV -9.56%E -2.81%K -3.98%G +0.000%15.5%2026-07-20 16:35
Margin = Margin (Overround) · I = Implied Probability · NM = No-Margin Probability · EV = Expected Value · E = Edge · K = Kelly Criterion · G = Bankroll Growth

Updated is when each book last changed its price, so an older time means the odds simply haven't moved, not that the price is stale. Books not seen in the last ~15 minutes are normally dropped; only if a whole market's feed goes quiet are the latest recorded prices shown instead.

Exchanges (5)

BookmakerLocalVisitDrawMargin ▲Updated
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.54I 39.37%NM 39.30%2.90I 34.48%NM 34.42%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.27%0.2%2026-07-20 16:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.52I 39.68%NM 39.49%2.90I 34.48%NM 34.32%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.19%0.5%2026-07-20 16:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.52I 39.68%NM 39.40%2.88I 34.72%NM 34.47%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.13%0.7%2026-07-20 16:35
Matchbook2.52I 39.68%NM 39.40%2.88I 34.72%NM 34.47%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.13%0.7%2026-07-20 16:35
Smarkets2.52I 39.68%NM 39.30%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.63%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.06%1.0%2026-07-20 16:35