L’École des cotes

Kalmar FF v Malmo FF

Coup d’envoi : 2026-07-20 17:00 UTC

Score final : Kalmar FF 2–2 Malmo FF

Cotes de clôture — probabilités calculées et espérance mathématique obtenues, selon le modèle sélectionné, à partir des derniers prix enregistrés avant le coup d’envoi. Le match ayant commencé, il ne s’agit pas de valeurs en direct. Évaluer la fiabilité des prévisions probabilistes de chaque modèle sur l’ensemble des matchs réglés →

Résultat du match

57 opérateurs (16 dans l’analyse )

Probabilité estimée de chaque issue selon le modèle : IQM

Kalmar FF (Local)

Prévision 38.36%2.61cote équitable
EV +5.11%
Avantage +1.87%
Kelly +2.94%
Croissance +0.150%

avec la cote maximale 2.74

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
35.07%38.10%38.37%40.15%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.252.442.402.7444.44%41.06%41.67%36.50%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Malmo FF (Visiteur)

Prévision 35.04%2.85cote équitable
EV -1.20%
Avantage -0.425%
Kelly -0.659%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 2.82

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
33.68%35.34%35.05%38.60%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
2.302.602.622.8243.48%38.53%38.17%35.46%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Match nul

Prévision 26.60%3.76cote équitable
EV -2.90%
Avantage -0.796%
Kelly -1.10%
Croissance +0.000%

avec la cote maximale 3.65

Distribution des prévisions des opérateurs
25.39%26.56%26.59%28.08%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM
Distribution des cotes
3.153.453.453.6531.75%28.98%28.99%27.40%MINIMUMMOYENNEMÉDIANEMAXIMUM

Cotes des opérateurs (57 opérateurs)

Nous ne sommes affiliés à aucun opérateur de paris et ne tirons aucun bénéfice des opérations réalisées auprès d’eux.

OpérateurLocal ▼VisiteurMatch nulMargeMise à jour
Coolbet2.74I 36.50%NM 35.07%EV +5.11%E +1.87%K +2.94%G +0.150%2.49I 40.16%NM 38.60%EV -12.76%E -5.12%K -8.56%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.33%EV -2.90%E -0.796%K -1.10%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-20 16:35
Unibet (SE)2.65I 37.74%NM 36.43%EV +1.66%E +0.627%K +1.01%G +0.017%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.13%EV -8.91%E -3.43%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.45%EV -2.90%E -0.796%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-20 16:35
Svenska Spel2.65I 37.74%NM 36.43%EV +1.66%E +0.627%K +1.01%G +0.017%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.13%EV -8.91%E -3.43%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.45%EV -2.90%E -0.796%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-20 16:35
ATG (SE)2.65I 37.74%NM 36.43%EV +1.66%E +0.627%K +1.01%G +0.017%2.60I 38.46%NM 37.13%EV -8.91%E -3.43%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.65I 27.40%NM 26.45%EV -2.90%E -0.796%K -1.10%G +0.000%3.6%2026-07-20 16:35
Pinnacle2.63I 38.02%NM 36.47%EV +0.894%E +0.340%K +0.548%G +0.005%2.59I 38.61%NM 37.03%EV -9.26%E -3.57%K -5.82%G +0.000%3.62I 27.62%NM 26.50%EV -3.70%E -1.02%K -1.41%G +0.000%4.3%2026-07-20 16:25
GTbets2.61I 38.31%NM 36.82%EV +0.127%E +0.049%K +0.079%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 36.26%EV -7.15%E -2.70%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.57I 28.01%NM 26.92%EV -5.03%E -1.41%K -1.96%G +0.000%4.1%2026-07-20 16:35
LeoVegas (SE)2.55I 39.22%NM 36.14%EV -2.18%E -0.853%K -1.40%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.16%EV -13.11%E -5.29%K -8.86%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.71%EV -8.23%E -2.38%K -3.36%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-20 16:35
Grosvenor2.55I 39.22%NM 36.14%EV -2.18%E -0.853%K -1.40%G +0.000%2.48I 40.32%NM 37.16%EV -13.11%E -5.29%K -8.86%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.71%EV -8.23%E -2.38%K -3.36%G +0.000%8.5%2026-07-20 16:35
PointsBet (AU)2.50I 40.00%NM 37.11%EV -4.09%E -1.64%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 36.38%EV -10.66%E -4.18%K -6.88%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.51%EV -6.90%E -1.97%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.8%2026-07-20 16:30
betfred_uk2.50I 40.00%NM 36.84%EV -4.09%E -1.64%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.84%EV -12.41%E -4.96%K -8.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.32%EV -6.90%E -1.97%K -2.76%G +0.000%8.6%2026-07-20 16:15
Unibet (NL)2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -4.09%E -1.64%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.03%EV -14.16%E -5.78%K -9.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -9.56%E -2.81%K -3.98%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-20 16:35
Unibet2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -4.09%E -1.64%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.03%EV -14.16%E -5.78%K -9.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -9.56%E -2.81%K -3.98%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-20 16:35
Casumo2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -4.09%E -1.64%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.03%EV -14.16%E -5.78%K -9.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -9.56%E -2.81%K -3.98%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-20 16:35
betPARX2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -4.09%E -1.64%K -2.73%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.03%EV -14.16%E -5.78%K -9.77%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -9.56%E -2.81%K -3.98%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-20 16:35
BetRivers2.48I 40.32%NM 36.05%EV -4.86%E -1.96%K -3.28%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 37.26%EV -15.91%E -6.63%K -11.37%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 26.69%EV -10.89%E -3.25%K -4.63%G +0.000%11.8%2026-07-20 16:35
LeoVegas2.45I 40.82%NM 38.64%EV -6.01%E -2.45%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 35.06%EV -5.40%E -2.00%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.30%EV -4.23%E -1.18%K -1.63%G +0.000%5.6%2026-07-20 16:35
Unibet (UK)2.45I 40.82%NM 38.35%EV -6.01%E -2.45%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.80%EV -5.40%E -2.00%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.85%EV -6.90%E -1.97%K -2.76%G +0.000%6.4%2026-07-20 16:35
BetMGM2.45I 40.82%NM 38.29%EV -6.01%E -2.45%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.11%EV -3.65%E -1.33%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 27.59%EV -9.56%E -2.81%K -3.98%G +0.000%6.6%2026-07-20 16:34
Betsson2.45I 40.82%NM 38.25%EV -6.01%E -2.45%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 34.97%EV -6.10%E -2.28%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -6.90%E -1.97%K -2.76%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-20 16:35
NordicBet2.45I 40.82%NM 38.25%EV -6.01%E -2.45%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.68I 37.31%NM 34.97%EV -6.10%E -2.28%K -3.63%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.78%EV -6.90%E -1.97%K -2.76%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-20 16:35
Bet Right2.45I 40.82%NM 37.31%EV -6.01%E -2.45%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.57%EV -12.41%E -4.96%K -8.27%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.12%EV -6.90%E -1.97%K -2.76%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-20 16:35
Unibet (FR)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.31%EV -6.01%E -2.45%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.45I 40.82%NM 37.31%EV -14.16%E -5.78%K -9.77%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.39%EV -4.23%E -1.18%K -1.63%G +0.000%9.4%2026-07-20 16:35
Betr (AU)2.45I 40.82%NM 37.03%EV -6.01%E -2.45%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.50I 40.00%NM 36.29%EV -12.41%E -4.96%K -8.27%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.68%EV -9.56%E -2.81%K -3.98%G +0.000%10.2%2026-07-20 16:35
TABtouch2.45I 40.82%NM 36.19%EV -6.01%E -2.45%K -4.15%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.94%EV -15.91%E -6.63%K -11.37%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 26.87%EV -12.22%E -3.70%K -5.31%G +0.000%12.8%2026-07-20 16:35
Virgin Bet2.43I 41.15%NM 36.12%EV -6.78%E -2.79%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 36.88%EV -16.61%E -6.98%K -12.04%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.01%EV -13.55%E -4.17%K -6.02%G +0.000%13.9%2026-07-20 16:35
LiveScore Bet2.43I 41.15%NM 36.12%EV -6.78%E -2.79%K -4.74%G +0.000%2.38I 42.02%NM 36.88%EV -16.61%E -6.98%K -12.04%G +0.000%3.25I 30.77%NM 27.01%EV -13.55%E -4.17%K -6.02%G +0.000%13.9%2026-07-20 16:35
LowVig.ag2.40I 41.67%NM 39.57%EV -7.93%E -3.30%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.68%EV -1.20%E -0.425%K -0.659%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.75%EV -5.57%E -1.57%K -2.18%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-20 16:35
BetOnline.ag2.40I 41.67%NM 39.57%EV -7.93%E -3.30%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.68%EV -1.20%E -0.425%K -0.659%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.75%EV -5.57%E -1.57%K -2.18%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-20 16:35
BetAnything2.40I 41.67%NM 39.57%EV -7.93%E -3.30%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.82I 35.46%NM 33.68%EV -1.20%E -0.425%K -0.659%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.75%EV -5.57%E -1.57%K -2.18%G +0.000%5.3%2026-07-20 16:35
BetUS2.40I 41.67%NM 39.48%EV -7.93%E -3.30%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.80I 35.71%NM 33.84%EV -1.90%E -0.678%K -1.06%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.69%EV -5.57%E -1.57%K -2.18%G +0.000%5.5%2026-07-20 16:35
FanDuel2.40I 41.67%NM 39.38%EV -7.93%E -3.30%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.37%EV -3.65%E -1.33%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.25%EV -4.23%E -1.18%K -1.63%G +0.000%5.8%2026-07-20 16:34
DraftKings2.40I 41.67%NM 39.23%EV -7.93%E -3.30%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.24%EV -3.65%E -1.33%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.55I 28.17%NM 26.52%EV -5.57%E -1.57%K -2.18%G +0.000%6.2%2026-07-20 16:30
1xBet2.40I 41.67%NM 38.84%EV -7.93%E -3.30%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -5.40%E -2.00%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.63%EV -6.90%E -1.97%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-20 16:35
Betfair Sportsbook (UK)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.84%EV -7.93%E -3.30%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.53%EV -5.40%E -2.00%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.63%EV -6.90%E -1.97%K -2.76%G +0.000%7.3%2026-07-20 16:35
William Hill2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -7.93%E -3.30%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.94%EV -8.21%E -3.13%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -9.56%E -2.81%K -3.98%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-20 16:35
888sport2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -7.93%E -3.30%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.94%EV -8.21%E -3.13%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -9.56%E -2.81%K -3.98%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-20 16:35
888sport (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -7.93%E -3.30%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.94%EV -8.21%E -3.13%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -9.56%E -2.81%K -3.98%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-20 16:35
Mr Green (SE)2.40I 41.67%NM 38.14%EV -7.93%E -3.30%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.94%EV -8.21%E -3.13%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.92%EV -9.56%E -2.81%K -3.98%G +0.000%9.2%2026-07-20 16:35
Bet Victor2.40I 41.67%NM 38.04%EV -7.93%E -3.30%K -5.66%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.11%EV -8.91%E -3.43%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.85%EV -9.56%E -2.81%K -3.98%G +0.000%9.5%2026-07-20 16:34
betano_uk2.38I 42.02%NM 38.24%EV -8.70%E -3.65%K -6.30%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 35.00%EV -8.91%E -3.43%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.76%EV -9.56%E -2.81%K -3.98%G +0.000%9.9%2026-07-20 16:35
Ladbrokes (AU)2.38I 42.02%NM 37.75%EV -8.70%E -3.65%K -6.30%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.17%EV -7.86%E -2.99%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.08%EV -14.88%E -4.65%K -6.76%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-20 16:35
Neds2.38I 42.02%NM 37.75%EV -8.70%E -3.65%K -6.30%G +0.000%2.63I 38.02%NM 34.17%EV -7.86%E -2.99%K -4.82%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.08%EV -14.88%E -4.65%K -6.76%G +0.000%11.3%2026-07-20 16:35
Betclic (FR)2.37I 42.19%NM 38.06%EV -9.08%E -3.83%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.52I 39.68%NM 35.79%EV -11.71%E -4.65%K -7.70%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.15%EV -8.23%E -2.38%K -3.36%G +0.000%10.9%2026-07-20 16:33
Coral2.37I 42.19%NM 37.80%EV -9.08%E -3.83%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.20%EV -8.21%E -3.13%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.00%EV -14.88%E -4.65%K -6.76%G +0.000%11.6%2026-07-20 16:35
Ladbrokes (UK)2.37I 42.19%NM 37.80%EV -9.08%E -3.83%K -6.63%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.20%EV -8.21%E -3.13%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.20I 31.25%NM 28.00%EV -14.88%E -4.65%K -6.76%G +0.000%11.6%2026-07-20 16:35
Bovada2.36I 42.37%NM 39.78%EV -9.46%E -4.01%K -6.96%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.14%EV -3.65%E -1.33%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.08%EV -4.23%E -1.18%K -1.63%G +0.000%6.5%2026-07-20 16:34
Everygame2.35I 42.55%NM 39.88%EV -9.85%E -4.19%K -7.29%G +0.000%2.75I 36.36%NM 34.08%EV -3.65%E -1.33%K -2.09%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 26.03%EV -4.23%E -1.18%K -1.63%G +0.000%6.7%2026-07-20 16:35
SportsBet2.35I 42.55%NM 39.09%EV -9.85%E -4.19%K -7.29%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.66%EV -7.15%E -2.70%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -6.90%E -1.97%K -2.76%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-20 16:34
Tipico (DE)2.35I 42.55%NM 39.09%EV -9.85%E -4.19%K -7.29%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.66%EV -7.15%E -2.70%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.50I 28.57%NM 26.25%EV -6.90%E -1.97%K -2.76%G +0.000%8.9%2026-07-20 16:35
Winamax (DE)2.35I 42.55%NM 38.68%EV -9.85%E -4.19%K -7.29%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.96%EV -8.91%E -3.43%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.45I 28.99%NM 26.35%EV -8.23%E -2.38%K -3.36%G +0.000%10.0%2026-07-20 16:35
PlayUp2.35I 42.55%NM 38.64%EV -9.85%E -4.19%K -7.29%G +0.000%2.65I 37.74%NM 34.26%EV -7.15%E -2.70%K -4.34%G +0.000%3.35I 29.85%NM 27.10%EV -10.89%E -3.25%K -4.63%G +0.000%10.1%2026-07-20 16:35
Winamax (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 38.27%EV -9.85%E -4.19%K -7.29%G +0.000%2.55I 39.22%NM 35.27%EV -10.66%E -4.18%K -6.88%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.45%EV -9.56%E -2.81%K -3.98%G +0.000%11.2%2026-07-20 16:35
PMU (FR)2.35I 42.55%NM 36.13%EV -9.85%E -4.19%K -7.29%G +0.000%2.30I 43.48%NM 36.92%EV -19.42%E -8.44%K -14.94%G +0.000%3.15I 31.75%NM 26.95%EV -16.21%E -5.14%K -7.54%G +0.000%17.8%2026-07-20 16:35
Betway2.30I 43.48%NM 40.15%EV -11.77%E -5.12%K -9.05%G +0.000%2.70I 37.04%NM 34.20%EV -5.40%E -2.00%K -3.18%G +0.000%3.60I 27.78%NM 25.65%EV -4.23%E -1.18%K -1.63%G +0.000%8.3%2026-07-20 16:35
Paddy Power2.30I 43.48%NM 39.15%EV -11.77%E -5.12%K -9.05%G +0.000%2.62I 38.17%NM 34.37%EV -8.21%E -3.13%K -5.07%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 26.48%EV -9.56%E -2.81%K -3.98%G +0.000%11.1%2026-07-20 16:35
Sky Bet2.30I 43.48%NM 38.74%EV -11.77%E -5.12%K -9.05%G +0.000%2.60I 38.46%NM 34.27%EV -8.91%E -3.43%K -5.57%G +0.000%3.30I 30.30%NM 27.00%EV -12.22%E -3.70%K -5.31%G +0.000%12.2%2026-07-20 16:35
BoyleSports2.25I 44.44%NM 38.47%EV -13.68%E -6.08%K -10.95%G +0.000%2.40I 41.67%NM 36.07%EV -15.91%E -6.63%K -11.37%G +0.000%3.40I 29.41%NM 25.46%EV -9.56%E -2.81%K -3.98%G +0.000%15.5%2026-07-20 16:35
Marge = Marge · I = Probabilité implicite · NM = Probabilité sans marge · EV = Espérance mathématique · E = Avantage · K = Critère de Kelly · G = Croissance du capital de jeu

Mise à jour indique le dernier changement de prix de chaque opérateur. Une heure ancienne signifie donc seulement que la cote n’a pas bougé, et non qu’elle est périmée. Les opérateurs absents du flux depuis environ 15 minutes sont normalement écartés ; les derniers prix enregistrés ne sont conservés que si le flux de tout le marché devient silencieux.

Plateformes d’échange (5)

OpérateurLocalVisiteurMatch nulMarge ▲Mise à jour
Betfair Exchange (UK)2.54I 39.37%NM 39.30%2.90I 34.48%NM 34.42%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.27%0.2%2026-07-20 16:35
Betfair Exchange (EU)2.52I 39.68%NM 39.49%2.90I 34.48%NM 34.32%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.19%0.5%2026-07-20 16:35
Betfair Exchange (AU)2.52I 39.68%NM 39.40%2.88I 34.72%NM 34.47%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.13%0.7%2026-07-20 16:35
Matchbook2.52I 39.68%NM 39.40%2.88I 34.72%NM 34.47%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.13%0.7%2026-07-20 16:35
Smarkets2.52I 39.68%NM 39.30%2.86I 34.97%NM 34.63%3.80I 26.32%NM 26.06%1.0%2026-07-20 16:35